Английская Википедия:2014 United States Senate election in Georgia
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Georgia (U.S. state) The 2014 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Georgia, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states, to the United States House of Representatives, and to various other state and local offices.
Incumbent Republican senator Saxby Chambliss announced on January 25, 2013, that he would not run for re-election, making it an open-seat race.[1] After a close and contentious primary campaign, businessman David Perdue and U.S. Representative Jack Kingston advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination, which was narrowly won by Perdue. The Democratic primary was decisively won by Points of Light CEO Michelle Nunn, the daughter of former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn. Also running was Libertarian nominee Amanda Swafford, a former Flowery Branch City Councilwoman.
If no candidate had received a majority of the vote, a runoff would have been held between the top two finishers on January 6, 2015, after the 114th Congress would have been sworn in, but in the end, David Perdue defeated Michelle Nunn by a margin of 7.7%.
Perdue's victory was part of a series of Republican victories across the nation.[2] Nunn failed to improve on Obama's losing percentages in the state from two years earlier and any changes in the state's demographics were not enough for Democrats to prevail.[3] Nevertheless, Nunn took credit for making the party competitive in the otherwise inhospitable South: "We put Georgia in play. We have reminded people what a two-party system looks like."[3] Nunn's efforts to appeal to white voters were largely unsuccessful, with her not achieving 25% of the white vote, with conventional wisdom at the time stating that a Democrat needed 30% of the white vote to win.[4]
Republican primary
In the early stages of the Republican primary campaign, the field was deemed a "clown car" by The Hill due to the prominence of far-right candidates within it.[5] Prominent Tea Party supporter and U.S. Representative Paul Broun was the early frontrunner for the Republican nomination, with Public Policy Polling showing him with a double-digit lead over his fellow candidates.[6] During September 2013 several prominent Republicans considered buying ads against Broun's campaign, as he was seen as unelectable due to his far-right policy positions, which included support for Young Earth creationism and the contention that medical schools taught "lies from the pits of hell."[7][8] The primary was held on May 20, 2014. No candidate won more than 50% of the vote, so a runoff was held between the top two candidates, businessman David Perdue and U.S. Representative Jack Kingston. The 30.6 percent won by Perdue is the lowest ever for a first-place finisher in a Georgia U.S. Senate primary by either party in state history.[9]
Candidates
- Paul Broun, U.S. Representative and candidate in 1996[10]
- Art Gardner, patent attorney[11]
- Phil Gingrey, U.S. Representative[12]
- Derrick E. Grayson, conservative political activist[13]
- Karen Handel, former secretary of state of Georgia, former Susan G. Komen executive and candidate for Governor in 2010[14]
- Jack Kingston, U.S. Representative[15]
- David Perdue, Georgia Ports Authority board member, former CEO of Dollar General and Reebok and cousin of former governor Sonny Perdue[16]
Withdrew
- Eugene Yu, businessman, president of the Federation of Korean Associations and former deputy sheriff of Richmond County (ran for GA-12)[17][18]
Declined
- Casey Cagle, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia[19]
- Herman Cain, former CEO of the National Restaurant Association, former chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and candidate for President in 2012Шаблон:Citation needed
- Saxby Chambliss, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
- Doug Collins, U.S. Representative[20]
- Erick Erickson, blogger, radio host and former member of the Macon City Council[21]
- Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House of Representatives and candidate for President in 2012[22]
- Tom Graves, U.S. Representative[23]
- Brian Kemp, Secretary of State of Georgia[24]
- Ed Lindsey, Majority Whip of the Georgia House of Representatives (ran for GA-11)[25]
- Kelly Loeffler, co-owner of the Women's National Basketball Association team Atlanta Dream[26][27]
- Barry Loudermilk, state senator (ran for GA-11)[28]
- Sam Olens, Attorney General of Georgia[24]
- Sonny Perdue, former governor of Georgia[29]
- Tom Price, U.S. Representative[30]
- David Ralston, Speaker of the Georgia House of Representatives[31]
- Austin Scott, U.S. Representative[20]
- Eric Tanenblatt, chief of staff to former governor Sonny Perdue[22]
- Ross Tolleson, state senator[32]
- Allen West, former U.S. Representative from FL-22[33]
- Lynn Westmoreland, U.S. Representative[34]
- Rob Woodall, U.S. Representative[20]
Endorsements
Polling
- ^ Internal poll for Karen Handel campaign
- * Internal poll for Jack Kingston campaign
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Saxby Chambliss |
Paul Broun |
Herman Cain |
Erick Erickson |
Karen Handel |
Tom Price |
Allen West |
Шаблон:Nowrap conservative |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 389 | ±5% | 23% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 36% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 8% | — | 5% | 10% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% | 14% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29% | ||||
| 36% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13% | ||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% | — | — | 22% | — | — | — | — | — | 26% | ||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | — | — | — | 23% | — | — | — | — | 26% | ||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | — | — | — | — | 22% | — | — | — | 28% | ||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | — | — | — | — | — | 26% | — | — | 28% | ||||
| 38% | — | — | — | — | — | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | — | 19% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Runoff
