Английская Википедия:2018 Longman by-election
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A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Longman took place on Saturday 28 July 2018, following the resignation of incumbent Labor MP Susan Lamb.[1]
In early counting, within an hour of the close of polls, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's psephologist Antony Green's electoral computer had predicted Labor to retain the electorate with an increased margin.[2]
The by-election occurred on the same day as four other by-elections for the House of Representatives, colloquially known as Super Saturday.
Background
Due to the High Court ruling against Senator Katy Gallagher on 9 May 2018 as part of the ongoing parliamentary eligibility crisis, Lamb and three other MPs in the same situation announced their parliamentary resignations later that day,[1] while the Perth incumbent resigned for family reasons.[3] The Speaker announced on 24 May 2018 that he had scheduled the by-elections to occur on 28 July 2018. Popularly labelled "Super Saturday", the occurrence of five simultaneous federal by-elections is unprecedented in Australian political history.[4] The others are:
Mark Latham, Labor leader between December 2003 and January 2005, voiced a robocall authorised by Pauline Hanson, in an attempt to discourage Labor voting and instead encouraged minor party voting.[5]
The Labor party and Liberal National placed the far right anti immigration Australia First Party last on its preferences.[6][7]
Key dates
Key dates in relation to the by-election are:[8]
- Thursday, 10 May 2018 – Speaker acceptance of resignation
- Friday, 15 June 2018 – Issue of writ
- Friday, 22 June 2018 – Close of electoral rolls (8pm)
- Thursday, 5 July 2018 – Close of nominations (12 noon)
- Friday, 6 July 2018 – Declaration of nominations (12 noon)
- Tuesday, 10 July 2018 – Start of early voting
- Saturday, 28 July 2018 – Polling day (8am to 6pm)
- Friday, 10 August 2018 – Last day for receipt of postal votes
- Sunday, 23 September 2018 – Last day for return of writs
Candidates
Polling
Date | Firm | Commissioned by | Sample | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | LNP | ONP | GRN | OTH | UND | ALP | LNP | |||||
24−26 July 2018 | Newspoll | The Australian[19] | 1015 | 40% | 36% | 14% | 5% | 5% | − | 51% | 49% | |
17−19 July 2018 | ReachTEL | Courier Mail[20][21] | 578 | 35.8% | 37.9% | 13.9% | (OTH) | 4.3% | 3.9% | 49% | 51% | |
26 June 2018 | ReachTEL | Courier Mail[22][23] | 814 | 39.0% | 35.5% | 14.7% | (OTH) | 6.6% | 4.1% | 49% | 51% | |
21 June 2018 | ReachTEL | Australia Institute[24] | 727 | 39.1% | 34.9% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 50% | 50% | |
2 June 2018 | ReachTEL | Sky News[25] | >800 | 35% | 38% | (OTH) | 2% | 14% | 11% | 48% | 52% | |
10 May 2018 | ReachTEL | Australia Institute[26] | 1277 | 32.5% | 36.7% | 15.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 47% | 53% | |
2016 election | 35.4% | 39.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 11.8% | 50.8% | 49.2% |
Results
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See also
- July 2018 Australian federal by-elections
- List of Australian federal by-elections
- 2017–18 Australian parliamentary eligibility crisis
References
External links
- 2018 Longman by-election website: Australian Electoral Commission
- 2018 Longman by-election guide: Antony Green ABC
- 2018 Longman by-election guide: The Poll Bludger
- 2018 Longman by-election guide: The Tally Room
- By-elections aplenty: The Poll Bludger 10 May 2018
- Super Saturday July 28: The Poll Bludger 24 May 2018
Шаблон:Aus by-elections 45th parl Шаблон:2018 in Australia
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Dr Jackie Perkins: Facebook
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Gavin Behrens: greens.org.auШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Citation
- ↑ Longman by-election: ReachTEL poll indicates LNP will win - Courier Mail 21 July 2018
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Longman by-election: Seat slipping away from Labor's Susan Lamb - Courier Mail 27 June 2018
- ↑ Longman ReachTEL poll exclusive: Key electorate fires warning shot at Shorten - Courier Mail 27 June 2018
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Citation
- ↑ Шаблон:Citation