Английская Википедия:2008 Lower Saxony state election
Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election The 2008 Lower Saxony state election was held on 27 January 2008 to elect the members of the 16th Landtag of Lower Saxony. The incumbent coalition government of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Free Democratic Party (FDP) led by Minister-President Christian Wulff was re-elected with a reduced majority.[1]
Campaign
Lower Saxony was seen as a stronghold of the Christian Democratic Union[2] and their leader Christian Wulff was seen as likely to easily defeat the Social Democrats.[3] The election in Lower Saxony took place on the same day as the 2008 Hessian state election; Wulff was seen as a more moderate leader than Roland Koch in Hesse and consequently more likely to perform better in the election.[4] The CDU government had held spending down, introduced tuition fees for university students, while supporting the minimum wage.[5] The Social Democrats (SPD) led their campaign with a call for a national minimum wage for all workers.[6] The SPD leader in Lower Saxony, Wolfgang Jüttner, was little known to voters and unusually during the campaign made an attack on Wolff for his personal life.[7]
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 15th Landtag of Lower Saxony.
Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2003 result | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Christian democracy | Christian Wulff | 48.3% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Шаблон:Small |
Social democracy | Wolfgang Jüttner | 33.6% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | FDP | Free Democratic Party Шаблон:Small |
Classical liberalism | Philipp Rösler | 8.1% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color | | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Шаблон:Small |
Green politics | Stefan Wenzel | 7.6% | Шаблон:Composition bar |
Opinion polling
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | SPD | FDP | Grüne | Linke | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
2008 state election | 27 Jan 2008 | – | 42.5 | 30.3 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 3.9 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12.2 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–17 Jan 2008 | 1,001 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13 |
Infratest dimap | 14–16 Jan 2008 | 1,000 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
Infratest dimap | 2–4 Jan 2008 | 1,000 | 45 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12 |
Emnid | 10 Dec 2007 – 2 Jan 2008 | 800 | 45 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13 |
AMR Düsseldorf | 29 Dec 2007 | 1,000 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 4–6 Dec 2007 | 1,056 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
Infratest dimap | 2–5 Nov 2007 | 1,000 | 44 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11 |
Infratest dimap | 5–10 Oct 2007 | 1,001 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12 |
Emnid | 2–6 Oct 2007 | 1,000 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14 |
Infratest dimap | 3–5 Sep 2007 | 1,000 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
Forsa | 1–14 Aug 2007 | 1,160 | 47 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18 |
Forsa | 14–29 May 2007 | 1,047 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17 |
Infratest | 3–6 May 2007 | 1,000 | 41 | 36 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
Forsa | 29 Jan–13 Feb 2007 | 1,193 | 46 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17 |
Infratest dimap | 19–24 Jan 2007 | 1,000 | 43 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9 |
Forsa | 2–14 Nov 2006 | 1,080 | 45 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16 |
Forsa | 25 Sep–17 Oct 2006 | 1,054 | 44 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14 |
Infratest dimap | 23–27 Aug 2006 | 1,000 | 40 | 36 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
Forsa | 17 Jul–1 Aug 2006 | 1,086 | 46 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 |
Forsa | 17 May–6 Jun 2006 | 1,039 | 42 | 36 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
Infratest dimap | 17–22 Feb 2006 | 1,000 | 42 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
Emnid | 7–12 Feb 2005 | 1,000 | 43 | 37 | 7 | 10 | – | 3 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
Emnid | 28 Feb 2005 | ? | 44 | 34 | 7 | 10 | – | 5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
Infratest dimap | 26–31 Jan 2004 | 1,000 | 51 | 29 | 8 | 8 | – | 4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 22 |
GMS | 28 Nov–1 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 48.5 | 30.5 | 8.5 | 9.0 | – | 3.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17.0 |
Emnid | 27–31 May 2003 | 1,000 | 48 | 31 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17 |
2003 state election | 2 Feb 2003 | – | 48.3 | 33.4 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 0.5 | 2.0 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14.9 |
Election result
Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Seats ! +/- ! Seats % |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | align=right| 1,455,687 | align=right| 42.5 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease5.8 | align=right| 68 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease23 | align=right| 44.7 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | align=right| 1,035,894 | align=right| 30.3 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease3.1 | align=right| 48 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease15 | align=right| 31.6 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | align=right| 279,557 | align=right| 8.2 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase0.1 | align=right| 13 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease2 | align=right| 8.6 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | align=right| 273,934 | align=right| 8.0 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase0.4 | align=right| 12 | align=right| Шаблон:Decrease2 | align=right| 7.9 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | The Left (Linke) | align=right| 243,106 | align=right| 7.1 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase6.6 | align=right| 11 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase11 | align=right| 7.2 |- ! colspan=8| |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | National Democratic Party (NPD) | align=right| 52,817 | align=right| 1.5 | align=right| Шаблон:Increase1.5 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Шаблон:Party color| | align=left | Others | align=right| 81,557 | align=right| 2.4 | align=right| | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- ! align=right colspan=2| Total ! align=right| 3,422,552 ! align=right| 100.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| 152 ! align=right| Шаблон:Decrease31 ! align=right| |- ! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout ! align=right| ! align=right| 57.0 ! align=right| Шаблон:Decrease10.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| ! align=right| |} Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box
Outcome
The results saw the Christian Democratic Union easily defeat the Social Democrats, despite suffering a drop in votes and seats.[8][9] As a result, their leader Christian Wulff was seen as having strengthened his chances of succeeding national CDU leader Angela Merkel.[10] The 30.3% of the vote that the Social Democrats won was the worst performance by the party in Lower Saxony since the Second World War,[5] which was described as a 'disaster' for the party.[11] Turnout in the election was 57%.[10]
The Left entered the Landtag for the first time with 7.1% of the vote, comfortably exceeding the 5% electoral threshold.[12] Along with the election in Hesse held on the same day in which The Left also won seats, this was the first time they had achieved representation in any large state in western Germany.[13]
References
Шаблон:Lower Saxony state election