Английская Википедия:1984 United States presidential election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Use mdy dates
The 1984 United States presidential election was the 50th quadrennial presidential election held on Tuesday, November 6, 1984. Incumbent Republican president Ronald Reagan defeated Democratic former vice president Walter Mondale in a landslide victory.
Reagan and George H. W. Bush faced only token opposition in their bid for re-nomination. Mondale faced a competitive field in his bid, defeating U.S. senator Gary Hart, activist Jesse Jackson, and several other candidates in the 1984 Democratic primaries. He eventually chose U.S. representative Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate, the first woman to be on a major party's presidential ticket.
Reagan touted a strong economic recovery from the 1970s stagflation and the 1981–1982 recession, as well as the widespread perception that his presidency had overseen a revival of national confidence and prestige.[1] At 73, Reagan was, at the time, the oldest person ever to be nominated by a major party for president. Thirty-six years later, in 2020, this record was surpassed by Donald Trump at 74 years old and Joe Biden at 77. The Reagan campaign produced effective television advertising and deftly neutralized concerns regarding Reagan's age. Mondale criticized Reagan's supply-side economic policies and budget deficits. He also called for a nuclear freeze and ratification of the Equal Rights Amendment.
Reagan won a landslide re-election victory, carrying 525 electoral votes, 49 states, and 58.8 percent of the popular vote. Mondale won 13 electoral votes from the District of Columbia, which has always voted overwhelmingly for the Democratic candidate, and his home state of Minnesota by a 0.18% margin.[2] This was the second-largest share of the electoral college since 1820 (and the largest ever for a Republican), and the most raw electoral votes ever received by a candidate. This is the last time any candidate won the popular vote by double digits.[3] It is also the most recent election in United States history where both major party presidential and vice-presidential candidates are deceased.
As of 2020, this marked the last time the Republican nominee carried the states of Hawaii, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island and Washington. Meanwhile, West Virginia would not vote Republican again until 2000, Iowa would not vote Republican again until 2004, and Wisconsin has only voted Republican once since, in 2016. As of 2020, this is the only time an incumbent president defeated a former vice president and it is also the only time a major party presidential candidate defeated both the incumbent president and the latter's former vice president in consecutive presidential elections.
Nominations
Republican Party candidates
- Ronald Reagan, President of the United States
- Ben Fernandez, former Special Ambassador to Paraguay from California
- Harold Stassen, former Governor of Minnesota
Шаблон:Ronald Reagan series Шаблон:George H.W. Bush series
1984 Republican Party ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ronald Reagan | George H. W. Bush | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40th President of the United States (1981–1989) |
43rd Vice President of the United States (1981–1989) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Campaign | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
colspan="2" style="text-align:center; width:1000px; font-size:120%; color:white; background:Шаблон:Party color;"|Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race | |
Harold Stassen | Ben Fernandez |
---|---|
Governor of Minnesota (1939–1943) |
U.S. Special Envoy to Paraguay (1973) |
Campaign | Campaign |
Шаблон:Abbr: August 23, 1984 12,749 votes |
Шаблон:Abbr: August 23, 1984 202 votes |
Primaries
Reagan was the assured nominee for the Republican Party, with only token opposition. The popular vote from the Republican primaries was as follows:[4]
- Ronald Reagan (inc.): 6,484,987 (98.6%)
- Unpledged delegates: 41,411 (0.6%)
- Others: 21,643 (0.3%)
- "Ronald Reagan No":Шаблон:Efn 14,047 (0.2%)
- Harold E. Stassen: 12,749 (0.2%)
- David Kelly: 360
- Gary Arnold: 252
- Benjamin Fernandez: 202
Reagan was renominated by a vote of 2,233 delegates (two delegates abstained). For the only time in American history, the vice presidential roll call was taken concurrently with the presidential roll call. Vice President George H. W. Bush was overwhelmingly renominated. This was the last time in the 20th century that the vice-presidential candidate of either major party was nominated by roll call vote.
Presidential ballot | Vice presidential ballot | ||
---|---|---|---|
Ronald Reagan | 2,233 | George H. W. Bush | 2,231 |
Abstaining | 2 | Abstaining | 2 |
Jack Kemp | 1 | ||
Jeane Kirkpatrick | 1 |
Democratic Party candidates
- Walter Mondale, former vice president and former U.S. senator from Minnesota
- Reubin Askew, former governor of Florida
- Alan Cranston, U.S. senator from California
- John Glenn, U.S. senator from Ohio and former NASA astronaut
- Gary Hart, U.S. senator from Colorado
- Ernest Hollings, U.S. senator from South Carolina
- Jesse Jackson, clergyman and civil rights activist from Illinois
- George McGovern, former U.S. senator and 1972 Democratic nominee from South Dakota[5]
1984 Democratic Party ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Walter Mondale | Geraldine Ferraro | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
42nd Vice President of the United States (1977–1981) |
U.S. Representative from New York (1979–1985) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Campaign | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Primaries
Only three Democratic candidates won any state primaries: Mondale, Hart, and Jackson. Initially, Massachusetts Senator Ted Kennedy, after a failed bid to win the 1980 Democratic nomination for president, was considered the de facto front-runner of the 1984 primary. However, Kennedy announced in December 1982 that he did not intend to run.[6][7] Former Vice President Mondale was then viewed as the favorite to win the Democratic nomination. Mondale had the largest number of party leaders supporting him, and he had raised more money than any other candidate. However, both Jackson and Hart emerged as surprising, and troublesome, opponents.
