Английская Википедия:2006 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Refimprove Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsAZ The 2006 congressional elections in Arizona were elections for Arizona's delegation to the United States House of Representatives, which occurred along with congressional elections nationwide on November 7, 2006. Arizona has eight seats, as apportioned during the 2000 United States census. Prior to the election, Republicans held six of the eight seats and Democrats held two.[1] In the 8th district, Republican Congressman Jim Kolbe retired, leaving an open seat. Following the elections, Democrats gained two seats at the expense of the Republicans, who lost two.

Шаблон:TOC limit

Overview

Statewide

Party Candidates Votes Seats
Шаблон:Abbr % Шаблон:Abbr +/– %
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Republican 8 771,246 51.65 4 Шаблон:Decrease 2 50.00
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Democratic 7 627,259 42.01 4 Шаблон:Increase 2 50.00
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Libertarian 8 90,214 6.04 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.0
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Independent 1 4,408 0.30 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.0
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | Write-in 4 24 0.00 0 Шаблон:Steady 0.0
Total 28 1,493,151 100.0 8 Шаблон:Steady 100.0

Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box

By district

Results of the 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

District Republican Democratic Libertarian Others Total Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 105,646 51.75% 88,691 43.45% 9,802 4.80% 0 0.00% 204,139 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 135,150 58.62% 89,671 38.89% 5,734 2.49% 5 0.00% 230,560 100.0% Republican hold
District 3 112,519 59.27% 72,586 38.23% 4,744 2.50% 0 0.00% 189,849 100.0% Republican hold
District 4 18,627 23.92% 56,464 72.52% 2,770 3.56% 0 0.00% 77,861 100.0% Democratic hold
District 5 93,815 46.44% 101,838 50.41% 6,357 3.15% 0 0.00% 202,010 100.0% Democratic gain
District 6 152,201 74.80% 0 0.00% 51,285 25.20% 0 0.00% 203,486 100.0% Republican hold
District 7 46,498 35.35% 80,354 61.09% 4,673 3.55% 0 0.00% 131,525 100.0% Democratic hold
District 8 106,790 42.09% 137,655 54.25% 4,849 1.91% 4,427 1.74% 253,721 100.0% Democratic gain
Total 771,246 51.65% 627,259 42.01% 90,214 6.04% 4,432 0.30% 1,493,151 100.0%

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:United States House of Representatives, Arizona District 1 map.png

Шаблон:See also The normally Republican 1st district, based in the region north of Phoenix and Tucson and one of the largest districts by land area in the country, had been represented by Republican Rick Renzi since his initial election in 2002.

Republican primary

Renzi faced ethical problems in this election and was named by Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington as one of the most corrupt candidates running for office that year.[2]

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ellen Simon, attorney and activist
Eliminated in primary
  • Mike Caccioppoli, former radio correspondent[3]
  • Bob Donahue, businessman[4]
  • Susan Friedman, marketing director[5]
  • Vic McKerlie, dentist[6]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • David Schlosser, public relations manager[7]

Results

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General election

Campaign

Attorney and community activist Ellen Simon emerged as the Democratic nominee, and though she initially trailed Renzi by wide margins she made up much a large amount of ground and closed the gap, causing many to consider the race competitive.[8] Simon challenged Renzi to a series of eight debates, to which Renzi responded by attacking Simon's husband for being behind on child support payments to his ex-wife.[9]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Renzi (R)
Ellen
Simon (D)
David
Schlosser (L)
Undecided
RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics October 24–26, 2006 1,037 (LV) ±?% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 46% 4% 3%
Northern Arizona University October 20–22, 2006 403 (LV) ±5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 32% 2% 21%
RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics October 8–10, 2006 983 (LV) ±?% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 2% 2%
Northern Arizona University September 15–17, 2006 403 (LV) ±5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 32% 2% 21%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Rothenberg[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
CQ Politics[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2006

Results

Renzi won re-election by an eight-point margin.

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District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:AZ-districts-109-02.png

Шаблон:See also The heavily conservative and gerrymandered District 2, which owed its strange shape to the decision to not have Hopi and Navajo Native Americans represented by the same congressman due to historic tensions between them, had been represented by Republican Trent Franks since his initial election in 2002. Franks had been re-elected comfortably in the intervening years due to the conservative nature of the Phoenix suburbs that the district pulled from.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • John Thrasher, educator[14]
Eliminated in primary

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Powell Gamill, molecular biologist[15]

Results

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Independents

  • William Crum (write-in), blogger[16]

General election

Campaign

Franks faced Democratic challenger John Thrasher, a music teacher who based his campaign around anti-corruption and immigration reform.[17]

Results

Franks comfortably won re-election, albeit by a smaller margin than usual.[18]

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District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:AZ-districts-109-03.png

Шаблон:See also The staunchly conservative 3rd district, based in the northern portion of Phoenix and its northern suburbs, had been represented by incumbent Republican John Shadegg since his initial election in 1994.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Herb Paine, consultant
Eliminated in primary
  • Don Chilton, retired engineer[19]
  • Jim McCoy

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Yannone, businessman[20]

Results

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General election

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

True to the district’s conservative nature, Shadegg defeated Paine by a wide margin, though it was significantly reduced from his 2004 margin.