The runoff was held on July 22, 2014, which Perdue won with 50.9% of the vote.[35][36] Kingston was perceived as the more conservative candidate in the race, but Perdue defeated him, largely due to strong support from business-friendly voters residing in the Atlanta suburbs.[37] The runoff was noted for the large amount of advertisements run by both campaigns that focused around comparing their opponent to a baby.[38]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jack Kingston |
David Perdue |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 21–22, 2014 | 410 | ± ?% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| McLaughlin* | May 27–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 35% | 16% |
| SurveyUSA | June 3–5, 2014 | 419 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage | June 10–11, 2014 | 401 | ± 4.89% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46.1% | 35.1% | 18.9% |
| Gravis Marketing | June 11–12, 2014 | 1,140 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 38% | 14% |
| WPA Opinion Research^ | June 22–24, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 11% |
| InsiderAdvantage | July 7–9, 2014 | 1,278 | ± 2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41.9% | 41.1% | 17% |
| InsiderAdvantage | July 15–16, 2014 | 696 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 41% | 13% |
| Landmark Communications | July 16, 2014 | 1,720 | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 41% | 12% |
- ^ Internal poll for David Perdue's campaign
- * Internal poll for Jack Kingston's campaign
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Campaign
With Democratic Congressman John Barrow passing on the race, Michelle Nunn, a businesswoman and the daughter of former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn, consulted with the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, as well as with Democratic Georgian political figures such as Shirley Franklin, Roy Barnes and Andrew Young about possibly running,[39][40] Though she was little known to voters, Democrats embraced the hope that Nunn, with her executive experience as well as family name, could make their party once again competitive in-state.[39][41]
On July 22, 2013, Nunn declared herself a candidate for U.S. Senate.[42] She said: "Our opportunity is to define ourselves. I'm going to talk a lot about the deficit. Neither side of the equation is really tackling that. I think people are really tired of the mudslinging and the silliness of this."[42] If elected, Nunn would have become the 29th Georgian elected to the U.S. Senate or U.S. House with a family member who previously served in Congress, and the first since her father (who is the grandnephew of Carl Vinson).[43]
She raised $1.7 million in campaign funds during the third quarter of 2013, more than twice that of any Republican running.[44] She followed that with a $1.6 million fourth quarter[45] and a $2.4 million first quarter of 2014, again the most of anyone in the race.[46]
On May 20, 2014, Nunn won the Democratic primary for the Senate seat with 75 percent of the vote,[47] having skipped many of the debates and public forums where three other little-known candidates appeared.[48]
Candidates
- Steen Miles, former state senator, candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2006 and candidate for DeKalb County CEO in 2000 and 2008[49]
- Michelle Nunn, CEO of Points of Light and daughter of former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn[50]
- Branko Radulovacki, physician[51]
- Todd Robinson, Reserve Officers' Training Corps instructor and former U.S. Army Ranger[52]
Withdrew
- Gerald Beckum, Mayor of Oglethorpe (ran for Secretary of State)[53][54]
Declined
- Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[55]
- David I. Adelman, United States Ambassador to Singapore and former state senator[56]
- Peter Aman, former COO of Atlanta[34]
- Thurbert Baker, former Attorney General of Georgia and candidate for Governor in 2010[57]
- Roy Barnes, former governor[58]
- John Barrow, U.S. Representative from 12th Georgia District[59]
- Sanford Bishop, U.S. Representative[60]
- Jason Carter, state senator and grandson of former president and former governor Jimmy Carter (ran for governor)[61]
- Max Cleland, former U.S. Senator[58]
- Cathy Cox, president of Young Harris College, former secretary of state of Georgia and candidate for Governor in 2006[60]
- Shirley Franklin, former mayor of Atlanta[60]
- Scott Holcomb, state representative (endorsed Nunn)[57][62]
- Vernon Jones, former DeKalb County CEO and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[19]
- Jim Marshall, former U.S. Representative[63]
- Keith Mason, chief of staff to former governor Zell Miller[64][65]
- Stephen Oppenheimer, businessman, Task Force Coordinator for Clean Cities Atlanta and nominee for District 3 of the Georgia Public Service Commission in 2012[60]
- DuBose Porter, former state representative and candidate for governor in 2010[60]
- Doug Stoner, former state senator[66]
- Mark Taylor, former lieutenant governor of Georgia and nominee for Governor in 2006[60]
- Steve Thompson, state senator[67]
- Michael Thurmond, interim Superintendent of the DeKalb County School District, former Georgia Labor Commissioner and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[60]
- Kasim Reed, Mayor of Atlanta[34]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Steen Miles |
Michelle Nunn |
Branko Radulovacki |
Todd Robinson |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | May 8–12, 2014 | 549 | ± 4.2% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% | 5% | 10% | 19% |
| SurveyUSA | April 24–27, 2014 | 435 | ± 4.7% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% | 5% | 7% | 18% |
| SurveyUSA | March 16–18, 2014 | 443 | ± 4.8% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 5% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 23% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Thurbert Baker |
John Barrow |
Sanford Bishop |
Max Cleland |
Cathy Cox |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | February 11–12, 2013 | ? | ±? | 8% | 9% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 20% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 39% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Amanda Swafford, former Flowery Branch City Councilwoman[68]
General election
Campaign
