Английская Википедия:Dambadeniya Polling Division

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The Dambadeniya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Dambadeniya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Dambadeniya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Dambadeniya Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.25% SLPP 7.28%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.78% NDF 7.41%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.72% UPFA 6.59%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.67% UPFA 4.49%
1999 PA PA 1.61% PA 0.93%
1994 PA PA 0.50% PA 3.50%
1988 UNP UNP 4.63% UNP 4.13%
1982 UNP UNP 1.43% UNP 2.56%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.08% 8/8 4.61%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[3] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 47,006 60.31% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 27,041 34.69% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,506 3.22% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,394 1.79% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 77,947 99.15% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 666 0.85% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 78,613 84.73% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 92,781 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[4] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 41,422 55.31% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 32,964 44.02% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 505 0.67% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 74,891 99.18% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 621 0.82% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 75,512 79.86% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 94,560 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[5] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,172 64.91% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 23,056 33.88% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 819 1.20% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 68,047 99.36% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 436 0.64% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 68,483 76.41% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 89,631 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[6] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,231 54.96% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 29,818 44.02% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.02% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 67,741 99.12% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 599 0.88% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 68,340 79.97% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 85,455 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[7] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,403 52.54% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 24,457 42.26% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,158 3.73% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 849 1.47% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 57,867 98.16% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,082 1.84% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 58,949 77.70% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 75,865 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[8] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,516 58.90% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,613 39.79% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 677 1.31% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 51,806 98.60% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 738 1.40% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 52,544 76.08% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 69,064 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[9] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,532 56.13% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 16,301 42.49% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 531 1.38% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 38,364 98.89% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 430 1.11% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 38,794 60.73% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 63,877 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambadeniya[10] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,872 57.16% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 19,429 38.46% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,897 3.76% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 314 0.62% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 50,512 99.31% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 350 0.69% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 50,862 86.40% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 58,869 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Dambadeniya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Dambadeniya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Dambadeniya Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.32% UNP 4.08%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.11% UPFA 3.69%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.45% UPFA 4.57%
2001 UNP UNP 1.03% UNP 3.00%
2000 PA PA 0.56% PA 2.72%
1994 PA PA 0.31% PA 2.85%
1989 UNP UNP 3.76% UNP 6.02%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.51% 7/7 3.85%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambadeniya[13] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,939 50.51% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 30,671 44.34% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 3,236 4.68% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 324 0.47% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75%
Valid Votes 69,170 96.79% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,260 3.16% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 71,462 75.57% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 94,560 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambadeniya[14] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,447 66.17% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,483 29.74% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,015 3.87% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.22% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 52,061 94.43% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,003 5.45% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 55,133 61.51% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 89,631 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambadeniya[15] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,740 53.00% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 24,528 40.96% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 3,422 5.71% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 200 0.33% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 59,890 95.76% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,641 4.22% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 62,543 75.13% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 83,250 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambadeniya[16] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,321 47.29% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 26,714 43.09% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 5,349 8.63% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 612 0.99% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49%
Valid Votes 61,996 96.29% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,386 3.71% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 64,382 79.66% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 80,821 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambadeniya[17] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,865 48.64% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 25,527 43.02% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 3,418 5.76% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,534 2.58% 28,348 3.85% 407,107 4.73%
Valid Votes 59,344 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambadeniya[18] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,551 51.67% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 26,223 47.46% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 481 0.87% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 55,255 96.48% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,013 3.52% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 57,268 82.92% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 69,064 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambadeniya[19] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,242 62.31% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 14,595 32.20% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,305 2.88% 11,059 2.06% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 994 2.19% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 188 0.41% 2,848 0.53% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 45,324 94.23% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,777 5.77% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 48,101 76.32% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 63,024 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Dambadeniya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (96.6%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Dambadeniya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Dambadeniya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (95.7%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Dambadeniya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambadeniya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambadeniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambadeniya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambadeniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web