Английская Википедия:2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary
Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Alabama sidebar The 2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary took place on March 1, 2016. This was the fifth primary held in the 2016 Republican primary. Donald Trump won the primary handily. The election was also held on Super Tuesday. Trump eventually won the Republican primary. He was elected President of the United States on November 8, 2016, against Hillary Clinton.
Ahead of the primary, Alabama was considered one of Donald Trump's strongest states.[1] Trump enjoyed the endorsement of Senator Jeff Sessions,[2] who would later join his Department of Justice as Attorney General. Sessions was Trump's first endorsement in the U.S. Senate.
Candidates
Endorsements
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation |
Dates
administered |
Dates
updated |
Marco Rubio Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Ted Cruz Шаблон:Nobold |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolitics | until March 1, 2016 | March 1, 2016 | 20.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |38.0% | 14.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:HsTrump +17.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until March 1, 2016 | March 1, 2016 | 20.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |43.4% | 17.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Шаблон:HsTrump +23.0 |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary results | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump43.42% | Ted Cruz21.09% | Marco Rubio18.66% | Ben Carson 10.24%, John Kasich 4.43%, Jeb Bush 0.46%, Mike Huckabee 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Chris Christie 0.10%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Carly Fiorina 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.03% |
SurveyMonkey[3]
Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 741 |
February 22–29, 2016 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 47% |
Ted Cruz
18% |
Marco Rubio
14% |
Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 9% |
Monmouth University[4]
Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 450 |
February 25–28, 2016 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 42% |
Marco Rubio
19% |
Ted Cruz
16% |
Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 7% |
Opinion Savvy[5]
Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 460 |
February 25–26, 2016 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 35.8% |
Marco Rubio
23.0% |
Ted Cruz
16.2% |
Ben Carson 10.5%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 7.0% |
AL.com[6]
Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 500 |
December 10–13, 2015 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 35% |
Ted Cruz
15% |
Marco Rubio
12% |
Ben Carson 12%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Lindsey Graham <1% |
Gravis Marketing
Margin of error: ± 2% Sample size: 1616 |
September 3, 2015 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 38% |
Ben Carson
16.7% |
Jeb Bush
4.9% |
Ted Cruz 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Rand Paul 1.5%, John Kasich 1.3%, Scott Walker 1.1%, Chris Christie 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, unsure 23.2% |
News-5/Strategy Research
Margin of error: ± 2% Sample size: 3500 |
August 11, 2015 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 30% |
Jeb Bush
15% |
Ben Carson
11% |
Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 7.5%, Scott Walker 3%, Other 5% |
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 481 |
August 2–3, 2015 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Donald Trump 37.6% |
Ben Carson
14.6% |
Jeb Bush
11.8% |
