Английская Википедия:2024 California's 45th congressional district election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Broader Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in California The 2024 California's 45th congressional district election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States Representative for California's 45th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election will be held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries.
Based in Orange County and Los Angeles County, the 45th district contains all of Fountain Valley, Westminster, Garden Grove, Cypress, Buena Park, Cerritos, Artesia, La Palma, Placentia, Hawaiian Gardens, Los Alamitos, and Rossmoor, as well as portions of Brea, Lakewood, Fullerton, and Yorba Linda.[1] One-third of all registered voters in the district are Asian American, with Vietnamese Americans alone comprising 16% of the district's voters.[2]
The incumbent is Republican Michelle Steel, who was re-elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2022. Steel, who is Korean American, was first elected in 2020, unseating incumbent Democrat Harley Rouda. She previously served as a member of the Orange County Board of Supervisors and the California State Board of Equalization.
The race is expected to be highly competitive. Both House Democrats and House Republicans have listed California's 45th district among their highest-priority districts in the 2024 election.[3][4] Joe Biden carried this district by a 6% margin in the 2020 presidential election.[5] Steel is one of 18 House Republicans representing a Biden-won district.[6]
Candidates
Declared
- Cheyenne Hunt (Democratic), attorney and TikTok influencer[7]
- Kim Bernice Nguyen-Penaloza (Democratic), Garden Grove city councilor and runner-up for Orange County Board of Supervisors District 2 in 2022[8]
- Aditya Pai (Democratic), attorney[9]
- Michelle Steel (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[7]
- Derek Tran (Democratic), Consumer Attorneys of California board member[10]
Filed paperwork
- Brian Forde (Democratic)[11]
Withdrawn
- Jimmy Pham (Democratic), member of the Westminster Traffic Commission[12][13] (endorsed Nguyen-Penaloza, running for state assembly)[14]
Declined
- Mike Schaefer (Democratic), member of the California State Board of Equalization from the 4th district (2019–present) (running in the 47th district)[15]
Endorsements
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michelle Steel (R) | $3,201,388Шаблон:Efn | $1,277,364 | $2,380,560 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cheyenne Hunt (D) | $272,211Шаблон:Efn | $127,644 | $144,566 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kim Bernice Nguyen- Penaloza (D) |
$206,844 | $157,445 | $49,398 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Aditya Pai (D) | $146,239Шаблон:Efn | $105,269 | $40,870 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jimmy Pham (D)Шаблон:Efn | $29,899Шаблон:Efn | $29,899 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[16] |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Cheyenne Hunt (D) |
Шаблон:Small | Aditya Pai (D) |
Michelle Steel (R) |
Derek Tran (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulchin ResearchШаблон:Efn-ua | November 13–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 6% | 10% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|11% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|32% |
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Cheyenne Hunt (D) for Congress
- Kim Bernice Nguyen-Penaloza (D) for Congress
- Aditya Pai (D) for Congress
- Michelle Steel (R) for Congress
- Derek Tran (D) for Congress
Шаблон:2024 United States elections Шаблон:Elections in California footer
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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