Английская Википедия:1988 Republican Party presidential primaries

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Шаблон:Short description

Шаблон:Infobox election From January 14 to June 14, 1988, Republican voters chose their nominee for president in the 1988 United States presidential election. Incumbent Vice President George H. W. Bush was selected as the nominee through a series of primary elections and caucuses culminating in the 1988 Republican National Convention held from August 15 to August 18, 1988, in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Primary race

Vice President George H. W. Bush had the private support of President Ronald Reagan and publicly pledged to continue Reagan's policies, but also pledged a "kinder and gentler nation"[1] in an attempt to win over some more moderate voters. Bush faced some prominent challengers for the GOP nomination, despite his front-runner status.

At the start of the primary election season in early 1988, televangelist Pat Robertson's campaign was attacked because of a statement he had made about his military service. In his campaign literature, he stated he was a combat Marine who served in the Korean War. Other Marines in his battalion contradicted Robertson's version, claiming he had never spent a day in a combat environment. They asserted that instead of fighting in the war, Robertson's primary responsibility was supplying alcoholic beverages for his officers. (See Education and military service).

In 1987, Donald Trump, then known as a New York real estate executive and registered as a Republican, hinted in various television interviews that he was considering running for President.[2] He took out a series of newspaper ads in The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Boston Globe criticizing Reagan's foreign policy for being too expensive.[3][4] He also vocally advocated reducing foreign aid to Japan, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia; accelerating nuclear disarmament negotiations with the Soviet Union; and eliminating the federal deficit.[5] Mike Dunbar, an important Republican operative, started a "draft Donald Trump" movement to try to convince him to run in the New Hampshire primaries.[4] However, Trump eventually announced at a political rally arranged by Dunbar in Portsmouth, New Hampshire, that he would not seek the Republican nomination.[6] Later, Trump approached Bush's campaign manager Lee Atwater asking to be considered as a possible choice for running mate. Bush found the request "strange and unbelievable."[7] Apparently contradicting this report, Trump later asserted it was Atwater who approached him asking if he was interested in the position.[8] Trump would eventually win the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries and go on to win the presidential election against his Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton. He would later lose the 2020 election to Democrat Joe Biden, who was running for the Democratic nomination in 1988, but dropped out before the primaries began.

Robertson's campaign got off to a strong second-place finish in the Iowa caucuses, ahead of Bush. Robertson did poorly in the subsequent New Hampshire primary, however, and was unable to be competitive once the multiple-state primaries like Super Tuesday began. Robertson ended his campaign before the primaries were finished. His best finish was in Washington, winning the majority of caucus delegates. However, his controversial win has been credited to procedural manipulation by Robertson supporters who delayed final voting until late into the evening when other supporters had gone home. He later spoke at the 1988 Republican National Convention in New Orleans and told his remaining supporters to cast their votes for Bush, who ended up winning the nomination and the election. He then returned to the Christian Broadcasting Network and would remain there as a religious broadcaster until his death in 2023.

Bush unexpectedly came in third in the Iowa caucus (that he had won back in 1980), behind Senator Bob Dole and Robertson. Dole was also leading in the polls of the New Hampshire primary, and the Bush camp responded by running television commercials portraying Dole as a tax raiser, while Governor John H. Sununu stumped for Bush. These efforts enabled the Vice President to defeat Dole and gain crucial momentum. Embittered by his loss in New Hampshire, Dole told Bush directly, on live television that evening, to "stop lying about my record."[9]

Once the multiple-state primaries began, Bush's organizational strength and fundraising lead were impossible for the other candidates to match, and the nomination was his. The Republican party convention was held in New Orleans, Louisiana. Bush was nominated unanimously.

In his acceptance speech, Bush made an energetic pledge, "Read my lips: No new taxes", a comment that would come to haunt him in the 1992 election.

Candidates

Nominee

Candidate Most recent office Home State Campaign

Withdrawal date

Popular vote Contests won Running mate
George Bush Файл:Vice President George H. W. Bush portrait.jpg Vice President of the United States
(1981–1989)
Файл:Flag-map of Texas.svg
Texas
Файл:Bush Quayle 1988 campaign logo.svg
(Campaign)
Secured nomination:
April 26, 1988
8,253,512
(67.90%)
42 Dan Quayle

Withdrew before convention

Candidate Most recent office Home State Campaign

Withdrawal date

Popular vote Contests won
Bob Dole Файл:Ks 1996 dole.jpg U.S. Senator from Kansas
(1969–1996)
Файл:Flag-map of Kansas.svg
Kansas
Файл:Bobdole1988 1.gif
(campaign)
2,333,375
(19.19%)
5
Pat Robertson Файл:Pat Robertson speaks about the national deficit (cropped).jpg Chair of CBN Файл:Flag-map of Virginia.svg
Virginia
Файл:Pat robertson 1988 presidential campaign logo.png
(campaign)
1,097,446
(9.02%)
4
Jack Kemp Файл:Jack Kemp official portrait.jpg U.S. Representative
(1971–1989)
Файл:Flag-map of New York.svg
New York
Файл:Jackkemp1988.gif
(campaign)
331,333
(2.72%)
0

