Английская Википедия:Hanguranketha Polling Division

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The Hanguranketha Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hanguranketha has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Hanguranketha is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Hanguranketha Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP NDF 15.07% SLPP 0.32%
2015 UPFA NDF 16.13% NDF 3.44%
2010 UPFA NDF 16.83% UPFA 4.25%
2005 UNP UNP 14.49% UPFA 7.35%
1999 PA UNP 11.02% PA 6.10%
1994 PA PA 4.70% PA 9.19%
1988 UNP UNP 1.20% UNP 8.87%
1982 UNP UNP 2.91% UNP 5.08%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 4/8 10.29% 8/8 5.57%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[3] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 30,999 52.50% 175,823 36.87% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,995 42.33% 277,913 58.28% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,899 3.22% 17,237 3.61% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,153 1.95% 5,891 1.24% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 59,046 98.86% 476,864 98.52% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 680 1.14% 7,155 1.48% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 59,726 85.76% 484,019 85.06% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 69,644 569,028 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[4] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,389 50.76% 145,339 34.06% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 25,645 47.53% 272,605 63.88% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 922 1.71% 8,822 2.07% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 53,956 98.07% 426,766 98.31% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,064 1.93% 7,329 1.69% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,020 77.44% 434,095 79.25% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 71,053 547,766 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[5] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,164 61.43% 151,604 43.77% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 16,470 34.69% 180,604 52.14% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,324 2.79% 10,040 2.90% 165,268 1.59%
DUNF 518 1.09% 4,134 1.19% 39,226 0.38%
Valid Votes 47,476 98.45% 346,382 98.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 748 1.55% 6,462 1.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 48,224 73.10% 352,844 75.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 65,969 466,440 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[6] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,061 55.58% 250,428 70.37% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 20,725 42.56% 99,550 27.97% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 905 1.86% 5,897 1.66% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 48,691 98.30% 355,875 98.50% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 843 1.70% 5,410 1.50% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,534 78.10% 361,285 79.49% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 63,421 454,528 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[7] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,000 58.16% 147,210 46.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,426 36.95% 152,836 48.68% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,572 3.15% 5,879 1.87% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 865 1.73% 8,065 2.57% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 49,863 97.15% 313,990 97.21% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,461 2.85% 8,997 2.79% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 51,324 88.17% 322,987 80.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 58,213 402,589 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[8] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,917 52.94% 168,929 57.14% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 19,609 45.30% 116,928 39.55% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 761 1.76% 9,773 3.31% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 43,287 97.30% 295,630 96.15% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,202 2.70% 11,840 3.85% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,489 82.39% 307,470 78.19% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 54,001 393,221 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[9] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,748 61.27% 112,135 62.15% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 14,011 37.74% 64,907 35.98% 2,289,857 44.95%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 370 1.00% 3,371 1.87% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 37,129 98.47% 180,413 98.19% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 576 1.53% 3,320 1.81% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 37,705 84.55% 183,733 79.44% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 44,596 231,278 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hanguranketha[10] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,672 60.10% 109,017 63.10% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,414 36.09% 57,093 33.05% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 983 2.86% 4,569 2.64% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 329 0.96% 2,090 1.21% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,398 98.94% 172,769 98.83% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 368 1.06% 2,048 1.17% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,766 87.24% 174,817 85.71% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 39,853 203,968 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hanguranketha has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Hanguranketha is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Hanguranketha Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UNP 3.57% UNP 4.91%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.18% UPFA 1.96%
2004 UNP UNP 7.64% UPFA 11.03%
2001 UNP UNP 7.25% UNP 8.97%
2000 PA PA 18.67% PA 19.48%
1994 UNP UNP 4.07% PA 9.59%
1989 UNP UNP 5.09% UNP 11.01%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 5/7 7.21% 7/7 9.56%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[13] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,404 55.19% 228,920 59.06% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 19,775 41.33% 147,348 38.02% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,258 2.63% 5,590 1.44% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 406 0.85% 5,727 1.48% 87,743 0.79%
Valid Votes 47,843 91.53% 387,585 92.12% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,391 8.40% 32,788 7.79% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 52,269 73.56% 420,734 78.77% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 71,053 534,150 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[14] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 18,866 61.31% 149,111 56.06% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 10,362 33.68% 96,885 36.43% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 993 3.23% 3,984 1.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 548 1.78% 15,982 6.01% 59,106 0.74%
Valid Votes 30,769 85.57% 265,962 87.64% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,146 14.31% 37,236 12.27% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 35,959 54.51% 303,470 64.94% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 65,969 467,332 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[15] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,313 57.80% 176,971 54.02% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 16,962 38.73% 82,945 25.32% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 630 1.44% 4,454 1.36% 552,723 5.98%
UPF 574 1.31% 49,728 15.18% 49,728 0.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 318 0.73% 13,511 4.12% 53,563 0.58%
Valid Votes 43,797 92.15% 327,609 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,732 7.85% 24,413 6.94% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 47,529 76.82% 352,022 80.70% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 61,868 436,236 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[16] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,631 60.56% 215,157 68.28% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 13,618 32.18% 77,733 24.67% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 2,502 5.91% 11,080 3.52% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 570 1.35% 11,129 3.53% 143,834 1.61%
Valid Votes 42,321 89.04% 315,099 91.74% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 5,211 10.96% 28,373 8.26% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 47,532 79.16% 343,472 82.32% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 60,044 417,264 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[17] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,859 72.91% 158,018 52.53% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 10,470 23.23% 126,486 42.05% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,386 3.08% 6,299 2.09% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 353 0.78% 10,003 3.33% 247,240 2.87%
Valid Votes 45,068 N/A 300,806 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[18] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,783 57.71% 175,478 58.12% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 17,904 41.69% 97,658 32.35% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 254 0.59% 28,782 9.53% 206,815 2.60%
Valid Votes 42,941 94.44% 301,918 93.33% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,526 5.56% 21,592 6.67% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 45,467 84.20% 323,510 82.37% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 54,001 392,770 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hanguranketha[19] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,140 70.09% 109,853 63.34% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 9,890 28.71% 47,128 27.18% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 412 1.20% 16,443 9.48% 363,149 6.49%
Valid Votes 34,442 93.34% 173,424 92.73% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,457 6.66% 13,600 7.27% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 36,899 84.16% 187,024 81.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 43,844 229,519 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Hanguranketha Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (86.4%) . In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Hanguranketha Polling Division) has an Indian Tamil majority (53.1%) and a significant Sinhalese population (39.6%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Hanguranketha Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.2%) and a significant Hindu population (12.6%). In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Hanguranketha Polling Division) has a Hindu majority (51.0%) and a significant Buddhist population (39.1%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hanguranketha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web