South Carolina Senator Ernest Hollings's wit and experience, as well as his call for a budget freeze, won him some positive attention, but his relatively conservative record alienated liberal Democrats, and he was never really noticed in a field dominated by Mondale, John Glenn, and Gary Hart. Hollings dropped out two days after losing badly in New Hampshire and endorsed Hart a week later. His disdain for his competitors was at times showcased in his comments. He notably referred to Mondale as a "lapdog", and to former astronaut Glenn as "Sky King" who was "confused in his capsule."[8]
California Senator Alan Cranston hoped to galvanize supporters of the nuclear freeze movement that had called on the United States to halt the deployment of existing nuclear weapons and the development of new ones. Glenn and Askew hoped to capture the support of moderate and conservative Democrats. None of them possessed the fundraising ability of Mondale nor the grassroots support of Hart and Jackson, and none won any contests.
Jackson was the second African-American (after Shirley Chisholm) to mount a nationwide campaign for the presidency, and he was the first African-American candidate to be a serious contender. He got 3.5 million votes during the primaries, third behind Hart and Mondale. He won the primaries in Virginia, South Carolina, and Louisiana, and split Mississippi, where there were two separate contests for Democratic delegates. Through the primaries, Jackson helped confirm the black electorate's importance to the Democratic Party in the South at the time. During the campaign, however, Jackson made an off-the-cuff reference to Jews as "Hymies" and New York City as "Hymietown", for which he later apologized. Nonetheless, the remark was widely publicized, and derailed his campaign for the nomination.[9] Jackson ended up winning 21% of the national primary vote but received only 8% of the delegates to the national convention, and he initially charged that his campaign was hurt by the same party rules that allowed Mondale to win. He also poured scorn on Mondale, saying that Hubert Humphrey was the "last significant politician out of the St. Paul-Minneapolis" area.[10]
Hart, from Colorado, was a more serious threat to Mondale, and after winning several early primaries it looked as if he might take the nomination away from Mondale. Hart finished a surprising second in the Iowa caucuses, with 16.5% of the vote. This established him as the main rival to Mondale, effectively eliminating John Glenn, Ernest Hollings and Alan Cranston as alternatives.[11] Hart criticized Mondale as an "old-fashioned" Great Society Democrat who symbolized "failed policies" of the past. Hart positioned himself (just as Bill Clinton would eight years later) as a younger, fresher, and more moderate Democrat who could appeal to younger voters. He emerged as a formidable candidate, winning the key New Hampshire, Ohio, and California primaries as well as several others, especially in the West. However, Hart could not overcome Mondale's financial and organizational advantages, especially among labor union leaders in the Midwest and industrial Northeast.
Hart was also badly hurt in a televised debate with Mondale during the primaries, when the former vice president used a popular television commercial slogan to ridicule Hart's vague "New Ideas" platform. Turning to Hart on camera, Mondale told Hart that whenever he heard Hart talk about his "New Ideas", he was reminded of the Wendy's fast-food slogan "Where's the beef?" The remark drew loud laughter and applause from the viewing audience and caught Hart off-guard. Hart never fully recovered from Mondale's charge that his "New Ideas" were shallow and lacking in specifics.
At a roundtable debate between the three remaining Democratic candidates moderated by Phil Donahue, Mondale and Hart got into such a heated argument over the issue of U.S. policy in Central America that Jackson had to tap his water glass on the table to help get them to stop.
Mondale gradually pulled away from Hart in the delegate count, but, as Time reported in late May, "Mondale ... has a wide lead in total delegates (1,564 to 941) ... because of his victories in the big industrial states, his support from the Democratic Establishment and the arcane provisions of delegate-selection rules that his vanguard helped draft two years ago."[12] After the final primary in California, on June 5, which Hart won, Mondale was about 40 delegates short of the total he needed for the nomination.[13] However, at the Democratic National Convention in San Francisco on July 16, Mondale received the overwhelming support of the unelected superdelegates from the party establishment to win the nomination.
Mondale's nomination marked the second time since the nomination of former governor of Georgia Jimmy Carter in 1976 and the fourth time since the nomination of former Representative John W. Davis in 1924 that the Democratic Party nominated a private citizen for president (not serving in an official government role at the time of the nomination and election). Mondale was the last private citizen to be nominated for president by the Democratic Party until former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in 2016. He was also the last former vice president to be nominated for president by the Democratic Party after leaving office until Joe Biden in 2020.
This race for the Democratic Party presidential nomination was the closest in two generations, and, as of 2020, it was the last occasion that a major party's race for the presidential nomination went all the way to its convention.
