Английская Википедия:2005 Schleswig-Holstein state election
Шаблон:Infobox election The 2005 Schleswig-Holstein state election was held on 20 February 2005 to elect the members of the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein. The incumbent coalition government of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens led by Minister-President Heide Simonis was defeated, bringing an end to 17 years of SPD governments in the state.
The result was a deadlock, with the right-wing parties (CDU and FDP) being one seat short of majority and the left-wing parties (SPD and the Greens) two seats short, with SSW thus holding the balance of power.
After a failed attempt to invest a minority SPD–Green government supported by the South Schleswig Voters' Association (SSW), the SPD agreed to join a grand coalition with the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). CDU leader Peter Harry Carstensen was subsequently elected Minister-President.
Campaign and issues
Surveys before the election indicated that most voters considered high unemployment in Germany and Schleswig-Holstein to be the key issue of the campaign. Pre-election polls indicated that the personal popularity of Heide Simonis was still high, though, and that the SPD–Green coalition had the support of a plurality of voters. However, the unpopularity of the federal SPD and the Hartz IV reforms appeared to have taken a toll.
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2000 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Social democracy | Heide Simonis | 43.1% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Christian democracy | Peter Harry Carstensen | 35.2% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | FDP | Free Democratic Party Шаблон:Small |
Classical liberalism | Wolfgang Kubicki | 7.6% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Шаблон:Small |
Green politics | Anne Lütkes | 6.2% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | SSW | South Schleswig Voters' Association Шаблон:Small |
Danish and Frisian minority interests | Anke Spoorendonk | 4.1% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | FDP | Grüne | SSW | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2005 state election | 20 Feb 2005 | – | 38.7 | 40.2 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1.5 |
| Forsa | 16 Feb 2005 | 1,002 | 40 | 37 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Universität Kiel | 17 Jan–11 Feb 2005 | 750 | 39.4 | 37.3 | 7.0 | 10.6 | 3.3 | 1.2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2.1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Feb 2005 | 1,106 | 40 | 37 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 7–9 Feb 2005 | 1,000 | 41 | 36 | 7 | 7.5 | 3 | 5.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| Forsa | 1–4 Feb 2005 | 1,059 | 40 | 37 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 14–18 Jan 2005 | 1,000 | 40 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Forsa | 17–21 Dec 2004 | 752 | 39 | 37 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| Infratest dimap | 8–13 Dec 2004 | 1,000 | 38 | 39 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 1–3 Nov 2004 | 1,000 | 38 | 39 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–23 Aug 2004 | 1,000 | 31 | 42 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11 |
| Forsa | 22 Aug 2004 | ? | 32 | 40 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| dimap | 7–12 May 2004 | 1,005 | 31 | 48 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17 |
| Forsa | 22 Feb 2004 | ? | 33 | 44 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11 |
| dimap | 17 Dec 2003 | ? | 29 | 48 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 19 |
| dimap | 2 May 2001 | 1,005 | 41 | 35 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
| 2000 state election | 27 Feb 2000 | – | 43.1 | 35.2 | 7.6 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 3.7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7.9 |
Election result
| colspan=8|
|- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Seats ! +/- ! Seats % |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | align=right| 576,095 | align=right| 40.2 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase5.0 | align=right| 30 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease3 | align=right| 43.5 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | align=right| 554,879 | align=right| 38.7 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease4.4 | align=right| 29 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease12 | align=right| 42.0 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | align=right| 94,935 | align=right| 6.6 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease1.0 | align=right| 4 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease3 | align=right| 5.8 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | align=right| 89,387 | align=right| 6.2 | align=right| Шаблон:Steady0.0 | align=right| 4 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease1 | align=right| 5.8 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | South Schleswig Voters' Association (SSW) | align=right| 51,920 | align=right| 3.6 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease0.5 | align=right| 2 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease1 | align=right| 2.9 |- ! colspan=8| |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | National Democratic Party (NPD) | align=right| 27,676 | align=right| 1.9 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase0.9 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Others | align=right| 39,913 | align=right| 2.8 | align=right| | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- ! align=right colspan=2| Total ! align=right| 1,434,805 ! align=right| 100.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| 69 ! align=right| Шаблон:Decrease20 ! align=right| |- ! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout ! align=right| ! align=right| 66.5 ! align=right| Шаблон:Decrease3.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| ! align=right| |} Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box
Outcome
After the election, the SPD–Green coalition no longer commanded a majority of the Landtag. The SSW announced that although it would not enter a coalition, it saw more common ground with the SPD than the CDU. Minister-President Simonis proceeded to form an SPD–Green coalition based on an agreement with the SSW backing it.
On 17 March, the vote to invest the government failed, with the secret ballot tying 34–34. It is not known who abstained, though it is widely believed to have been a representative of the SPD. Since the coalition had failed, the SPD was forced to negotiate a grand coalition agreement with the CDU, capitulating to the CDU's demand that CDU leader Peter Harry Carstensen replace Simonis as Minister-President.
References
Шаблон:Schleswig-Holstein state elections
