Английская Википедия:1988 Manitoba general election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:More citations needed Шаблон:Infobox election The 1988 Manitoba general election was held on April 26, 1988 to elect Members of the Legislative Assembly of the Province of Manitoba, Canada. It resulted in a minority government. The Progressive Conservative Party won 25 seats, against 20 for the Liberal Party and 12 for the New Democratic Party.

Background

The election was called unexpectedly in early 1988, after disgruntled NDP backbencher Jim Walding voted against his government's budget on March 9, 1988. With former cabinet minister Laurent Desjardins having essentially abandoned his seat earlier in the year, the Legislative Assembly was almost evenly divided. Walding's defection thus resulted in Howard Pawley's NDP government being defeated, 28 votes to 27. As the budget vote was a confidence measure, the Pawley ministry was forced to resign and call new elections two years ahead of schedule.

Popular support for the NDP was at an historically low level when the election was called, due to soaring Autopac rates and a taxpayer-funded bailout of the Manitoba Telephone System. The Pawley government's support for the Meech Lake Accord was also unpopular in some circles. One internal poll had the party at only 6% support, and there were concerns that they could be reduced to only two or three seats in the 57-seat legislature. Pawley resigned as party leader on the day after the budget defeat, and Urban Affairs Minister Gary Doer narrowly defeated Agriculture Minister Leonard Harapiak to replace him at a party convention held during the campaign.

Pawley himself announced he would enter federal politics and did not seek re-election in his own seat. In an unusual arrangement, the outgoing premier remained in office until after the election. Even after Doer's selection, the consensus was that the NDP would not be reelected. However, they managed to stabilize at around 20% in the polls. Many traditional NDP voters, especially in the city of Winnipeg, abandoned the party to support the Liberals in this cycle.

Issues

The Progressive Conservatives, led by Gary Filmon, ran on a platform of saving revenue by selling public corporations, including ManOil and Manfor. Filmon also promised to scrap the province's Public Investment Corporation entirely. The Liberals also promised more prudent fiscal management, but did not propose to sell these crown corporations. Liberal leader Sharon Carstairs was also known as a prominent opponent of the Meech Lake Accord.

The NDP, which retained a support base in the north of the province, promised to create northern training centres in Thompson and The Pas.

The national abortion debate also surfaced in this campaign, although none of the major parties put forward a clear position on the issue. Although Filmon was personally anti-abortion, the Progressive Conservatives were unwilling to propose specific action on the subject, and withdrew from an early promise to close Henry Morgentaler's private clinic. The Liberals favoured counselling, including a focus on adoption. The NDP emphasized prevention and support services for poorer women who choose to continue their pregnancies.

Campaign

The Progressive Conservatives entered the election with a significant lead in the polls, but saw their support undercut by the Liberals in the campaign's final weeks. Before the party leaders' debate, a Winnipeg Free Press poll indicated that 40% of voters considered Liberal leader Sharon Carstairs as the best choice for Premier, with 24% favouring Progressive Conservative Gary Filmon and 19% favouring NDP leader Gary Doer. 17% were undecided.

Carstairs performed well in the leaders' debate, and did much to improve her party's popularity as the campaign reached its end.

Opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level

Polling firm	Last day of survey	Source	PCMB	MLP	MNDP	Other	Шаблон:Abbr	Sample
			style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;" data-sort-type="number"|	style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;" data-sort-type="number"|	style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;" data-sort-type="number"|	style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;" data-sort-type="number"|
Election 1988	April 26, 1988		38.37	35.52	23.62	2.49
University of Manitoba Research Ltd.	February 1988		50.4	22.8	25.4	Шаблон:N/A	Шаблон:N/A	Шаблон:N/A
University of Manitoba Research Ltd.	October 10, 1987		36.7	23.3	37.3	Шаблон:N/A	3,0	1090
University of Manitoba Research Ltd.	June 1987		35.9	18.7	40.3	Шаблон:N/A	3,0	1005
Western Opinion Research	April 1987		36	28	33	Шаблон:N/A	4,5	500
University of Manitoba Research Ltd.	February 1987		32.4	16.6	45.6	Шаблон:N/A	3,0	988
Election 1986	March 18, 1986		40.56	13.92	41.50	4.02

Results

The Liberal Party performed well in Winnipeg, winning 19 out of 29 seats in that city and picking up ridings from both the NDP and Tories, and nearly managed to oust Filmon in his riding of Tuxedo, in south-central Winnipeg. The party won only one seat outside Winnipeg, however—Pawley's former seat of Selkirk, centred on the community of the same name just north of Winnipeg. It was and still is the party's best showing in an election since the then Liberal-Progressives won their last majority in 1953.