Candidates who received less than 1%

Declined to seek nomination

Endorsements

George H. W. Bush

Bob Dole

Jack Kemp

Pete duPont

Polling

National polling

Poll source Publication date Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header
Gallup[19] Jun. 10, 1985 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |39% 8% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |48%
Gallup[19] Jan. 13, 1986 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |46% 10% 5% 39%
Gallup[19] Apr. 14, 1986 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |40% 10% 2% 6% 4% 38%
Gallup[19] Jul. 14, 1986 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |41% 8% 3% 3% 6% 39%
Gallup[19] Oct. 27, 1986 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |42% 8% 1% 3% 5% 6% 35%
Gallup[19] Jan. 19, 1987 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |33% 14% 1% 3% 5% 5% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |39%
Gallup[19] Apr. 13, 1987 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |34% 18% 2% 7% 9% 4% 26%
Gallup[19] June 14, 1987 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |39% 21% 2% 6% 8% 5% 19%
Gallup[19] July 13, 1987 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |40% 18% 3% 7% 10% 5% 17%
Gallup[19] Sep. 2, 1987 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |40% 19% 2% 4% 9% 8% 18%
Gallup[19] Sep. 2, 1987 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |47% 22% 1% 4% 4% 7% 15%
Gallup[19] Jan. 24, 1988 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |45% 30% 2% 2% 5% 8% 8%

Results

Statewide

Date
Шаблон:Small
Total pledged
delegates
Contest Delegates won and popular vote Total
George Bush Bob Dole Pat Robertson Others
January 14 81 Michigan 47
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
19
Шаблон:Nowrap
15
Шаблон:Nowrap
1,625
February 4 23 Hawaii
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
23
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
1,683
February 7 34 Kansas 34
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
212
February 8 38 Iowa caucus 7
Шаблон:Nowrap
14
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap
108,770
February 16 23 New Hampshire primary 10
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
6
Шаблон:Nowrap
157,376
February 18 23 Nevada 6
Шаблон:Nowrap
5
Шаблон:Nowrap
3
Шаблон:Nowrap
8
Шаблон:Nowrap
4,961
February 23
(54)
34 Minnesota 4
Шаблон:Nowrap
14
Шаблон:Nowrap
10
Шаблон:Nowrap
6
Шаблон:Nowrap
56,211
20 South Dakota 4
Шаблон:Nowrap
12
Шаблон:Nowrap
4
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
93,405
February 24 20 Wyoming 5
Шаблон:Nowrap
9
Шаблон:Nowrap
2
Шаблон:Nowrap
4
Шаблон:Nowrap
426
February 28 23 Maine 16
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
3
Шаблон:Nowrap
3
Шаблон:Nowrap
1,072
March 1
(40)
20 Alaska 5
Шаблон:Nowrap
4
Шаблон:Nowrap
10
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
2,007
20 Vermont 11
Шаблон:Nowrap
9
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
44,672
March 5 38 South Carolina 18
Шаблон:Nowrap
8
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap
4
Шаблон:Nowrap
195,292
March 8
(Super Tuesday)
(855)
41 Alabama 28
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap
6
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
212,708
31 Arkansas 16
Шаблон:Nowrap
9
Шаблон:Nowrap
6
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
68,305
85 Florida 56
Шаблон:Nowrap
19
Шаблон:Nowrap
10
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
900,257
52 Georgia 30
Шаблон:Nowrap
13
Шаблон:Nowrap
9
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
400,928
41 Kentucky 26
Шаблон:Nowrap
10
Шаблон:Nowrap
5
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
121,402
45 Louisiana 28
Шаблон:Nowrap
9
Шаблон:Nowrap
9
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
144,773
45 Maryland 28
Шаблон:Nowrap
17
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
200,754
56 Massachusetts 34
Шаблон:Nowrap
15
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap
245,885
34 Mississippi 23
Шаблон:Nowrap
6
Шаблон:Nowrap
5
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
158,829
49 Missouri 22
Шаблон:Nowrap
21
Шаблон:Nowrap
6
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
400,300
56 North Carolina 30
Шаблон:Nowrap
26
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
273,800
38 Oklahoma 15
Шаблон:Nowrap
14
Шаблон:Nowrap
9
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
208,938
23 Rhode Island 15
Шаблон:Nowrap
5
Шаблон:Nowrap
3
Шаблон:Nowrap
16,045
49 Tennessee 31
Шаблон:Nowrap
11
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
253,252
113 Texas 78
Шаблон:Nowrap
17
Шаблон:Nowrap
19
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
1,014,956
52 Virginia 30
Шаблон:Nowrap
15
Шаблон:Nowrap
8
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
234,142
45 Washington 11
Шаблон:Nowrap
12
Шаблон:Nowrap
18
Шаблон:Nowrap
5
Шаблон:Nowrap
15,210
March 15 95 Illinois 57
Шаблон:Nowrap
38
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
858,637
March 29 38 Connecticut 30
Шаблон:Nowrap
8
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
104,171
April 4 38 Colorado 32
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
6
Шаблон:Nowrap
15,238
April 5 49 Wisconsin 49
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
358,898
April 19 139 New York 115
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
24
Шаблон:Nowrap
1,347
April 26 99 Pennsylvania 86
Шаблон:Nowrap
13
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
870,539
May 3
(157)
13 District of Columbia 13
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
6,720
52 Indiana 52
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
437,655
92 Ohio 80
Шаблон:Nowrap
12
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
794,904
May 10
(58)
27 Nebraska 20
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
203,113
31 West Virginia 27
Шаблон:Nowrap
4
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
143,140
May 17 34 Oregon 27
Шаблон:Nowrap
7
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
274,486
May 24 23 Idaho 20
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
3
Шаблон:Nowrap
68,275
June 7
(295)
178 California 154
Шаблон:Nowrap
24
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
2,240,272
23 Montana 18
Шаблон:Nowrap
5
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
86,353
67 New Jersey 67
Шаблон:Nowrap
241,033
27 New Mexico 24
Шаблон:Nowrap
3
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
88,744
June 14 20 North Dakota 20
Шаблон:Nowrap

