Английская Википедия:2008 United States Senate election in Alaska

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Шаблон:Short descriptionШаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Alaska sidebar

The 2008 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator and former President pro tempore Ted Stevens ran for re-election for an eighth term (a seventh full term) in the United States Senate. It was one of the ten Senate races that U.S. Senator John Ensign of Nevada, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, predicted as being most competitive.[1] The primaries were held on August 26, 2008.[2] Stevens was challenged by Democratic candidate Mark Begich, the mayor of Anchorage and son of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich.

On October 27, 2008, Stevens was convicted on seven charges of ethics violations and corruption.[3][4] If re-elected, Stevens would have been the first convicted felon to be elected to the United States Senate.[5] On November 18, 2008, the Associated Press called the race for Begich, making Stevens the longest-serving U.S. Senator ever to lose a re-election bid.[6] Surpassing Warren Magnuson's record, they served for over 36 years before he lost his seat to Slade Gorton in 1980, 28 years prior. Stevens conceded the race to Begich on November 19.

Begich was the only Democrat in 2008 to flip a Senate seat in a state that Barack Obama lost (to John McCain) in the concurrent presidential election. With a margin of 1.3%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2008 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in Minnesota. Begich was the first Democrat to be elected to the U.S. Senate in Alaska since Mike Gravel in 1974. The party would not win another statewide election in Alaska until 2022, when Mary Peltola was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. This was the first time since 1966 that a Democrat was elected to Alaska's Class 2 Senate seat, and the only time since 1974 that Democrats won an Alaska U.S. Senate Election.[7]

Stevens's conviction was set aside in April 2009, and the U.S. attorney general dropped all charges against him, citing serious prosecutorial misconduct during the trial. Nearly two years after his election defeat, on August 9, 2010, Stevens died in a plane crash.[8][9]

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

The ADL ballot contained all of the primary candidates for the Alaska Democratic Party, the Alaskan Independence Party, and the Libertarian Party of Alaska.

Candidates

Alaskan Independence

Democratic

Libertarian

Results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

With three and a half weeks to go before the primary, Stevens still held a large polling lead over chief rival Dave Cuddy, 59% to 19%.[15] Political newcomer Vic Vickers said on July 28 that he expected to pour $750,000 of his own money into his bid to defeat Stevens.[16] According to Rasmussen polling of Alaskans, Cuddy "does nearly as well against Begich" as Stevens, trailing Begich 50% to 35%, while Vickers trailed the expected Democratic nominee 55% to 22%.[17]

Results

In the Republican primary on August 26, results from 70.5% of precincts showed Stevens winning with 63% of the vote; Cuddy had 28% and Vickers had 6%.[18]

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General election

Candidates

Major

  • Mark Begich (D), Mayor of Anchorage
  • Ted Stevens (R), incumbent U.S. Senator since 1968

Minor

  • Bob Bird (AI)
  • Fredrick "David" Haase (L)
  • Ted Gianoutsos (I)

Campaign

The FBI investigation and subsequent seven-count indictment of Ted Stevens, as well as the investigation of the state's only Representative, Don Young (R), generated some negative feelings in Alaska towards Republicans, even among Republican primary voters. Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (son of the last Democratic Rep. from Alaska, Nick Begich) was courted by both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. In February 2008, he announced the formation of an exploratory committee for the Senate seat. The possible Democratic field also included former Governor Tony Knowles, State Rep. Eric Croft and State Senators Hollis French and Johnny Ellis.[19] Former Minority Leader of the Alaska House of Representatives Ethan Berkowitz was considered a possible candidate, but he decided to challenge Don Young instead. Sensing discontentment within the GOP, conservative Republican Dave Cuddy announced his candidacy for U.S. Senate in December 2007.

Stevens was perceived by many as corrupt, but was also highly regarded by many Alaskans for his ability to steer federal funding toward the state; he was the longest-serving Republican in the Senate entering 2008 (first elected in 1968), and through his seniority, he amassed a great deal of influence there. The selection of Alaskan Governor Sarah Palin as the vice-presidential running-mate of Republican presidential candidate John McCain in late August 2008 coincided with a substantial improvement in Stevens' performance in opinion polls. A poll in August showed Begich with a 17% lead, but in early September a poll from the same source showed Begich leading Stevens by only 3%. Begich's campaign and some observers attributed this change to Palin's popularity and the enthusiasm stimulated by her selection,Шаблон:Citation needed although Palin's reputation was partially based on her perceived opposition to Stevens or distance from him.

The Stevens campaign disputed the low numbers shown in the August poll and said that the numbers had improved in September because Stevens had begun heavily campaigning. His campaign also presented the relationship between Palin and Stevens as positive, contrary to some portrayals.[20] Stevens was convicted of seven felony counts of failing to report gifts on October 27, 2008. This was considered a serious setback in his already difficult bid for re-election; he had requested and received a quick trial in hopes of winning an acquittal before election day.[21] After the verdict, Stevens maintained his innocence and said that he was still running for re-election.[22]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 23, 2008
CQ Politics[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 30, 2008

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Mark
Begich (D) 		Ted
Stevens (R)
Research 2000 December 3–6, 2007 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 41%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2008 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46%
DSCC May 6–10, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 44%
Research 2000 May 12–14, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 43%
Rasmussen Reports May 14, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 45%
Rasmussen Reports June 16, 2008 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46%
Research 2000 July 14–16, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 45%
Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 44%
Rasmussen Reports July 30, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 37%
Ivan Moore Research July 31, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% 35%
Ivan Moore Research August 30 – September 2, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% 46%
Rasmussen Reports September 9, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 46%
Research 2000 September 15–17, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 44%
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2008 48% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49%
Research 2000 October 14–16, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 46%
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% 44%
Research 2000 October 28–30, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 58% 36%

Results

Begich won the election by 3,953 votes. Incumbent Stevens had held a lead of over 3,000 votes after election night, but a tally of nearly 60,000 absentee and mail-in ballots released on November 12 erased that lead and reduced the vote margin separating the candidates to less than 0.5%,[27] with further counting, released on November 18, increasing the margin to more than 1% in favor of Begich. On November 19, 2008, Stevens conceded to Begich.[28]

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Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2008 United States elections

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
Магазины
Хостинг
Разное

  1. ↑ Kate Phillips, G.O.P. Leader Maps Senate Elections The New York Times, June 13, 2008
  2. ↑ 2008 Primary Election Information Шаблон:Webarchive Division of Elections from the Alaska Secretary of State
  3. ↑ Alaska Senator Found Guilty of Lying About Gifts, New York Times, October 27, 2008
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  5. ↑ Yardley, William. "Senator Stevens hanging by a thread in Alaska." The New York Times, November 5, 2008. Retrieved on November 5, 2008
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  11. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  12. ↑ Fredrick "David" Haase - LibertarianШаблон:Dead link. The Anchorage Daily News. August 19, 2008.
  13. ↑ DavidforAlaska.com Шаблон:Webarchive.
  14. ↑ Anchorage developer plans to challenge Stevens for Senate seat Fairbanks Daily News-Miner December 22, 2007. Retrieved December 26, 2007. Шаблон:Dead link
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  20. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  22. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  23. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  24. ↑ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Шаблон:Webarchive CQ Politics
  25. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  26. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  27. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  28. ↑ Stevens concedes; Begich savors first day of senate elect status Alaska Public Radio Network. Retrieved on November 19, 2008.
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