Английская Википедия:2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in New Hampshire sidebar The 2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary took place on February 11, 2020, as the second nominating contest in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the Iowa caucuses the week before. The New Hampshire primary was a semi-closed primary, meaning that only Democrats and independents were allowed to vote in this primary. New Hampshire sent 33 delegates to the national convention, of which 24 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary, and the other 9 were unpledged delegates preselected independently of the primary results.[1]
Senator Bernie Sanders won the primary with 25.6% of the vote, edging out former mayor Pete Buttigieg after his narrow win in Iowa, who came in second place with 24.3% of the vote.[2] Both had already led the results in Iowa. This was a decline on support for Sanders, who in 2016 had won New Hampshire with 60.14% to Hillary Clinton's 37.68%.[3] Both Sanders and Buttigieg received nine delegates, while Senator Amy Klobuchar unexpectedly finished in third place and received six delegates; her third-place finish was described as "Klomentum" or "Klobucharge" by several observers, but she was not able to make use of this in the following primaries. Senator Elizabeth Warren and former vice president Joe Biden, who had been the leading contenders nationally, both underperformed expectations, coming in fourth and fifth, respectively, and received no delegates. Entrepreneur Andrew Yang, former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick and Colorado Senator Michael Bennet finished eighth, tenth and eleventh respectively and all suspended their presidential campaigns after their poor results.
Voter turnout set a new record for New Hampshire primaries, with 298,377 ballots being cast,[2] breaking the previous record of 287,527 set in the 2008 primary.[4] This was the third consecutive contested Democratic primary in which New Hampshire voted for the candidate that did not receive the Democratic nomination. Despite underperforming quite drastically in this primary, Biden later went on to win the nomination and defeat incumbent president Donald Trump in the general election, including a comfortable general election victory in New Hampshire.
Procedure
The state's ballot access laws have traditionally been lenient, with prospective presidential candidates required to pay only a $1,000 fee to secure a line on the primary ballot.[5] Primary elections were held on Tuesday, February 11, 2020. The first polls opened at midnight local time (EST),[6] with the vast majority of polling places closed by 7 p.m. and a small number of cities allowed to close at 8 p.m.[1]
In the semi-closed primary, candidates had to meet a viability threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 24 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were all allocated proportionally on the basis of the qualified results of the primary, in the two congressional districts and on statewide level respectively. Of these, 8 each were allocated to each of the state's 2 congressional districts and another 3 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 5 at-large delegates.[1] The national convention delegation meeting was to be held in Concord on April 25, to vote on the exact names of the five at-large and three pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention.[1] The delegation also included 9 unpledged PLEO delegates (also known as superdelegates): 5 members of the Democratic National Committee and 4 members of Congress (both senators and 2 representatives).[1]
| Pledged national convention delegates[1] | |
|---|---|
| Type | Шаблон:Abbr |
| CD1Шаблон:Efn | 8 |
| CD2Шаблон:Efn | 8 |
| Шаблон:AbbrШаблон:Efn | 3 |
| At-largeШаблон:Efn | 5 |
| Total pledged delegates | 24 |
Candidates on the ballot
The following candidates were on the ballot[7] and are listed in order of filing.
