Английская Википедия:2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsFL The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018.[1]
The state congressional delegation changed from a 16–11 Republican majority to a slim 14–13 Republican majority, one short from a Democratic flip. These were seen as the most seats Democrats had attained in Florida since 1982. As noted in the vote table below, Florida does not count votes in uncontested races, so the votes in the four uncontested seats held by Democratic members of the House are not counted in the totals or percentages on this page, and each under counts the votes for Democrats in Florida. Шаблон:Horizontal TOC
Results summary
Statewide
Party | Candi- dates |
Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Republican | 22 | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 14 | Шаблон:Decrease2 | 51.85% |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Democratic | 27 | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 13 | Шаблон:Increase2 | 48.15% |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Independent | 6 | 38,550 | 0.55% | 0 | Шаблон:Steady | 0.00% |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | Write-in | 8 | 281 | 0.00% | 0 | Шаблон:Steady | 0.00% |
Total | 63 | 7,021,476 | 100.00% | 27 | Шаблон:Steady | 100.00% |
District
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:[2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 216,189 | 67.06% | 106,199 | 32.94% | 0 | 0.00% | 322,388 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 199,335 | 67.44% | 96,233 | 32.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,568 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 176,616 | 57.62% | 129,880 | 42.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 306,496 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 248,420 | 65.16% | 123,351 | 32.35% | 9,478 | 2.49% | 381,249 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 89,799 | 33.22% | 180,527 | 66.78% | 0 | 0.00 | 270,326 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 187,891 | 56.31% | 145,758 | 43.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 333,649 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 134,285 | 42.31% | 183,113 | 57.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,398 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 218,112 | 60.50% | 142,415 | 39.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 360,527 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 124,565 | 41.98% | 172,172 | 58.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,737 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 11 | 239,395 | 65.14% | 128,053 | 34.84% | 58 | 0.02% | 367,506 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 12 | 194,564 | 58.09% | 132,844 | 39.66% | 7,510 | 2.24% | 334,918 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 13 | 134,254 | 42.36% | 182,717 | 57.64% | 0 | 0.00% | 316,971 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 15 | 151,380 | 53.02% | 134,132 | 46.98% | 20 | 0.01% | 285,532 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 16 | 197,483 | 54.56% | 164,463 | 45.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 361,946 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 17 | 193,326 | 62.26% | 117,194 | 37.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 310,520 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 18 | 185,905 | 54.30% | 156,454 | 45.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 342,359 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 19 | 211,465 | 62.27% | 128,106 | 37.72% | 36 | 0.01% | 339,607 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 20 | 0 | 0.00% | 202,659 | 99.92% | 165 | 0.08% | 202,824 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 21 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 22 | 113,049 | 37.98% | 184,634 | 62.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,683 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 23 | 99,446 | 35.98% | 161,611 | 58.48% | 15,309 | 5.54% | 276,366 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 25 | 128,672 | 60.45% | 84,173 | 39.55% | 0 | 0.00% | 212,845 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 26 | 115,678 | 49.13% | 119,797 | 50.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 235,475 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 27 | 115,588 | 45.76% | 130,743 | 51.76% | 6,255 | 2.48% | 252,586 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
Total | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 38,831 | 0.55% | 7,021,476 | 100.00% |
District 1
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 1st district stretches along the Emerald Coast and is located in the western Panhandle anchored by Pensacola, it also includes Fort Walton Beach, Navarre, and Wright. Incumbent Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+22.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Cris Dosev, businessman
- John Mills, retired U.S. Navy pilot
Endorsements
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jennifer M. Zimmerman, pediatrician
Eliminated in primary
- Phil Ehr, U.S. Navy commander
Primary results
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General election
Results
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District 2
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 2nd district is located in the Big Bend region and is anchored by Panama City, and includes the suburbs of Tallahassee. Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Rackleff, former Leon County Commissioner[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Brandon Peters, lawyer
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brandon Peters |
Bob Rackleff |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bold Blue Campaigns (D-Peters) | August 21–23, 2018 | 407 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 36% | 17% |
Primary results
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General election
Results
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District 3
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Incumbent Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected to a third term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Judson Sapp, businessman[4]
Endorsements
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Yvonne Hayes Hinson, former Gainesville City Commissioner
Eliminated in primary
- Dushyant Gosai, educator
- Tom Wells, businessman
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 4
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 4th district is located in the First Coast region and is made up of the Jacksonville metropolitan area including Jacksonville Beach and St. Augustine. Incumbent Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Rob Ficker[5]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ges Selmont, attorney
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 5
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. Incumbent Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Alvin Brown, former mayor of Jacksonville
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alvin Brown |
Al Lawson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | August 17–19, 2018 | 402 | – | 29% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | August 11–12, 2018 | 445 | ± 4.6% | 27% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 23% |
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Virginia Fuller, nurse and perennial candidate
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 6
