Английская Википедия:2024 Galician regional election

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Шаблон:Infobox election The 2024 Galician regional election will be held on Sunday, 18 February 2024, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Шаблон:Lang-es), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][4]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency is entitled the following seats:

Seats Constituencies
25 A Coruña
22 Pontevedra
14 Lugo, Ourense

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[5]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 12 July 2024. The election decree must be published in the DOG no later than 18 June 2024, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 16 August 2024.[1][4]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[6]

Following Alberto Núñez Feijóo's resignation as president of Galicia to become PP national leader, it was speculated that his successor, Alfonso Rueda, could seek to call a snap election for some time throughout 2023 or even to make it coincide with the scheduled general election in December 2023.[7] Following Pedro Sánchez's surprise announcement of a snap general election on 29 May 2023, Rueda ruled out a simultaneous regional election "because Galicia cannot be infected by instability".[8] It was later commented that a good result for Feijóo in the general election could prompt Rueda to trigger a snap election for late 2023, but the close result on 23 July prevented this from materializing.[9][10][11] Following Sánchez's investiture in November 2023, rumours again emerged that Rueda was planning to hold a snap election for early 2024.[12] Asked on 27 November on whether the Galician election would be held simultaneously with the Basque regional election as had been the case in the four previous occasions, Rueda proclaimed that "Galicia has its own way";[13] later, the president of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) Andoni Ortuzar said in an interview that the Galician election seemed "like it is going to go at full speed", with the Galician government allegedly not wishing a simultaneous election call.[14][15] On 30 November, Rueda acknowledged that he would seek a Galician-only election "without a doubt (...) if that is in the interest of Galicia",[16] and that election preparations were already underway.[17] 18 February has been commented by the media as the most likely date for a snap election to be held.[18][19] Finally on 21 December, Rueda announced a snap election to be held on 18 February 2024.[20] While Basque lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu was informed of this decision,[21] he distanced himself from Rueda arguing that "the Basque Country is not Galicia", thus paving the way for both elections to be held separately for the first time since 2005.[22]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time.

Current parliamentary composition
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Parliamentary Group of Galicia width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP 42 42
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Nationalist Bloc's Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| BNG 19 19
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists' Parliamentary Group of Galicia bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSdeG–PSOE 14 14

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][23]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Шаблон:Abbr Шаблон:Abbr
Votes (%) Seats
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Alfonso Rueda 2022 (cropped).jpg Alfonso Rueda Conservatism
Christian democracy
47.96% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Tick [24]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| BNG Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Ana Pontón 2022 (cropped).jpg Ana Pontón Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism
23.79% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [25]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSdeG–
PSOE
Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:José Ramón Gómez Besteiro 2023 (cropped).jpg José Ramón Gómez Besteiro Social democracy 19.39% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [26]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Sumar Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Progressivism
Left-wing populism
Green politics
3.94%Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [27]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Podemos Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Left-wing populism
Democratic socialism
Шаблон:Xmark [27]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Vox Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
2.05% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP BNG PSdeG–PSOE Файл:Galicia en común-Anova Mareas logo (color).svg Vox CS Sumar Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 1][p 2] 18–26 Oct 2023 1,223 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 46.1
Шаблон:Font
25.3
Шаблон:Font
19.4
Шаблон:Font
Шаблон:Efn 5.1
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 20.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 3] 24 Jul–25 Aug 2023 1,410 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 44.2
Шаблон:Font
26.4
Шаблон:Font
17.0
Шаблон:Font
4.0
Шаблон:Font
4.7
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 17.8
2023 general election 23 Jul 2023 Шаблон:N/A 61.4 Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 43.6
Шаблон:Font
9.4
Шаблон:Font
29.8
Шаблон:Font
Шаблон:Efn 4.9
Шаблон:Font
10.9
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 13.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 4][p 5] 13–21 Jun 2023 1,223 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 46.6
Шаблон:Font
26.8
Шаблон:Font
16.7
Шаблон:Font
3.7
Шаблон:Font
2.5
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 19.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 6][p 7] 6–19 Oct 2022 1,223 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 45.7
Шаблон:Font
25.9
Шаблон:Font
15.7
Шаблон:Font
5.6
Шаблон:Font
2.7
Шаблон:Font
1.0
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 19.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 8] 30 Jun–13 Aug 2022 548 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 42.3
Шаблон:Font
26.2
Шаблон:Font
19.4
Шаблон:Font
5.0
Шаблон:Font
4.8
Шаблон:Font
0.9
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 16.1
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 9][p 10] 16–24 May 2022 1,000 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 45.2
Шаблон:Font
24.8
Шаблон:Font
18.3
Шаблон:Font
5.4
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 20.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 11] 15 Feb–30 Mar 2022 360 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 42.0
Шаблон:Font
26.0
Шаблон:Font
19.6
Шаблон:Font
5.0
Шаблон:Font
5.0
Шаблон:Font
0.9
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 16.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 12][p 13] 10–22 Feb 2022 1,223 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 44.6
Шаблон:Font
24.5
Шаблон:Font
17.7
Шаблон:Font
5.6
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 20.1
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 14][p 15] 14–21 Oct 2021 1,223 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 45.5
Шаблон:Font
25.9
Шаблон:Font
17.0
Шаблон:Font
6.0
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 19.6
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 16][p 17] 16–23 Jun 2021 1,223 50 Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 45.8
Шаблон:Font
24.4
Шаблон:Font
18.0
Шаблон:Font
6.1
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 21.4
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 18][p 19] 21 Jan–2 Feb 2021 ? ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 46.2
Шаблон:Font
25.6
Шаблон:Font
16.2
Шаблон:Font
5.1
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 20.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 20] 31 Dec 2020 ? ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 47.0
Шаблон:Font
26.7
Шаблон:Font
18.3
Шаблон:Font
2.5
Шаблон:Font
2.7
Шаблон:Font
0.7
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 20.3
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 21][p 22] 1–7 Oct 2020 1,223 ? Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 46.9
Шаблон:Font
27.0
Шаблон:Font
17.1
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 19.9
2020 regional election 12 Jul 2020 Шаблон:N/A 49.0 Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 48.0
Шаблон:Font
23.8
Шаблон:Font
19.4
Шаблон:Font
3.9
Шаблон:Font
2.0
Шаблон:Font
0.8
Шаблон:Font
style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 24.2

Results

Overall

Summary of the 18 February 2024 Parliament of Galicia election results
Файл:GaliciaParliamentDiagram2024.svg
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Party (PP)
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG)
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE)
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Unite Galicia (Sumar)1 n/a
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| We Can (Podemos)1 n/a
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Vox (Vox)
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Ourensan Democracy (DO) New
Blank ballots
Total 75 ±0
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast / turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters
Sources
Шаблон:Hidden

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Opinion poll sources

Шаблон:Reflist

Other

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Galician elections Шаблон:Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s


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