Английская Википедия:2023 Belgrade City Assembly election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Pp-semi-indef Шаблон:EngvarB Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox legislative election
Local elections were held in Belgrade on 17 December 2023 to elect members of the City Assembly. Initially scheduled to be held by 2026, the election was called earlier after Aleksandar Vučić, the president of Serbia, announced in September 2023 that the election could be held in December 2023. In response to the announcement, Aleksandar Šapić, the mayor of Belgrade, tendered his resignation. Šapić ceased being mayor on 30 October 2023, when the Temporary Council of Belgrade was established. The elections were held concurrently with the parliamentary, Vojvodina provincial, and the local elections in 64 cities and municipalities in Serbia.
Although opposition parties won more votes in the 2022 Belgrade City Assembly election, the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) and Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) remained in charge of the Belgrade government due to a single independent councillor who voted in favour of Šapić becoming mayor of Belgrade. Šapić was faced with an unsuccessful attempt to dismiss him as mayor in October 2022 while following the Belgrade school shooting and a mass murder near Mladenovac and Smederevo in May 2023, anti-government protests were organised in Belgrade by several opposition parties up to November. Opposition parties organising these protests formed a joint coalition, named Serbia Against Violence (SPN), in October.
During the campaign period, candidates concentrated on issues such as fighting against corruption, introducing environmental measures, improving public transport, and expanding Belgrade's water systems. The City Electoral Commission proclaimed 14 electoral lists for the election. Monitoring and non-governmental organisations reported that the election day was marked with electoral fraud. SNS and SPS lost its coalition majority in the Assembly, while from the opposition, SPN and the National Democratic Alternative won 43 and 7 seats respectively. With the We–The Voice from the People of conspiracy theorist Branimir Nestorović unexpectedly gaining representation in the Assembly, the 2023 election resulted in a hung parliament. Шаблон:TOC limit
Background
In the 2022 Belgrade City Assembly election, the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) won 48 seats, while the Socialist Party of Serbia–United Serbia coalition retained its 8 seats in the City Assembly.[1] The election also saw the United for the Victory of Belgrade (UZPB) alliance winning 26 seats; the We Must alliance won 13 seats, while the National Democratic Alternative, Serbian Party Oathkeepers (SSZ), and Dveri also gained representation.[1] Despite this, opposition parties won more votes than the government parties in the election; the Social Democratic Party– New Party coalition was short 0.14 percent of the popular vote to cross the 3 percent threshold.[2] Shortly after the election, Dragan Đilas, the leader of the Party of Freedom and Justice (SSP), which was a part of the opposition UZPB alliance, met with Aleksandar Vučić, the president of Serbian Progressive Party, to discuss about the outcome of the election.[3] This move received criticism from SSP's coalition partners, the People's Party (Narodna) and Democratic Party (DS), which ultimately led to the dissolution of the coalition.[4][5][6]
After the negotiations, Vuk Stanić, a councillor-elect of the City Assembly, left the Movement for the Restoration of the Kingdom of Serbia, and voted in favour of Aleksandar Šapić of SNS becoming mayor in June 2022.[7][8] Later in October 2022, the Ujedinjeni councillor group filed a proposal for dismissal of Šapić, citing alleged illegal legalisation of the extension of an apartment at Bežanija.[9] This proposal was also supported from Narodna, DS, Moramo, and Dveri, however it failed as only 44 members voiced their support of it.[10][11][12] During this period, Marija Vukomirović and Stefan Jovanović, who were affiliated with SSZ, left the party, stating their disapproval of the party's leader, Milica Đurđević Stamenkovski.[13] Stanić, Vukomirović, and Jovanović defected to SNS in February 2023.[14][15]
2023 protests
In May 2023, the Belgrade school shooting and a mass murder near Mladenovac and Smederevo occurred.[16][17] The government of Serbia responded by adopting measures such as stricter regulations on gun ownership and hiring 1,200 police officers to schools,[18][19] while it was also criticised, particularly due to the statement of Branko Ružić, the minister of education, who said that "a cancerous, pernicious influence of the Internet, video games, and so-called Western values, is evident" in the shooting, and Ana Brnabić, the prime minister of Serbia, who said that the "system did not fail" when responding to the claims that the government could have stopped the shootings.[20][21]