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 6th district is located in the Surf Coast region and includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Deltona, and Palm Coast. Incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 59% of the vote in 2016. He did not run for re-election in 2018, rather opting to run for Governor of Florida.[7] The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Waltz, former Green Beret[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Fred Costello, former state representative[9]
- John Ward, businessman[10]
Withdrawn
- Jimmy Johns, St. Johns County commissioner[11][12]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Fred Costello |
Michael Waltz |
John Ward |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 10, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 21% | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | July 18, 2018 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 38% |
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Florida's 6th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[13]
Candidates
Nominee
- Nancy Soderberg, former representative at the United Nations and former deputy national security advisor[14]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Robert Coffman, commercial pilot[17]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Stephen Sevigny |
Nancy Soderberg |
John Upchurch |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 17, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 12% | 20% |
St. Pete Polls | July 18, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46% |
Debate
Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Not invited Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||
Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | |||||
1 | Aug. 2, 2018 | The Daytona Beach News-Journal | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Michael Waltz (R) |
Nancy Soderberg (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR Research (D) | October 1–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
St. Pete Polls | September 19, 2018 | 730 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 43% | 10% |
GQR Research (D) | September 4–6, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 46% | – |
Debate
Another debate was scheduled to be held on September 25, but it was cancelled.[18][19]
Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Not invited Шаблон:Colors Invited Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||
Michael Waltz | Nancy Soderberg | |||||
1 | Oct. 2, 2018 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2018 |
Results
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District 7
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 7th district is centered around downtown Orlando and the northern Orlando suburbs such as Sanford and Winter Park. Incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Chardo Richardson, former president of the ACLU
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Miller, state representative[28]
Eliminated in primary
- Vennia Francois, policy advisor[29]
- Scott Sturgill, former Seminole County Soil & Water Conservation District Supervisor and state house candidate in 2014[30]
Declined
- Bob Cortes, state representative[31]
- Joel Greenberg, Seminole County Tax Collector[32]
- David Simmons, state senator[33]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vennia Francois |
Mike Miller |
Scott Sturgill |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 20, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 26% | 24% |
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Stephanie Murphy (D) |
Mike Miller (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 30, 2018 | 435 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 46% | 7% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
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District 8
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 8th district includes the Space Coast region and the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. Incumbent Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sanjay Patel, management consultant
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 9
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 9th district is located in inland Central Florida including Kissimmee, St. Cloud, and Winter Haven. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative[34]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Grayson |
Darren Soto |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | August 2–6, 2018 | 512 | ± 5.4% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 17% |
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Wayne Liebnitzky, engineer and nominee for this seat in 2016
General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Darren Soto (D) |
Wayne Liebnitzky (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 2–7, 2018 | 535 | ± 6.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 40% | 11% |
Results
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District 10
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. Incumbent Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Democratic primary
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
Candidates
Nominee
- Val Demings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Wade Darius, businessman
Primary results
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Republican primary
No Republicans filed.
General election
Incumbent Val Demings ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Demings was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Endorsements
Results
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District 11
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 11th district is located in Central Florida and includes the southern suburbs of Ocala and Spring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known as The Villages. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+15.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dana Cottrell, teacher
General election
Results
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District 12
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 12th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Dade City, New Port Richey, and Palm Harbor. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Hunter, former federal prosecutor
Eliminated in primary
- Stephen Perenich, tax preparer
- Robert Tager, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2016
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gus Bilirakis (R) |
Christopher Hunter (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | July 28, 2018 | 615 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 30% | 21% |
Results
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District 13
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and Saint Petersburg. Incumbent Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- George Buck, educator
Eliminated in primary
- Brad Sostack, navy veteran
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
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District 14
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 14th district is centred around the city of Tampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such as Lutz and Temple Terrace. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Castor was the only candidate in 2018, and so was unopposed in the Democratic primary and general election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
No Republicans filed.