Endorsements
Note: These are only those endorsements which occurred during or before the primary race. Шаблон:Hidden begin Mondale had received endorsements from:
- United States House of Representatives
- Representative Jim Bates of California[14]
- Representative Edward Boland of Massachusetts[15]
- Representative Rick Boucher of Virginia[16]
- Representative Joseph D. Early of Massachusetts[15]
- Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts[15]
- Representative Robert García of New York[17]
- Representative Sam Gejdenson of Connecticut[15]
- Representative Tom Harkin of Iowa[18]
- Representative Joe Moakley of Massachusetts[15]
- Representative Charles B. Rangel of New York[19]
- Representative William R. Ratchford of Connecticut[15]
- Representative James Michael Shannon of Massachusetts[15]
- Governors and State Constitutional officers
- New York Attorney General Robert Abrams[17]
- Governor Mario Cuomo of New York[17]
- Lieutenant Governor Zell Miller of Georgia[20]
- Former officeholders
- Former President Jimmy Carter of Georgia[21]
- Former diplomats, board members and other officials
- Organizations and unions
- AFL–CIO[21]
- Alabama Democratic Conference[22]
- National Education Association[23]
- National Organization for Women[23]
- Current and former state and local officials and party officeholders
- Alabama
- Mayor Richard Arrington, Jr. of Birmingham[24]
- California
- Mayor and 1982 Democratic Gubernatorial nominee Tom Bradley of Los Angeles[25]
- Georgia
- State Senator Julian Bond[20]
- Illinois
- Former Alderman, President of the City Council, 1983 mayoral candidate, and Cook County Democratic Party Chairman Edward Vrdolyak of Chicago[26]
- Michigan
- Mayor Coleman Young of Detroit[25]
Шаблон:Hidden end Шаблон:Hidden begin Hart had received endorsements from:
- United States House of Representatives
- Representative Patricia Schroeder of Colorado[27]
- Representative Chuck Schumer of New York[28]
- Representative and 1976 Democratic presidential candidate Mo Udall of Arizona[29]
- Representative Henry A. Waxman of California[30]
- Celebrities, political activists, and political commentators
- Actor and director Warren Beatty[31]
Шаблон:Hidden end Шаблон:Hidden begin Jackson had received endorsements from:
- United States House of Representatives
- Delegate Walter E. Fauntroy of Washington, D.C.[32]
- Former officeholders
- Former Representative and 1972 Democratic presidential candidate Shirley Chisholm of New York[33]
- Former Governor Orval E. Faubus of Arkansas[34]
- Current and former state and local officials and party officeholders
- Alabama
- State Senator Michael Figures[35]
- Mayor Johnny Ford of Tuskegee[36]
- State Senator Earl Hilliard[36]
- State Senator Hank Sanders[24]
- Georgia
- State Representative Tyrone Brookes[37]
- Illinois
- Mayor Carl Officer of East St. Louis[37]
- Indiana
- Mayor Richard G. Hatcher of Gary[26]
- Washington, D.C.
- Mayor Marion Barry of Washington, D.C.[38]
- Organizations and unions
- Church of God in Christ[39]
- Nation of Islam[39]
- National Baptist Convention of America, Inc.[39]
- National Baptist Convention, USA, Inc.[40]
- National Farmers Alliance[33]
- National Hispanic Leadership Conference[33]
- Celebrities, political activists, and political commentators
- Muhammad Ali[41]
- 1980 presidential nominee of the Citizens Party Barry Commoner[42]
Шаблон:Hidden end Шаблон:Hidden begin Hollings had received endorsements from:
- United States Senate
- Former U.S. Senator Birch Bayh of Indiana[43]
- Former U.S. Senator William B. Spong, Jr. of Virginia[44]
- State Constitutional officers
- Lieutenant Governor Martha Griffiths of Michigan[45]
- State Senator Anna Belle Clement O'Brien of Tennessee[46]
- Lieutenant Governor Nancy Stevenson of South Carolina[45]
Шаблон:Hidden end Шаблон:Hidden begin Glenn had received endorsements from:
- United States Senate
- Senator Sam Nunn of Georgia[47]
- Senator Jim Sasser of Tennessee[48]
- Senator Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts[49]
- United States House of Representatives
- Representative Jerry Huckaby of Louisiana[15]
- Governors and State Constitutional officers
- Current and former state and local officials and party officeholders
- Georgia
- Commissioner of Agriculture Tommy Irvin[20]
- Texas
- State Representative Larry Walker[20]
- Celebrities
- Actor and director Warren Beatty[31]
Шаблон:Hidden end Шаблон:Hidden begin Cranston had received endorsements from:
- United States House of Representatives
- Representative William Lehman of Florida[15]
Шаблон:Hidden end Шаблон:Hidden begin Askew had received endorsements from:
- United States Senate
- Senator Lawton Chiles of Florida[24]
- United States House of Representatives
- Representative William V. Chappell, Jr. of Florida[15]
- Representative Dante Fascell of Florida[15]
- Representative Sam Gibbons of Florida[15]
- Representative Dan Mica of Florida[15]
- Governors and State Constitutional officers
- Governor Bob Graham of Florida[52]
- Current and former state and local officials and party officeholders
- Florida
- Mayor Eva Mack of West Palm Beach[53]
Convention
This was the convention's nomination tally:
Presidential ballot | Vice presidential ballot | ||
---|---|---|---|
Walter F. Mondale | 2,191 | Geraldine A. Ferraro | 3,920 |
Gary W. Hart | 1,200.5 | Shirley Chisholm | 3 |
Jesse L. Jackson | 465.5 | ||
Thomas F. Eagleton | 18 | ||
George S. McGovern | 4 | ||
John H. Glenn | 2 | ||
Lane Kirkland | 1 |
When he made his acceptance speech at the Democratic Convention, Mondale said: "Let's tell the truth. Mr. Reagan will raise taxes, and so will I. He won't tell you. I just did."[54] Although Mondale intended to expose Reagan as hypocritical and position himself as the honest candidate, the choice of raising taxes as a discussion point likely damaged his electoral chances.
Vice presidential nominee
Mondale wanted to establish a highly visible precedent with his vice presidential candidate. Mondale chose U.S. Rep. Geraldine A. Ferraro from New York as his running mate, making her the first woman and the first Catholic nominated for that position by a major party. Another reason for the nominee to "go for broke" instead of balancing the ticket was Reagan's lead in the polls. Mondale hoped to appeal to women, and by 1980, they were the majority of voters. In a "much criticized parade of possible Veep candidates" to his home in Minnesota, Mondale considered San Francisco Mayor Dianne Feinstein and Kentucky Governor Martha Layne Collins, also female; Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, an African American; and San Antonio Mayor Henry Cisneros, a Hispanic, as other finalists for the nomination. In addition to her sex, Mondale chose Ferraro because he hoped she would attract ethnic voters with her personal background.[10][55] Unsuccessful nomination candidate Jesse Jackson derided Mondale's vice-presidential screening process as a "P.R. parade of personalities", but praised Mondale for his choice, having himself pledged to name a woman to the ticket in the event he was nominated.