Running Шаблон:Div col
- Mark Stewart Greenstein, Connecticut
- Pete Buttigieg, Indiana
- Thomas James Torgesen, New York
- Henry Hewes, New York
- Bernie Sanders, Vermont
- David John Thistle, Massachusetts
- Michael A. Ellinger, California
- Tulsi Gabbard, Hawaii
- Tom Koos, California
- Amy Klobuchar, Minnesota
- Michael Bennet, Colorado
- Andrew Yang, New York
- Joe Biden, Delaware
- Steve Burke, New York
- Tom Steyer, California
- Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente III, California
- Robby Wells, Georgia
- Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts
- Lorenz Kraus, New York
- Raymond Michael Moroz, New York
- Deval Patrick, Massachusetts
- Sam Sloan, New York
- Rita Krichevsky, New Jersey
- Mosie Boyd, Arkansas
- Jason Evritte Dunlap, Maryland
Withdrawn Шаблон:Div col
- Marianne Williamson, California
- John Delaney, Maryland
- Kamala Harris, California
- Steve Bullock, Montana
- Julian Castro, Texas
- Joe Sestak, Pennsylvania
- Ben Gleib, California
- Cory Booker, New Jersey
Шаблон:Div col end Brian Moore qualified but withdrew early enough so that he did not appear on the ballot.[7]
Forums and other events
Prospective candidates began making visits to New Hampshire in 2017.[8] Among the more notable events of the campaign was the 2019 state convention, at which 19 of the candidates give speeches.[9] The eighth Democratic primary debate took place in the state on February 7, 2020.[10] A Lesser-Known Candidates Forum was also held, featuring candidates on the New Hampshire ballot but who were not considered major candidates.[11]
Polling
| Polling aggregation | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Pete Buttigieg |
Elizabeth Warren |
Joe Biden |
Amy Klobuchar |
Andrew Yang |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Tom Steyer |
Other | Un- decidedШаблон:Efn |
| 270 to Win | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 4–9, 2020 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27.3% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9%Шаблон:Efn | 6.4% |
| RealClear Politics | Feb 10, 2020 | Feb 6–9, 2020 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28.7% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3%Шаблон:Efn | 6.3% |
| FiveThirtyEight | Feb 10, 2020 | until Feb 10, 2020Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26.0% | 21.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5%Шаблон:Efn | 5.8% |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27.3% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2%Шаблон:Efn | 6.2% | ||
| New Hampshire primary results (February 11, 2020) | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25.6% | 24.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 19.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||
| Polling from January 1, 2020, to February 11, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin Шаблон:Nowrap |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | |||
| New Hampshire primary (popular vote) | Feb 11, 2020 | – | – | 8.4% | 24.3% | 3.3% | 19.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25.6% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 2.7%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| AtlasIntel | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 431 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 24% | 3% | 14% | 24% | 1% | 11% | 5% | – | 6% | |||
| Data For ProgressШаблон:Efn | Feb 7–10, 2020 | 1296 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 9% | 26% | 3% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% | 3% | 14% | 5% | – | – | |||
| American Research Group | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | 3% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 2% | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Change Research | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 9% | 21% | 6% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 9% | |||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 8–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 3% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 7% | |||
| Elucd | Feb 7–9, 2020 | 492 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | 20% | –Шаблон:Efn | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | –Шаблон:Efn | 10% | –Шаблон:Efn | –Шаблон:Efn | 15% | |||
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 22% | 5% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 10% | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 20% | 3% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 12% | |||
| Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 512 (LV) | – | 14% | 20% | 0% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 23% | 2% | 16% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 13% | |||
| YouGov/CBS News | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 848 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 25% | 2% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% | 1% | 17% | 1% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 5–8, 2020 | 384 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 11% | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 31% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 6–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 9% | |||
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 4% | |||
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | Feb 4–7, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 11% | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH Шаблон:Webarchive | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 23% | 6% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 32% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 12% | |||
| Marist/NBC News | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | |||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 12% | 19% | 5% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 15% | |||
