Английская Википедия:2003 Lower Saxony state election
Шаблон:Infobox election The 2003 Lower Saxony state election was held on 2 February 2003 to elect the members of the 15th Landtag of Lower Saxony. The incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) majority government led by Minister-President Sigmar Gabriel was defeated. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came up one seat short of a majority, and formed a coalition with the Free Democratic Party (FDP). CDU leader Christian Wulff was subsequently elected minister-president.
Background
The election in Lower Saxony had larger significance than just in the state itself.[1] Defeat for the Social Democrats in the election would mean they lost their slim majority in the upper house of the German parliament, the Bundesrat.[1] It was thought this might cause the collapse of Gerhard Schröder's national coalition government between the Social Democrats and the Green Party.[1]
Campaign and issues
The economy was seen as the most important issue in the election, with the Social Democrats suffering as a result.[2]
Opinion polls in December 2002 showed the Christian Democrats in the lead with 43% as against 34% for the Social Democrats.[3]
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 14th Landtag of Lower Saxony.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 1998 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Шаблон:Lang |
Social democracy | Sigmar Gabriel | 47.9% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Шаблон:Lang |
Christian democracy | Christian Wulff | 35.9% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Шаблон:Lang |
Green politics | 7.0% | Шаблон:Composition bar | |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2003 state election | 2 Feb 2003 | – | 33.4 | 48.3 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 2.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14.9 |
| Forsa | 27–30 Jan 2003 | 1,014 | 33 | 48 | 8 | 7 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 |
| Forsa | 20–24 Jan 2003 | 1,103 | 35 | 48 | 8 | 6 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13 |
| Emnid | 23 Jan 2003 | ? | 37 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 16–20 Jan 2003 | 1,000 | 36 | 48 | 7 | 5 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12 |
| Forsa | 13–18 Jan 2003 | 1,008 | 36 | 48 | 8 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 9–13 Jan 2003 | 1,000 | 37 | 46 | 8 | 6 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
| Forsa | 6–10 Jan 2003 | 1,027 | 37 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6–9 Jan 2003 | 1,044 | 37 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| Forsa | 27 Dec 2002–3 Jan 2003 | 1,122 | 36 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–4 Dec 2002 | 1,000 | 40 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| Emnid | 14–20 Nov 2002 | 1,003 | 34 | 43 | 12 | 6 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
| Forsa | 23 Sep 2002 | ? | 47 | 36.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.5 |
| Emnid | 30 Aug–4 Sep 2002 | 1,000 | 42 | 38 | 7 | 8 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Jun 2002 | 1,000 | 45 | 35 | 6 | 11 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
| Emnid | 31 May 2002 | ? | 39 | 37 | 6 | 12 | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| Forsa | 17 Apr 2002 | ? | 43 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| Emnid | 21–27 Feb 2002 | 1,000 | 43 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
| Forsa | 11–27 Feb 2002 | 1,327 | 43 | 39 | 6 | 5 | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Aug 2001 | ? | 44 | 36 | 6 | 9 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| Forsa | 22 Jun 2001 | ? | 46 | 37 | 7 | 5 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Feb 2001 | ? | 48 | 35 | 7 | 5 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13 |
| Forsa | 28 Oct 1999 | ? | 41 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 21–24 Oct 1999 | 1,000 | 41 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| 1998 state election | 1 Mar 1998 | – | 47.9 | 35.9 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 4.3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.0 |
Election result
Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Seats ! +/- ! Seats % |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | align=right| 1,925,055 | align=right| 48.3 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase12.4 | align=right| 91 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase29 | align=right| 49.7 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | align=right| 1,330,156 | align=right| 33.4 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease14.5 | align=right| 63 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease20 | align=right| 34.4 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | align=right| 323,107 | align=right| 8.1 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase3.2 | align=right| 15 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase15 | align=right| 8.2 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | align=right| 304,532 | align=right| 7.6 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase0.6 | align=right| 14 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase2 | align=right| 7.7 |- ! colspan=8| |- | bgcolor=#63B8FF| | align=left | Party for a Rule of Law Offensive (Schill party) | align=right| 40,342 | align=right| 1.0 | align=right| New | align=right| 0 | align=right| New | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) | align=right| 21,560 | align=right| 0.5 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase0.5 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Others | align=right| 39,257 | align=right| 1.0 | align=right| | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- ! align=right colspan=2| Total ! align=right| 3,984,009 ! align=right| 100.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| 183 ! align=right| Шаблон:Increase26 ! align=right| |- ! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout ! align=right| ! align=right| 67.0 ! align=right| Шаблон:Decrease6.8 ! align=right| ! align=right| ! align=right| |} Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box
References
Шаблон:Lower Saxony state election
