Английская Википедия:2004 United States presidential election in Utah

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Utah sidebar The 2004 United States presidential election in Utah took place on November 2, 2004. It was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose five representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Utah was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 45.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It is a strongly Republican state and has supported the party’s nominee in every presidential election since 1968. With 71.54 percent of the popular vote, Utah was Bush's strongest state in the 2004 election.[1]

This was the first of four instances in which a presidential candidate gained over 70% of a state's vote after Ronald Reagan's 1984 landslide. The others are Mitt Romney in Utah in 2012 and Barack Obama in Hawaii in 2008 and 2012. These last three all involved a candidate with a close tie to the state: Barack Obama was born in Hawaii, and Mitt Romney, as the first Mormon on a major-party presidential ticket, was popular in Mormon-majority Utah and would later represent the state in the United States Senate.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

Source Ranking
D.C. Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating
Cook Political Report Шаблон:USRaceRating
Research 2000 Шаблон:USRaceRating
Zogby International Шаблон:USRaceRating
Washington Post Шаблон:USRaceRating
Washington Dispatch Шаблон:USRaceRating
Washington Times Шаблон:USRaceRating
The New York Times Шаблон:USRaceRating
CNN Шаблон:USRaceRating
Newsweek Шаблон:USRaceRating
Associated Press Шаблон:USRaceRating
Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:USRaceRating

Polling

The final three polls averaged Bush with 67 percent to Kerry with 25 percent.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $561,645.[4] Kerry raised $262,031.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[6][7]

Analysis

Republicans dominate Utah state politics because of the very high Mormon population that accounts for almost seventy percent of the residents throughout the state. Mormons have been known for having very conservative values. While every county voted for Bush, areas such as Summit County (ski resort), Moab (becoming an outpost for environmental activists), Carbon County (largely blue collar), Salt Lake City (urban area with some diversity) and San Juan County (economically distressed and mostly Native American) did give a somewhat greater proportion of their votes to Kerry. However, other areas were uniformly Republican in voting. Utah County's (home of Provo and Brigham Young University) Republican vote (86%) was by far the largest percentage of any county its size in America.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Utah[8]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 663,742 71.54% 5
Democratic John Kerry 241,199 26.00% 0
Unaffiliated Ralph Nader 11,305 1.22% 0
Constitution Party Michael Peroutka 6,841 0.74% 0
Libertarian Party Michael Badnarik 3,375 0.36% 0
Personal Choice Party Charles Jay 946 0.10% 0
Socialist Workers Party Roger Calero 393 0.04% 0
Green Party David Cobb 39 0.00% 0
Write Ins 4 0.00% 0
Totals 927,844 100.00% 5
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 57.7%

