Шаблон:Short description
Шаблон:Use mdy dates
Шаблон:Infobox election
Шаблон:ElectionsNJ
The 2008 United States Senate election in New Jersey was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Frank Lautenberg won re-election to a fifth, non-consecutive term, defeating former Republican congressman Dick Zimmer. Zimmer had also been the nominee for this seat in 1996.
As of 2023, this is the last time where both major party nominees for this Senate seat were white men.
Background
In November 2006, Senator Lautenberg had the lowest approval rating of any Democrat running for re-election in 2008 (with 39% approving and 45% disapproving),[1] with his approval improving only slightly to 42% as of September 2007. In the same September 2007 poll conducted by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, voters surveyed decided that Lautenberg does not deserve re-election (46% to 36%) and that he is too old to effectively serve another six years in the Senate (54% to 40%).[2]
Poll results suggested that given the right formula, this could have been a surprise upset race in November 2008. "The poll shows that Sen. Frank Lautenberg, who many voters say is too old to run for another term, would be vulnerable to a strong Republican candidate next year," according to Quinnipiac pollster Clay Richards.[2]
The first poll conducted after the primaries (Rasmussen Reports, June 4, 2008) showed a tighter than expected race between Lautenberg and Zimmer, with the two candidates in a virtual tie.[3]
However, the prevailing political climate at the time of the election was also a major factor. Voter anger was targeted against the GOP, and many Democrats once considered vulnerable managed to hold on.
Democratic primary
Шаблон:Main
Candidates
Polling
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change
Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change
Шаблон:Election box total no change
Шаблон:Election box end
Results by county
Results by county
| County
|
Lautenberg
|
%
|
Andrews
|
%
|
Cresitello
|
%
|
| Atlantic |
4,798 |
45.4% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5,287 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50.1% |
472 |
4.5%
|
| Bergen |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|26,848 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|78.9% |
5,645 |
16.6% |
1,554 |
4.6%
|
| Burlington |
7,757 |
42.4% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|9,483 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51.8% |
1,059 |
5.8%
|
| Camden |
5,995 |
16.5% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|29,175 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|80.1% |
1,256 |
3.4%
|
| Cape May |
1,433 |
45.4% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1,566 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49.6% |
159 |
5.0%
|
| Cumberland |
1,746 |
46.1% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1,799 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47.5% |
246 |
6.5%
|
| Essex |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|31,844 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|76.4% |
8,671 |
20.8% |
1,190 |
2.9%
|
| Gloucester |
3,135 |
17.0% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|14,775 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|80.0% |
563 |
3.0%
|
| Hudson |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|28,446 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|74.8% |
8,233 |
21.7% |
1,343 |
3.5%
|
| Hunterdon |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|2,061 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58.8% |
1,180 |
33.7% |
264 |
7.5%
|
| Mercer |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|10,093 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|74.0% |
3,053 |
22.4% |
494 |
3.6%
|
| Middlesex |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17,131 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|62.0% |
7,918 |
28.7% |
2,573 |
9.3%
|
| Monmouth |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|10,570 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|66.3% |
3,568 |
22.4% |
1,808 |
11.3%
|
| Morris |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|8,432 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|65.0% |
3,151 |
24.3% |
1,394 |
10.7%
|
| Ocean |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|8,869 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57.9% |
5,037 |
32.9% |
1,421 |
9.3%
|
| Passaic |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|9,842 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|79.3% |
1,700 |
13.7% |
872 |
7.0%
|
| Salem |
928 |
31.9% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1,734 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|59.6% |
248 |
8.5%
|
| Somerset |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5,640 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|64.7% |
2,209 |
25.3% |
873 |
10.0%
|
| Sussex |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1,379 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52.7% |
784 |
29.9% |
456 |
17.4%
|
| Union |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|15,103 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|67.6% |
6,179 |
27.7% |
1,060 |
4.7%
|
| Warren |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|962 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47.4% |
630 |
31.0% |
438 |
21.6%
|
Republican primary
Candidates
Withdrew
Declined
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change
Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change
Шаблон:Election box total no change
Шаблон:Election box end
Official results, New Jersey Division of Elections (PDF, July 11, 2008)
Results by county
| County
|
Zimmer
|
%
|
Pennacchio
|
%
|
Sabrin
|
%
|
| Atlantic |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3,909
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|65% |
1,322
|
22% |
810
|
13%
|
| Bergen |
5,145
|
30% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|10,761
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62% |
1,384
|
8%
|
| Burlington |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|8,629
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|63% |
2,869
|
21% |
2,276
|
16%
|
| Camden |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3,123
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% |
2,166
|
34% |
1,036
|
16%
|
| Cape May |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3,615
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|70% |
1,034
|
20% |
483
|
9%
|
| Cumberland |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|1,566
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|72% |
395
|
18% |
225
|