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District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:AZ-districts-109-04.png

Шаблон:See also The heavily liberal 4th district, based in the southern portion of Phoenix and its southern suburbs, had a high Hispanic-American population. Incumbent Democrat Ed Pastor had represented this portion of the state since a special election in 1991 to replace Mo Udall.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ronald Harders, write-in candidate[21]

Results

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General election

Results

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District 5

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:AZ-districts-109-05.png

Шаблон:See also The conservative-leaning 5th district included a small portion of Phoenix and many of its northeastern suburbs, such as Scottsdale and Tempe. Republican J. D. Hayworth had represented the area since his initial election in 1994 and many considered him to be vulnerable to a Democratic challenger.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Democratic primary

Harry Mitchell, a former Mayor of Tempe, State Senator, and Chairman of the Democratic Party of Arizona, emerged as the Democrats' leading challenger to Hayworth.

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Warren Severin, businessman[22]

Results

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General election

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
J. D.
Hayworth (R)
Harry
Mitchell (D)
Warren
Severin (L)
Undecided
SurveyUSA October 29–31, 2006 643 (LV) ±3.9% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 4% 2%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) October 18–19, 2006 400 (LV) ±?% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 46% 7%
SurveyUSA October 13–15, 2006 509 (LV) ±4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48% 45% 5% 2%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) September 18–19, 2006 400 (LV) ±?% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 38% 10%
SurveyUSA September 15–17, 2006 590 (LV) ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% 40% 4% 4%
Grove Insight (D) September 12–14, 2006 400 (LV) ±?% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) June 6–10, 2006 400 (LV) ±?% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 34% 17%
SurveyUSA May 5–8, 2006 600 (RV) ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% 45% 5%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Rothenberg[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
CQ Politics[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2006

Results

The race was close for much of the fall, and Mitchell ultimately edged out Hayworth on election day by a four-point margin and was elected to his first term in Congress.

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District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:AZ-districts-109-06.png

Шаблон:See also The heavily conservative 6th district, based in the eastern suburbs of Phoenix, had been represented by Republican Congressman Jeff Flake since his initial election in 2000.

Republican primary

Flake had built up a repertoire in Congress as being a staunch fiscal conservative and an anti-earmark advocate.

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Democratic primary

No Democrat filed.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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General election

Results

Flake faced no Democratic opponent and was overwhelmingly re-elected to his fourth term in Congress over Libertarian candidate Jason Blair.

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District 7

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:AZ-districts-109-07.png

Шаблон:See also The heavily Democratic 7th district, based in southwestern Arizona and covering much of the state’s border with Mexico, had a majority Hispanic-American population and had been represented by Democratic Congressman Raúl Grijalva since 2003.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Joseph Sweeney, perennial candidate[23]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Cobb, political advisor and economic instructor[24]

Results

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General election

Grijalva faced the former Mayor of Avondale, Republican Ron Drake, and Libertarian write-in candidate Joe Cobb.

Candidates

Results

Grijalva defeated both Drake and Cobb by a comfortable margin.

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District 8

Шаблон:Infobox election

Файл:AZ-08.png

Шаблон:Main Long-serving Republican Congressman Jim Kolbe, a respected moderate and an openly gay man, declined to seek a seventh term in Congress and thus created an open seat. The marginally conservative 8th district, based in southeastern Arizona, had narrowly supported George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 and the election was considered to be competitive.

Republican primary

Former State Representative Randy Graf, who was heavily conservative and had challenged Kolbe in the Republican primary in 2004, defeated the more moderate Steve Huffman, a state representative, in the primary, in spite of ad buys in favor of Huffman by national Republicans.[25][26]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Randy Graf, former state representative and candidate for this seat in 2004
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Democratic primary

Former State Senator Gabby Giffords, a moderate Democrat, triumphed against several Democrats, the most notable of which was television anchor Patty Weiss,[25] in the primary, and thus she and Graf faced off against each other in the general election.

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

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Independents

General election

Campaign

Giffords was the tentative favorite for most of the election, as many moderates were turned off by Graf’s conservative views and Kolbe did not endorse him as the Republican candidate.[38]

Debates

2006 Arizona's 8th congressional district general election debates
 Шаблон:Abbr Date & time Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
Шаблон:Colors Participant   Шаблон:Colors Absent   Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee  
Jay Quick David F. Nolan Gabby Giffords Randy Graf
Шаблон:Nbsp 1[39]Шаблон:Nbsp October 17, 2006 Access Tucson
Arizona Daily Star
Joe Birchall Video Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes Шаблон:Yes

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Randy
Graf (R)
Gabby
Giffords (D)
Others Undecided
Reuters/Zogby October 24–29, 2006 500 (LV) ±4.5% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 2% 4%
Wick Communications October 25–28, 2006 400 (LV) ±?% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 4% 11%
Zimmerman & Associates and Marketing Intelligence (Arizona Daily Star/KVOA) October 20–23, 2006 600 (LV) ±4.0% 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 4% 10%
Reuters/Zogby September 25 – October 2, 2006 500 (LV) ±4.5% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 2% 16%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) September 19–21, 2006 400 (LV) ±?% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 17%
Zimmerman & Associates and Marketing Intelligence (Arizona Daily Star/KVOA) September 16–19, 2006 600 (LV) ±4.0% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 3% 13%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Giffords) September 9–13, 2006 500 (LV) ±4.0% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 5% 6%
Zimmerman & Associates and Marketing Intelligence (Arizona Daily Star) September 1–4, 2006 800 (LV) ±4.9% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 19%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Rothenberg[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
CQ Politics[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 7, 2006

Results

On election day, Giffords emerged victorious over Graf by a comfortable twelve-point margin and won her first term in Congress.

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References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Arizona elections Шаблон:2006 United States elections Шаблон:Arizona elections, 2006