Mike Huckabee 7.9%, Ted Cruz 4.5%, Scott Walker 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Marco Rubio 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Bobby Jindal 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1.2%, Rick Perry 1.0%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%, George Pataki 0.0%, Someone else 1.9%, Undecided 3.1% |
Cygnal
Margin of error: ± 3.42% Sample size: 821 |
July 7–8, 2014 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Jeb Bush 19.8% |
Ben Carson
12.6% |
Rand Paul
10.5% |
Chris Christie 8.8%, Rick Perry 7.2%, Ted Cruz 5.6%, Rick Santorum 5.3%, Bobby Jindal 3.9%, Scott Walker 3.6%, Undecided 22.6% |
Results
Results by county
County | Trump | Cruz | Rubio | Carson | Kasich | Uncommitted | Bush | Huckabee | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Autauga | 44.57% | 20.48% | 14.75% | 14.57% | 3.48% | 1.01% | 0.47% | 0.26% | 0.40% |
Baldwin | 46.87% | 17.02% | 19.26% | 8.39% | 5.93% | 1.38% | 0.45% | N/A | 0.70% |
Barbour | 50.16% | 17.77% | 14.62% | 12.26% | 3.6% | 0.61% | 0.3% | 0.26% | 0.41% |
Bibb | 49.46% | 25.45% | 11.18% | 9.89% | 2.11% | 0.76% | 0.43% | 0.38% | 0.35% |
Blount | 48.75% | 24.39% | 12.15% | 10.05% | 2.22% | 1.12% | 0.37% | 0.51% | 0.42% |
Bullock | 56.50% | 16.97% | 11.55% | 8.48% | 4.15% | 0.54% | 1.26% | 0.18% | 0.36% |
Butler | 53.78% | 16.68% | 13.37% | 11.77% | 2.69% | 0.53% | 0.66% | N/A | 0.53% |
Calhoun | 45.06% | 19.43% | 16.32% | 11.83% | 4.78% | 1.04% | 0.64% | 0.36% | 0.53% |
Chambers | 47.52% | 20.11% | 13.04% | 13.07% | 3.68% | 0.96% | 0.79% | 0.26% | 0.57% |
Cherokee | 52.10% | 17.23% | 15.19% | 10.01% | 2.83% | 1.29% | 0.37% | 0.54% | 0.43% |
Chilton | 49.43% | 21.78% | 13.44% | 10.75% | 2.04% | 1.10% | 0.59% | 0.48% | 0.38% |
Choctaw | 49.93% | 21.05% | 14.70% | 7.89% | 3.17% | 1.26% | 0.93% | 0.51% | 0.56% |
Clarke | 50.22% | 19.28% | 17.48% | 8.92% | 2.71% | 0.41% | 0.33% | 0.39% | 0.26% |
Clay | 47.48% | 20.89% | 12.49% | 12.25% | 3.09% | 1.60% | 1.06% | 0.52% | 0.62% |
Cleburne | 48.30% | 21.13% | 13.62% | 9.95% | 2.41% | 1.64% | 1.55% | 0.57% | 0.82% |
Coffee | 41.40% | 23.37% | 15.52% | 13.16% | 3.4% | 1.32% | 0.66% | 0.38% | 0.64% |
Colbert | 47.45% | 19.62% | 17.68% | 10.89% | 3.05% | 0.54% | N/A | N/A | 0.77% |
Conecuh | 59.02% | 15.96% | 10.82% | 10.51% | 1.30% | 0.84% | 0.61% | 0.46% | 0.46% |
Coosa | 55.32% | 19.56% | 10.81% | 9.02% | 2.96% | 0.99% | 0.45% | 0.27% | 0.63% |
Covington | 48.14% | 18.51% | 13.33% | 13.33% | 3.37% | 1.56% | 0.81% | 0.43% | 0.51% |
Crenshaw | 54.50% | 21.93% | 9.11% | 10.42% | 2.55% | 0.51% | 0.44% | N/A | 0.55% |
Cullman | 50.65% | 20.25% | 13.49% | 10.96% | 2.66% | 0.80 | 0.37% | 0.31% | 0.51% |
Dale | 45.28% | 21.90% | 13.02% | 12.54% | 3.63% | 1.76% | 0.61% | 0.61% | 0.66% |
Dallas | 59.70% | 20.66% | 8.68% | 5.25% | 2.63% | 1.48% | 0.91% | 0.57% | 0.11% |
DeKalb | 47.59% | 16.39% | 21.60% | 9.79% | 2.47% | 1.01% | 0.39% | 0.39% | 0.37% |
Elmore | 47.49% | 18.35% | 13.43% | 14.90% | 3.58% | 0.91% | 0.54% | 0.29% | 0.51% |
Escambia | 49.33% | 18.00% | 17.14% | 10.24% | 3.40% | 0.56% | 0.49% | 0.37% | 0.47% |
Etowah | 46.09% | 20.75% | 16.79% | 11.19% | 3.27% | 0.74% | 0.41% | 0.28% | 0.49% |
Fayette | 49.86% | 20.97% | 13.35% | 9.81% | 2.49% | 1.77% | 0.50% | 0.88% | 0.36% |
Franklin | 51.47% | 21.29% | 13.42% | 9.26% | 2.55% | 0.72% | 0.33% | 0.48% | 0.48% |
Geneva | 48.62% | 23.73% | 12.99% | 9.26% | 2.30% | 1.31% | 0.66% | 0.55% | 0.59% |
Greene | 53.85% | 21.61% | 12.09% | 6.96% | 3.66% | N/A | 0.73% | 0.37% | 0.74% |
Hale | 52.07% | 24.98% | 11.74% | 7.77% | 2.12% | 0.53% | N/A | 0.26% | 0.53% |
Henry | 46.79% | 22.28% | 14.36% | 11.47% | 2.81% | 1.05% | 0.55% | 0.29% | 0.39% |
Houston | 40.39% | 22.56% | 18.19% | 11.43% | 4.13% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.44% | 0.53% |
Jackson | 49.89% | 16.37% | 16.90% | 10.82% | 2.83% | 2.00% | 0.37% | 0.44% | 0.40% |
Jefferson | 35.02% | 23.82% | 24.67% | 8.92% | 6.09% | 0.55% | 0.36% | N/A | 0.58% |
Lamar | 50.43% | 19.26% | 12.97% | 9.57% | 2.87% | 2.25% | 0.78% | 1.03% | 0.83% |