10%
|
| Essex |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3,592
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|57% |
2,262
|
36% |
493
|
8%
|
| Gloucester |
1,206
|
26% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|2,161
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% |
1,254
|
27%
|
| Hudson |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|1,487
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% |
955
|
31% |
641
|
21%
|
| Hunterdon |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|5,519
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60% |
2,730
|
30% |
977
|
11%
|
| Mercer |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|2,555
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% |
1,538
|
34% |
488
|
11%
|
| Middlesex |
2,603
|
33% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|4,195
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% |
1,021
|
13%
|
| Monmouth |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|7,981
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% |
4,630
|
33% |
1,510
|
11%
|
| Morris |
8,094
|
36% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|12,700
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% |
1,855
|
8%
|
| Ocean |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|10,875
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% |
4,820
|
21% |
6,778
|
30%
|
| Passaic |
1,271
|
20% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|4,570
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|72% |
545
|
8%
|
| Salem |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|769
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% |
657
|
41% |
193
|
12%
|
| Somerset |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|5,227
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% |
4,875
|
43% |
1,170
|
10%
|
| Sussex |
2,850
|
40% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3,621
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% |
647
|
9%
|
| Union |
2,896
|
32% |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|4,653
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% |
1,388
|
15%
|
| Warren |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|1,751
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% |
1,632
|
43% |
402
|
11%
|
General election
Candidates
Major
Minor
- Jeff Boss (I)[8]
- Daryl Mikell Brooks (I)[8]
- J.M. Carter (I)[8]
- Carl Peter Klapper (Write In)[9]
- Sara Lobman (Socialist Workers)[8]
- Jason Scheurer (Libertarian)[8]
Debates
On October 29, 2008, a debate between Lautenberg and Zimmer was held on the radio station NJ 101.5.[10]
On November 1, 2008, the two candidates debated for the second time on New Jersey Network, in the only televised debate agreed to by the Lautenberg campaign.[11]
Predictions
Polling
| Source
|
Date
|
Frank
Lautenberg (D)
|
Dick
Zimmer (R)
|
| Rasmussen Reports[16]
|
June 4, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45%
|
44%
|
| Quinnipiac University
|
June 5–8, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47%
|
38%
|
| Fairleigh Dickinson University
|
June 17–22, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45%
|
28%
|
| Rasmussen Reports
|
July 7, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49%
|
36%
|
| Strategic Vision
|
July 11–13, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
|
32%
|
| Monmouth University
|
July 17–21, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45%
|
37%
|
| Club for Growth[17]
|
July 30–31, 2008
|
35%
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 36%
|
| Rasmussen Reports[18]
|
August 4, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51%
|
33%
|
| Quinnipiac University
|
August 4–10, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
|
41%
|
| Fairleigh Dickinson University
|
September 4–7, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46%
|
35%
|
| Marist College Шаблон:Webarchive
|
September 5–8, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51%
|
40%
|
| The Record / Research 2000
|
September 9–11, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49%
|
41%
|
| Quinnipiac University
|
September 10–14, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
|
39%
|
| Monmouth University
|
September 11–14, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46%
|
36%
|
| Strategic Vision
|
September 14–16, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47%
|
40%
|
| Rasmussen Reports
|
September 16, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49%
|
42%
|
| Survey USA
|
September 27–28, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51%
|
38%
|
| Strategic Vision
|
September 26–28, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
|
41%
|
| Fairleigh Dickinson University
|
September 29 – October 5, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50%
|
34%
|
| Rasmussen Reports
|
October 7, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51%
|
37%
|
| Survey USA
|
October 11–12, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51%
|
38%
|
| Monmouth University
|
October 15–18, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52%
|
36%
|
| Quinnipiac University
|
October 16–19, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55%
|
33%
|
| Marist College Шаблон:Webarchive
|
October 20–21, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
|
41%
|
| Strategic Vision
|
October 24–26, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49%
|
41%
|
| Survey USA
|
October 29–30, 2008
|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52%
|
37%
|
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin
Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box total
Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing
Шаблон:Election box end
See also
References
Шаблон:Reflist
External links
Шаблон:2008 United States elections
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 "Voters still say Lautenberg is too old". PolitickerNJ.com, September 25, 2007. Accessed April 8, 2008.
- ↑ "Election 2008: New Jersey Senate - New Jersey Senate Race a Dead Heat" Шаблон:Webarchive, Rasmussen Reports, June 9, 2008. Accessed June 9, 2008.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 8,2 8,3 8,4 2008 General Election Candidate Certification Шаблон:Webarchive, New Jersey Division of Elections. Accessed September 28, 2008
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Burton, Cynthia. "Lautenberg and Zimmer spar over issues", The Philadelphia Inquirer, October 30, 2008.
- ↑ Schwaneberg, Robert. Lautenberg, Zimmer agree to debate on Nov. 1, The Star-Ledger, October 1, 2008.
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Шаблон:Webarchive CQ Politics
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