Following the conclusion of the two primaries, the race was set up as being between two self-described political "outsiders" with well-known-in-state political family names, each seeking to reach moderate and independent voters.[69][70]
In July 2014, National Review, a conservative media outlet, reported on a leaked Nunn campaign memo from December 2013 which made frank recommendations on strategy for Nunn's path to victory in Georgia.[71][72][73] The leaked memo said that likely attack lines against Nunn would include that she was a "lightweight", "too liberal", and "not a 'real' Georgian".[74] The memo said that Nunn should feature images of her and her family in rural settings in order to connect with rural voters, and suggested that Nunn focus on African American clergy to raise enthusiasm for her candidacy among African American voters and that Nunn focus her efforts on Jews and Asians to raise money.[71]
First Lady Michelle Obama campaigned on behalf of Nunn, as part of an effort to increase African-American voter turnout in midterm elections.[75][76]
Nunn's stump speech emphasized an appeal to bipartisanship.[77] She received support and donations from former Republican senators Richard Lugar and John Warner, both of whom were close to her father,[78] and support from former Georgia Senator and Governor Zell Miller, a Democrat who had endorsed Republicans over the previous decade.[79] Nunn's campaign commercials used photographs of herself and President George H. W. Bush, who founded Points of Light, together in campaign commercials and she mentioned him often on the campaign trail.[80] However, in June 2014, Bush sent out a fundraising letter that, while not mentioning her by name, called on Republican donors to support the Republican nominee,[80] and in September 2014, Bush endorsed Perdue.[81] In October 2014, Bush emphatically objected to Nunn continuing to use a photograph of him in her campaign, saying that such actions were disrespectful.[82] Points of Light chair Neil Bush neither endorsed nor opposed her candidacy,[83] but did label as "shameful" an advertisement approved by Perdue that used a past episode to say that Points of Light "gave money to organizations linked to terrorists."[84]
As the campaign moved on, Nunn made her father a focal point, staging joint appearances with him at military bases and saying that she would emulate his bipartisan approach to legislating.[85] She has also said that she would seek a seat on the Senate Armed Services Committee that he once chaired.[85]
Perdue stated that he entered politics out of concern for the rising national debt. He supported repeal and replacement of the Affordable Care Act.[86] He also supported a constitutional balanced budget amendment and comprehensive tax reform.[87] In addition, he pledged to limit himself to two terms in the Senate, if elected.[88]
Perdue touted his business experience, particularly his experience at Dollar General, saying, "We added about 2,200 stores, created almost 20,000 jobs and doubled the value of that company in a very short period of time. Not because of me, but because we listened to our customers and employees." He received the endorsement of the National Federation of Independent Business.[89] But he was hurt during the campaign by revelations that he had in the past been an enthusiastic supporter of outsourcing.[3] Nunn targeted past pre-political statements of Perdue where he had said he was "proud of" his outsourcing efforts, and for the job losses that followed the final closure of Pillowtex.[89][90]
Policy positions
Perdue supported repeal and replacement of the Affordable Care Act.[86] He supported a constitutional balanced budget amendment and comprehensive tax reform.[87] He pledged to limit himself to two terms in the Senate, if elected.[88]
Nunn supported abortion rights.[91] Nunn believed that members of Congress should be forced to pass a budget each year, or forfeit their pay.[92] Nunn supported expanding federally mandated background checks to include all local sales to prevent the possibility that mentally ill persons would be able to buy a firearm.[93] Nunn said that going forward, some aspects of the Affordable Care Act should be fixed rather than the whole law being eliminated.[42][94] She criticized Georgia's refusal to accept Medicaid expansion under the act.[42] Following the start-up problems with the associated HealthCare.gov website, Nunn broke with the Obama administration and said that the individual mandate portion of the law should be delayed.[95] Nunn supported the 2013 Senate immigration plan that would have allowed illegal immigrants to stay in the United States while waiting for American citizenship.[93] Nunn favored construction of the Keystone XL Pipeline.[92] She opposed the Obama administration's proposed cuts to defense spending.[85] On the topic of same-sex marriage, Nunn said she personally favored it, but that the decision should be made on a state-by-state basis.[42]
Debates
Perdue and Nunn held debates on August 21,[96] October 7, October 26,[97] and November 2.[98]
- Complete video of debate, August 21, 2014
- Complete video of debate , October 7, 2014
- Complete video of debate, October 26, 2014
- Complete video of debate, November 2, 2014
Fundraising
David Perdue has funded more than $1.9 million of his campaign personally; the second-largest total of any Senate candidate.[99] A total of $23,355,844 was raised by the candidates for this race, of which a total of $22,917,058 was spent by the campaigns.
| Candidate | Contributions | Expenditures | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Michelle Nunn (D) | $13,035,397 | $13,064,094 | $1,105,870 | $2,768 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | David Perdue (R) | $10,719,297 | $11,069,317 | $669,343 | $150,000 |
Spending
This Senate race, as many others across the United States, was heavily influenced by outside PACs and organizations who supported various candidates.[100] The U.S. Chamber of Commerce alone was expected to spend almost $50 million on elections in 2014.[100] More than $4.6 million had been spent on advertising in the race by outside groups by May 2014.[100]