General election
Incumbent Kathy Castor ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Castor was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Endorsements
Results
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District 15
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 15th district is located in inland Central Florida and is anchored by Lakeland. The district also includes the eastern suburbs of Tampa such as Brandon and Riverview. Incumbent Republican Dennis Ross, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2011 to 2013, was retiring.[35]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ross Spano, state representative for the 59th District
Eliminated in primary
- Neil Combee, former state representative for the 39th District
- Sean Harper, contractor
- Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive
- Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist
Withdrew
- Loretta "Leah Lax" Miller, former IDF officer[36]
- Curt Rogers
- Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative[37]
Declined
- Ben Albritton, state representative for the 56th district[37]
- Scott Franklin, Lakeland City Commissioner[38]
- Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County[37]
- Tom Lee, state senator for the 20th district, former President of the State Senate and nominee for Chief Financial Officer in 2006[37]
- Seth McKeel, former state representative for the 40th district[37][39]
- Kelli Stargel, state senator for the 22nd district[37][38]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Neil Combee |
Sean Harper |
Danny Kushmer |
Ed Shoemaker |
Ross Spano |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 24, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 30% | – | 20% |
St. Pete Polls | August 11–12, 2018 | 360 | ± 5.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 36% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 30% | – | 22% |
Strategic Government Consulting | August 7–8, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 31% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 17% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40% |
SurveyUSA | July 25–30, 2018 | 524 | ± 6.0% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 26% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
St. Pete Polls | July 8, 2018 | 532 | ± 4.2% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | 2%[40] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 37% |
St. Pete Polls | May 25–27, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 23% | 4% | 4% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 29% | 2%[40] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 34% |
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kristen Carlson, attorney
Eliminated in primary
- Andrew Learned, naval reserve officer
- Ray Pena, retired police officer
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kristen Carlson |
Andrew Learned |
Ray Peña |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | July 25–30, 2018 | 535 | ± 6.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 31% | 12% | 12% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46% |
GQR Research (D-Carlson) | June 14–17, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 25% | 14% | 10% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 45% |
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of Oct 17, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kristen Carlson (D) | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="right" |$1,306,227 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="right" |$1,065,973 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align="right" |$240,254 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ross Spano (R) | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="right" |$587,719 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="right" |$519,283 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="right" |$68,435 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[41] |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ross Spano (R) |
Kristen Carlson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | November 5, 2018 | 1,194 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 44% | – | 9% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 16–19, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.7% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% |
Remington (R) | October 17–18, 2018 | 1,369 | ± 2.64% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
GQR Research (D-Carlson) | October 16–18, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
SurveyUSA | October 9–14, 2018 | 591 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 45% | 3%[42] | 7% |
WPA Intelligence (R) | October 3–4, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
Bold Blue Campaigns (D) | September 22–27, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
GQR Research (D-Carlson) | September 4–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | – | – |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
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District 16
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 16th district is located in the Suncoast region and includes Bradenton, Sarasota, and some Tampa suburbs such as FishHawk. Incumbent Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 13th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a sixth term with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Florida's 16th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[13]
Candidates
Nominee
- David Shapiro, attorney
Eliminated in primary
- Jan Schneider, attorney
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
David Shapiro (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 4–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 42% | 5% |
University of North Florida | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 499 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 40% | 11% |
St. Pete Polls | October 1, 2018 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 43% | 6% |
ALG Research (D-Shapiro) | August 22–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 44% | – |
St. Pete Polls | July 28, 2018 | 681 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 35% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 16–17, 2018 | 655 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 37% | 14% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
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District 17
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 17th district comprises most of the Florida Heartland, including the cities of Sebring and Okeechobee, as well as parts of the Suncoast, such as North Port and Port Charlotte. Incumbent Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 2009 to 2013, retired. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
Rooney announced on February 19, 2018, that he will retire from Congress and not seek re-election in 2018.[43][44]
Candidates
Nominee
- Greg Steube, state senator for the 23rd district[45]
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Akins, veteran
- Julio Gonzalez, state representative
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Akins |
Julio Gonzalez |
Greg Steube |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence (R-CFG) | August 8–9, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 5% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 40% |
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Pollard, respiratory therapist[47]
Primary results
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General election
Campaign
The Democratic nominee April Freeman died on September 24, 2018, six weeks before the election. Allen Ellison was chosen to be the Democratic nominee.[48]
Endorsements
Results
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District 18
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 18th district is located in the Treasure Coast region and includes Stuart, Port St. Lucie, and the northern Palm Beach suburbs such as Jupiter and Palm Beach Gardens. Incumbent Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Dave Cummings, educator
- Mark Freeman, businessman
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Florida's 18th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[49]
Candidates
Nominee
- Lauren Baer, attorney and former U.S. State Department official[50]
Eliminated in primary
- Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[51]
Declined
- Dave Aronberg, Palm Beach County State Attorney and former state senator[52][50]
- Jonathan Chane, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2016[53]
- Corinna Robinson, retired Army major and nominee for South Dakota's at-large congressional district in 2014[54]