Шаблон:Nowrap
39,434
Total 2,408 1,525
Шаблон:Nowrap
463
Шаблон:Nowrap
207
Шаблон:Nowrap
101
Шаблон:Nowrap
12,371,163

Nationwide

Popular vote results:[10]

Running mate

Шаблон:See also After Bush locked up the nomination in March, conventional wisdom leaned toward the notion of a Southern running mate to balance the ticket. The former Governor of Tennessee, Lamar Alexander, was seen by many as the most logical choice, and some early reports described him as Bush's personal preference.[20][21] Another high-profile possibility, also from Tennessee, was the former Senate Majority Leader and White House Chief of Staff Howard Baker. Despite the early attention – which included a supportive editorial written by former President Richard Nixon – Baker told the press he would prefer to be left out of consideration.[22]

Bush's running mate, however, would not be revealed until August 16, allowing speculation to intensify all the way to the national convention. Bob Dole, who was considered a leading contender based on his second-place finish in the primaries, expressed impatience with the wait but nonetheless made plain his keen desire for the job.[23] So too did Jack Kemp, who confidently told reporters that he would make "a terrific campaigner and a terrific candidate and a terrific vice president".[23] Both men were thought to rank high on Bush's list of potential picks.[24]

Other highly rated prospects included two people quite close to Dole. His wife, Elizabeth Dole, had served as Transportation Secretary under President Reagan and was a popular figure among conservatives and women – two key demographics that Bush was struggling to galvanize. A second option was Dole's fellow U.S. Senator from Kansas, Nancy Kassebaum.[24] Other figures who were believed to be under Bush's close consideration included the Governor of Nebraska Kay Orr,[21] the former Governor of Pennsylvania Dick Thornburgh, the Governor of New Jersey Tom Kean, and the sitting U.S. Senators Bill Armstrong of Colorado, Pete Domenici of New Mexico, and Richard Lugar and Dan Quayle, both of Indiana.[23][24]

U.S. Senator Alan Simpson of Wyoming was also widely believed to be a possible selection, but he publicly stated that he wasn't interested in the position. This placed him in the company of Baker and others who had declared that they did not want to be considered, such as the Governor of California George Deukmejian and the Governor of Illinois Jim Thompson. Shortly ahead of the convention, however, Bush reopened speculation about all of them when he implied that he would not necessarily give up on any demurring prospects.[23]

Long-shot possibilities included several Republicans who were popular in their home states but held limited name recognition nationally, such as U.S. Representative Lynn Martin of Illinois, the Governor of South Carolina Carroll Campbell, and the two U.S. Senators of Missouri, John Danforth and Christopher Bond.[24] Nontraditional selections who were seen as credible alternatives included the National Security Advisor Colin Powell,[25] the former UN Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick, Education Secretary William Bennett, former EPA Administrator William Ruckelshaus, and even Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O'Connor.[24]

Bush announced his selection of 41-year-old Dan Quayle on the second day of the convention.[26]

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:1988 United States presidential election Шаблон:U.S. presidential primaries Шаблон:George H. W. Bush