| Monmouth University | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 17% | 20% | 4% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | |||
| 17%Шаблон:Efn | 22% | – | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% | – | 13% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 4% | |||||||
| 19%Шаблон:Efn | 28% | – | – | 28% | – | 16% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | |||||||
| Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 3–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 31% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 14% | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 2–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 17% | 6% | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 32% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Iowa caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 2–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 14% | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH | Feb 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 12% | 4% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 32% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Saint Anselm College | Jan 29 – Feb 2, 2020 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 11% | |||
| Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 [1] | Jan 29 – Feb 1, 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 31% | No voters | 17% | 1% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 7% | |||
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | Jan 28–31, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 23% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 4% | |||
| YouGov/UMass Amherst/WCVB | Jan 17–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 3% | |||
| American Research Group | Jan 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 8%Шаблон:Efn | 6% | |||
| Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Jan 23–26, 2020 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% | 0% | 16% | 1% | 7%Шаблон:Efn | 9% | |||
| Marist/NBC News | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 697 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 17% | 6% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 22% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 7% | |||
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | Jan 15–23, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 10% | |||
| MassINC Polling Group/WBUR | Jan 17–21, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 5%Шаблон:Efn | |||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Jan 15–19, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |16% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 24% | |||
| Emerson College/WHDH Шаблон:Webarchive | Jan 13–16, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 14% | 18% | 5% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 23% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 7%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 2% | 7%Шаблон:Efn | 12% | |||
| Patinkin Research Strategies/Yang 2020 Шаблон:WebarchiveШаблон:Efn | Jan 5–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 21% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 7% | |||
| Monmouth University | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 20% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 7% | |||
| 21%Шаблон:Efn | 20% | – | 7% | 21% | – | 15% | 5% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 8% | |||||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24%Шаблон:Efn | 23% | – | – | 21% | – | 18% | – | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 8% | |||||||
| YouGov/CBS News | Шаблон:Nowrap | 487 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 25% | 13% | 1% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | |||
| Polling before January 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin Шаблон:Nowrap |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Deval Patrick |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
| MassINC Polling Group/WBUR | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 442 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |18% | 5% | – | 3% | – | <1% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 11%Шаблон:Efn | 12%Шаблон:Efn |
| Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Emerson College | Nov 22–26, 2019 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 14% | 2% | 22% | 6% | 4% | 2% | – | 0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | 14% | 5% | 7%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Boston Globe/Suffolk University | Nov 21–24, 2019 | 500 (LV) | – | 12% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 16% | 14% | 4% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 21% |
| Saint Anselm College | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 255 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 15% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 3% | 1% | 6% | – | 0% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| Patrick announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| YouGov/CBS News | Nov 6–13, 2019 | 535 (RV) | ± 5% | 22% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 31% | 1% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Nov 6–10, 2019 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.8 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 20% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 4% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 14% |
| O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 574 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 21% | 18% | 5% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 10% |
