Английская Википедия:2008 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNH The United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John E. Sununu ran for re-election to a second term, but was defeated by Democrat Jeanne Shaheen in a rematch of the 2002 election. Shaheen's win marked the first time since 1972 that Democrats won this seat, and made her the first Democratic Senator elected from New Hampshire since John A. Durkin's victory in 1975.

Background

For a considerable amount of time, New Hampshire had always been considered an island of conservatism in the Northeast. Following the 2006 election, however, many offices were taken over by Democrats: Representatives Carol Shea-Porter and Paul Hodes, Governor John Lynch, the majority of the New Hampshire Executive Council, and the majority of both legislative chambers (which had not occurred since 1911).[1] The popularity of Governor Lynch was considered an impediment to Sununu's re-election.[2] Though the state voted for then-Gov. George W. Bush in 2000, Sen. John Kerry narrowly won the state over Bush in 2004.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

Файл:Jeanne Shaheen 2008 NH.jpg
Shaheen, the Democratic nominee, at a rally in the lead-up to the election.

Astronaut Jay Buckey MD, Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand, and Katrina Swett, (wife of former Congressman Richard Swett), had announced their candidacies but withdrew in favor of former governor Jeanne Shaheen upon her entrance into the race.[3]

Shaheen had been the Democratic nominee for the race in 2002. Since 2005, Shaheen had served as director of the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School before leaving on September 14, 2007. She had been aggressively courted to run by Senator Ted Kennedy (D-MA) on behalf of Senate Democrats, and by a "Draft Shaheen" campaign led by former New Hampshire Democratic Chairman Kathy Sullivan.

The filing deadline for the Democratic and Republican Parties was June 13, 2008. Shaheen filed, as did Raymond Stebbins.[4]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Campaign

A November 2006 SurveyUSA poll of New Hampshire voters found Sununu had a 47% approval rating.[6] A February 1, 2007 poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire found that only 45% of New Hampshire voters held a favorable opinion of Sununu. In June 2007, a poll by 7NEWS and Suffolk University of likely voters reported that only 31 percent in the poll said Sununu deserved re-election, with 47 percent saying that someone else should get his seat.[7]

A July 2008 Granite State Poll had Sununu's favorability rating at 52%, his unfavorability rating at 33%, and neutral or undecided by 16%.[8] Shaheen is viewed favorable by 53%, unfavorable by 31% and neutral or undecided by 15%.[9]

Senator John McCain, the Republican nominee for president, had mentioned Sununu as a possible running mate for the 2008 presidential election, as well as Lindsey Graham, Bob Riley, Steve Forbes and John Thune. Sununu had said he would remain neutral in the New Hampshire primary. However, McCain selected Alaska governor Sarah Palin instead.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 23, 2008
CQ Politics[11] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2008

Polling

Source Date John
Sununu (R) 		Jeanne
Shaheen (D) 		Ken
Blevens (L) 		Undecided
American Research Group March 29, 2007 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% –– 22%
American Research Group June 2007 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% –– 14%
Research 2000 July 2007 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% –– 10%
WMUR-CNN July 2007 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% –– 7%
Rasmussen Reports September 16, 2007 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% –– 9%
American Research Group September 18, 2007 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% –– 13%
WMUR-CNN September 2007 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% –– 7%
SurveyUSA November 5, 2007 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% –– 5%
American Research Group December 20, 2007 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 41% –– 7%
Granite State Poll February 11, 2008 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% –– 7%
Rasmussen Reports February 13, 2008 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% –– ––
American Research Group March 20, 2008 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% –– 20%
Rasmussen Reports March 21, 2008 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports May 23, 2008 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% –– ––
American Research Group June 18, 2008 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% –– 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 20, 2008 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% –– ––
Granite State Poll July 20, 2008 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% –– 10%
American Research Group July 19, 2008 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports July 23, 2008 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports August 19, 2008 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% –– ––
American Research Group August 18, 2008 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% –– 7%
Public Opinion Strategies September 3, 2008 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 3% 5%
American Research Group September 13, 2008 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% –– 8%
Granite State Poll September 14, 2008 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% –– 7%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 45% 1% 2%
Rasmussen Reports October 1, 2008 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 1% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2008 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% –– ––
Survey USA October 30, 2008 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 6% 2%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (D) $8,273,501.00 $8,225,580.00 $47,920.00 $120,630.00
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | John Sununu (R) $8,879,307.00 $8,868,017.00 $104,187.00 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

Файл:Nh senate race 2008.png
Results by municipality.

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:New Hampshire elections Шаблон:2008 United States elections

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
Магазины
Хостинг
Разное

  1. ↑ Storm of change sweeps through N.H. Legislature
  2. ↑ Шаблон:Cite newsШаблон:Dead link
  3. ↑ Swett Drops Out Of NH Senate RaceШаблон:Dead link WCSH 6 September 21, 2007. Retrieved September 22, 2007
  4. ↑ Democratic Party Cumulative Filings Шаблон:Webarchive New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved June 15, 2008.
  5. ↑ Republican Party Cumulative Filings Шаблон:Webarchive New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved June 15, 2008.
  6. ↑ Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #11151, conducted November 2006
  7. ↑ Ralph Z. Hallow, "N.H. poll puts Gore over Clinton", Washington Times, June 27, 2007
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Шаблон:Webarchive CQ Politics
  12. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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