Английская Википедия:2006 United States Senate election in Maryland

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Maryland sidebar The 2006 United States Senate election in Maryland was held Tuesday, November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democrat Paul Sarbanes, Maryland's longest serving United States Senator, decided to retire instead of seeking a sixth term. Democratic nominee Ben Cardin, a U.S. Representative, won the open seat, defeating Republican Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele.

As of 2023, this remains the best performance by a Republican senate candidate in Maryland.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Campaign

Kweisi Mfume, a former congressman and NAACP President, was the first to announce for the position, in March 2005. Ben Cardin, then a congressman since 1987, was the only other major candidate until September 2005, when former Baltimore County Executive Dennis F. Rasmussen, American University professor Allan Lichtman, and wealthy Potomac businessman Josh Rales entered the contest. Thirteen other candidates subsequently also entered the primary. As of August 2006, Cardin had raised more than $4.8 million and collected endorsements from a number of Democratic politicians, the AFL–CIO, and The Washington Post; Mfume had raised over $1.2 million and collected endorsements from the Maryland State Teachers Association, Progressive Maryland, former Maryland Governor Parris Glendening, the National Organization for Women, and Maryland Congressmen Elijah Cummings and Al Wynn.

On August 31, 2006, Maryland Public Television (MPT) and the League of Women Voters (LWV) sponsored a debate between the two leading Democratic Primary Candidates.[4][5] The LWV of Maryland and MPT arbitrarily excluded most of the FEC qualified candidates from the only televised debates in the primary election. There were 18 candidates in this race, only 2, Ben Cardin and Kweisi Mfume, were allowed to debate, despite the strenuous protests of the excluded candidates. Lichtman, Rales, and Rasmussen petitioned MPT and LWV for inclusion in the debate, but received no response. On the day of the debate, Lichtman, his wife, and a campaign aide were arrested for trespassing while protesting during the taping of the debate.[6] They were found not guilty on all charges. The judge in the case said it should never have been brought to court and was a gross violation of the parties' constitutional rights.Шаблон:Citation needed

Debates

Polling

Source Date Ben
Cardin
A. Robert
Kaufman
Allan
Lichtman
Kweisi
Mfume
Josh
Rales
Dennis F.
Rasmussen
Washington Post June 25, 2006 26% 2% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 33% 0% 4%
Baltimore Sun Шаблон:Webarchive July 17, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 32% 1% 1% 28% 1% 1%
Public Opinion Strategies August 1–2, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 31% 25% 4% 6%
Gonzales Research August 30, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 30% 6%
SurveyUSA August 31, 2006 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 7%
SurveyUSA September 11, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 38% 7%
Файл:2006 United States Senate election in Maryland Democratic Primary results map by county.svg
Results by county:Шаблон:Collapsible list

Results

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Republican primary

Candidates

  • Ray Bly, small businessman
  • Earl S. Gordon
  • Thomas J. Hampton, accountant
  • John B. Kimble, behavioral researcher
  • Edward Raymond Madej
  • Daniel Muffoletto, small businessman
  • Richard Shawver, activist
  • Michael Steele, Lieutenant Governor and former Chairman of the Maryland Republican Party
  • Corrogan R. Vaughn, perennial candidate
  • Daniel "The Wig Man" Vovak, ghostwriter and owner of Greenwich Creations

Campaign

Michael S. Steele was expected to win the Republican primary, and the Baltimore Sun wrote the month before that he faced "only nominal opposition".[7] Among a field of nine other candidates, the only Republican receiving sufficient media coverage was Daniel Vovak.

Results

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General election

Candidates

Campaign

This was Maryland's first open Senate seat since 1986, when junior Senator Barbara Mikulski was first elected.

Michael Steele won the Republican nomination after facing little competition in the contest for the Republican ticket. With mostly unknown secondary candidates, Steele received 87% of the Republican Primary vote.

Third District Congressional Representative Ben Cardin won the Democratic Party nomination after facing tough competition in the contest for the Democratic ticket from former congressman and NAACP President Kweisi Mfume, businessman Josh Rales, former Baltimore County Executive Dennis F. Rasmussen, and several lesser known candidates. Cardin received 44% of the Democratic Primary vote to 40% for Mfume, his next closest competitor. All other candidates received percentages only in the single digits.

Kevin Zeese, the nominee for the Green, Populist and Libertarian Parties, was also on the ballot.

Though Steele lost the general election by 10% of the vote, a much wider margin than predicted, his was and remains the best showing for a Republican in a Senate race in Maryland since Charles Mathias, Jr. was reelected in 1980 with 66.17% of the vote.

Controversies

Шаблон:Main

Both Steele and Cardin made controversial statements and advertising throughout the campaign.

Debates

The first debate of the race was held Tuesday, October 3, 2006. All three candidates were present and participated. The evening was hosted by the Baltimore Urban League, and moderated by Charles Robinson from Maryland Public Television and Doni Glover from BMORENEWS.[10]

The first televised debate of the campaign was broadcast on News Channel 8 on the program "News Talk". All three candidates participated in the debate, and were moderated by Bruce DePuyt, the host of the program. There was no audience. This debate was widely reported because of the constant bickering between the three candidates, who often interrupted and talked over one another.[11]

Another debate took place between Steele and Cardin on Sunday, October 29, 2006, as a part of the Meet The Press Senatorial debate series. Moderated by Tim Russert, the debate focused primarily on the Iraq War and stem-cell research, amongst other issues.[12]

The three candidates all participated in the final debate of the campaign on Friday, November 3, 2006. The event was sponsored by the Collective Banking Group and held at the First Baptist Church of Glenarden.[13]

Cardin primarily attacked Steele over his close relations with President Bush, including pictures of Bush and Steele in Cardin's TV ads.[14] Steele focused on low taxes, less government spending, free markets and national security.[15]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 6, 2006