This resulted in mass protests, named Serbia Against Violence, which began on 8 May in Belgrade.[22][23] Tens of thousands attended the protests.[24][25][26] Despite being organised by the SSP, DS, Narodna, Do not let Belgrade drown (NDB), and Together opposition parties, no party signs were reported to be seen at the protests.[27] In response to the Serbia Against Violence protests, Vučić held an SNS-organised gathering on 26 May in Belgrade.[28] The protests ended in early November.[29]
Electoral system
Local elections in Belgrade are held under a proportional representation system. Eligible voters vote for electoral lists, on which the registered candidates are present. An electoral list could be submitted by a registered political party, a coalition of political parties, or a citizens' group. The number of valid signatures needed to be collected to take part in the election varies by the number of eligible voters in that municipality. At least 40 percent of candidates on electoral lists must be female. The electoral list is submitted by its chosen ballot representative, who does not have to be present on its electoral list. An electoral list could be declined, after which those who had submitted can fix the deficiencies in a span of 48 hours, or rejected, if the person is not authorised to nominate candidates. The name and date of the election, the names of the electoral lists and its ballot representatives, and information on how to vote are only present on the voting ballot.[30]
The City of Belgrade Electoral Commission (GIK) and polling boards oversee the election. Seats are allocated with an electoral threshold of 3 percent of all votes cast, however, if no electoral list wins 3 percent of all votes cast, then all electoral lists that received votes can participate in the distribution of seats. The seats are distributed by electoral lists in proportion to the number of votes received, while the number of seats belonging to electoral lists is determined by applying the highest quotient system. The seats are distributed by dividing the total number of votes received by the electoral list participating in the distribution of seats by each number from one to the number of councillors the City Assembly has. The obtained quotients are classified by size so that the electoral list has as many mandates as it has its quotients among the highest quotients of all the electoral lists participating in the distribution. If two or more electoral lists receive the same quotients on the basis of which the seat is distributed, the electoral list that received the greater number of votes has priority. The seats in the City Assembly are awarded to the candidates to their order on the electoral list, starting with the first candidate from an electoral list. When the councillors of the City Assembly are sworn in, they, in turn, elect the mayor.[30]
Any local election, whether it is a municipal or a City Assembly election, is called by the president of the National Assembly, who also has to announce its date. To vote, a person must be a citizen and resident of Serbia at least 18 years old. A voter could only vote in the municipality of their residence. An election silence begins two days before the scheduled election, meaning that no opinion polls, presentation of candidates and their programmes, or invitation to vote in the election could be published or take place.[30]
Voter manipulation allegations
Miroslav Aleksić alleged in October 2023 that between 300 and 500 citizens daily fictitiously changed their home address because of the elections in Belgrade, accusing the local government of being involved in the process.[31] Ana Gođevac, a SSP councillor, also said that between 21 September and 24 October 2023, the number of registered voters in Vračar increased by 356 and that the same pattern was noticed in other municipalities of Belgrade.[32][33] Nikola Jovanović, the director of the Centre for Local Self-Management (CLS), reported in late October 2023 that between July and October 2023, the number of registered voters rose up by 2,349, while since the 2022 Belgrade City Assembly election, the number of registered voters went up by 9,590.[34] Jovanović noted that the number of registered voters has significantly increased in the municipalities of Vračar, Zvezdara, Zemun, and Palilula, despite Belgrade's population being in decline since 2021, alleging potential "pre-election voter manipulation".[34] The Interior Affairs Ministry publicly published the residence data for Belgrade in mid November.[35]
Election date
At the Đilas–Vučić meeting in April 2022, Đilas demanded snap elections be held in Belgrade due to the inconclusive results of the 2022 election.[36] Vučić responded by saying that the elections could be held in December 2022 or March 2023.[37] In April 2023, newspaper Danas reported that snap parliamentary elections, local elections, Vojvodina provincial election, and the Belgrade City Assembly election could be held as early as in November 2023.[38] At a press conference in August 2023, Vučić said that early Belgrade City Assembly elections could be held in December 2023 or early 2024.[39] In September 2023, Vučić and Šapić announced that they could be held on 17 December 2023.[40][41] Šapić resigned as mayor on 29 September, triggering a 30-day limit to appoint a new mayor.[42] Considering that a new mayor was not appointed, an election had to be called. The government of Serbia sent a proposal to dissolve the City Assembly of Belgrade and constitute the Temporary Council of Belgrade on 30 October.[43] Vladimir Orlić, the president of the National Assembly of Serbia, called the election on 1 November.[44]