Results by county

County George W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Ralph Nader[9]
Unaffiliated
Michael Peroutka[9]
Constitution
Various candidates[9]
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Beaver Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,023 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |79.52% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |493 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |19.38% Шаблон:Party shading/None |12 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |9 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |7 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.28% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,530 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |60.14% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,544
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Box Elder Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |15,751 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |85.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |2,244 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |12.22% Шаблон:Party shading/None |145 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.79% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |144 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.78% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |84 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |13,507 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |73.53% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |18,368
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Cache Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |32,486 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |81.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |6,375 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |16.05% Шаблон:Party shading/None |413 Шаблон:Party shading/None |1.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |274 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.69% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |183 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |26,111 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |65.71% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |39,731
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Carbon Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,950 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |58.18% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |3,415 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |40.14% Шаблон:Party shading/None |83 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.98% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |22 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.26% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |38 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,535 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |18.04% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |8,508
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Daggett Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |380 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |76.15% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |108 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |21.64% Шаблон:Party shading/None |6 Шаблон:Party shading/None |1.20% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |3 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.60% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |2 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.20% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |272 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |54.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |499
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Davis Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |86,187 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |78.88% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |20,893 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |19.12% Шаблон:Party shading/None |1,055 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |695 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.64% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |438 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |65,294 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |59.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |109,268
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Duchesne Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,742 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |85.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |738 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |13.28% Шаблон:Party shading/None |27 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.49% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |32 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.58% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |17 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.31% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,004 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |72.07% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5,556
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Emery Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,781 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |80.83% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |831 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |17.76% Шаблон:Party shading/None |23 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.49% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |29 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.62% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |14 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.30% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,950 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |63.07% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,678
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Garfield Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,848 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |85.48% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |264 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |12.21% Шаблон:Party shading/None |22 Шаблон:Party shading/None |1.02% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |16 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |12 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.56% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,584 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |73.27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,162
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Grand Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,130 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51.14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,858 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |44.61% Шаблон:Party shading/None |118 Шаблон:Party shading/None |2.83% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |20 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.48% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |39 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |272 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |6.53% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,165
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Iron Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |12,815 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |82.97% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |2,267 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |14.68% Шаблон:Party shading/None |111 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.72% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |169 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |1.09% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |84 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.54% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |10,548 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |68.29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |15,446
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Juab Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,681 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |78.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |605 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |17.71% Шаблон:Party shading/None |20 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.59% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |98 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |2.87% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |13 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,076 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |60.75% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,417
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Kane Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,414 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |79.12% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |576 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |18.88% Шаблон:Party shading/None |25 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |19 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.62% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |17 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.55% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,838 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |60.24% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,051
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Millard Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,084 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |83.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |626 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |12.84% Шаблон:Party shading/None |28 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.57% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |118 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |2.42% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |21 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,458 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |70.90% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,877
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Morgan Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,301 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |85.94% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |472 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |12.29% Шаблон:Party shading/None |25 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |24 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.62% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |19 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.49% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,829 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |73.65% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,841
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Piute Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |646 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |83.57% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |123 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |15.91% Шаблон:Party shading/None |3 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.39% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |1 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.13% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.00% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |523 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |67.66% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |773
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Rich Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |922 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |88.91% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |109 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |10.51% Шаблон:Party shading/None |5 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.48% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |1 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.00% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |813 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |78.40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,037
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Salt Lake Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |215,728 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |59.57% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |135,949 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |37.54% Шаблон:Party shading/None |6,025 Шаблон:Party shading/None |1.66% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |2,199 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.61% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |2,237 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.62% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |79,779 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |22.03% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |362,138
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |San Juan Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |2,971 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |60.02% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,906 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |38.51% Шаблон:Party shading/None |30 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.61% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |24 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.48% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |19 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,065 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |21.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |4,950
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sanpete Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,004 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |82.33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,189 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |13.98% Шаблон:Party shading/None |58 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.68% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |217 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |2.55% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |39 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5,815 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |68.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |8,507
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Sevier Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |6,597 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |86.34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |920 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |12.04% Шаблон:Party shading/None |37 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.48% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |60 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.79% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |27 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5,677 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |74.30% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,641
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Summit Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,936 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51.83% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |6,977 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |45.57% Шаблон:Party shading/None |265 Шаблон:Party shading/None |1.73% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |36 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.24% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |98 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.64% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |959 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |6.26% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |15,312
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Tooele Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |12,181 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |73.10% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |4,130 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |24.78% Шаблон:Party shading/None |150 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.90% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |111 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.67% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |92 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.55% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |8,051 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |16,664
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Uintah Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |8,518 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |85.55% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,266 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |12.71% Шаблон:Party shading/None |42 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.42% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |99 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |32 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,252 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |72.84% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |9,957
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Utah Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |128,269 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |85.99% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |17,357 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |11.64% Шаблон:Party shading/None |1,289 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.86% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |1,621 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |1.09% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |637 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |110,912 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |74.35% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |149,173
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Wasatch Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5,503 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |73.26% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |1,854 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |24.68% Шаблон:Party shading/None |60 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.80% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |65 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.87% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |30 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |3,649 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |48.58% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |7,512
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Washington Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |35,633 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |80.95% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |7,513 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |17.07% Шаблон:Party shading/None |301 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.68% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |362 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |209 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |28,120 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |63.88% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |44,018
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Wayne Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,062 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |78.09% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |279 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |20.51% Шаблон:Party shading/None |10 Шаблон:Party shading/None |0.74% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |5 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.37% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |4 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |783 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |57.58% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,360
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Weber Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51,199 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |70.43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |19,862 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |27.32% Шаблон:Party shading/None |917 Шаблон:Party shading/None |1.26% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |368 Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |0.51% Шаблон:Party shading/Others |345 Шаблон:Party shading/Others |0.47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |31,337 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |43.11% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |72,691
Totals 663,742 71.54% 241,199 26.00% 11,305 1.22% 6,841 0.74% 4,757 0.51% 422,543 45.54% 927,844

Results by congressional district

Bush won all 3 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

District Bush Kerry Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 73% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rob Bishop
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 66% 31% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jim Matheson
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr 77% 20% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Chris Cannon

Electors

Шаблон:Main

Technically the voters of Utah cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Utah is allocated five electors because it has three congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of five electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins a plurality of votes in the state is awarded all five electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:

  1. Olene S. Walker
  2. Gayle McKeachnie
  3. Lewis K. Billings
  4. Joseph A. Cannon
  5. Scott F. Simpson

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:State results of the 2004 U.S. presidential election Шаблон:2004 U.S. presidential election