| Boston Herald/FPU | Oct 9–13, 2019 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 24% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | – | 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 1% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 7% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Oct 8–10, 2019 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 2% | 7% | –Шаблон:Efn | 2% | –Шаблон:Efn | 1% | – | 9% | 25% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 32% | –Шаблон:Efn |
| YouGov/CBS News | Oct 3–11, 2019 | 506 | ± 5.4% | 24% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – | 17% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 32% | 5% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Saint Anselm College | Sep 25–29, 2019 | 423 | ± 4.8% | 24% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 3% | <1% | – | 11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 25% | 2% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Monmouth University | Sep 17–21, 2019 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | – | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% | 2% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| HarrisX/No Labels | Sep 6–11, 2019 | 595 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 22% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 21% | 15% | 2% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 14% |
| Boston Herald/FPU | Sep 4–10, 2019 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% | 17% | 5% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 483 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 1% | – | 13% | 21% | 3% | 7%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| YouGov/CBS News | Aug 28 – Sep 4, 2019 | 526 | ± 5.2% | 26% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 25% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% | 1% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Gravis Marketing | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 250 | ± 6.2% | 15% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 21% | 12% | 4% | 8%Шаблон:Efn | 11% |
| Suffolk University | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 21% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | – | 17% | 14% | 1% | 6%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 21% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jul 23–25, 2019 | 587 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 21% | 1% | 8% | – | 13% | – | 0% | – | 13% | 16% | 1% | 7% | 19% |
| YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 530 | ± 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 2% | – | 20% | 18% | 1% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | Jul 8–15, 2019 | 386 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 2% | – | 19% | 19% | 1% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Saint Anselm College | Jul 10–12, 2019 | 351 | ± 5.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 21% | 1% | 12% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 0% | – | 10% | 17% | 5% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 11% |
| Change Research Шаблон:Webarchive | Jul 6–9, 2019 | 1,084 | ± 3.0% | 19% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 1% | – | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 22% | 1% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 420 | – | 13% | 2% | 14% | 2% | 13% | 1% | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | 24% | 2% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Change Research | Jun 17–20, 2019 | 308 | – | 24% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% | 21% | 1% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| YouGov/CBS News | May 31 – Jun 12, 2019 | 502 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 33% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 4% | – | 20% | 17% | 1% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Tel Opinion Research* | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 33% | – | 7% | – | 7% | – | 1% | – | 12% | 11% | – | – | 28% |
| Monmouth University | May 2–7, 2019 | 376 | ± 5.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 36% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | 18% | 8% | 1% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 11% |
| Change Research | May 3–5, 2019 | 864 | ± 3.3% | 26% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30% | 9% | 2% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Шаблон:Webarchive | Apr 30 – May 2, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 34% | 1% | 10% | – | 7% | 1% | 3% | – | 16% | 9% | – | – | 19% |
| Suffolk University | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 429 | ± 4.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 20% | 3% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | – | 12% | 8% | 1% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 27% |
| Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 10–18, 2019 | 241 | ± 6.3% | 18% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 12% |
| Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Saint Anselm College | Apr 3–8, 2019 | 326 | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 23% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 6% | – | 16% | 9% | – | 9%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire | Feb 18–26, 2019 | 240 | ± 6.3% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 5% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | 7% | – | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 14% |
| Emerson College Шаблон:Webarchive | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 405 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 5% | 1% | – | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 27% | 9% | – | 10%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| Sanders announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| YouGov/UMass Amherst | Feb 7–15, 2019 | 337 | ± 6.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |28% | 3% | – | – | 14% | 1% | 6% | – | 20% | 9% | – | 9%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Klobuchar announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Warren announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2019 | 518 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 22% | 4% | – | – | 13% | 2% | 2% | – | 13% | 9% | – | 0%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 35% |