The Temporary Council of Belgrade was constituted on 30 October, with Šapić serving as the president of the body, while Aleksandar Mirković, Nikola Nikodijević, Vladimir Obradović, and Dobrica Veselinović serve as its members.[45] Besides Šapić ceased being mayor, all local self-government bodies and executive bodies cease to work until the election of a new mayor.[45]
Political parties
Шаблон:See also The table below lists political parties represented in the City Assembly of Belgrade after the 2022 election.[2]
Pre-election composition
Groups | Parties | Cllrs | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
width="1" rowspan="9" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Aleksandar Vučić – Together We Can Do Everything | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | SNS | 39 | 51 |
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PUPS | 3 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | SDPS | 2 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PSS–BK | 2 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | SPO | 1 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | SNP | 1 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PS | 1 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | VMSZ/SVM | 1 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Samostalna | 1 | |||
width="1" rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | We Must – For a Good City – Do not let Belgrade drown | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | ZLF | 10 | 13 |
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Together | 3 | |||
width="1" rowspan="4" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Forward to Europe – SSP, PSG, Reversal, Sloga | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | SSP | 6 | 11 |
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PSG | 3 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PZP | 1 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | USS Sloga | 1 | |||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | BeDem – Democratic Party | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | DS | 9 | 9 |
width="1" rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Ivica Dačić – SPS–JS | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | SPS | 7 | 8 |
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | JS | 1 | |||
width="1" rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | NADA – For Belgrade – New DSS, POKS | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | NDSS | 4 | 6 |
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | POKS | 2 | |||
width="1" rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | People's Movement of Serbia – New Face of Serbia | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | NPS | 4 | 5 |
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | NLS | 1 | |||
width="1" rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Serbian Movement Dveri – Serbian Party Oathkeepers – Patriotic Bloc | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Dveri | 3 | 5 |
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | SSZ | 2 | |||
width="1" rowspan="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Cllrs not members of groups | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Narodna | 2 | 2 |
Pre-election activities
Opposition parties
Although the We Must alliance ceased to exist on national level after the 2022 elections, its coalition members continued cooperating in the City Assembly of Belgrade under the "For a Good City" group.[8][47] Together, with Aleksandar Jovanović Ćuta, Biljana Stojković, and Nebojša Zelenović as its co-presidents, was formed in June 2022 as a merger of Together for Serbia, Ecological Uprising, and Assembly of Free Serbia.[48][49] Solidarity, which was also affiliated with the We Must alliance, merged into Together in January 2023.[50] NDB announced in late June 2022 that it had adopted a platform to work on becoming a registered party, while it began collecting signatures in May 2023.[51][52] It also announced that it would rename itself to Green–Left Front (ZLF).[53] ZLF was formalised in July 2023.[54]
Within Narodna, a dispute between its president Vuk Jeremić and vice-president Aleksić began in June 2023.[55] Aleksić was eventually removed from the position of the party's executive board in July 2023; he then publicly acknowledged the conflict between him and Jeremić.[56][57] Although a leadership is scheduled for October 2023, Aleksić left Narodna and reconstituted the People's Movement of Serbia (NPS) in August 2023.[58] Four Narodna councillors also joined Aleksić's NPS and subsequently formed a group in the City Assembly of Belgrade.[59] This decision left Narodna only with two councillors, ultimately losing its status as a group in the City Assembly of Belgrade.[59] In September 2023, Dveri and SSZ formed a joint group which was formalised in October as the National Gathering.[60][61]
