Английская Википедия:2012 Galician regional election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election The 2012 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 21 October 2012, to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in the Basque Country.

President Alberto Núñez Feijóo announced the election following Lehendakari Patxi López's decision to schedule a Basque snap regional election for 21 October 2012.[1][2] The vote was seen as an electoral test on the economic policy of Mariano Rajoy's government, which had been elected at the 2011 Spanish general election and had undertaken harsh spending cuts which had seen its popularity ratings plummet in opinion polls.[3] Feijóo aimed at securing reelection for a second term in office at the helm of the regional People's Party (PP), for which he needed the party to retain the absolute majority it commanded in parliament to prevent an alternative coalition being formed between the Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) and the Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG), similarly to the one in power in the 2005–2009 period.[4][5]

The election resulted in an increased majority for Feijóo, as support for both the PSdeG and BNG plunged amid internal party infighting and disillusion from left-from-centre voters.[6] The Galician Left Alternative (AGE) alliance, headed by former BNG leader Xosé Manuel Beiras and comprising United Left (EU) and Beiras's newly-created party Anova, obtained a surprise result with 200,000 votes and 14% of the share, scoring in third place regionally and displacing the PSdeG in second place in the cities of A Coruña, Ferrol and Santiago de Compostela.[7] The fragmentation of the left-wing vote and the high abstention rate—with slightly over 45% of the electorate not casting a ballot—favoured the PP enlarging its majority despite seeing a drop of over 100,000 ballots from 2009.[8]

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[9] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Galicians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Шаблон:Lang-es).[10]

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[9][11]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

Seats Constituencies
24 A Coruña
22 Pontevedra
15 Lugo
14 Ourense

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[12]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 1 March 2009, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 1 March 2013. The election decree was required to be published in the DOG no later than 5 February 2013, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 6 April 2013.[9][11]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Galicia and call a snap election, provided that it did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[13]

Speculation on the 2013 Galician election being held ahead of schedule emerged after opinion polls at the end of 2011—shortly after the 2011 Spanish general election which saw a landslide victory for the People's Party (PP) across Spain—pointed to an "historic absolute majority" for the party in the region.[14][15] In February 2012, Galician president Alberto Núñez Feijóo had ruled out a snap election "before the summer",[16][17] a decision that he reiterated after the Andalusian regional election on 25 March had seen the PP losing over 400,000 votes in comparison to the party's 2011 general election results in the region.[18] The media pointed out that Feijóo could be considering an autumn election instead,[19][20] in order to prevent further spending cuts from the national PP government under Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy from affecting his image,[21][22] On 21 August 2012, Lehendakari Patxi López's announcement of a snap Basque election for 21 October left Feijóo little room for an autumn election,[1][23] and one week later he called a snap election in Galicia to be held concurrently with the Basque poll.[2][24]

Background

The election was held amid a climate of falling popularity for the Mariano Rajoy's government, with the electoral campaign being focused on the austerity measures and spending cuts approved by the national PP government.[3] In July 2012, a €65 billion-worth spending cut and a VAT rise from 18% to 21% was introduced, with such measures being heavily criticised because they were a breach of key campaign promises made by the PP in the party's election manifesto.[25][26] The PP vote share had plummeted in national opinion polls from 40% to 34% as a result, raising fears within Núñez Feijóo's regional government on the possibility of losing their overall majority in the Galician regional election; this had seen an attempt to reform the regional electoral law by decreasing the size of the Parliament of Galicia from 75 to 61, under a seat apportionment that was seen as benefitting the PP's rural strongholds.[27][28] The reform did not come to pass as a result of the snap poll and a lack of consensus with opposition parties for its approval.[29]

The Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) had split following its 13th national assembly in January 2012 over dissatisfaction with the bloc's political line and the control exercised by the Galician People's Union (UPG).[30] Among the splitting forces were Xosé Manuel Beiras's Encontro Irmandiño (EI),[31] Nationalist Left (EN),[32] Máis Galiza (+G),[33] the Galician Nationalist Party–Galicianist Party (PNG–PG),[34] the Galician Workers' Front (FOGA) and the Galician Socialist Space (ESG),[35] whereas Inzar and the Socialist Collective chose to dissolve.[36] The split parties would rally around a broad umbrella dubbed as the Novo Proxecto Común (Шаблон:Lang-en),[37] which would provide the basis for the emergence of two new political forces: EI and the FOGA would join other political forces—such as the Galician People's Front (FPG) and Movemento pola Base (MpB)—into the new Renewal–Nationalist Brotherhood (Anova) party,[38][39] while EN would merge with +G, ESG, PNG–PG, Terra Galega, Espazo Ecosocialista Galego and Acción Galega into the newly-established Commitment to Galicia (CxG).[40][41]