Mondale had wanted to choose New York Governor Mario Cuomo as his running mate, but Cuomo declined and recommended Ferraro,[56] his protégée.[57] Mondale might have named Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis as his running mate had he wanted to make a "safe" choice",Шаблон:R while others preferred Senator Lloyd Bentsen because he would appeal to more conservative Southern voters. Nomination rival Gary Hart stated before Ferraro's selection that he would accept an invitation to run with Mondale;Шаблон:R Hart's supporters claimed he would do better than Mondale against President Reagan, an argument undercut by a June 1984 Gallup poll that showed both men nine points behind the president.
Other parties
National Unity Party nomination
The National Unity Party was an outgrowth of John Anderson's presidential campaign from the 1980 presidential election. Anderson hoped that the party would be able to challenge the "two old parties", which he viewed as being tied to various special interest groups and incapable of responsible fiscal reform. The intention was to organize the new party in California, Oregon, Washington, Illinois, the New England states, and others where his previous candidacy had proven to have experienced the most success. The party was also eligible for $5.8 million in Federal election funds, but its qualification depended on it being on the ballot in at least ten states; however, it remained unclear if National Unity could actually obtain the funds, or if it needed to be Anderson himself.[58][59][60][61][62][63][64]
Anderson initially was against running, hoping that another notable politico would take the party into the 1984 election, and feared that his own candidacy might result in the party being labeled a "personality cult". However, no candidate came forward resulting in Anderson becoming the nominee in waiting. While Anderson had found equal support from the Republicans and Democrats in the 1980 election, the grand majority of the former had since switched back, resulting in the new party being supported principally by those who normally would vote Democratic, which it was feared might make him a spoiler candidate. In light of this, in addition to difficulties in getting on the ballot in his targeted states (Utah and Kentucky were the only two, neither among those he intended to prominently campaign in), Anderson ultimately declined to run. Later he would endorse the Democratic nominee, Walter Mondale.
Anderson had hoped that the party would continue to grow and later field a candidate in 1988 (which he declared would not be him), but it floundered and ultimately dissolved.
Libertarian Party nomination
- David Bergland, Party Chairman from California
- Gene Burns, talk radio host from Florida (withdrew – August 26, 1983)[65]
- Tonie Nathan, 1972 vice presidential nominee from Oregon (declined to contest)
- Earl Ravenal, foreign policy analyst, academic, and writer from Washington, D.C.
- Mary Ruwart, research scientist from Texas
Burns was the initial frontrunner for the nomination, but withdrew, citing concerns that the party would not be able to properly finance a campaign. The remaining candidates were Bergland; Ravenal, who had worked in the Department of Defense under Robert McNamara and Clark Clifford; and Ruwart. Bergland narrowly won the presidential nomination over Ravenal. His running mate was James A. Lewis. The ticket appeared on 39 state ballots.
Citizens Party nomination
Sonia Johnson ran in the 1984 presidential election, as the presidential candidate of the Citizens Party, Pennsylvania's Consumer Party and California's Peace and Freedom Party. Johnson received 72,161 votes (0.1%) finishing fifth. Her running mate for the Citizens Party was Richard Walton and for the Peace and Freedom Party Emma Wong Mar. One of her campaign managers, Mark Dunlea, later wrote a novel about a first female president, Madame President.
Communist Party nomination
The Communist Party USA ran Gus Hall for president and Angela Davis for vice president.
General election
Campaign
Mondale ran a liberal campaign, supporting a nuclear freeze and the Equal Rights Amendment (ERA). He spoke against what he considered to be unfairness in Reagan's economic policies and the need to reduce federal budget deficits.
While Ferraro's choice was popular among Democratic activists, polls immediately after the announcement showed that only 22% of women were pleased about her selection, versus 18% who agreed that it was a bad idea. 60% of all voters thought that pressure from women's groups had led to Mondale's decision, versus 22% who believed that he had chosen the best available candidate.Шаблон:R Some members of the hierarchy of the Roman Catholic Church criticized the Catholic Ferraro for being pro-choice on abortion. Already fighting an uphill battle with voters, Ferraro also faced a slew of allegations, mid-campaign, directed toward her husband, John Zaccaro. These allegations included Zaccaro's possible past involvement in organized crime, pornography distribution, and campaign contribution violations. Ferraro responded to these allegations against her husband by releasing her family tax returns to the media on August 21, 1984. However, the damage to the campaign was already done.Шаблон:R
At a campaign stop in Hammonton, New Jersey, Reagan said, "America's future rests in a thousand dreams inside your hearts. It rests in the message of hope in songs of a man so many young Americans admire, New Jersey's Bruce Springsteen." The Reagan campaign briefly used "Born in the U.S.A.", a song criticizing the treatment of Vietnam War veterans (which they mistakenly thought was devoid of anti-war content and a very jingoistic patriotic rock song), as a campaign song, without permission, until Springsteen, a lifelong Democrat, insisted that they stop.[66] Two of the more memorable Reagan campaign ads were commonly known as "Morning in America" and, after the difficult first debate for the president, "Bear in the woods".[67]