| Booker announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Harris announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Gabbard announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Change Research | Jan 2–3, 2019 | 1,162 | – | 24% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 9% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | 11% | – | 22%Шаблон:Efn | – |
| University of New Hampshire | Aug 2–19, 2018 | 198 | ± 7.0% | 19% | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30% | 17% | – | 12%Шаблон:Efn | 12% |
| Suffolk University | Apr 26–30, 2018 | 295 | ± 5.7% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 4% | – | – | 4% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | – | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 18% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 30% | 10% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 8% | 25% | – | – | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 12% | ||||
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 13–22, 2018 | 188 | ± 7.1% | 26% | 5% | – | – | 6% | 1% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% | 11% | – | 9%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 35% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 0% | – | – | 24% | 15% | – | 7%Шаблон:Efn | 15% |
| Yang announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire | Oct 3–15, 2017 | 212 | ± 6.7% | 24% | 6% | – | – | 1% | 1% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 31% | 13% | – | 14%Шаблон:Efn | 11% |
| Head-to-head polls | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin Шаблон:Nowrap |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Undecided | |
| Tel Opinion Research | May 20–22, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 21% | – | – | 15% | |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 66% | – | 22% | – | 13% | |||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% | – | – | 29% | 13% | |||||
| American Research Group | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | – | 45% | – | 7% | |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% | – | – | 33% | 8% | |||||
Results
The first results in New Hampshire were released shortly after midnight from Dixville Notch. Although not on the ballot, Michael Bloomberg received three write-in votes, enough to carry the town.[12][13][14] Bernie Sanders won the state by a margin of around four thousand votes over Pete Buttigieg, with Amy Klobuchar placing third.[15][2] Sanders and Buttigieg each received nine pledged national convention delegates while Klobuchar received six.[16][1] Sanders had previously won the state in his prior pursuit of the Democratic nomination in 2016 with some 152,000 votes (60.4% of the total) against Hillary Clinton.[17]
Voter turnout set a new record for New Hampshire primaries with 298,377 ballots being cast,[2] breaking the previous record of 287,527 set in the 2008 primary.[18][19] <section begin="NHresults" /> Шаблон:Multiple image
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[16][1] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | 76,384 | 25.60 | 9 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 72,454 | 24.28 | 9 |
| Amy Klobuchar | 58,714 | 19.68 | 6 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 27,429 | 9.19 | rowspan=22 Шаблон:N/A |
| Joe Biden | 24,944 | 8.36 | |
| Tom Steyer | 10,732 | 3.60 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 9,755 | 3.27 | |
| Andrew Yang | 8,312 | 2.79 | |
| Michael Bloomberg (write-in)[20][21] | 4,675 | 1.57 | |
| Deval Patrick | 1,271 | 0.43 | |
| Michael Bennet | 952 | 0.32 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 157 | 0.05 | |
| Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 152 | 0.05 | |
| Kamala Harris (withdrawn) | 129 | 0.04 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 99 | 0.03 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 83 | 0.03 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 83 | 0.03 | |
| Steve Bullock (withdrawn) | 64 | 0.02 | |
| Henry Hewes | 43 | 0.01 | |
| Ben Gleib (withdrawn) | 31 | 0.01 | |
| Other candidates / Write-in | Шаблон:Efn665 | 0.22 | |
| Donald Trump (write-in Republican)[20] | 1,217 | 0.41 | |
| Bill Weld (write-in Republican)[20] | 17 | 0.01 | |
| Mitt Romney (write-in Republican)[20] | 10 | 0.00 | |
| Other write-in Republicans | 5 | 0.00 | |
| Total | 298,377 | 100% | 24 |
<section end="NHresults" />
Results by county
| Candidate | Belknap Шаблон:Small |
Carroll Шаблон:Small |
Cheshire Шаблон:Small |
Coös Шаблон:Small |
Grafton Шаблон:Small |
Hillsborough Шаблон:Small |
Merrimack Шаблон:Small |
Rockingham Шаблон:Small |
Strafford Шаблон:Small |
Sullivan Шаблон:Small |
State-wide Шаблон:Small |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | 2,670 | 2,608 | 5,973 | 1,562 | 6,606 | 21,659 | 8,636 | 15,331 | 8,919 | 2,420 | 76,384 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 2,798 | 2,815 | 4,053 | 1,094 | 5,805 | 20,539 | 8,466 | 17,929 | 6,767 | 2,188 | 72,454 |
| Amy Klobuchar | 2,323 | 2,464 | 3,616 | 937 | 4,277 | 16,702 | 7,853 | 13,736 | 5,180 | 1,626 | 58,714 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 839 | 904 | 1,816 | 395 | 3,295 | 7,266 | 3,177 | 5,928 | 2,971 | 838 | 27,429 |
| Joe Biden | 1,122 | 1,020 | 1,265 | 566 | 1,689 | 7,375 | 2,863 | 6,069 | 2,251 | 724 | 24,944 |
| Tom Steyer | 488 | 322 | 651 | 226 | 550 | 3,165 | 1,332 | 2,659 | 1,075 | 264 | 10,732 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 444 | 403 | 587 | 206 | 561 | 3,058 | 1,163 | 2,133 | 887 | 313 | 9,755 |
| Andrew Yang | 248 | 229 | 597 | 146 | 873 | 2,386 | 905 | 1,736 | 954 | 238 | 8,312 |