Endorsements
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 15, 2018
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Mast (R) |
Lauren Baer (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) | October 27–29, 2018 | 475 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align="center" |53% | 44% | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) | September 26–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% | 45% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–19, 2018 | 533 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 43% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Mast (R) |
Democratic challenger (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IMGE Insights (R) Шаблон:Webarchive | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
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District 19
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 19th district is located in Southwestern Florida and includes Bonita Springs, Cape Coral, and Naples. Incumbent Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Holden, financial adviser
Eliminated in primary
- Todd James Truax, healthcare administrator
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Francis Rooney (R) |
David Holden (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D-Holden) | September 10–12, 2018 | 468 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 42% | 7% |
Results
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District 20
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 20th district stretches from inland South Florida with many protected areas of the Everglades and Belle Glade to the Miami metro area and includes parts of West Palm Beach & Fort Lauderdale, and Miramar. Incumbent Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 23rd district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 80% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+31.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, healthcare executive
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 21
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 21st district is located in the Miami metro area and includes the West Palm Beach suburbs, such as Greenacres and Wellington, as well as Boynton Beach and Delray Beach. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a third term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
Incumbent Lois Frankel ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Frankel was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Endorsements
Results
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District 22
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 22nd district is located in the Miami metro area and includes Boca Raton and Parkland, the site of the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting. Also, this district includes significant portions of Fort Lauderdale and Pompano Beach. Incumbent Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 19th district from 2010 to 2013 and the 21st district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Jeff Fandl, businessman
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nicolas Kimaz, businessman
Eliminated in primary
- Javier Manjarres, blogger
- Eddison Walters, real estate investor
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 23
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 23rd district is located in the Miami metro area, including Plantation, Sunrise, and Weston. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a seventh term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Kaufman, counter-terrorism researcher, founder of Americans Against Hate, candidate for this seat 2012 and nominee in 2014 & 2016
Eliminated in primary
- Carlos Reyes, lawyer
- Carla Spalding, navy veteran, nurse and Independent candidate for the 18th district in 2016
Endorsements
Primary results
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Independents
Tim Canova, who lost in the 2016 primary to Wasserman Schultz by a 57% to 43% margin, ran as an independent in the 2018 general election.[55][56] Don Endriss also ran as an independent candidate.
General election
Endorsements
Results
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District 24
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 24th district includes parts of Miami and its northern suburbs such as North Miami Beach and Miami Gardens. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 2011 to 2013, was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+34.
Democratic primary
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
Candidates
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ricardo de la Fuente, entrepreneur
Primary results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Louis E. Sola, U.S. Army veteran[57]
General election
Both candidates were removed from the ballot which was cited for the recount in the Florida gubernatorial and United States Senate elections.[58][59]
Results
Incumbent Frederica Wilson won unopposed in the general election
Endorsements
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District 25
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 25th district includes the western Miami suburbs, such as Hialeah and Miami Lakes, and goes across the northern border of the Everglades to eastern Naples suburbs of Golden Gate and Immokalee. The district also extends upward into the Florida Heartland including Clewiston and LaBelle. Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2011 to 2013 as well as a different version of the 25th from 2003 to 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to an eighth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Florida's 25th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[49]
Candidates
Nominee
- Mary Barzee Flores, attorney and former Eleventh Judicial Circuit Court of Florida Judge[60]
Withdrawn
- Annisa Karim, Lee County Department of Parks & Recreation manager (endorsed Flores)[61]
- Alina Valdes, doctor and nominee for this seat in 2016 (endorsed Flores)[62]
Endorsements
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mario Díaz-Balart (R) |
Mary Barzee-Flores (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–19, 2018 | 541 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 36% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | May 21–23, 2018 | 670 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 39% | 15% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
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District 26
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 26th district is centered on the Miami suburb of Homestead, includes most of the Everglades National Park, and extends downward into the Florida Keys, including Key West and Marathon. Incumbent Republican Carlos Curbelo, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carlos Curbelo, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Souraya Faas, television personality
Endorsements
Primary results
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Democratic primary
Florida's 26th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[49]
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, businesswoman and nominee for the 23rd Senate district in 2016[63]
Eliminated in primary
- Demetries Grimes, U.S. Navy veteran
Declined
- Steve Smith, businessman[64]
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carlos Curbelo (R) |
Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 19–24, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.9% | 44% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% | 11% |
Mason-Dixon | October 3–9, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |46% | 45% | 9% |
GBA Strategies (D) | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% | – |
GQR Research (D-Mucarsel-Powell) | September 23–27, 2018 | 511 | ± 4.9% | 48% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–19, 2018 | 511 | – | 44% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45% | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 13–17, 2018 | 509 | ± 5.0% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |47% | 44% | 9% |
GBA Strategies (D) | July 16–22, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48% | 41% | – |
DCCC (D) | March 17–22, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |45% | 40% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carlos Curbelo (R) |
Democratic opponent (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | November 8–9, 2017 | 522 | ± 4.3% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 8% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
Mucarsel-Powell defeated Curbelo becoming the first Ecuadorian American and first South American-born immigrant to serve as a member of the U.S. Congress.