| Organization/Candidate | Supporting | Amount | Media | Goal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | United States Chamber of Commerce | Jack Kingston (R) | $920,000[100] | TV and online ads | Support Jack Kingston (R) |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Citizens for a Working America PAC | David Perdue (R) | $1,000,000[100] | TV | Attack Jack Kingston (R) |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Citizens for a Working America PAC | David Perdue (R) | $515,000[100] | TV | Support David Perdue (R) |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Ending Spending Action Fund | N/A | $1,750,000[100] | TV | Attack Phil Gingrey (R) |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Ending Spending Action Fund | N/A | $334,000[100] | TV | Attack Michelle Nunn (D) |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Nunn for Senate, Inc. | Michelle Nunn (D) | $55,000[101] | TV | Support Michelle Nunn (D) |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[102] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[103] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[104] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[105] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | David Perdue (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Amanda Swafford (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–4, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 40% | 40% | — | — | 21% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | March 31, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 37.5% | 33% | — | — | 29.5% |
| NBC News/Marist | April 30 – May 5, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 41% | — | 1% | 13% |
| Saint Leo | May 5–6, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 37% | — | 6% | 15% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | May 5–8, 2014 | 1,012 | ± 4% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | — | — | 8% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | May 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | — | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 21–22, 2014 | 803 | ± ?% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | — | — | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 21–22, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | — | 7% | 6% |
| SurveyUSA | June 3–5, 2014 | 999 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 38% | 6% | — | 14% |
| Landmark Communications | July 16, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | — | — | 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 2,541 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 42% | — | 3% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 23–24, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 40% | — | 4% | 10% |
| Landmark Communications | July 25, 2014 | 750 | ± 3.8% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46.6% | 3.8% | — | 6.6% |
| Vox Populi Polling | July 27–28, 2014 | 624 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 40% | 1% | — | 10% |
| Hicks Evaluation Group | August 8–10, 2014 | 788 | ± 3.48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47.6% | 41.5% | — | — | 10.9% |
| InsiderAdvantage | August 12–13, 2014 | 719 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 40% | 8% | — | 5% |
| SurveyUSA | August 14–17, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 41% | 3% | — | 6% |
| Landmark Communications | August 20–21, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 3% | — | 10% |
| GaPundit.com | August 24–25, 2014 | 1,578 | ± 2.47% | 43.09% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44.74% | 7.41% | — | 4.75% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,900 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 41% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
| SurveyUSAШаблон:Dead link | September 5–8, 2014 | 558 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 44% | 5% | — | 4% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | September 8–11, 2014 | 884 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 41% | — | 6% | 8% |
| Landmark Communications | September 9–11, 2014 | 1,109 | ± 2.9% | 43.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 6.4% | — | 4.2% |
| Insider Advantage | September 10–11, 2014 | 1,167 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50.1% | 39.8% | 5% | — | 5.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 15–16, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 41% | — | 4% | 9% |
| SurveyUSAШаблон:Dead link | September 19–22, 2014 | 550 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 45% | 4% | — | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,851 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 43% | 2% | 0% | 9% |
| Greenberg Quinlan RosnerШаблон:Dead link | September 25 – October 1, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 2.09% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 41% | — | 14% | |
| Insider Advantage | September 29 – October 1, 2014 | 947 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 42.6% | 3.6% | — | 6.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30 – October 1, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 42% | — | 4% | 9% |
| Hickman Analytics | September 26 – October 5, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 41% | 39% | 6% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 2–5, 2014 | 895 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 43% | 5% | — | 8% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 45% | — | — | 6% | ||||
| SurveyUSA | October 2–6, 2014 | 566 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 45% | 3% | — | 6% |
| Landmark Communications | October 7–9, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 46% | 4% | — | 4% |
| SurveyUSA | October 10–13, 2014 | 563 | ± 4.2% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 3% | — | 4% |
| GaPundit.com | October 13–14, 2014 | 1,543 | ± 2.49% | 44.72% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45.69% | 6.03% | — | 3.56% |
| SurveyUSA | October 17–20, 2014 | 606 | ± 4.1% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 4% | — | 7% |
| Landmark Communications | October 20–21, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 2.75% | 47.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47.4% | 3.3% | — | 2% |