The Ujedinjeni group changed its name to Forward to Europe (PE) in July 2023.[62]
Election alliances
Like for the parliamentary elections, opposition parties organising the Serbia Against Violence protests have discussed about creating a joint electoral list for the Belgrade City Assembly election.[63] Radomir Lazović and Dobrica Veselinović from ZLF have expressed their support for creating a joint electoral list; Veselinović, who participated in talks about forming a joint electoral list for the Belgrade City Assembly election has said that all organisers "think it is the best solution" to participate on a joint list.[64][65] Dragan Đilas, the president of SSP and former mayor of Belgrade, is also in favour of creating a joint list.[66] The agreement between the parties was reached on 26 October, with Vladimir Obradović as their mayoral candidate.[67] A day later, the coalition was formalised and presented to the public as Serbia Against Violence.[68]
Electoral lists
With the dissolution of the City Assembly of Belgrade and a call for elections to be held on 17 December, the deadline to submit electoral lists was set for 26 November.[69] The collective electoral list was published by GIK on 1 December.[70] The following table includes electoral lists that were confirmed by GIK and that took part in the 2023 Belgrade City Assembly election.[70]
Шаблон:Sup — National minority list
Campaign
Dušan Vučićević, an associate professor at the Faculty of Political Sciences of the University of Belgrade, has said that opposition parties could do well in municipalities like Savski Venac, Vračar, and Stari Grad. Srećko Mihailović from Demostat, a research and publishing non-governmental organisation, has also said that opposition parties could receive an even better result in comparison with the 2022 election.[71][72] Đorđe Vukadinović of Nova srpska politička misao also said that opposition parties could do well in New Belgrade.[72]
Journalist Milenko Vasović said in November, that the 2023 election "could still deliver an upset".[73] Dejan Milenković, a professor at the Faculty of Political Sciences, also said that "the upcoming elections are significant and may be decisive".[74] BBC News also reported that in case of an opposition victory, the Belgrade election affect the local elections in 2024.[74] Political scientist Boban Stojanović said that "the 2023 elections are even more uncertain than the previous ones, especially when it comes to Belgrade".[75]
Slogans
Party/coalition | Original slogan | English translation | Refs | |
---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | Dad, This is for You | Podrži sebe – Ćale ovo je za tebe | Support yourself – Dad this is for you | [76] |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | National Democratic Alternative | Promene sad! | Changes now! | [77] |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | People's Party | Siguran izbor. Ozbiljni ljudi | Safe choice. Serious people | [78] |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | Serbia Against Violence | Promena je počela! | Change has begun! | [79][80] |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | Serbian Radical Party | Otadžbina Srbija. Majka Rusija | Fatherland Serbia. Mother Russia | [81] |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | SDS–DJB–OBAP | Dobro jutro Srbijo! | Good morning Serbia! | [82] |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | SNS coalition | Beograd ne sme da stane | Belgrade must not stop | [77] |
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | SPS–JS–ZS | Ivica Dačić – premijer Srbije, Toma Fila – gradonačelnik Beograda | Ivica Dačić – Prime Minister of Serbia, Toma Fila – Mayor of Belgrade | [77] |
Debates
2023 Belgrade City Assembly election debates | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Time | Organizers | Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small | ||||||
SNS | SPS | SPN | NO | NADA | Narodna | Refs | |||
style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||
Шаблон:Nowrap | 9:00 pm | RTS | P Aleksandar Šapić |
P Nikola Nikodijević |
P Vladimir Obradović |
P Ratko Ristić |
N | N | [83] |
Шаблон:Nowrap | 9:00 pm | N1 | A | A | P Mila Popović |
P Ratko Ristić |
P Predrag Marsenić |
P Vladimir Gajić |
[84] |
Party campaigns
Serbian Progressive Party
In an interview in late October 2023, Šapić called the unification of parties into SPN a "schizophrenic" move.[85] The Serbian Radical Party, led by Vojislav Šešelj, announced that it would contest the Belgrade City Assembly elections with SNS.[86] This announcement caused attention in national media.[87][88][89] SNS began collecting signatures for its electoral list once the election was called.[90] They submitted it to GIK a day later.[91] GIK confirmed their list on 3 November.[92] Šapić has campaigned on introducing a water system for the Grocka municipality of Belgrade.[93]
