Английская Википедия:2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey
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Шаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNJ
The 2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez won reelection to a third term over Republican businessman Bob Hugin.
The candidate filing deadline was April 2, 2018, for Democratic and Republican candidates, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018.[1] The deadline for independent candidates was June 5, 2018.[2]
Despite the race being rated as a tossup by some political pundits, including The Cook Political Report,[3] Menendez was reelected by an 11.2% margin. However, Hugin was the first Republican Senate candidate to carry Atlantic and Gloucester counties since Clifford Case's landslide victory in 1972.
Democratic primary
While he never lost support from any major New Jersey officials, after a mistrial was declared in Senator Menendez's corruption trial, party figures across New Jersey lined up with public endorsements of his reelection bid, including the "full support" of Governor Phil Murphy.[4] He formally declared his intention to run for reelection on March 28, 2018, alongside Governor Murphy and Senator Cory Booker.[5]
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. Senator[6]
Eliminated in Primary
Withdrew
Declined
- Rush D. Holt Jr., former U.S. Representative[12]
- Donald Norcross, U.S. Representative[6]
- Robert Torricelli, former U.S. Senator[6]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Bob Hugin launched his primary campaign on February 13 in Springfield.[13] He began advertising on television two weeks later, attacking Menendez on the airwaves,[14] and was soon considered the presumptive nominee.[15] His opponent, Brian Goldberg, attempted to connect himself to President Donald Trump and his supporters by inserting the President's abbreviated slogan, "MAGA", into his ballot slogans and aligning himself with other pro-Trump, anti-establishment candidates.[16] Goldberg also attacked Hugin's running mates, urging Republicans to write in the deceased Charlton Heston in primary races where a Republican congressional candidate was running unopposed.[17] Ultimately, Hugin won overwhelmingly with a majority of votes in each of the state's 21 counties.[18]
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Hugin, businessman and former executive chairman of Celgene Corporation[19]
Eliminated in Primary
Withdrew
- Rich Pezzullo, businessman (endorsed Bob Hugin, running for NJ-6)[22][23][24]
- Hirsh Singh, aerospace engineer and candidate for governor in 2017 (running for NJ-2)[21][25]
- Dana Wefer, former chairwoman of the Hoboken Housing Authority and candidate for governor in 2017[26] (did not submit enough petition signatures)
Declined
- Jon Bramnick, Minority Leader of the New Jersey General Assembly[6] (endorsed Hugin)
- Jack Ciattarelli, former state assemblyman and candidate for governor in 2017[27][28]
- Michael J. Doherty, state senator[29]
- Kim Guadagno, former lieutenant governor and nominee for Governor in 2017[30][31]
- Thomas Kean Jr., Minority Leader of the New Jersey Senate and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006[30][32]
- Joe Kyrillos, former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[30]
- Tom MacArthur, U.S. Representative[6] (endorsed Hugin)
- Bill Spadea, radio and TV show host; nominee for NJ-12 in 2004[33]
- Jerry Watson[34]
- Jay Webber, state assemblyman and former chairman of the New Jersey Republican State Committee (running for NJ-11)[33][35]
Endorsements
Results
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Libertarian Party
Candidates
- Murray Sabrin, Ramapo College finance professor, Anisfield School of Business[36]
Endorsements
Green Party
- Madelyn R. Hoffman, peace activist and 1997 Green Party gubernatorial candidate[37]
Independents
Candidates
- Tricia Flanagan (New Day NJ), consultant[38]
- Kevin Kimple (Make it Simple), small business owner[38]
- Natalie Rivera (For the People), social services coordinator[38]
- Hank Schroeder (Economic Growth), perennial candidate[38]
Withdrew
- Muhammad Usman[39]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 24, 2018
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bob Hugin (R) | $30,289,561 | $27,714,323 | $2,575,238 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bob Menendez (D) | $11,631,183 | $11,225,693 | $1,832,385 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[40] |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[41] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[42] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[43] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2018 |
CNN[44] | Шаблон:Sort | October 1, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[45] | Шаблон:Sort | October 3, 2018 |
Fox News[46] | Шаблон:Sort | October 30, 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Menendez (D) |
Bob Hugin (R) |
Murray Sabrin (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,006 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 41% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 1,115 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 55% | 40% | – | 1% | 4% |
Stockton University | October 25–31, 2018 | 598 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 39% | 3% | 4% | 1% |
Vox Populi Polling | October 27–29, 2018 | 814 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 46% | – | – | – |
Emerson College | October 24–26, 2018 | 659 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 42% | – | 4% | 7% |
Rutgers-Eagleton Шаблон:Webarchive | October 12–19, 2018 | 496 LV | ± 5.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% |
896 RV | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 5% | ||