| CNN/ORC International | October 19–22, 2014 | 565 | ± 4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 5% | — | 4% |
| Insider Advantage | October 21–22, 2014 | 704 | ± 3.7% | 44.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47.3% | 4.1% | — | 3.7% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,170 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 42% | 6% | — | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,774 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 44% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2014 | 771 | ± ?% | 47% | 47% | 3% | — | 4% |
| SurveyUSA | October 24–27, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 45% | 3% | — | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 25–27, 2014 | 977 | ± 3% | 46% | 46% | — | 3% | 5% |
| Monmouth | October 26–28, 2014 | 436 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 41% | 3% | — | 7% |
| Vox Populi Polling | October 28, 2014 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 43% | 3% | — | 6% |
| Landmark CommunicationsШаблон:Dead link | October 29, 2014 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47.4% | 46.6% | 2.7% | — | 3.3% |
| NBC News/Marist | October 26–30, 2014 | 603 LV | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 875 RV | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 7% | ||
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,743 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2014 | 533 | ± ? | 46% | 46% | 4% | — | 4% |
| Perkins | October 28 – November 2, 2014 | ? | ? | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 40% | 3% | — | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | October 30 – November 2, 2014 | 591 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 44% | 5% | — | 4% |
| Insider Advantage | November 2, 2014 | 1,463 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 45% | 3% | — | 4% |
| Landmark Communications | November 2, 2014 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49.8% | 45.6% | 2.4% | — | 2.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 975 | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% | 45% | 5% | — | 5% |
| 48% | 48% | — | — | 5% | ||||
- With Broun
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Paul Broun (R) |
John Barrow (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | February 11–12, 2013 | 939 | ± 3.2% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 19% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 64% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 38% | 38% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Paul Broun (R) |
Jason Carter (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Paul Broun (R) |
Max Cleland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | February 11–12, 2013 | 939 | ± 3.2% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% | — | 36% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Paul Broun (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–4, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–26, 2014 | 640 | ± ?% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | — | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 5–6, 2014 | 580 | ± ?% | 38% | 38% | — | 24% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | March 31, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 38.5% | 38.2% | — | 23.3% |
| NBC News/Marist | April 30 – May 5, 2014 | 1,131 | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 42% | 1% | 14% |
| Saint Leo | May 5–6, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 5% | 15% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | May 5–8, 2014 | 1,012 | ± 4% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | — | 11% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | May 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | — | 14% |
- With Chambliss
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Saxby Chambliss (R) |
Roy Barnes (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 40% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Saxby Chambliss (R) |
John Barrow (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 37% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Saxby Chambliss (R) |
Jason Carter (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | 34% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Saxby Chambliss (R) |
Max Cleland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Saxby Chambliss (R) |
Kasim Reed (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | 37% | — | 11% |
- With Gingrey
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Phil Gingrey (R) |
John Barrow (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Phil Gingrey (R) |
Jason Carter (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 41% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Phil Gingrey (R) |
Max Cleland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Phil Gingrey (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–4, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 41% | 41% | — | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–26, 2014 | 640 | ± ?% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 5–6, 2014 | 580 | ± ?% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | — | 18% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | March 31, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40.5% | 37.6% | — | 21.9% |
| NBC News/Marist | April 30 – May 5, 2014 | 1,131 | ± 2.9% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 1% | 13% |
| Saint Leo | May 5–6, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 7% | 14% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | May 5–8, 2014 | 1,012 | ± 4% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | — | 10% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | May 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | — | 16% |
- With Grayson
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Derrick Grayson (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–4, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | — | 22% |
- With Handel
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Karen Handel (R) |
John Barrow (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Karen Handel (R) |
Jason Carter (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 40% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Karen Handel (R) |