Polling

Source Date Ben
Cardin (D)
Michael
Steele (R)
Kevin
Zeese (G)
Baltimore Sun April 2005 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 37%
Baltimore SunШаблон:Dead link October 25, 2005 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 38%
Potomac Survey Research November 1, 2005 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 32%
Rasmussen Шаблон:Webarchive November 21, 2005 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 41%
Rasmussen January 13, 2006 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45%
Zogby January 20, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 43%
Rasmussen February 22, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 35%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal March 31, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39%
Gonzales Research Шаблон:Webarchive April 18, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 35%
Rasmussen April 25, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 35%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal June 21, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 40%
Washington Post June 25, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 39%
Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc. Шаблон:Webarchive July 6–10, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 36%
Rasmussen July 17, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 41%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal July 24, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) August 1–2, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 35%
Rasmussen August 18, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 42%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal August 28, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 41%
Gonzales Research August 30, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 39%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal September 10, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 40%
Rasmussen September 19, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 43%
SurveyUSA September 20, 2006 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 4%
Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc. September 25, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 40%
VC Research (R) September 27–28, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% 39%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal September 28, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 39%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC October 2, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 41% 1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) October 2–4, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 43%
Reuters/Zogby October 5, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 37%
USA Today/Gallup October 6, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 39%
Rasmussen October 16, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 44%
SurveyUSA October 18, 2006 46% 46% 3%
VC Research (R) October 22–23, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 39%
Garin Hart Yang (D) October 23–24, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 40%
Rasmussen October 26, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 42%
Washington Post October 29, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 43% 1%
Reuters/Zogby November 2, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 44%
Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc. November 2, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 43% 2%
SurveyUSA November 3, 2006 47% 47%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC November 5, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 44% 1%
SurveyUSA November 6, 2006 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 46% 3%

Results

Despite polls days before the election showing the race at a 3% margin, Cardin won by just over 10% with a 178,295-vote margin, although Шаблон:As of, this is the closest a Republican has come to winning a U.S. Senate election in Maryland since Charles Mathias was reelected in 1980. Steele conceded defeat at Шаблон:Citation needed span. On the same day, incumbent Republican governor Bob Ehrlich lost reelection to Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley. Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box majority Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box hold with party link Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Ben Cardin

Democratic

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Michael Steele

Republican

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Green |Kevin Zeese

Green

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |Write-Ins

Independent

Margin Total

Votes

Cast

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |# Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |# Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |% Шаблон:Party shading/Green |# Шаблон:Party shading/Green |% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |# Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |% # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Allegany 8396 38.87% 12892 59.69% 309 1.43% 2 0.01% -4496 -20.82% 21599
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Anne Arundel 82687 44.17% 101110 54.01% 3331 1.78% 79 0.04% -18423 -9.84% 187207
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (City) 112805 74.54% 35185 23.25% 3228 2.13% 120 0.08% 77620 51.29% 151338
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (County) 145262 51.55% 131291 46.59% 5117 1.82% 140 0.05% 13971 4.96% 281810
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Calvert 12687 42.46% 16703 55.90% 481 1.61% 10 0.03% -4016 -13.44% 29881
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Caroline 2860 31.74% 5957 66.12% 192 2.13% 1 0.01% -3097 -34.37% 9010
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Carroll 18893 30.19% 42550 67.99% 1114 1.78% 26 0.04% -23657 -37.80% 62583
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Cecil 11600 40.73% 16296 57.21% 577 2.03% 10 0.04% -4696 -16.49% 28483
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Charles 20938 50.77% 19743 47.87% 539 1.31% 22 0.05% 1195 2.90% 41242
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Dorchester 4183 39.28% 6326 59.40% 134 1.26% 7 0.07% -2143 -20.12% 10650
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Frederick 29398 40.38% 42174 57.93% 1196 1.64% 32 0.04% -12776 -17.55% 72800
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Garrett 2686 27.42% 6995 71.42% 110 1.12% 3 0.03% -4309 -44.00% 9794
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Harford 32590 35.82% 56703 62.32% 1664 1.83% 37 0.04% -24113 -26.50% 90994
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Howard 56873 53.90% 47015 44.55% 1577 1.49% 59 0.06% 9858 9.34% 105524
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Kent 3484 44.34% 4239 53.95% 134 1.71% 1 0.01% -755 -9.61% 7858
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Montgomery 205264 67.16% 96619 31.61% 3578 1.17% 152 0.05% 108645 35.55% 305613
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Prince George's 154798 75.01% 49484 23.98% 1948 0.94% 150 0.07% 105314 51.03% 206380
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Queen Anne's 5935 33.03% 11710 65.17% 318 1.77% 6 0.03% -5775 -32.14% 17969
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | St. Mary's 11614 40.77% 16381 57.50% 482 1.69% 11 0.04% -4767 -16.73% 28488
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Somerset 2651 39.53% 3953 58.95% 99 1.48% 3 0.04% -1302 -19.42% 6706
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Talbot 5844 37.13% 9686 61.55% 200 1.27% 8 0.05% -3842 -24.41% 15738
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Washington 15921 38.56% 24773 59.99% 582 1.41% 17 0.04% -8852 -21.44% 41293
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Wicomico 10571 37.66% 17074 60.83% 405 1.44% 17 0.06% -6503 -23.17% 28067
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Worcester 7537 37.47% 12326 61.28% 249 1.24% 3 0.01% -4789 -23.81% 20115
Total 965477 54.33% 783185 44.07% 27564 1.55% 916 0.05% 182292 10.26% 1777142
Counties that flipped from Democrat to Republican

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:2006 United States elections Шаблон:United States Senate elections Шаблон:Elections in Maryland footer