Английская Википедия:Gampaha Polling Division

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The Gampaha Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Gampaha has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Gampaha is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Gampaha Gampaha Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 7.80% SLPP 14.86%
2015 UPFA NDF 4.38% NDF 6.01%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.61% UPFA 9.89%
2005 UPFA UPFA 8.86% UPFA 13.12%
1999 PA PA 5.26% PA 10.29%
1994 PA PA 6.01% PA 8.23%
1988 SLFP SLFP 6.19% UNP 9.09%
1982 SLFP UNP 4.96% UNP 6.76%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 6.26% 8/8 9.78%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[3] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 84,507 67.31% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 31,984 25.48% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 6,256 4.98% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,800 2.23% 31,499 2.18% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 125,547 99.06% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,191 0.94% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 126,738 83.70% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 151,418 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 63,962 53.95% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 53,922 45.48% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 680 0.57% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 118,564 98.98% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,222 1.02% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 119,786 81.33% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 147,280 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 71,811 68.44% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 32,262 30.75% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 854 0.81% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 104,927 99.35% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 682 0.65% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 105,609 79.05% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 133,606 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 62,018 63.78% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 34,376 35.35% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 847 0.87% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 97,241 99.04% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 944 0.96% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 98,185 78.73% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 124,714 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,606 61.67% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 26,257 31.38% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 4,433 5.30% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,386 1.66% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 83,682 97.92% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,780 2.08% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 85,462 76.43% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 111,814 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,197 70.81% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,094 27.79% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,011 1.40% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 72,302 98.69% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 958 1.31% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 73,260 72.96% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 100,416 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 34,340 55.27% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 25,948 41.77% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 1,839 2.96% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 62,127 98.85% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 721 1.15% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 62,848 73.57% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 85,424 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Gampaha[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 28,532 48.53% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 27,845 47.36% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
JVP 1,942 3.30% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 470 0.80% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 58,789 99.13% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 517 0.87% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 59,306 81.95% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 72,371 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Gampaha has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Gampaha is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Gampaha Gampaha Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UNP 6.05% UNP 6.29%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.08% UPFA 8.06%
2004 UPFA UPFA 7.38% UPFA 10.06%
2001 PA UNP 5.18% UNP 8.18%
2000 PA PA 5.06% PA 6.97%
1994 PA PA 6.01% PA 10.46%
1989 UNP UNP 4.03% UNP 4.71%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 7/7 5.68% 7/7 7.82%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampaha[13] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,901 50.38% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 42,585 39.81% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 9,754 9.12% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 739 0.69% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 106,979 95.89% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,457 3.99% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 111,569 75.75% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 147,280 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampaha[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 58,268 69.62% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 17,976 21.48% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 7,188 8.59% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 266 0.32% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 83,698 95.44% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,930 4.48% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 87,698 65.64% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 133,606 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampaha[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,944 58.64% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 24,652 27.83% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 11,357 12.82% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 624 0.70% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 88,577 96.19% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,485 3.78% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 92,082 76.21% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 120,833 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampaha[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,519 46.94% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 32,479 36.72% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 12,791 14.46% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
SU 1,090 1.23% 8,105 0.81% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 573 0.65% 7,066 0.71% 87,161 0.97%
Valid Votes 88,452 96.82% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,909 3.18% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 91,361 78.24% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 116,768 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampaha[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 45,394 53.55% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 27,794 32.79% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 8,284 9.77% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
SU 2,434 2.87% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 861 1.02% 19,956 2.08% 319,123 3.71%
Valid Votes 84,767 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampaha[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 47,822 62.68% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,133 35.56% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 1,340 1.76% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 76,295 96.88% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,456 3.12% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 78,751 78.42% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 100,416 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Gampaha[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,376 50.27% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 27,765 45.95% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,426 2.36% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 859 1.42% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 60,426 96.34% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,297 3.66% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 62,723 75.85% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 82,689 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Gampaha Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (98.8%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Gampaha Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Gampaha Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (87.6%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (10.7%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Gampaha Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web