Amidst the campaign, Šapić's associate Aleksandra Čamagić was mentioned in Balkan Investigative Reporting Network's (BIRN) corruption report in late November; BIRN reported that, during her tenure as assistant minister to the ministry of family welfare and demography, Čamagić embezzled approximately Шаблон:Currency.[94][95] In response to the report, Veselinović and Obradović from the Temporary Council sent a request for her dismissal.[96] Šapić criticised BIRN's report.[97] On 5 December, Čamagić's mandate was extended.[98]
While announcing the construction of a new kindergarten and elementary school on 2 December, Šapić was involved in a verbal incident with journalist Шаблон:Ill; Šapić called Čavić a "donkey" and a "loon".[99][100] A day later, Šapić presented another construction project in Višnjička Banja, this time stealing a project photo of a school from Salt Lake City.[101]
Socialist Party of Serbia
The Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS), United Serbia, and Greens of Serbia signed a coalition agreement on 2 November 2023.[102] They announced Toma Fila as their mayoral candidate.[102] The SPS-led coalition submitted its list to GIK on 2 November, submitting over 4,000 signatures.[103] Fila has campaigned on pensioners' interests, improving the representation of women in the executive and legislative branches of the local government, and even development of all parts of Belgrade.[104][105][106] Fila has also said that as mayor of Belgrade, he would advocate for the strengthening of workers' rights.[107] Žarko Dronjak of SPS said that the SPS coalition supports the construction of the Belgrade Metro.[108]
Serbia Against Violence
SPN submitted its electoral list to GIK on 12 November.[109] Veselinović named "politics without violence and corruption", making sure that there is a place for every child in kindergartens, preserving city's landscape and environment, and improving Belgrade's traffic as one of their main issues.[109] GIK confirmed their list on 13 November.[110]
SPN has campaigned on opposing the destruction of the Belgrade Fair complex and the Old Sava Bridge.[111] Đorđe Miketić, a representative of Together in the National Assembly of Serbia and a candidate for the City Assembly of Belgrade, called for an investigation of assets and cash flows of Šapić, saying that "it remains unknown from which sources mayor Šapić can finance the rental of an apartment in a neighbourhood where the average monthly rent is Шаблон:Currency" considering that Šapić's salary as mayor is Шаблон:Currency.[112] The mayoral candidate of SPN, Obradović, named traffic problems, local government organising, transparency, air pollution, public security, and environment as key issues.[113][114] Obradović also said that SPN would form a Fund for Investment in Agriculture to invest in locally-produced fruit, protective nets, and storage capacities.[115]
Miketić became a target of attacks by Vučić in late November 2023; Vučić called Miketić a "human shame".[116] On 27 November, Miketić revealed that an unknown sender sent him threats and Miketić's own intimate photo.[117][118] Miketić accused the Security Intelligence Agency (BIA) of being behind the threats.[117] In response, BIA denied the claims, declined to investigate the threats, and demanded Miketić to release public information about the intimate photo.[119][120] Miketić's sex tape was leaked on social media on 29 November, with Miketić confirming its authenticity.[121][122] Earlier in January 2022, Miketić said that his apartment was raided and his hard disks and phones were stolen.[122] The pro-government TV Pink, a television channel with national frequency, broadcast the sex tape on its channel on 1 December.[123] Following the broadcast on the same day, Obradović announced that Miketić would leave the coalition's campaign team.[123][124] Miketić also criticised Dragan J. Vučićević, the editor of the pro-government Informer tabloid newspaper, and Nebojša Krstić, a pro-government political commentator.[125]
National Democratic Alternative
Vladimir Štimac, a professional basketball player, also announced that he could take part in the elections.[126] A supporter of cryptocurrency and anti-discrimination politics, Štimac was also previously involved in a conflict with the "Milenijum tim" company which retains close relations with SNS.[127] Štimac confirmed his candidacy once the election was called.[128] Štimac signed an agreement with NADA on 3 November, announcing that he would run on their electoral list.[129] NADA submitted its list to GIK on 12 November and GIK confirmed it a day later.[110][130] Štimac said that public transport, parking, and air pollution would be its main issues if they became part of the next local government.[131]
National Gathering