Max Cleland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | — | 12% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Karen Handel (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–4, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–26, 2014 | 640 | ± ?% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 5–6, 2014 | 580 | ± ?% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | — | 18% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | March 31, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 38.1% | — | 24.9% |
| NBC News/Marist | April 30 – May 5, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 1% | 18% |
| Saint Leo | May 5–6, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% | 7% | 15% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | May 5–8, 2014 | 1,012 | ± 4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | — | 10% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | May 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | — | 12% |
- With Kingston
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jack Kingston (R) |
John Barrow (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | February 11–12, 2013 | 939 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 19% | 17% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 64% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 40% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jack Kingston (R) |
Jason Carter (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 39% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jack Kingston (R) |
Max Cleland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | February 11–12, 2013 | 939 | ± 3.2% | 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% | — | 35% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Jack Kingston (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–4, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 40% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–26, 2014 | 640 | ± ?% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 5–6, 2014 | 580 | ± ?% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | — | 15% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | March 31, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 37.7% | 37% | — | 25.3% |
| NBC News/Marist | April 30 – May 5, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 43% | 43% | 1% | 13% |
| Saint Leo | May 5–6, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 39% | 7% | 15% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | May 5–8, 2014 | 1,012 | ± 4% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | — | 10% |
| Landmark/Rosetta Stone | May 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 21–22, 2014 | 803 | ± ?% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 21–22, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 3% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | June 3–5, 2014 | 999 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 37% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| Landmark Communications | July 16, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | — | 10% |
- With Price
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Tom Price (R) |
Roy Barnes (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Tom Price (R) |
John Barrow (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40% | 38% | — | 21% |
| Harper Polling | February 11–12, 2013 | 939 | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 23% | 18% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 59% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 42% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Tom Price (R) |
Jason Carter (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 36% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% | 39% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Tom Price (R) |
Max Cleland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | — | 14% |
| Harper Polling | February 11–12, 2013 | 939 | ± 3.2% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | — | 32% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 15–18, 2013 | 602 | ± 4% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | — | 12% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Tom Price (R) |
Kasim Reed (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 30 – December 2, 2012 | 729 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% | 38% | — | 18% |
- With Yu
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Eugene Yu (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–4, 2013 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | David Perdue (R) |
Michelle Nunn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/ORC International | October 19–22, 2014 | 565 | ± 4% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | — | 2% |
| NBC News/Marist | October 26–30, 2014 | 603 LV | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 46% | 1% | 4% |
| 875 RV | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 45% | 1% | 6% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Douglas (largest town: Douglasville)
- Newton (largest town: Covington)
- Rockdale (largest town: Conyers)
- Dooly (largest city: Vienna)
- Henry (largest city: Stockbridge)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Chattahoochee (largest town: Cusseta)
- Early (largest city: Blakely)
- Quitman (largest city: Georgetown)
- Wilkinson (largest municipality: Gordon)
See also
- 2014 United States Senate elections
- 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia
- 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election
- 2014 United States elections
Notes
References
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Шаблон:Curlie
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- David Perdue for U.S. Senate Republican primary
- Michelle Nunn for U.S. Senate Democratic primary
Шаблон:2014 United States elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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<ref>; для сносокCamiaне указан текст - ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Hot Races 2014: Biggest GOP Spending Groups Shying Away, So Far, from Georgia | OpenSecrets Blog
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