Quinnipiac University | October 10–16, 2018 | 873 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 44% | – | 0% | 5% |
Monmouth University | October 11–15, 2018 | 527 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 40% | 1% | 2%[47] | 8% |
National Research Inc. (R-Hugin) | October 6–9, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% | 40% | – | – | – |
YouGov | October 2–5, 2018 | 845 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 39% | – | 4% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | September 25 – October 2, 2018 | 1,058 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 42% | – | 0% | 5% |
Vox Populi Polling | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 794 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 48% | – | – | – |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 26–30, 2018 | 508 LV | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 37% | – | 1% | 19% |
746 RV | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 37% | 32% | – | 1% | 29% | ||
Stockton University | September 19–27, 2018 | 531 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 43% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
Quinnipiac University | August 15–20, 2018 | 908 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 37% | – | 2% | 16% |
Gravis Marketing (L-Sabrin) | August 14–15, 2018 | 753 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% | 30% | 7% | – | 22% |
Gravis Marketing | July 6–10, 2018 | 563 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43% | 41% | – | – | 16% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | May 16–21, 2018 | 856 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 28% | 24% | – | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 46% |
Monmouth University | April 6–10, 2018 | 632 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 32% | – | 7% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2018 | 1,052 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 32% | – | 1% | 15% |
- Kean vs. Andrews
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Andrews (D) |
Thomas Kean (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling | March 24–25, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 50% |
- Codey vs. Kyrillos
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Codey (D) |
Joe Kyrillos (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling | March 24–25, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 34% | 25% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 41% |
Results
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Results by county
County | Menendez % | Menendez votes | Hugin % | Hugin votes | Other % | Other votes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Atlantic | 47.43% | 44,617 | 48.85% | 45,954 | 3.72% | 3,502 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Bergen | 54.69% | 188,235 | 42.54% | 146,406 | 2.77% | 9,542 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Burlington | 52.78% | 98,749 | 43.96% | 82,240 | 3.26% | 6,111 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Camden | 61.82% | 113,137 | 34.58% | 63,279 | 3.60% | 6,600 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Cape May | 35.78% | 14,555 | 61.02% | 24,823 | 3.20% | 1,299 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cumberland | 48.29% | 19,386 | 47.93% | 19,244 | 3.78% | 1,517 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Essex | 76.52% | 194,068 | 21.12% | 53,537 | 2.36% | 6,028 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Gloucester | 46.41% | 52,303 | 49.77% | 56,090 | 3.82% | 4,309 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Hudson | 76.35% | 132,180 | 20.84% | 36,087 | 2.81% | 4,863 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Hunterdon | 39.29% | 24,823 | 57.17% | 36,116 | 3.54% | 2,195 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mercer | 63.67% | 80,773 | 32.50% | 41,225 | 3.83% | 4,785 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Middlesex | 58.21% | 148,806 | 38.64% | 98,764 | 3.15% | 8,051 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Monmouth | 42.99% | 112,383 | 53.79% | 140,628 | 3.22% | 8,408 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Morris | 43.60% | 93,763 | 53.38% | 114,783 | 3.02% | 6,492 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ocean | 33.72% | 75,597 | 63.29% | 141,902 | 2.99% | 6,723 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Passaic | 57.75% | 86,242 | 39.10% | 58,382 | 3.15% | 4,700 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Salem | 38.04% | 9,060 | 57.47% | 13,687 | 4.49% | 1,068 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Somerset | 51.67% | 70,359 | 45.07% | 61,373 | 3.26% | 4,450 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sussex | 33.23% | 20,229 | 61.96% | 37,720 | 4.81% | 2,926 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Union | 64.22% | 117,937 | 33.09% | 60,758 | 2.69% | 4,938 |
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Warren | 35.59% | 14,452 | 60.00% | 24,357 | 4.41% | 1,794 |
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Atlantic (largest municipality: Egg Harbor Township)
- Gloucester (largest municipality: Washington Township)
- Salem (largest municipality: Pennsville Township)
Results by congressional district
Menendez won 6 of 12 congressional districts. Hugin, however, won the remaining 6, including five won by Democrats.
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
- Tricia Flanagan (I) for Senate
- Madelyn Hoffman (G) for Senate
- Bob Hugin (R) for Senate
- Kevin Kimple (I) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive
- Bob Menendez (D) for Senate
- Murray Sabrin (L) for Senate
Шаблон:2018 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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