Parliamentary composition

The Parliament of Galicia was officially dissolved on 28 August 2012, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Journal of Galicia.[42] The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[43]

Parliamentary composition in August 2012[44]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Parliamentary Group of Galicia width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP 38 38
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists' Parliamentary Group of Galicia bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSdeG–PSOE 25 25
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Nationalist Bloc's Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| BNG 12 12

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[11][45]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Шаблон:Abbr Шаблон:Abbr
Votes (%) Seats
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Alberto Núñez Feijóo 2010 (cropped).jpg Alberto Núñez Feijóo Conservatism
Christian democracy
46.68% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Tick [46]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSdeG–
PSOE
Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Pachi Vázquez 2012 (cropped).jpg Pachi Vázquez Social democracy 31.02% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [47]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| BNG Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Francisco Jorquera 2012 (cropped).jpg Francisco Jorquera Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism
16.01% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [48]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| AGE Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Xosé Manuel Beiras 2012 (cropped).jpg Xosé Manuel Beiras Galician nationalism
Democratic socialism
0.97%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [49]
[50]
[51]
[52]

Election debates

2012 Galician regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s) Шаблон:Smaller Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Smaller Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Smaller
PP PSdeG BNG Audience Шаблон:Abbr
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
8 October TVG Marga Pazos Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes NI 31.3%
Шаблон:Smaller
[53]
[54]
9 October TVG Marga Pazos NI Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes 19.5%
Шаблон:Smaller
[55]
[56]
10 October TVG Marga Pazos Шаблон:Yes NI Шаблон:Yes 24.9%
Шаблон:Smaller
[57]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Шаблон:Smaller

Шаблон:Smaller Шаблон:Smaller

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

Results

Overall

Summary of the 21 October 2012 Parliament of Galicia election results
Файл:GaliciaParliamentDiagram2012.svg
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Party (PP) 661,281 45.80 –0.88 41 +3
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) 297,584 20.61 –10.41 18 –7
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Left Alternative (United LeftAnova) (AGE)1 200,828 13.91 +12.94 9 +9
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) 146,027 10.11 –5.90 7 –5
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 21,335 1.48 +0.07 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Blank Seats (EB) 17,141 1.19 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Civil Society and Democracy (SCD) 15,990 1.11 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Commitment to Galicia (CxG)2 14,586 1.01 –0.10 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 8,041 0.56 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Ourensan Democracy (DO) 4,245 0.29 +0.23 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Land Party (PT) 3,131 0.22 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Communists of Galicia (PCPE–CdG) 1,664 0.12 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) 1,556 0.11 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Pirates of Galicia (Pirata.gal) 1,551 0.11 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) 1,455 0.10 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 1,352 0.09 +0.05 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Humanist Party (PH) 1,340 0.09 +0.02 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 1,329 0.09 –0.12 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Corunnan Union (UC) 1,172 0.08 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| XXI Convergence (C.XXI) 1,072 0.07 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Hartos.org (Hartos.org) 868 0.06 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 489 0.03 +0.01 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Let us Give the Change (DeC) 432 0.03 New 0 ±0
Social Democratic Party of Law (SDD) 412 0.03 +0.01 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Centre Democratic Action of Galicia (ADCG) 360 0.02 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Community Integration Party (PYC) 159 0.01 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 38,448 2.66 +1.00
Total 1,443,848 75 ±0
Valid votes 1,443,848 97.47 –1.64
Invalid votes 37,531 2.53 +1.64
Votes cast / turnout 1,481,379 54.91 –9.52
Abstentions 1,216,338 45.09 +9.52
Registered voters 2,697,717
Sources[43][58]
Шаблон:Hidden

Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSdeG AGE BNG
colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
% S % S % S % S
A Coruña style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 45.4 13 18.8 5 16.6 4 9.6 2
Lugo style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 51.5 9 22.7 4 10.3 1 8.7 1
Ourense style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 49.2 8 23.7 4 7.8 1 8.5 1
Pontevedra style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 42.8 11 20.8 5 14.4 3 11.9 3
Total style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 45.8 41 20.6 18 13.9 9 10.1 7
Sources[43][58]

Aftermath

Investiture
Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP)
Ballot → 29 November 2012
Required majority → 38 out of 75 Шаблон:Tick
Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Composition bar
Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Composition bar
Abstentions Шаблон:Composition bar
Absentees Шаблон:Composition bar
Sources[43]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Opinion poll sources

Шаблон:Reflist

Other

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Galician elections Шаблон:Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s

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