Reagan was the oldest president to have served to that time (at 73) and there were questions about his capacity to endure the grueling demands of the presidency, particularly after Reagan had a poor showing in the first 1984 United States presidential debates with Mondale on October 7. He referred to having started going to church "here in Washington", although the debate was in Louisville, Kentucky, referred to military uniforms as "wardrobe", and admitted to being "confused", among other mistakes.[68] In the next debate on October 21, however, in response to a question from journalist Henry Trewhitt[67] about his age, Reagan joked, "I will not make age an issue of this campaign. I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent's youth and inexperience." Mondale himself laughed at the joke,[69] and later admitted that Reagan had effectively neutralized the age issue:
Presidential debates
Шаблон:Main There were two presidential debates and one vice presidential debate during the 1984 general election.[70]
No. | Date | Host | Location | Panelists | Moderator | Participants | Viewership (millions) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P1 | Sunday, October 7, 1984 | The Kentucky Center | Louisville, Kentucky | James Wieghart Diane Sawyer Fred Barnes |
Barbara Walters | President Ronald Reagan Former Vice President Walter Mondale |
65.1[70] |
VP | Thursday, October 11, 1984 | Philadelphia Civic Center | Philadelphia | John Bashek Jack White Robert Boyd |
Sander Vanocur | Vice President George H. W. Bush Congresswoman Geraldine Ferraro |
56.7[70] |
P2 | Sunday, October 21, 1984 | Municipal Auditorium (Kansas City, Missouri) | Kansas City, Missouri | Georgie Anne Geyer Marvin Kalb Morton Kondracke |
Edwin Newman | President Ronald Reagan Former Vice President Walter Mondale |
67.3 [70] |
Results
-
Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
-
Results by congressional district
-
Margin of victory by state
Reagan was re-elected in the November 6 election in an electoral and popular vote landslide, winning 49 states by the time the ballots were finished counting on election night at 11:34 PM in Iowa. He won a record 525 electoral votes total (of 538 possible), and received 58.8% of the popular vote; despite Ferraro's selection, 55% of women who voted did so for Reagan,[71] and his 54 to 61% of the Catholic vote was the highest for a Republican candidate in history.[72] Mondale's 13 electoral college votes marked the lowest total of any major presidential candidate since Alf Landon's 1936 loss to Franklin D. Roosevelt, and the fewest of any Democrat since Stephen A. Douglas claimed 12 in the 1860 election, as well as the worst for a Democrat in a two-way race. However, Democrats Alton B. Parker, James M. Cox, John W. Davis, and George S. McGovern, did worse in the popular vote. The 1984 election remains the only election since the uncontested 1820 election that any candidate of any party won every state along the Atlantic Coast.
Psephologists attributed a factor of the Republican victory to "Reagan Democrats", millions of Democrats who voted for Reagan, as in 1980. They characterized such Reagan Democrats as southern whites and northern blue-collar workers who voted for Reagan because they credited him with the economic recovery, saw Reagan as strong on national security issues, and perceived the Democrats as supporting the poor and minorities at the expense of the middle class. The Democratic National Committee commissioned a study after the election that came to these conclusions, but destroyed all copies of the final report, afraid that it would offend the party's key voters.Шаблон:R Reagan also benefited from a near-total collapse in the third-party vote, which dropped to just 0.67% of the popular vote, its lowest level since 1964, with Bergland's campaign alone counting for over a third of this number, and none of the other third-party candidates exceeding 0.1% of the popular vote. Despite John B. Anderson's endorsement of Mondale, the majority of the people who voted for Anderson in 1980 voted for Reagan in this election, as did the majority of those who voted for Ed Clark in 1980.
When Reagan was asked in December 1984 what he wanted for Christmas he joked, "Well, Minnesota would have been nice".[73] Reagan lost Minnesota in both this election and in 1980, making it the only state he failed to win in either election, and also making him the first two-term Republican president not to carry Minnesota, and the same feat would later be duplicated by George W. Bush who won both the 2000 and 2004 elections without winning Minnesota either time. This is the last election where the Republican candidate achieved any of the following: Win every state in the Northeastern, Southern, and Pacific regions of the United States; win at least one county in every state; win any of the following states: Hawaii, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, and Washington; and win the following states twice: California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Washington, and Wisconsin.[74]
It was also the last election where the Republican nominee won Wisconsin until 2016, Iowa until 2004, West Virginia until 2000, the last election in which the winning candidate won by a double-digit margin in the percentage of the popular vote, and the last election where the winning candidate won by an eight-digit margin in total popular votes (10 million or more).[74] Finally, despite his narrow loss in Minnesota, Reagan still won in five out of its eight congressional districts (by contrast, Nixon had only carried one Massachusetts district twelve years earlier) thus making Reagan the only U.S. presidential candidate in history to win the popular vote in a majority of congressional districts in every state. In stark contrast, Mondale became the first major-party U.S. presidential candidate since the start of popular presidential elections not to win a majority of the popular vote in even a single state (not counting Stephen A. Douglas in 1860, and William H. Taft in 1912, elections which were both complicated by strong third-party performances, plus the Democratic vote being divided between Douglas and John C. Breckinridge in 1860), having only won a plurality of 49.7% of the vote in Minnesota.
The 525 electoral votes received by Reagan – the most ever received by a nominee in one election – added to the 489 electoral votes he achieved in 1980, gave him the most total electoral votes received by any candidate who was elected to the office of president twice (1,014), and the third largest number of electoral votes received by any candidate who was elected to the office of president behind Richard Nixon's 1,040 and Franklin D. Roosevelt's 1,876 total electoral votes.