SSZ and Dveri submitted its list to GIK on 12 November.[132] They named professor Ratko Ristić as their mayoral candidate.[132] Ristić has emphasised "fighting against pollution, corruption, and drug addiction, improving public transportation, and caring about the youth and the elderly" in his speech on 12 November.[132] GIK confirmed their list on 13 November.[110] Later, in an interview with Demostat, Ristić said that, in order to fix traffic jams, the government should invest more in new public vehicles, increase the number of drivers, lower the amount of administrative workers, and buy more trams.[133] Ristić also said that he supports the expansion of green areas in Belgrade and reconstruction of unused public buildings into kindergartens.[133]
People's Party
Narodna submitted its electoral list on 21 November, announcing Vladimir Gajić as its mayoral candidate.[134] Gajić has said that he would campaign on issues like corruption, transport, and pollution.[134] GIK confirmed their electoral list on 23 November.[135] In an interview with Demostat, Gajić emphasised his support for creating more public transport lanes and roundabouts to lower the number of traffic jams, to build more kindergartens, and to invest in new bus vehicles.[136]
DJB–SDS
The coalition composed of Enough is Enough, Social Democratic Party, and Stolen Babies movement submitted their electoral list on 23 November under the name Good Morning Belgrade.[137] They named pulmonologist Dejan Žujović as their mayoral candidate.[138] GIK confirmed their electoral list on 25 November.[139]
For the Army to Return to Kosovo
Miša Vacić's citizens group "For the Army to Return to Kosovo" electoral list was accepted by GIK on 24 November.[140] His electoral list only has 15 candidates.[141] Zoran Alimpić reported that opposition members of GIK complained about the electoral list's documentation, alleging that the citizens group had falsified signatures of support.[142] As mayor of Belgrade, Vacić said that he would request Belgrade to become twin cities with "many cities whose population is fraternal to our Serbian people", naming Donetsk, Damascus, Caracas, Pyongyang, and Grozny as one of the cities.[143]
Russian Party
The electoral list of the Russian Party, a political party led by Slobodan Nikolić that advocates closer ties with Russia, was confirmed by GIK on 15 November.[144][145] Nikolić, a resident of Šabac, is not a candidate, and the list is instead led by Željko Pantić.[144][145] BBC News also described the Russian Party as socially conservative, Eurosceptic, and anti-globalist.[146] Lawyer Sofija Mandić and Alimpić alleged that, as members of the extended composition of GIK, the Russian Party electoral list had irregularities, listing incorrectly validated signatures as one of them.[147] The proposal to reject their list was rejected by GIK.[147] Despite being a registered Russian minority party, none of its candidates are Russian.[147]
Others
Rade Basta's European Way Movement (PEP) submitted its electoral list on 22 November.[148] Basta was announced as the ballot holder while businessman Zoran Ilić was announced as PEP's mayoral candidate.[148] Milan Lešnjak, a former footballer, and Nenad Milić, a former government official, were also announced as candidates on its electoral list.[149] Ilić said that he would campaign on supporting minority rights and "bringing European principles" to Belgrade.[149] Despite Basta not being a Bunjevac, PEP submitted its electoral list under two Bunjevci minority parties, one of which is Alliance of Bačka Bunjevci, due to minority parties only needing to collect 1,500 signatures to take part in the election.[150][151] Several criminal charges were filed against the electoral list due to allegedly falsifying the signatures of support.[152] GIK rejected PEP's electoral list on 23 November due to having falsified signatures of support.[153] Alimpić alleged that the electoral list was filed for the government to have a majority in the GIK.[150] On 25 November, GIK again rejected the PEP's electoral list.[139] In response to the rejection, PEP submitted an appeal to the Higher Court in belgrade to overturn GIK's decision.[154]
The electoral lists of the Justice and Reconciliation Party and Serbia in the West, a political coalition consisting of the New Party–D2SP, Civic Democratic Forum, Liberals and Democrats, and Glas, and the citizens group "Dad, This is for You" were confirmed by GIK on 26 November.[155][156] On the same day, the We–The Voice from the People (MI–GIN) citizens group of conspiracy theorist Branimir Nestorović submitted their list.[157] The electoral lists of MI–GIN and Liberal Democratic Party were accepted by GIK on 27 November.[158]
Opinion polls
According to an opinion poll that was conducted by Demostat in December 2022, 50% of the voters would vote for government parties, 33% of the voters would vote for centrist and left-leaning opposition parties, while 17% of the voters would vote for opposition parties that lean to the right.[159] The graph below showcases major parties and alliances in opinion polls from the 2022 Belgrade City Assembly election to 17 December 2023.
