Английская Википедия:2008 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNH The United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John E. Sununu ran for re-election to a second term, but was defeated by Democrat Jeanne Shaheen in a rematch of the 2002 election. Shaheen's win marked the first time since 1972 that Democrats won this seat, and made her the first Democratic Senator elected from New Hampshire since John A. Durkin's victory in 1975.
Background
For a considerable amount of time, New Hampshire had always been considered an island of conservatism in the Northeast. Following the 2006 election, however, many offices were taken over by Democrats: Representatives Carol Shea-Porter and Paul Hodes, Governor John Lynch, the majority of the New Hampshire Executive Council, and the majority of both legislative chambers (which had not occurred since 1911).[1] The popularity of Governor Lynch was considered an impediment to Sununu's re-election.[2] Though the state voted for then-Gov. George W. Bush in 2000, Sen. John Kerry narrowly won the state over Bush in 2004.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Jeanne Shaheen, former governor
- Raymond Stebbins, attorney
Campaign
Astronaut Jay Buckey MD, Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand, and Katrina Swett, (wife of former Congressman Richard Swett), had announced their candidacies but withdrew in favor of former governor Jeanne Shaheen upon her entrance into the race.[3]
Shaheen had been the Democratic nominee for the race in 2002. Since 2005, Shaheen had served as director of the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School before leaving on September 14, 2007. She had been aggressively courted to run by Senator Ted Kennedy (D-MA) on behalf of Senate Democrats, and by a "Draft Shaheen" campaign led by former New Hampshire Democratic Chairman Kathy Sullivan.
The filing deadline for the Democratic and Republican Parties was June 13, 2008. Shaheen filed, as did Raymond Stebbins.[4]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
- Tom Alciere, former state representative[5]
- John E. Sununu, incumbent U.S. Senator
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Ken Blevens (L)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D), former governor
- John E. Sununu (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
Campaign
A November 2006 SurveyUSA poll of New Hampshire voters found Sununu had a 47% approval rating.[6] A February 1, 2007 poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire found that only 45% of New Hampshire voters held a favorable opinion of Sununu. In June 2007, a poll by 7NEWS and Suffolk University of likely voters reported that only 31 percent in the poll said Sununu deserved re-election, with 47 percent saying that someone else should get his seat.[7]
A July 2008 Granite State Poll had Sununu's favorability rating at 52%, his unfavorability rating at 33%, and neutral or undecided by 16%.[8] Shaheen is viewed favorable by 53%, unfavorable by 31% and neutral or undecided by 15%.[9]
Senator John McCain, the Republican nominee for president, had mentioned Sununu as a possible running mate for the 2008 presidential election, as well as Lindsey Graham, Bob Riley, Steve Forbes and John Thune. Sununu had said he would remain neutral in the New Hampshire primary. However, McCain selected Alaska governor Sarah Palin instead.
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[10] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 23, 2008 |
CQ Politics[11] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2008 |
Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2008 |
Real Clear Politics[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2008 |
Polling
Fundraising
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (D) | $8,273,501.00 | $8,225,580.00 | $47,920.00 | $120,630.00 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | John Sununu (R) | $8,879,307.00 | $8,868,017.00 | $104,187.00 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[14] |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Hillsborough (largest municipality: Manchester)
- Sullivan (largest municipality: Claremont)
See also
References
External links
- Election Division from the New Hampshire Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for New Hampshire at Project Vote Smart
- New Hampshire, U.S. Senate CQ Politics
- New Hampshire U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- New Hampshire U.S. Senate race from 2008 Race Tracker
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Sununu (R-i) vs Shaheen (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Official campaign websites
- John Sununu, Republican nominee
- Jay Buckey, withdrawn
- Jeanne Shaheen, Democratic nominee
- anti-Sununu website from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
- anti-Shaheen website from the National Republican Senatorial Committee
Шаблон:New Hampshire elections Шаблон:2008 United States elections
- ↑ Storm of change sweeps through N.H. Legislature
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite newsШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Swett Drops Out Of NH Senate RaceШаблон:Dead link WCSH 6 September 21, 2007. Retrieved September 22, 2007
- ↑ Democratic Party Cumulative Filings Шаблон:Webarchive New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved June 15, 2008.
- ↑ Republican Party Cumulative Filings Шаблон:Webarchive New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved June 15, 2008.
- ↑ Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #11151, conducted November 2006
- ↑ Ralph Z. Hallow, "N.H. poll puts Gore over Clinton", Washington Times, June 27, 2007
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Шаблон:Webarchive CQ Politics
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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