Statistics
Шаблон:Start U.S. presidential ticket box Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box row Шаблон:U.S. presidential ticket box other
Шаблон:End U.S. presidential ticket box
Source for the popular vote:[75]
Source for the electoral vote:[76]
Results by state
States/districts won by Reagan/Bush | |
States/districts won by Mondale/Ferraro | |
† | At-large results (Maine used the Congressional District Method) |
Ronald Reagan Republican |
Walter Mondale Democratic |
David Bergland Libertarian |
Margin | State total | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | electoral votes |
# | % | electoral votes |
# | % | electoral votes |
# | % | electoral votes |
# | % | # | |
Alabama | 9 | 872,849 | 60.54 | 9 | 551,899 | 38.28 | – | 9,504 | 0.66 | – | 320,950 | 22.26 | 1,441,713 | AL |
Alaska | 3 | 138,377 | 66.65 | 3 | 62,007 | 29.87 | – | 6,378 | 3.07 | – | 76,370 | 36.79 | 207,605 | AK |
Arizona | 7 | 681,416 | 66.42 | 7 | 333,854 | 32.54 | – | 10,585 | 1.03 | – | 347,562 | 33.88 | 1,025,897 | AZ |
Arkansas | 6 | 534,774 | 60.47 | 6 | 338,646 | 38.29 | – | 2,221 | 0.25 | – | 196,128 | 22.18 | 884,406 | AR |
California | 47 | 5,467,009 | 57.51 | 47 | 3,922,519 | 41.27 | – | 49,951 | 0.53 | – | 1,544,490 | 16.25 | 9,505,423 | CA |
Colorado | 8 | 821,818 | 63.44 | 8 | 454,974 | 35.12 | – | 11,257 | 0.87 | – | 366,844 | 28.32 | 1,295,381 | CO |
Connecticut | 8 | 890,877 | 60.73 | 8 | 569,597 | 38.83 | – | – | – | – | 321,280 | 21.90 | 1,466,900 | CT |
Delaware | 3 | 152,190 | 59.78 | 3 | 101,656 | 39.93 | – | 268 | 0.11 | – | 50,534 | 19.85 | 254,572 | DE |
D.C. | 3 | 29,009 | 13.73 | – | 180,408 | 85.38 | 3 | 279 | 0.13 | – | −151,399 | −71.66 | 211,288 | DC |
Florida | 21 | 2,730,350 | 65.32 | 21 | 1,448,816 | 34.66 | – | 754 | 0.02 | – | 1,281,534 | 30.66 | 4,180,051 | FL |
Georgia | 12 | 1,068,722 | 60.17 | 12 | 706,628 | 39.79 | – | 151 | 0.01 | – | 362,094 | 20.39 | 1,776,093 | GA |
Hawaii | 4 | 185,050 | 55.10 | 4 | 147,154 | 43.82 | – | 2,167 | 0.65 | – | 37,896 | 11.28 | 335,846 | HI |
Idaho | 4 | 297,523 | 72.36 | 4 | 108,510 | 26.39 | – | 2,823 | 0.69 | – | 189,013 | 45.97 | 411,144 | ID |
Illinois | 24 | 2,707,103 | 56.17 | 24 | 2,086,499 | 43.30 | – | 10,086 | 0.21 | – | 620,604 | 12.88 | 4,819,088 | IL |
Indiana | 12 | 1,377,230 | 61.67 | 12 | 841,481 | 37.68 | – | 6,741 | 0.30 | – | 535,749 | 23.99 | 2,233,069 | IN |
Iowa | 8 | 703,088 | 53.27 | 8 | 605,620 | 45.89 | – | 1,844 | 0.14 | – | 97,468 | 7.39 | 1,319,805 | IA |
Kansas | 7 | 677,296 | 66.27 | 7 | 333,149 | 32.60 | – | 3,329 | 0.33 | – | 344,147 | 33.67 | 1,021,991 | KS |
Kentucky | 9 | 822,782 | 60.04 | 9 | 539,589 | 39.37 | – | – | – | – | 283,193 | 20.66 | 1,370,461 | KY |
Louisiana | 10 | 1,037,299 | 60.77 | 10 | 651,586 | 38.18 | – | 1,876 | 0.11 | – | 385,713 | 22.60 | 1,706,822 | LA |
Maine | 2 | 336,500 | 60.83 | 2 | 214,515 | 38.78 | – | – | – | – | 121,985 | 22.05 | 553,144 | ME |
Maine-1 | 1 | 175,472 | 59.90 | 1 | 117,450 | 40.10 | – | – | – | – | 58,022 | 19.81 | 292,922 | ME1 |
Maine-2 | 1 | 161,028 | 62.39 | 1 | 97,065 | 37.61 | – | – | – | – | 63,963 | 24.78 | 258,093 | ME2 |
Maryland | 10 | 879,918 | 52.51 | 10 | 787,935 | 47.02 | – | 5,721 | 0.34 | – | 91,983 | 5.49 | 1,675,873 | MD |
Massachusetts | 13 | 1,310,936 | 51.22 | 13 | 1,239,606 | 48.43 | – | – | – | – | 71,330 | 2.79 | 2,559,453 | MA |
Michigan | 20 | 2,251,571 | 59.23 | 20 | 1,529,638 | 40.24 | – | 10,055 | 0.26 | – | 721,933 | 18.99 | 3,801,658 | MI |