In terms of the popular vote, the Progressive Conservatives actually lost support from the last election, however they dominated the rural southern portion of the province, a traditional Tory stronghold. They made some inroads into traditional NDP territory immediately north of Winnipeg. The party also won six seats in Winnipeg, and took the northern seat of Swan River from the NDP.

The New Democrats managed to retain four seats in Winnipeg, five in the north, the mid-northern ridings of Dauphin and Interlake, and Brandon East in the south of the province. It is still the worst defeat that an NDP government has suffered in Manitoba.

Exit polls later revealed that new voters (i.e., immigrants and first-time voters) had polled strongly for the Liberals in Winnipeg.

Although Pawley had retired from politics and his party was reduced to third place, by constitutional convention he retained the right to remain in office until the NDP was defeated in the legislature, as well as the right to advise whether Lieutenant Governor George Johnson should appoint Filmon or Carstairs as the new premier upon leaving office. Doer also could have attempted to negotiate a coalition with the Liberals. Instead, he informally reached a deal with Filmon in which the NDP would tolerate a Tory minority government. As a result, Pawley finally resigned as Premier of Manitoba on May 9 and advised Johnson to appoint Filmon his successor. Filmon was duly sworn in later that day after advising Johnson that he could form a government.

Party		Party Leader	# of candidates	Seats			Popular Vote
				Before1	Elected	% Change	#	%	Change	Progressive Conservative	Gary Filmon	57	26	25	-3.85%	206,180	38.37%	-2.19	Liberal	Sharon Carstairs	57	1	20	+1900%	190,913	35.52%	+21.60	New Democratic	Gary Doer	57	30	12	-60.0%	126,954	23.62%	-17.88	Dennis Heeney	14	-	-	-	7,100	1.32%	-1.12	Fred Cameron	16	-	-	-	2,442	0.45%	+0.45	Sidney Green	6	-	-	-	975	0.18%	-0.33	Clancy Smith	6	-	-	-	501	0.09%	+0.09	Lorne Robson	5	-	-	-	261	0.05%	-0.03	Independent		11	2	-	-100%	2,084	0.39%	-0.46
Total			229	57	57	-	537,410	100%

¹ "Before" refers to standings in the Legislature at dissolution, and not to the results of the previous election. These numbers therefore reflect changes in party standings as a result of by-elections and members crossing the floor.Шаблон:Bar boxШаблон:Bar box

Riding results

Шаблон:Canadian politics/candlist header |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Arthur | |Goldwyn Jones
575 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Downey
4,359 | |Douglas Mosset
2,171 | |Ross Meggison (CoR)
863 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Downey |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Assiniboia | |Robert Johannson
1,031 | |Ric Nordman
3,731 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Ed Mandrake
3,918 | |Linda Cress (WIP)
166 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Ric Nordman |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Brandon East |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Leonard Evans
3,512 | |Jim Armstrong
2,859 | |Lois Fjeldsted
2,260 | |Garth Shurvell (Ind)
208 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Leonard Evans |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Brandon West | |Ishbel Solvason
2,313 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |James McCrae
5,039 | |John Worley
3,618 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |James McCrae |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Burrows | |Doug Martindale
3,005 | |Allan Yap
1,040 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |William Chornopyski
3,114 | |Michael Kibzey (Ind)
129
Lorne Robson (Comm)
79 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Conrad Santos |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Charleswood | |Bruno Zimmer
1,180 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Ernst
6,670 | |Shari Nelson
5,850 | |David Hollins (Ind)
158 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Ernst |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Churchill |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jay Cowan
2,396 | |Wayne Wittmeier
1,019 | |George Kernaghan
714 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jay Cowan |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Concordia |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gary Doer
3,702 | |Vic Rubiletz
2,634 | |Barbara Blomeley
2,948 | |Bill Seman (Ind)
358
Fred Cameron (WIP)
114
Charles Henry (P)
61 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gary Doer |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Dauphin |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |John Plohman
3,983 | |Russell Secord
3,435 | |Peter Rampton
2,475 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |John Plohman |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Ellice | |Harvey Smith
2,457 | |Alex Arenson
1,538 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Avis Gray
3,081 | |Susan Caine (WIP)
109

|Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harvey Smith |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Elmwood |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Maloway
3,012 | |Frank Syms
1,920 | |Ed Price
2,839 | |Russ Letkeman (Lbt)
113 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Maloway |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Emerson | |Kurt Penner
1,407 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Albert Driedger
5,027 | |Martin Stadler
2,615 | |Jake Wall (CoR)
366 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Albert Driedger |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Flin Flon |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jerry Storie
2,948 | |Gordon Mitchell
1,563 | |Brian King
867 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jerry Storie |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fort Garry | |Brian Pannell
1,553 | |Charlie Birt
5,173 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Laurie Evans
6,055 | |Ivan Merritt (WIP)
173
Millie Lamb (Comm)
45 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Charlie Birt |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"| Fort Rouge | |Roland Penner
2,912 | |Robert Haier
2,303 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Carr
5,127 | |Gordon Pratt (P)
75
Dennis Owens (Lbt)
66 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Roland Penner |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Gimli | |John Bucklaschuk
3,352 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Ed Helwer
4,716 | |Morley Murray
2,347 | |Eugene Klochko (WIP)
261 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |John Bucklaschuk |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Gladstone | |Fred Tait
509 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Charlotte Oleson
3,760 | |Cordell Barker
2,132 | |Brian Hildebrandt (CoR)
759 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Charlotte Oleson |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Inkster | |Don Scott
4,098 | |Resty Taruc
2,151 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Kevin Lamoureux
4,466 | |Nancy Watkins (Comm)
64 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Don Scott |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Interlake |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Bill Uruski
3,057 | |Ed Dandeneau
2,810 | |Clyde Sigurdson
1,777 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Bill Uruski |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kildonan | |Marty Dolin
4,542 | |John Baluta
5,068 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gulzar Cheema
5,653 | |Sidney Green (P)
445
Tracy Fuhr (WIP)
133 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Marty Dolin |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kirkfield Park | |Hamish Gavin
868 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gerrie Hammond
5,269 | |Irene Friesen
5,014 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gerrie Hammond |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lac du Bonnet | |Clarence Baker
2,911 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Darren Praznik
3,773 | |Peter Raymond
2,411 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Clarence Baker |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lakeside | |Eduard Hiebert
972 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harry Enns
4,475 | |Delmer Nott
2,828 | |Cam Baldwin (CoR)
864 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harry Enns |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|La Verendrye | |Walter McDowell
708 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Helmut Pankratz
4,377 | |Cornelius E. Goertzen
2,948 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Helmut Pankratz |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Logan |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Maureen Hemphill
2,646 | |Linda Thomson
1,085 | |John Dobbin
1,660 | |Barry Marchand (Ind)
81
Frank Goldspink (Comm)
46 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Maureen Hemphill |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Minnedosa | |Susan Proven
1,476 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harold Gilleshammer
3,669 | |Terry Drebit
2,496 | |Dennis Heeney (CoR)
820 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Dave Blake |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Morris | |Clifford Hodgins
449 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Clayton Manness
4,578 | |Barbara Plas
1,832 | |Raymond Switzer (CoR)
597
Jeffrey Plas (Ind)
57 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Clayton Manness |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Niakwa | |Stan Williams
2,026 | |Abe Kovnats
7,222 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Herold Driedger
8,576 | |Lyle Cruickshank (WIP)
237 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Abe Kovnats |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Osborne | |Muriel Smith
2,753 | |Rosemary Vodrey
2,421 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Reg Alcock
4,334 | |Clancy Smith (Lbt)
145 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Muriel Smith |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Pembina | |Hans Wittich
382 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Don Orchard
6,043 | |Marilyn Skubovius
2,171 | |Abe Giesbrecht (CoR)
499 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Don Orchard |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Portage la Prairie | |Bill Zettler
722 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Ed Connery
4,020 | |Darlene Hamm
2,812 | |Irene Armishaw (CoR)
603 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Ed Connery |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Radisson | |Gerard Lecuyer
3,113 | |John Samborski
3,049 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Allan Patterson
4,918 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gerard Lecuyer |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Rhineland | |Reg Loeppky
341 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jack Penner
5,166 | |Walter Hebert
1,059 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Arnold Brown |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Riel | |Bob Ages
1,834 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gerry Ducharme
4,289 | |Chris Sigurdson
3,965 | |John Hiebert (CoR)
121
Neil Knight (WIP)
75 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gerry Ducharme |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|River East | |Michael Dyck
3,019 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Bonnie Mitchelson
7,563 | |Morley Golden
3,805 | |Niel Friesen (WIP)