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–led coalition |
SPS–JS | SPN | NADA | NO | Narodna | Others | Lead | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
colspan="6" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | ||||||||||||||||||||
SSP | PSG | DS | Together | NDB/ZLF | SRCE | NDSS | POKS | SSZ | Dveri | |||||||||||||
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | ||||||||||
2023 election | 17 December | – | 40.2 | 6.1 | 35.0 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 7.9 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 4.8 | ||||||||||||
OFID[160] | 14 December | 1,200 | 35.7 | 6.3 | 39.1 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 7.2Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 3.4 | ||||||||||||
Stata[161] | 5 July 2023 | 830 | 31.5 | 6.3 | 16.2 | 4.1 | – | 4.8 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 5.3 | – | 4.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 4.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 15.3 | |||||
ŠSM[162] | 5 April 2023 | ? | 37.9 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 9.2Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 30.2 | |||||
NSPM[163] | 24 February 2023 | 900 | 37.8 | 9.0 | 6.1 | – | 2.4 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 16.4Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 32.7 | |||||
ŠSM[164] | 22 February 2023 | ? | 36.8 | 7.0 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 9.2Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 35.6 | |||||
2022 election | 3 April 2022 | – | 38.8 | 7.1 | 21.8Шаблон:Efn | 11.0 | – | 6.4Шаблон:Efn | 3.6 | 3.4Шаблон:Efn | 21.8Шаблон:Efn | 7.9 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 17.0 |
Scenario polls
Three alliances
The Stata opinion poll, which was published on 5 July 2023, also showed that SNS, SPS, and its allies would win 38.4 percent of the popular vote if they had to participate under a joint electoral list, while a hypothetical alliance of those who organised the Serbia Against Violence protests, which includes SSP, Narodna, DS, PSG, NDB/ZLF, and Together, would win 44.6 percent of the popular vote and a joint alliance of SSZ, Dveri, NDSS, and POKS would win 10.2 percent of the popular vote.[161]
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–SPS, et al. |
Шаблон:Nowrap | Шаблон:Nowrap | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:60px"| | ||||||
CRTA[165] | 16 October 2023 | 806 | 38.0 | 51.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 13.0 |
Stata[161] | 5 July 2023 | 830 | 38.4 | 44.6 | 10.2 | 6.8Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white"| 6.2 |
Conduct
Monitoring and non-governmental organisations, such as CeSID, CRTA, and Kreni-Promeni, reported that the election day was marked with electoral fraud.[166][167] By 9:00, CeSID reported that there were irregularities at New Belgrade and Zemun, while Kreni-Promeni reported the bulgarian train vote-rigging method at voting stations in New Belgrade.[166] Throughout the rest of the election day, CeSID reported irregularities at Vračar and Grocka.[168] In its 18 December report, CRTA concluded that due to the irregularities, the election results for the first time do not express the will of the citizens.[169]
Voters from Republika Srpska were also driven to the Štark Arena in Belgrade.[170] Despite Štark Arena not being a voting station, it served as a redirect station towards official voting stations in Belgrade.[171] The security at the Štark Arena did not allow members of RIK to enter the building.[172] Brnabić said that she does not see what is irregular or illegal with Štark Arena serving as a redirect station for voters from Republika Srpska.[173] Miodrag Jovanović, a professor at the Faculty of Law, said that in regards to the voters of Republika Srpska voting in the Belgrade City Assembly election, "it is illegal for someone to have a residence where he does not live".[174]
CRTA later reported that at least at 14 percent of voting stations in Belgrade, non-Belgrade citizens voted in the Belgrade City Assembly elections.[175] Besides the voters from Republika Srpska, it was reported that voters from Croatia and Kosovo, and cities in Serbia such as Pančevo, Valjevo, Čačak, Aranđelovac, Smederevo, Vršac, and Novi Sad were sent to Belgrade vote illegally in the Belgrade City Assembly elections.[175] In response to the report, Brnabić accused the opposition and CRTA of "destabilising Serbia and its constitutional order".[176]
Шаблон:Ill, the chief of the delegation of PACE that monitored the elections, said that the Belgrade City Assembly election was not fair and that "the victory in Belgrade was stolen from the opposition".[177]
Results