Lauderdale | 42.14% | 18.36% | 18.69% | 12.05% | 5.52% | 1.66% | 0.36% | 0.53% | 0.69% |
Lawrence | 52.89% | 17.53% | 13.53% | 10.74% | 2.87% | 0.93% | 0.55% | 0.41% | 0.55% |
Lee | 32.96% | 23.17% | 22.50% | 11.72% | 7.11% | 0.98% | 0.61% | 0.35% | 0.59% |
Limestone | 43.03% | 21.39% | 18.85% | 10.87% | 3.90% | 0.89% | 0.37% | N/A | 0.70% |
Lowndes | 59.52% | 16.31% | 9.88% | 10.48% | 3.10% | 0.36% | N/A | N/A | 0.36% |
Macon | 47.91% | 19.78% | 12.38% | 12.79% | 5.25% | 0.67% | 0.54% | 0.54% | 0.13% |
Madison | 36.18% | 20.69% | 26.03% | 9.58% | 5.94% | 0.59% | 0.31% | N/A | 0.69% |
Marengo | 53.95% | 21.17% | 11.79% | 7.89% | 2.41% | 1.21% | 0.93% | 0.28% | 0.37% |
Marion | 52.92% | 19.15% | 13.91% | 8.89% | 2.52% | 0.77% | 0.56% | 0.60% | 0.68% |
Marshall | 49.51% | 15.12% | 20.56% | 9.86% | 3.23% | 0.69% | 0.30% | 0.29% | 0.44% |
Mobile | 45.22% | 21.41% | 18.93% | 7.71% | 4.59% | 0.93% | 0.49% | N/A | 0.73% |
Monroe | 52.06% | 17.42% | 15.78% | 9.87% | 2.86% | 0.50% | 0.53% | 0.53% | 0.45% |
Montgomery | 39.42% | 17.59% | 20.85% | 12.65% | 7.30% | 0.83% | 0.64% | N/A | 0.73% |
Morgan | 44.59% | 19.73% | 18.31% | 11.40% | 4.53% | 0.50% | 0.25% | 0.27% | 0.42% |
Perry | 51.73% | 32.80% | 8.80% | 4.00% | 0.53% | 1.33% | 0.53% | 0.27% | N/A |
Pickens | 44.0.5% | 25.74% | 13.81% | 11.31% | 2.54% | 0.63% | 0.70% | 0.98% | 0.23% |
Pike | 46.02% | 20.15% | 14.79% | 12.81% | 3.16% | 1.23% | 0.79% | 0.40% | 0.66% |
Randolph | 51.59% | 20.65% | 12.83% | 9.36% | 2.92% | 0.94% | 0.77% | 0.55% | 0.39% |
Russell | 47.45% | 27.03% | 12.31% | 7.92% | 2.82% | 1.04% | 0.53% | N/A | 0.90% |
St. Clair | 44.60% | 26.88% | 13.42% | 10.86% | 2.69% | 0.53% | 0.41% | N/A | 0.61% |
Shelby | 34.35% | 26.37% | 22.95% | 9.42% | 5.03% | 0.83% | 0.37% | N/A | 0.67% |
Sumter | 59.36% | 15.90% | 13.78% | 7.42% | 1.41% | 0.35% | 1.41% | 0.35% | N/A |
Talladega | 51.05% | 19.98% | 13.56% | 9.54% | 3.80% | 0.71% | 0.59% | 0.35% | 0.40% |
Tallapoosa | 52.78% | 15.01% | 14.60% | 11.40% | 4.20% | 0.53% | 0.62% | 0.27% | 0.58% |
Tuscaloosa | 37.46% | 25.05% | 20.37% | 10.64% | 4.44% | 0.88% | 0.41% | 0.29% | 0.44% |
Walker | 55.11% | 20.37% | 10.84% | 8.97% | 2.37% | 1.17% | 0.46% | 0.32% | 0.40% |
Washington | 53.78% | 21.82% | 15.31% | 6.43% | 1.14% | 0.85% | N/A | N/A | 0.68% |
Wilcox | 54.36% | 21.59% | 12.12% | 8.33% | 2.27% | N/A | 0.57% | 0.38% | 0.38% |
Winston | 56.12% | 18.01% | 11.85% | 9.02% | 2.73% | 0.90% | 0.45% | 0.37% | 0.54% |
TOTAL | 43.42% | 21.09% | 18.66% | 10.24% | 4.43% | 0.92% | 0.46% | 0.30% | 0.48% |
Source |
By congressional district
Trump won all 7 congressional districts.[7]
District | Trump | Cruz | Rubio |
---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Ushr | 46% | 19% | 19% |
Шаблон:Ushr | 46% | 21% | 15% |
Шаблон:Ushr | 44% | 21% | 16% |
Шаблон:Ushr | 49% | 19% | 16% |
Шаблон:Ushr | 40% | 20% | 22% |
Шаблон:Ushr | 37% | 25% | 22% |
Шаблон:Ushr | 43% | 23% | 18% |
Analysis
According to Pew Research, Alabama's Republican electorate has the second-highest proportion of white Evangelicals of any Super Tuesday state, at 63% of Republican voters.[8]
Donald Trump won the Alabama primary in a landslide due to support from Evangelical primary voters. Trump carried 43% of Evangelicals compared to 22% for Ted Cruz, according to exit polls by Edison Research.[9] Many pundits were perplexed by Trump's dominance among culturally conservative Southern whites who were expected to view him as immoral, but he benefitted from voters' racial, cultural, and economic angst that mattered more than shared values.[10]
References
Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:2016 Republican Primaries
- Английская Википедия
- 2016 United States Republican presidential primaries by state
- 2016 Alabama elections
- Alabama Republican primaries
- March 2016 events in the United States
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
- Статья из Википедии
- Статья из Английской Википедии