233 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Bonnie Mitchelson |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|River Heights | |Harry Daniels
1,036 | |Bob Vandewater
3,373 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Sharon Carstairs
6,620 | |Jim Weidman (Lbt)
62 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Sharon Carstairs |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Roblin-Russell | |Dennis Trinder
1,973 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Len Derkach
4,030 | |Neil Stewart
2,513 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Len Derkach |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Rossmere | |Vic Schroeder
3,424 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harold Neufeld
3,950 | |Cecilia Connelly
2,851 | |Chris Dondo (WIP)
146 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Vic Schroeder |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Rupertsland |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Elijah Harper
2,206 | |Joe Guy Wood
1,419 | |Maurice Berens
638 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Elijah Harper |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Boniface | |Lorette Beaudry-Ferland
2,061 | |Guy Savoie
1,586 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Neil Gaudry
5,743 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Laurent Desjardins |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. James | |Allan MacDonald
2,171 | |Jae Eadie
3,360 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Paul Edwards
3,939 | |Fred Debrecen (CoR)
137
Charles Lamont (P)
74
Dennis Rice (Lbt)
69
Merle Hartlin (WIP)
62 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Al Mackling |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Johns |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Judy Wasylycia-Leis
3,092 | |Lynn Filbert
1,222 | |Ruth Oberman
2,480 | |Cyril Fogel (P)
171
Roy Price (Ind)
68
Gerald Zucawich (Ind)
35 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Judy Wasylycia-Leis |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Norbert | |Bennetta Benson
1,460 | |Gerry Mercier
5,695 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |John Angus
6,073 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gerry Mercier |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. Vital | |Gerri Unwin
2,282 | |Paul Herriot
3,614 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Bob Rose
4,431 | |Katharina Cameron (WIP)
123
Trevor Wiebe (Lbt)
46 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Jim Walding |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Ste. Rose | |Gerald Follows
1,464 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Glen Cummings
3,723 | |Brent Johnson
2,631 | |David Mutch
249 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Glen Cummings |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Selkirk | |Terry Sargeant
3,637 | |Eugene Kinaschuk
3,138 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gwen Charles
3,821 | |Ruth VanKoeveringe (WIP)
214 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Howard Pawley |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Seven Oaks | |Eugene Kostyra
3,553 | |George Finkle
1,636 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Mark Minenko
3,885 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Eugene Kostyra |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Springfield | |Andy Anstett
3,749 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gilles Roch
5,815 | |Lance Laufer
3,806 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gilles Roch |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Sturgeon Creek | |Len Sawatsky
993 | |Frank Johnston
4,174 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Iva Yeo
4,833 | |Hugh Buskell (CoR)
158
Nigel Hanrahan (Comm)
27 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Frank Johnston |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Swan River | |Len Harapiak
3,446 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Parker Burrell
4,115 | |Don Dennis
653 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Len Harapiak |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|The Pas |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harry Harapiak
3,221 | |Bruce Unfried
1,584 | |Scott Gray
1,426 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harry Harapiak |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Thompson |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Steve Ashton
2,992 | |Ken Collin
1,989 | |Janice Pronteau
1,240 | | |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Steve Ashton |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Transcona | |Wilson Parasiuk
3,191 | |Bill Omiucke
2,270 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Richard Kozak
3,900 | |Ray Hargreaves (Ind)
121 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Wilson Parasiuk |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Turtle Mountain | |John Miller
446 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Denis Rocan
3,208 | |Ross McMillan
2,610 | |Rod Stephenson (Ind)
767
Harold Parsonage (CoR)
476
Bill Harrison (Ind)
102
William Comer (WIP)
87 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Denis Rocan |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Tuxedo | |Catherine Hofman
714 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gary Filmon
6,427 | |Jasper McKee
6,303 | |R. EisBrenner (WIP)
149 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Gary Filmon |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Virden | |Louise Leask
967 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Glen Findlay
4,459 | |Bill Davison
2,043 | |Alex Gabrielle (CoR)
588
Terry Drul (WIP)
160 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Glen Findlay |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Wolseley | |Myrna Phillips
3,112 | |Kirk Stanley
1,579 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Harold Taylor
3,618 | |Derek Shettler (P)
149 |Шаблон:Canadian party colour| |Myrna Phillips |- |}

Post-election changes

Gilles Roch (PC) becomes (L) on September 8, 1988.

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling	PC	Liberal	NDP	Others	Sample size	Margin of error	Polling method
		style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour |	style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " |	style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour |
Angus Reid	Шаблон:Dts	43	34	22	1	818	3.5%	Telephone
Angus Reid	Шаблон:Dts	48	32	19	1	806	3.5%	Telephone
U of M	Шаблон:Dts	36.7	23.3	37.3	2.7	1,090	3.0%	Telephone
Western Opinion	Шаблон:Dts	36	28	33	3	500	4.5%	Telephone

See also

• List of Manitoba political parties