There were 1,613,369 citizens in total who had the right to vote in the 2023 Belgrade City Assembly election.[178] Voters were able to vote at 1,180 voting stations in Belgrade, an increase of 10 in comparison with the 2022 election.[179] Elections will be repeated at two voting stations.[180]
After the voting stations were closed, CeSID/Ipsos and CRTA were the first to report their projections of the results.[181] According to the 18 December projection from CeSID/Ipsos, SNS won 38 percent of popular vote and 48 seats in the City Assembly, while SPN won 35 percent of popular vote and 43 seats.[182] NADA won 6 percent of popular vote and 7 seats, while Nestorović's MI–GIN also unexpectedly crossed the threshold, winning 5.3 percent of popular vote and 6 seats in the Assembly.[182] SPS suffered from a decrease in popularity, winning 4.8 percent of popular vote and 6 seats.[182] The election thus ended in a hung parliament.[167] SPN won the most votes in Belgrade municipalities of New Belgrade, Vračar, Voždovac, Zvezdara, Savski Venac, and Stari Grad, while SNS won the most votes in municipalities of Grocka, Zemun, Lazarevac, Mladenovac, Palilula, Obrenovac, Rakovica, Sopot, Surčin, Čukarica, and Barajevo.[183]
Aftermath
Shortly after the closing of the voting stations, SNS held a press conference at which Vučić reported that SNS placed first in the election, winning 38 percent of popular vote.[184] The election resulted in a hung parliament, with Nestorović's MI–GIN being the party that could choose whether to side with the ruling coalition of SNS and SPS or the opposition of SPN and NADA.[167] Nestorović said that "even though no one gave us a chance, we became one of the four or five strongest parties"; he rejected cooperating with either one of the blocs after the elections.[185] "I think it will be very difficult to form a city government. There will be new elections probably soon. We will not support either side", Nestorović also said.[167] Vučić also said that "If Nestorović does not end up supporting anyone, you will have repeat elections".[186] Nestorović and Aleksandar Pavić from MI–GIN rejected cooperation with SPN after the elections and said that cooperation with SNS is possible under certain demands.[187][188] MI–GIN later released a joint statement in which they said that they will not support anyone and that that they are ready for new elections.[189]
Due to the election fraud, SPN announced that it would reject the results, claiming that the election was not fair.[167] Aleksić claimed that over 40,000 ID cards were issued for voters who did not live in Belgrade in order for them to gain the right to vote in the Belgrade City Assembly election.[167] SPN called for the annulling of the results.[190] A day after the election, a mass protest was organised outside the Republic Electoral Commission by SPN.[191] At the protest, Aleksić and Marinika Tepić from SPN announced that they would go on a hunger strike until the election results are annulled.[192] Aleksić and Tepić were later joined by Jelena Milošević, Danijela Grujić, Janko Veselinović, Željko Veselinović, Branko Miljuš, and Dušan Nikezić in the hunger strike.[193][194][195]
At the 24 December protest, protesters tried to storm the building of the City Assembly of Belgrade.[196] Vučić issued an urgent statement in response to the attempt to storm the building of the City Assembly of Belgrade, saying that "a revolution is not happening".[197] Amidst the protest, Ćuta was hit with a tear gas.[198]
Government formation
Like on national level for the parliamentary elections, opposition parties pledged to form a government, if they were to win a parliamentary majority.[199] Opposition parties and alliances that won representation after the 2023 election and that expressed their support for the formation of a government include SPN and NADA.[199][200] Pavle Grbović, the president of the Movement of Free Citizens, said that "despite differences, some form of cooperation is possible [with other opposition parties], especially at the level of Belgrade".[201] Vojislav Mihailović, the president of the Movement for the Restoration of the Kingdom of Serbia (POKS) and former mayor of Belgrade, said that "in the local self-government of Belgrade, we do not decide over the Franco-German agreement and other national issues" and that "he does not see what can be disputed about the idea of unity of the entire opposition" after the elections.[202] Miloš Jovanović, the president of the New Democratic Party of Serbia (NDSS), said that "changes can only be made in cooperation with the rest of the opposition".[202]
Notes
References
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<ref>
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