| Michael Bloomberg[21] (write-in) | 190 | 286 | 234 | 125 | 440 | 1,234 | 520 | 1,159 | 355 | 132 | 4,675 |
| Deval Patrick | 35 | 43 | 55 | 17 | 86 | 393 | 167 | 324 | 128 | 23 | 1,271 |
| Donald Trump (write-in) | 99 | 39 | 55 | 61 | 57 | 350 | 148 | 176 | 151 | 81 | 1,217 |
| Michael Bennet | 29 | 31 | 44 | 7 | 58 | 306 | 182 | 176 | 84 | 35 | 952 |
| Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 41 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 152 |
| Write-insШаблон:Efn | 9 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 63 | 15 | 8 | 189 |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 8 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 18 | 44 | 11 | 3 | 157 |
| Kamala Harris (withdrawn) | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 9 | 28 | 11 | — | 129 |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 99 |
| Steve Burke | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 86 |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 83 |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 83 |
| Tom Koos | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 72 |
| Steve Bullock (withdrawn) | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 64 |
| Michael A. Ellinger | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| David John Thistle | — | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 53 |
| Lorenz Kraus | 3 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 1 | 4 | — | — | 52 |
| Robby Wells | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 45 |
| Henry Hewes | 2 | 3 | 6 | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 43 |
| Sam Sloan | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| Mosie Boyd | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 | — | 32 |
| Mark Stewart Greenstein | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 12 | 2 | 6 | 6 | — | 31 |
| Ben Gleib (withdrawn) | 1 | — | 4 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 31 |
| Thomas James Torgesen | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| Rita Krichevsky | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 13 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Jason Evritte Dunlap | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Roque De La Fuente III | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| Raymond Michael Moroz | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | 2 | — | — | 8 |
| Total | 11,342 | 11,218 | 19,048 | 5,405 | 24,394 | 84,901 | 35,594 | 67,708 | 29,851 | 8,925 | 298,377 |
Analysis
Bernie Sanders narrowly won the New Hampshire primary with 25.6% of the vote, the lowest vote share a winner of this primary has ever received,[22] with Pete Buttigieg finishing in second.[2] By contrast, Amy Klobuchar finished in an unexpectedly strong third place. Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden finished in fourth and fifth place, respectively, both of which were considered disappointing finishes.[23] Geographically, Sanders won the largest cities in New Hampshire, including Manchester, Nashua, and Concord. Buttigieg kept the race close by performing strongly in the southeastern part of the state,[23] including in the suburbs of Boston and in the nearby, more rural Lakes Region.[24]
Exit polls showed that Sanders benefited from his strong performance among young voters as he won about half of the under-30 vote, with this group making up about 14% of the electorate. Among those under the age of 45, he won 42% of the vote; this larger group made up about a third of the electorate. Buttigieg received only 21% of the vote among those under the age of 45 but outperformed Sanders 26–17 among voters 45 and older. Both Sanders and Buttigieg lost the 45-and-older vote to Klobuchar, who received 27% of the vote in this group. Similarly, Klobuchar convincingly won among voters aged 65 and older, receiving 32% of their votes, as compared to only 14% for Sanders and 12% for Biden. Ideologically, about 60% of voters identified as either "very liberal" or "somewhat liberal", and Sanders won this group with about 33% of the vote. By contrast, among the remaining 40% of voters who identified as "moderate" or "conservative", Buttigieg and Klobuchar approximately tied with 27 and 26% of the vote, respectively.[25]
Aftermath
Following poor showings in the New Hampshire primary, Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado,[26] entrepreneur Andrew Yang[27] and former Massachusetts governor Deval Patrick[28] withdrew from the race. With the end of these campaigns, the Democratic field numbered fewer than ten candidates for the first time since early 2019.
Notes
See also
- 2020 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
- "Live from Lanford", an episode of The Conners
- New Hampshire midnight voting
References
External links
- The Green Papers delegate allocation summary
- New Hampshire Democratic Party draft delegate selection plan Шаблон:Webarchive
- FiveThirtyEight New Hampshire primary poll tracker
- NBC10 Boston/NECN New Hampshire candidate tracker
Шаблон:2020 Democratic primaries
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4 1,5 1,6 1,7 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 2,2 2,3 2,4 2,5 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Paul Steinhauser (September 26, 2017) Trump fuels early N.H. visits by potential 2020 Democratic White House contenders, Concord Monitor .
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 16,0 16,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 20,0 20,1 20,2 20,3 20,4 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 21,0 21,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 23,0 23,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- Английская Википедия
- 2020 New Hampshire elections
- 2020 United States Democratic presidential primaries by state
- February 2020 events in the United States
- New Hampshire Democratic primaries
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