Английская Википедия:2016 United States Senate election in Nevada
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election
The 2016 United States Senate election in Nevada was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The state primary election was held June 14, 2016.[1]
Incumbent Democratic Senator Harry Reid, the Senate Minority Leader and former Senate Majority Leader, initially said he would seek re-election to a sixth term, but announced on March 26, 2015, that he would retire instead.[2][3] Democratic former State Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto defeated Republican U.S. Representative Joe Heck in the general election on November 8, 2016. Heck won sixteen of the state's seventeen counties; however, since Cortez Masto won Clark County, which comprises nearly three-quarters of the state's population, she defeated Heck statewide by almost 27,000 votes, and became the first female and first Latina senator in Nevada's history. As of 2023, this would be the last time Washoe County voted for a Republican Senate candidate. Reid died aged 82 on December 28, 2021, less than five years after his retirement.[4]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Catherine Cortez Masto, former Nevada Attorney General[5]
- Bobby Mahendra[6]
- Liddo Susan O'Briant, instructional assistant[6]
- Allen Rheinhart, Black Lives Matter activist and candidate for governor in 2014[6]
Withdrew
- Harry Reid, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Declined
- Shelley Berkley, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[7][8][9]
- Lucy Flores, former state assemblywoman and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 (lost primary for NV-04)[10][11]
- Steven Horsford, former U.S. Representative[8]
- John Lee, Mayor of North Las Vegas, former state senator and candidate for NV-04 in 2012[8]
- Kate Marshall, former state treasurer of Nevada, nominee for Nevada's 2nd congressional district in 2011 and nominee for Secretary of State of Nevada in 2014[10][12]
- Ross Miller, former secretary of state of Nevada and nominee for Nevada Attorney General in 2014[13]
- Rory Reid, former Clark County Commissioner, nominee for governor in 2010 and son of U.S. Senator Harry Reid[8][9]
- Steve Sisolak, chairman of the Clark County Commission[9]
- Dina Titus, U.S. Representative and nominee for Governor of Nevada in 2006 (running for re-election)[14][15]
Democratic endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Sharron Angle, former state assemblywoman, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for NV-02 in 2006[16]
- D'Nese Davis, artist and teacher[6]
- Eddie Hamilton, retired auto executive and perennial candidate[6][17]
- Joe Heck, U.S. Representative[18]
- Thomas "Sad Tom" Heck, retired air force officer[6][19]
- Robert Leeds, author, retired Merchant Marine and perennial candidate[6]
- Carlo "Mazunga" Poliak, retired sanitation worker and perennial candidate[6]
- Juston Preble, sales consultant[6]
- Bill Tarbell, retired minister and candidate for governor in 2014[6]
Withdrawn
- Bob Beers, Las Vegas City Councilman, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2006[20][21]
Declined
- Mark Amodei, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[22][23]
- Greg Brower, state senator and former United States Attorney for the District of Nevada[24]
- Barbara Cegavske, Secretary of State of Nevada, former state senator and candidate for NV-04 in 2012[24]
- Heidi Gansert, former state assemblywoman and former chief of staff to Governor Brian Sandoval[25][26]
- Cresent Hardy, U.S. Representative (lost re-election to NV-04)[27]
- Steve Hill, executive director of the Nevada Governor's Office of Economic Development[7]
- Mark Hutchison, Lieutenant Governor of Nevada and former state senator[22][28][29]
- Ron Knecht, Nevada State Controller, former regent of the University of Nevada, Reno and former state assemblyman[24]
- Brian Krolicki, former lieutenant governor of Nevada[30]
- Adam Laxalt, Nevada Attorney General[24]
- Michael Roberson, Majority Leader of the Nevada Senate (running for NV-03)[28][31]
- Wayne Allyn Root, former member of the Libertarian National Committee and Libertarian Party nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[32][33]
- Brian Sandoval, Governor of Nevada[34][35]
- Dan Schwartz, state treasurer and candidate for NV-04 in 2012[24]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Heck |
Sharron Angle |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | March 28–30, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 67% | 11% | 3% | 17% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Independent American primary
Candidates
Declared
- Tom Jones, retired businessman and perennial candidate[36]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declined
- Dennis Hof, owner of the Moonlite Bunny Ranch (running for the State Senate)[37][38]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Tony Gumina, physician and businessman[6]
- Tom Sawyer, retired railroad worker[6]
- G.A. Villa[6] (not on final ballot)[39]
- Jarrod M. Williams, veteran[6][40]
General election
Debates
Dates | Location | Cortez Masto | Heck | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 14, 2016 | North Las Vegas, Nevada | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[41] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report[43] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos[44] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[45] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Шаблон:Nowrap | Joe Heck (R) |
Шаблон:Nowrap Candidates |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% | 45% | — | — | 5% |
Gravis Marketing | November 3–6, 2016 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% | 43% | — | — | 8% |
SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 1,124 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
Emerson College | November 4–5, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% | 47% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 1,016 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 937 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 48% | 47% | — | — | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2016 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% | 44% | — | — | 9% |
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 7% |
The Times Picayune/Lucid | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 47% | 41% | — | — | 13% |
CNN/ORC | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 790 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49% | — | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
860 (RV) | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 48% | — | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 1% | |||
SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 994 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | — | — | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | — | — | 6% |
Emerson College | October 26–27, 2016 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
Gravis Marketing (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 25, 2016 | 875 (RV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% | 44% | — | — | 6% |
Marist College | October 20–24, 2016 | 707 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 49% | – | 4% | 5% |
985 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | – | 4% | 6% | ||
Bendixen & Amandi InternationalШаблон:Efn-ua | October 20–23, 2016 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% | 44% | – | 2% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 20–22, 2016 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43% | 41% | – | 7%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
