Английская Википедия:2008 Bavarian state election
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The 2008 Bavarian state election was held on 28 September 2008 to elect the members of the Landtag of Bavaria. The result was a historic defeat for the Christian Social Union (CSU), which had governed with a majority uninterrupted since 1962, and had won over 60% of the vote in the 2003 election. Despite polling suggesting that the party would retain its majority with losses, it suffered a 17% swing and came up two seats short of a majority, its worst result since 1954. Minister-President and CSU leader Günther Beckstein subsequently resigned from both posts, and the Landtag elected Horst Seehofer as his successor after the CSU and Free Democratic Party (FDP) came to a coalition agreement.
The Free Voters of Bavaria entered the Landtag for the first time with 10% of the vote; the FDP also won seats for the first time in 14 years. The Left competed in its first Bavarian election, recording a modest result of 4.3%, but failing to win any seats.
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 15th Landtag of Bavaria.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2003 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | CSU | Christian Social Union in Bavaria Шаблон:Small |
Christian democracy | Günther Beckstein | 60.7% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Social democracy | Franz Maget | 19.6% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Шаблон:Small |
Green politics | Sepp Daxenberger | 7.7% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CSU | SPD | Grüne | FW | FDP | Linke | ÖDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2008 state election | 28 Sep 2008 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 43.4 | 18.6 | 9.4 | 10.2 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 4.1Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 24.8 |
| GMS | 20–21 Sep 2008 | 1,010 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 48 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 29 |
| Emnid | 10–18 Sep 2008 | 1,010 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 49 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | – | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 29 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16–18 Sep 2008 | 1,105 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 47 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 27 |
| Infratest dimap | 15–17 Sep 2008 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 47 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26 |
| Forsa | 8–12 Sep 2008 | 1,101 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 50 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| GMS | 6–8 Sep 2008 | 1,006 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 49 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Jul 2008 | 1,038 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 50 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30 |
| Infratest dimap | 24–28 Jul 2008 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 48 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26 |
| Emnid | 23 Jun–17 Jul 2008 | ~500 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 51 | 19 | 9 | – | 7 | 5 | – | 9Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 32 |
| TNS Infratest | 3–8 Jul 2008 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 48 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 | – | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 27 |
| GMS | 8–9 Jul 2008 | 1,006 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 50 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30 |
| GMS | 2–6 Jun 2008 | 1,009 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 49 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 29 |
| Infratest dimap | 28–30 Apr 2008 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 48 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |
| mifm München | 21–23 Apr 2008 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 44 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 3 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 24 |
| mifm München | 4–14 Apr 2008 | 1,001 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 40 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 4 | – | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21 |
| GMS | 8–14 Apr 2008 | 1,010 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 51 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| GMS | 31 Mar–6 Apr 2008 | 1,512 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 50 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 29 |
| Emnid | 13–27 Feb 2008 | ~500 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 51 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 4 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 32 |
| mifm München | 31 Jan–7 Feb 2008 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 50 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 3 | – | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–7 Jan 2008 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 52 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 3 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| Emnid | 10 Dec 2007–2 Jan 2008 | 800 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 20 | 10 | – | 6 | 4 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| GMS | 2–3 Jan 2008 | 1,004 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| GMS | 12–17 Dec 2007 | 1,010 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 55 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 35 |
| Forsa | 5–27 Nov 2007 | 1,002 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 39 |
| mifm München | 29 Oct–7 Nov 2007 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53.8 | 19.1 | 9.9 | 1.7 | 7 | 3.2 | – | 5.3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34.7 |
| GMS | 21–22 Oct 2007 | 1,001 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24–26 Sep 2007 | 1,143 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| mifm München | 7–15 Sep 2007 | 1,003 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1.7 | 4.9Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 36 |
| Forsa | 29 Aug–17 Sep 2007 | 1,003 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 57 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 38 |