Minnesota | 10 | 1,032,603 | 49.54 | – | 1,036,364 | 49.72 | 10 | 2,996 | 0.14 | – | −3,761 | −0.18 | 2,084,449 | MN |
Mississippi | 7 | 581,477 | 61.85 | 7 | 352,192 | 37.46 | – | 2,336 | 0.25 | – | 229,285 | 24.39 | 940,192 | MS |
Missouri | 11 | 1,274,188 | 60.02 | 11 | 848,583 | 39.98 | – | – | – | – | 425,605 | 20.05 | 2,122,771 | MO |
Montana | 4 | 232,450 | 60.47 | 4 | 146,742 | 38.18 | – | 5,185 | 1.35 | – | 85,708 | 22.30 | 384,377 | MT |
Nebraska | 5 | 460,054 | 70.55 | 5 | 187,866 | 28.81 | – | 2,079 | 0.32 | – | 272,188 | 41.74 | 652,090 | NE |
Nevada | 4 | 188,770 | 65.85 | 4 | 91,655 | 31.97 | – | 2,292 | 0.80 | – | 97,115 | 33.88 | 286,667 | NV |
New Hampshire | 4 | 267,051 | 68.66 | 4 | 120,395 | 30.95 | – | 735 | 0.19 | – | 146,656 | 37.71 | 388,954 | NH |
New Jersey | 16 | 1,933,630 | 60.09 | 16 | 1,261,323 | 39.20 | – | 6,416 | 0.20 | – | 672,307 | 20.89 | 3,217,862 | NJ |
New Mexico | 5 | 307,101 | 59.70 | 5 | 201,769 | 39.23 | – | 4,459 | 0.87 | – | 105,332 | 20.48 | 514,370 | NM |
New York | 36 | 3,664,763 | 53.84 | 36 | 3,119,609 | 45.83 | – | 11,949 | 0.18 | – | 545,154 | 8.01 | 6,806,810 | NY |
North Carolina | 13 | 1,346,481 | 61.90 | 13 | 824,287 | 37.89 | – | 3,794 | 0.17 | – | 522,194 | 24.00 | 2,175,361 | NC |
North Dakota | 3 | 200,336 | 64.84 | 3 | 104,429 | 33.80 | – | 703 | 0.23 | – | 95,907 | 31.04 | 308,971 | ND |
Ohio | 23 | 2,678,560 | 58.90 | 23 | 1,825,440 | 40.14 | – | 5,886 | 0.13 | – | 853,120 | 18.76 | 4,547,619 | OH |
Oklahoma | 8 | 861,530 | 68.61 | 8 | 385,080 | 30.67 | – | 9,066 | 0.72 | – | 476,450 | 37.94 | 1,255,676 | OK |
Oregon | 7 | 685,700 | 55.91 | 7 | 536,479 | 43.74 | – | – | – | – | 149,221 | 12.17 | 1,226,527 | OR |
Pennsylvania | 25 | 2,584,323 | 53.34 | 25 | 2,228,131 | 45.99 | – | 6,982 | 0.14 | – | 356,192 | 7.35 | 4,844,903 | PA |
Rhode Island | 4 | 212,080 | 51.66 | 4 | 197,106 | 48.02 | – | 277 | 0.07 | – | 14,974 | 3.65 | 410,492 | RI |
South Carolina | 8 | 615,539 | 63.55 | 8 | 344,470 | 35.57 | – | 4,360 | 0.45 | – | 271,069 | 27.99 | 968,540 | SC |
South Dakota | 3 | 200,267 | 63.00 | 3 | 116,113 | 36.53 | – | – | – | – | 84,154 | 26.47 | 317,867 | SD |
Tennessee | 11 | 990,212 | 57.84 | 11 | 711,714 | 41.57 | – | 3,072 | 0.18 | – | 278,498 | 16.27 | 1,711,993 | TN |
Texas | 29 | 3,433,428 | 63.61 | 29 | 1,949,276 | 36.11 | – | – | – | – | 1,484,152 | 27.50 | 5,397,571 | TX |
Utah | 5 | 469,105 | 74.50 | 5 | 155,369 | 24.68 | – | 2,447 | 0.39 | – | 313,736 | 49.83 | 629,656 | UT |
Vermont | 3 | 135,865 | 57.92 | 3 | 95,730 | 40.81 | – | 1,002 | 0.43 | – | 40,135 | 17.11 | 234,561 | VT |
Virginia | 12 | 1,337,078 | 62.29 | 12 | 796,250 | 37.09 | – | – | – | – | 540,828 | 25.19 | 2,146,635 | VA |
Washington | 10 | 1,051,670 | 55.82 | 10 | 807,352 | 42.86 | – | 8,844 | 0.47 | – | 244,318 | 12.97 | 1,883,910 | WA |
West Virginia | 6 | 405,483 | 55.11 | 6 | 328,125 | 44.60 | – | – | – | – | 77,358 | 10.51 | 735,742 | WV |
Wisconsin | 11 | 1,198,800 | 54.19 | 11 | 995,847 | 45.02 | – | 4,884 | 0.22 | – | 202,953 | 9.18 | 2,212,016 | WI |
Wyoming | 3 | 133,241 | 70.51 | 3 | 53,370 | 28.24 | – | 2,357 | 1.25 | – | 79,871 | 42.27 | 188,968 | WY |
TOTALS: | 538 | 54,455,472 | 58.77 | 525 | 37,577,352 | 40.56 | 13 | 228,111 | 0.25 | – | 16,878,120 | 18.22 | 92,653,233 | US |
Maine allowed its electoral votes to be split between candidates. Two electoral votes were awarded to the winner of the statewide race and one electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. Reagan won all four votes.