Monmouth University | October 14–17, 2016 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45% | 5% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
CNN/ORC | October 10–15, 2016 | 698 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52% | 45% | — | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
862 (RV) | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50% | 44% | — | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 2% | |||
CBS News/YouGov | October 12–14, 2016 | 996 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 39% | – | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 18% |
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 10–13, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 40% | 35% | 4% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 16% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 11–12, 2016 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47% | 2% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 5% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 10–11, 2016 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41% | 40% | – | 8%Шаблон:Efn | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 10–11, 2016 | 986 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 43% | 39% | — | — | 18% |
Emerson College | October 2–4, 2016 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 45% | – | 7% | 7% |
Hart Research Associates (D) | September 27 – October 2, 2016 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47% | — | — | 7% |
Bendixen & Amandi InternationalШаблон:Efn-ua | September 27–29, 2016 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47% | — | — | 8% |
Suffolk University | September 27–29, 2016 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 38% | 4% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 18% |
Fox News | September 18–20, 2016 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 43% | 5% | 7% | 8% |
805 (RV) | 34% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 41% | 8% | 7% | 10% | |||
Rasmussen Reports (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 16–18, 2016 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 44% | – | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 11% |
Insights West | September 12–14, 2016 | 398 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 43% | — | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 14% |
Monmouth University | September 11–13, 2016 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46% | 3% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
GQR Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 6–8, 2016 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 49% | 47% | — | — | 4% |
Marist College | September 6–8, 2016 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47% | – | 1% | 7% |
915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 8% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 6–7, 2016 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 42% | 41% | — | — | 16% |
Suffolk University | August 15–17, 2016 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 37% | 6% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 14% |
CBS News/YouGov | August 2–5, 2016 | 993 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 38% | — | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 23% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 29–31, 2016 | 750 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 42% | – | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 22–24, 2016 | 750 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46% | – | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 12% |
Monmouth University | July 7–10, 2016 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 6% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 7% |
GQR Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 46% | — | — | – |
Gravis Marketing | May 24–25, 2016 | 1,637 (RV) | ± 2.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45% | 43% | — | — | 12% |
Gravis Marketing | February 14–15, 2016 | 1,366 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 44% | – | — | 15% |
Gravis Marketing | December 23–27, 2015 | 909 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 47% | – | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | July 13–14, 2015 | 677 (V) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 42% | 41% | — | — | – |
- with Harry Reid
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Harry Reid (D) |
Brian Krolicki (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 21–22, 2015 | 955 | ± 3% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | — | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Harry Reid (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 21–22, 2015 | 955 | ± 3% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | — | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Harry Reid (D) |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling | July 26–29, 2014 | 602 | ± 3.99% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | — | 4% |
- with Dina Titus
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Sharron Angle (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 31% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 44% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Michael Roberson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 41% | — | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dina Titus (D) |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | — | 8% |
- with Catherine Cortez Masto
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Sharron Angle (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 14–15, 2016 | 1,366 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 33% | — | 21% |
Gravis Marketing | December 23–27, 2015 | 909 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 32% | — | 22% |
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 30% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% | 39% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Michael Roberson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 35% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) |
Brian Sandoval (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | March 27, 2015 | 850 | ± 3% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | — | 10% |
Results
Cortez Masto won her bid to succeed Harry Reid 47.10-44.67, or by 2.43%, running 0.01% better than Hillary Clinton.[46]
Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box None of These Candidates with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
By county
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
See also
- Freedom Partners Action Fund
- 2016 United States Senate elections
- 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada
- 2016 United States presidential election in Nevada
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Шаблон:2016 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 6,00 6,01 6,02 6,03 6,04 6,05 6,06 6,07 6,08 6,09 6,10 6,11 6,12 6,13 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 8,2 8,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
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- ↑ 22,0 22,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 24,0 24,1 24,2 24,3 24,4 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 28,0 28,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>
; для сносокGeneralelection
не указан текст
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