| Forsa | 28–30 Jul 2007 | 1,002 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 58 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 41 |
| TNS Infratest | 17–19 Jul 2007 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 22 | 11 | – | 5 | 3 | – | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 32 |
| dimap | 13–19 Jul 2007 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 58 | 18 | 11 | – | 4 | 4 | – | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 40 |
| GMS | 13–18 Jun 2007 | 1,010 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 3 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 36 |
| Forsa | 4–14 Jun 2007 | 1,001 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 40 |
| Forsa | 25 Apr–8 May 2007 | 1,036 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 39 |
| Forsa | 19 Mar–2 Apr 2007 | 1,012 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| Infratest dimap | 22–25 Mar 2007 | 1,002 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30 |
| GMS | 5–8 Mar 2007 | 1,012 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 33 |
| Forsa | 15–26 Feb 2007 | 1,002 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| GMS | 22–25 Jan 2007 | 1,011 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 52 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30 |
| Infratest dimap | 19–20 Jan 2007 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 52 | 24 | 9 | – | 7 | – | – | 8 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 28 |
| Infratest dimap | 15 Jan 2007 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 50 | 24 | 11 | – | 8 | – | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 26 |
| Forsa | 10–12 Jan 2007 | 1,007 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 49 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 4 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 27 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–13 Jan 2007 | 1,142 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 45 | 27 | 10 | – | 9 | – | – | 9 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–4 Jan 2007 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 22 | 9 | – | 7 | – | – | 8 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 32 |
| Forsa | 27–29 Dec 2006 | 1,009 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 36 |
| GMS | 18–23 Dec 2006 | 1,006 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| Forsa | 24 Nov–5 Dec 2006 | 1,026 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 4 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 39 |
| Forsa | 23 Oct–7 Nov 2006 | 1,004 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 35 |
| GMS | 6–8 Oct 2006 | 1,002 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| Forsa | 18 Sep–4 Oct 2006 | 1,006 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 3 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 36 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Sep–1 Oct 2006 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 49 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |
| Forsa | 20 Aug–5 Sep 2006 | 1,005 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 58 | 16 | 10 | – | 6 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 42 |
| Forsa | 3–12 Jul 2006 | 1,004 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 4 | – | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 40 |
| GMS | 9–14 Jun 2006 | 1,002 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 54 | 18 | 11 | 2.0 | 8 | 2.5 | – | 4.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 36 |
| Forsa | 12–17 May 2006 | 1,002 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 52 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 3 | – | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| Emnid | 20 Apr–9 May 2006 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53 | 23 | 9 | – | 5 | – | – | 10 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 30 |
| Forsa | 22–24 Feb 2006 | 1,003 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 52 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | – | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| Infratest dimap | 12–15 Jan 2006 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 53 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 2Шаблон:Efn | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 31 |
| Forsa | 4–11 Jan 2006 | 1,114 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 49 | 24 | 10 | – | 6 | 3Шаблон:Efn | – | 8Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |
| Peinelt | 17 Nov–9 Dec 2005 | 1,067 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 45.9 | 21.5 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 11.8 | – | – | 8.0Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 24.4 |
| GMS | 17–21 Dec 2005 | 1,001 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| Infratest dimap | 15–16 Nov 2005 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 45 | 24 | 10 | – | 11 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 21 |
| Forsa | 4–7 Nov 2005 | 1,001 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 49 | 21 | 9 | – | 9 | 4 | – | 8Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 28 |
| Infratest dimap | 21–24 Jul 2005 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 59 | 18 | 9 | – | 4 | 4 | – | 6 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 41 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–9 Jan 2005 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 56 | 22 | 10 | – | 5 | – | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 34 |
| Infratest dimap | 21–25 Jul 2004 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 58 | 17 | 12 | – | 5 | – | – | 8 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 41 |
| GMS | 17–20 Mar 2004 | 1,009 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 61.0 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.0Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 42 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–5 Jan 2004 | 1,000 | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 62 | 19 | 9 | – | 3 | – | – | 7 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 43 |
| 2003 state election | 21 Sep 2003 | – | Шаблон:Party shading/CSU| 60.7 | 19.6 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 2.6 | – | 2.0 | 3.4Шаблон:Efn | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 41.1 |
Election result
Шаблон:Election resultsШаблон:Bar box
See also
Notes
References
External links
Шаблон:Bavaria state elections