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District 27
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 27th district is located in the Miami metro area, including Coral Gables, Kendall, Miami Beach, and portions of Miami. Incumbent Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 18th district from 1989 to 2013, retired from office in 2018.[65] She was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist[66]
Eliminated in primary
- Elizabeth Adadi, U.S. Army veteran
- Bruno Barreiro, Miami-Dade County Commissioner[67]
- Angie Chirino, songwriter (daughter of Cuban-American musician Willy Chirino)[68]
- Stephen Marks, political consultant
- Mike Ohevzion, businessman
- Maria Peiro, educator and candidate for Congress in 2016[67]
- Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera, former Doral City Councilwoman[69]
- Gina Sosa, filmmaker
Withdrawn
- Raquel Regalado, former Miami-Dade School Board member and candidate for Mayor of Miami-Dade County in 2016[70][71]
Declined
- Jeb Bush Jr., son of former governor Jeb Bush[72]
- Carlos Curbelo, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 26th district[73]
- Miguel Díaz de la Portilla, former state senator[70]
- José Félix Díaz, state representative[70]
- Art Estopinan, former chief of staff to U.S. Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen[72]
- Anitere Flores, state senator[70][71][74]
- René García, state senator[70][75]
- Carlos López-Cantera, Lieutenant Governor of Florida and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[70][71][72][76]
- Ed MacDougall, former mayor of Cutler Bay and candidate for this seat in 2014[77]
- Jeanette Núñez, state representative[71]
- Juan C. Zapata, former Miami-Dade County Commissioner[70]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bruno Barreiro |
Maria Elvira Salazar |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar) | August 14–16, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% | 17%[78] | 27% |
Magellan Strategies (R-Barreiro) | June 11–12, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 24% | 0%[79] | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 67% |
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Florida's 27th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[49]
Candidates
Nominee
- Donna Shalala, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services and former president of the University of Miami[80]
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Haggman, Miami program director of the Knight Foundation and former Miami Herald reporter[81]
- Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser and candidate for state house in 2010 and 2014[82]
- David Richardson, state representative[83]
- Kristen Rosen Gonzalez, Miami Beach city commissioner[84][85]
Withdrawn
- Mary Barzee Flores, attorney and former Eleventh Judicial Circuit Court of Florida judge (running for FL-25)[86]
- Scott Fuhrman, businessman and candidate for Congress in 2016[87]
- José Javier Rodríguez, state senator[88]
- Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner[89]
Declined
- Alberto Carvalho, Miami-Dade County Public Schools Superintendent[90][91]
- Francisco Cerezo, attorney[92]
- Manny Diaz, former mayor of Miami[70]
- Cindy Lerner, former mayor of Pinecrest and former state representative[70]
- Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach[70]
- Daniella Levine Cava, Miami-Dade County Commissioner[70]
- Jimmy Morales, Miami Beach City Manager[70]
- Mark Person[70]
- Marc Sarnoff, former Miami City Commissioner[70]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Haggman |
Michael Hepburn |
David Richardson |
Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez |
Donna Shalala |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala) | August 10–16, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 10% | 2% | 18% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 36% | 25% |
Frederick Polls (D-Richardson) | August 6–7, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 9% | 4% | 20% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 32% | 28% |
RABA Research (D-Haggman) | August 2–5, 2018 | 433 | ± 4.7% | 16% | 4% | 15% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 26% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 27% |
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala) | June 2–8, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 2% | 16% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 26% |
Primary results
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General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maria Elvira Salazar (R) |
Donna Shalala (D) |
Mayra Joli (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D) | October 25–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% | – | – |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 15–19, 2018 | 542 | ± 5.0% | 37% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |44% | 4% | 15% |
ALG Research (D-Shalala) | October 11–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |44% | – | 10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar) | October 11–14, 2018 | 400 | – | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |50% | 41% | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | October 1–6, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |44% | 42% | 1% | 13% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar) | September 10–13, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51% | 42% | – | 7% |
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala) | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |46% | 8% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 12–14, 2018 | 620 | ± 3.9% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | – | 7% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
538[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2018 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no change Шаблон:Election box end
See also
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Florida Election Results - New York Times
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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