Close states
Margin of victory less than 1% (10 electoral votes):
- Minnesota, 0.18% (3,761 votes)
Margin of victory more than 1%, but less than 5% (17 electoral votes):[79][80]
- Massachusetts, 2.79% (71,330 votes)
- Rhode Island, 3.65% (14,974 votes)
Margin of victory more than 5%, but less than 10% (90 electoral votes):[79][80]
- Maryland, 5.49% (91,983 votes)
- Pennsylvania, 7.35% (356,192 votes)
- Iowa, 7.38% (97,468 votes)
- New York, 8.01% (545,154 votes)
- Wisconsin, 9.17% (202,953 votes)
Tipping point:
- Michigan, 18.99% (721,933 votes)
Counties
Counties with highest percent of vote (Republican)
- Madison County, Idaho 92.88%
- Hansford County, Texas 89.38%
- Ochiltree County, Texas 89.15%
- Grant County, Nebraska 88.45%
- Blaine County, Nebraska 88.32%
Counties with highest percent of vote (Democratic)
- Washington, D.C. 85.38%
- Macon County, Alabama 82.71%
- Shannon County, South Dakota 81.41%
- Jefferson County, Mississippi 77.94%
- Hancock County, Georgia 76.61%
Voter demographics
The 1984 presidential vote by demographic subgroup | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demographic subgroup | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mondale | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Reagan | % of total vote | |||
Total vote | 41 | 59 | 100 | |||
Ideology | ||||||
Moderates | 46 | 54 | 42 | |||
Liberals | 71 | 29 | 16 | |||
Conservatives | 18 | 82 | 33 | |||
Party | ||||||
Democrats | 74 | 26 | 38 | |||
Republicans | 7 | 93 | 35 | |||
Independents | 36 | 62 | 26 | |||
Gender | ||||||
Men | 38 | 62 | 47 | |||
Women | 42 | 58 | 53 | |||
Race | ||||||
White | 34 | 66 | 86 | |||
Black | 91 | 9 | 10 | |||
Hispanic | 66 | 34 | 3 | |||
Age | ||||||
18–24 years old | 39 | 61 | 11 | |||
25–29 years old | 43 | 57 | 12 | |||
30–49 years old | 42 | 58 | 34 | |||
50–64 years old | 39 | 61 | 23 | |||
65 and older | 36 | 64 | 19 | |||
Family income | ||||||
Under $12,500 | 54 | 46 | 15 | |||
$12,500–25,000 | 42 | 58 | 27 | |||
$25,000–35,000 | 40 | 60 | 20 | |||
$35,000–50,000 | 32 | 68 | 17 | |||
Over $50,000 | 31 | 69 | 12 | |||
Region | ||||||
East | 46 | 53 | 26 | |||
Midwest | 39 | 61 | 30 | |||
South | 37 | 63 | 27 | |||
West | 38 | 62 | 17 | |||
Union households | ||||||
Union | 54 | 46 | 26 |
Source: CBS News and The New York Times exit poll from the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research (9,174 surveyed)[81]
Notable expressions and phrases
- Where's the beef?: A slogan used by Wendy's to suggest that their competitors have smaller portions of meat in their sandwiches, but used in the Democratic primaries by Mondale to criticize Gary Hart's positions as lacking substance.
- Morning in America: Slogan used by the Reagan campaign.
See also
- 1984 United States Senate elections
- 1984 United States House of Representatives elections
- 1984 United States gubernatorial elections
- History of the United States (1980–1991)
- Second inauguration of Ronald Reagan
References
Notes
Further reading
- Boyd, Richard W., Paul R. Mencher, Philip J. Paseltiner, Ezra Paul, Alexander S. Vanda, "The 1984 Election as Anthony Downs and Stanley Kelley Might Interpret It", Political Behavior, Vol. 10, No. 3 (Autumn, 1988), pp. 197–213.
- Goldman, Peter, et al. The quest for the presidency 1984 (1985) online
- Johnstone, Andrew, and Andrew Priest, eds. US Presidential Elections and Foreign Policy: Candidates, Campaigns, and Global Politics from FDR to Bill Clinton (2017) pp 271–292. online
- Шаблон:Cite journal
- Шаблон:Cite book
- Шаблон:Cite book
- Шаблон:Cite book
- Шаблон:Cite book
- Шаблон:Cite book
External links
- The Election Wall's 1984 election video page
- 1984 popular vote by counties
- 1984 popular vote by states
- 1984 popular vote by states (with bar graphs)
- Campaign commercials from the 1984 election
- Шаблон:Webarchive
- Election of 1984 in Counting the Votes Шаблон:Webarchive
Шаблон:State results of the 1984 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:1984 United States presidential election Шаблон:1984 United States elections Шаблон:USPresidentialElections Шаблон:Ronald Reagan Шаблон:George H. W. Bush Шаблон:Authority control
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite book
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite book
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 15,00 15,01 15,02 15,03 15,04 15,05 15,06 15,07 15,08 15,09 15,10 15,11 15,12 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 17,0 17,1 17,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 20,0 20,1 20,2 20,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 21,0 21,1 21,2 21,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 23,0 23,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 24,0 24,1 24,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 25,0 25,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 26,0 26,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 31,0 31,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 33,0 33,1 33,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 36,0 36,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 37,0 37,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 39,0 39,1 39,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 45,0 45,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite magazine
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ The New York Times, June 11, 1983
- ↑ The New York Times, November 9, 1983
- ↑ The New York Times, April 20, 1984
- ↑ The New York Times, April 27, 1984
- ↑ The New York Times, May 4, 1984
- ↑ The New York Times, August 28, 1984
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite magazine
- ↑ 67,0 67,1 Baker, Peter and Susan Glasser, The Man Who Ran Washington: The Life and Times of James A. Baker III (Doubleday, NY: 2020), pp. 238-243.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite episodeШаблон:Cbignore
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite videoШаблон:Cbignore
- ↑ 70,0 70,1 70,2 70,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite book
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 74,0 74,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Leip PV source 2
- ↑ Шаблон:National Archives EV source
- ↑ 77,0 77,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite book
- ↑ 79,0 79,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 80,0 80,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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