Английская Википедия:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIA The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the state's four U.S. representatives. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election. Primary elections were held on June 5, 2012.[1]

The new congressional map, drawn by the state's Legislative Services Agency and passed with bipartisan support in the state House of Representatives and Senate, was signed into law by Governor Terry Branstad on April 19, 2011. Reflecting population shifts recorded in the 2010 United States census, the new map decreases Iowa's representation from five congressional districts to four.[2]

Шаблон:Toclimit

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2012 [3]
Party Votes Percentage Seats Before Seats After +/–
Democratic 772,387 50.26% 3 2 -1
Republican 726,505 47.27% 2 2 -
Socialist Workers 6,286 0.41% -
Independent 30,291 1.97% -
Write-In 1,380 0.09% -
Totals 1,536,849 100% 5 4 -1

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also

Bruce Braley, a Democrat the incumbent representative from the 1st district in northeastern Iowa since 2007, ran in the new 1st district. Fellow incumbent Dave Loebsack, who lived within the boundaries of the new 1st district in Linn County, but who had represented southeastern Iowa's 2nd district since 2007, moved to Johnson County and ran in the new 2nd district.[4] The 1st district has become more favorable to Democrats with the inclusion of Linn County and its loss of Scott County.[5] Braley won the Democratic nomination unopposed.[6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined
  • Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 2nd district

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ben Lange, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2010[7]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also

None of Iowa's current members of Congress resided in the newly-drawn 2nd district; however, Democrat Dave Loebsack moved from Linn County to Johnson County in order to avoid a primary against Bruce Braley and continue representing southeastern Iowa.[4] The 2nd district became slightly more favorable to Republicans as a result of the inclusion of Scott County, but retains Democratic-leaning Johnson County.[5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Dan Dolan, housing developer[20]
Withdrew
  • Richard Gates, machinist and Tea Party activist[19][21]

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dave
Loebsack (D)
John
Archer (R)
Undecided
Tarrance (R-Archer) June 25–27, 2012 300 (LV) ± 5.7% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% 43% 10%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also

Leonard Boswell, a Democrat who represented the 3rd district in central Iowa since 1997, and Tom Latham, a Republican who represented the 4th district in northern and central Iowa since 1995, both ran in the new 3rd district.[22] Latham, who lived in the new 4th district, moved south to avoid facing fellow Republican Steve King in a primary.[23]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Campaign

Approximately half of the new 3rd district is currently represented by Boswell, whereas the new 3rd district contains than 20 per cent of the area currently represented by Latham. However, Latham had $983,500 cash on hand at the end of March 2011, whereas Boswell had just $173,815.

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

The first debate was held October 10, 2012 at 7 pm, sponsored by KCCI and the Des Moines Register.[24]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Leonard
Boswell (D)
Tom
Latham (R)
Scott
Batcher (I)
Undecided
Benenson (D-DCCC) September 18–20, 2012 400 (LV) ± 3.9% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45% 7% 3%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

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District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Steve King, a Republican represented western Iowa's 5th district since 2003, ran in the new 4th district. The new 4th district comprises mostly territory which King represented and which tends to vote for Republican candidates.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined
  • Tom Latham, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 4th district

Primary results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independents

Martin James Monroe also ran.

General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
King (R)
Christie
Vilsack (D)
Martin
Monroe (I)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO) September 24–25, 2012 577 (LV) ± % align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48% 45% 7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Vilsack) September 22–25, 2012 400 (LV) ± 4.9% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46% 44% 4% 6%
American Viewpoint (R-American Future Fund) September 23–24, 2012 400 (LV) ± 4.9% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D-House Majority PAC) Шаблон:Webarchive January 18–23, 2012 974 (RV) ± 3.1% align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49% 43% 8%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Roll Call[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
NY Times[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
RCP[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012
The Hill[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 4, 2012

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:2012 United States elections