Английская Википедия:2009 Queensland state election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use Australian English Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election The 2009 Queensland state election was held on 21 March 2009 to elect all 89 members of the Legislative Assembly, a unicameral parliament.

The election saw the incumbent Labor government led by Premier Anna Bligh defeat the Liberal National Party of Queensland led by Opposition Leader Lawrence Springborg, and gain a fifth consecutive term in office for her party. Bligh thus became the first female Premier of any Australian State elected in her own right.[1]

The 2009 election marked the eighth consecutive victory of Labor in a general election since 1989, although it was out of office between 1996 and 1998 as a direct result of the 1996 Mundingburra by-election.

Key dates

Date Event
23 February 2009 Writs were issued by the Governor to proceed with an election.[2]
28 February 2009 Close of electoral rolls
3 March 2009 Close of nominations
21 March 2009 Polling day, between the hours of 8am and 6pm
26 March 2009 The Bligh Ministry was reconstituted[3]
7 April 2009 The writ was returned and the results formally declared
12 April 2009 53rd Parliament convened

Results

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also

Файл:2009 Queensland state election - Simple Results.svg
Winning party by electorate.
Файл:2009 Election Queensland Gallagher Index.png
The Gallagher Index result: 12.47

Шаблон:Australian elections/Title row Шаблон:Australian elections/Party summary Шаблон:Australian elections/Party summary Шаблон:Australian elections/Party summary Шаблон:Australian elections/Party summary Шаблон:Australian elections/Party summary Шаблон:Australian elections/Party summary Шаблон:Australian elections/Party summary Шаблон:Australian elections/Total row

Шаблон:Australian elections/2PP summary | colspan=7 |* The two-party preferred summary is an estimate by Antony Green using a methodology by Malcolm Mackerras. |}

Шаблон:Bar box

Шаблон:Bar box

Шаблон:Bar box

Seats changing hands

Seat Pre-2009 Swing Post-2009
Party Member Margin Margin Member Party
Aspley Шаблон:Australian party style Labor Bonny Barry 3.0 -7.5 4.5 Tracy Davis Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style
Burdekin Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor notional 0.9 -4.0 3.1 Rosemary Menkens Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Clayfield Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor notional 0.2 -6.1 5.8 Tim Nicholls Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Cleveland Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor Phil Weightman 0.5 -1.5 0.3 Mark Robinson Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Coomera Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor notional 8.3 -10.2 1.9 Michael Crandon Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Gaven Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor Phil Gray 3.1 -3.9 0.7 Alex Douglas Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Hervey Bay Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor Andrew McNamara 2.1 -8.6 6.5 Ted Sorensen Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Indooroopilly Шаблон:Australian party style| Greens Ronan Lee N/A -8.6 5.9 Scott Emerson Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Mirani Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor notional 1.2 -1.8 0.6 Ted Malone Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Mudgeeraba Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor Dianne Reilly 2.9 -6.6 3.9 Ros Bates Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|
Redlands Шаблон:Australian party style| Labor John English 6.8 -6.9 0.1 Peter Dowling Liberal National Шаблон:Australian party style|

Ronan Lee was elected as a member of the Labor Party in 2006, but he defected to the Greens in 2008.

One of the gains by the Liberal Nationals was the defeat of the Minister for Sustainability, Climate Change and Innovation Andrew McNamara (Hervey Bay). The Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Education, Training and the Arts, Bonny Barry (Aspley), was also defeated.

Date

The previous state election was held on 9 September 2006 to elect the 89 members of the Legislative Assembly. In Queensland, for the government to serve a full-term, an election will be held approximately three years following the previous election. In Queensland, Section 80 of the Electoral Act 1992 states that an election must be held on a Saturday; and that the election campaign must run for a minimum of 26 or a maximum of 56 days following the issue of the writs. Five to seven days following the issue of the writs, the electoral roll is closed, which gives voters a final opportunity to enrol or to notify the Electoral Commission of Queensland of any changes in their place of residence.[4]

Legislative Assembly

Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Wikinewscat The Labor Party, led by Premier Anna Bligh, and the LNP, led by Opposition Leader Lawrence Springborg, were the two main parties in Queensland at the election. It was the first election contested by the LNP following its creation with the merger of the National and Liberal parties. At the previous election, Labor won 59 seats, the Nationals won 17 seats, the Liberals won eight seats, One Nation won one seat, and independents won four seats. Former Labor MP Ronan Lee joined the Greens in 2008, thus becoming their parliamentary leader. Lee lost his seat at the election.[5]

A redistribution saw Labor notionally pick up three seats. Therefore, the LNP notionally needed to pick up 22 seats rather than 20 seats to form a majority government, which equated to an unchanged uniform 8.3 percent two party preferred swing.[6]

Former Premier Peter Beattie resigned in September 2007, which triggered the October 2007 Brisbane Central by-election.

Parties contesting the election

Party Seats Contested
(2009)
Seats Contested
(2006)
Australian Labor Party 89 89
LNP 88 89†
The Greens 89 75
DS4SEQ 32 N/A
Family First 25 26
One Nation 2 4
Independents & Others 72 46

† Contested 2006 elections as Liberal Party (49 seats) and National Party (40) seats.

Both the Australian Labor Party and the Greens contested all 89 seats. This was the first Queensland state election in which the Greens contested every seat. The LNP contested every seat except Gladstone (held by an Independent), which they avoided for strategic reasons. A total of 397 candidates contested the election—the largest number of candidates to contest a Queensland election since 1998.

Post-election pendulum

Government seats
Marginal
Chatsworth Steve Kilburn ALP 0.1
Everton Murray Watt ALP 1.4
Broadwater Peta-Kaye Croft ALP 2.0
Cook Jason O'Brien ALP 2.2
Barron River Steve Wettenhall ALP 2.3
Whitsunday Jan Jarratt ALP 3.2
Toowoomba North Kerry Shine ALP 3.2
Southport Peter Lawlor ALP 3.5
Townsville Mandy Johnstone ALP 4.0
Springwood Barbara Stone ALP 4.1
Cairns Desley Boyle ALP 4.2
Mansfield Phil Reeves ALP 4.4
Ferny Grove Geoff Wilson ALP 4.5
Kallangur Mary-Anne O'Neill ALP 4.6
Pine Rivers Carolyn Male ALP 4.6
Mount Ommaney Julie Attwood ALP 4.8
Burleigh Christine Smith ALP 4.9
Pumicestone Carryn Sullivan ALP 5.0
Mount Coot-tha Andrew Fraser ALP 5.2
Redcliffe Lillian van Litsenburg ALP 5.6
Mount Isa Betty Kiernan ALP 5.7
Fairly safe
Brisbane Central Grace Grace ALP 6.0
Albert Margaret Keech ALP 6.5
Mundingburra Lindy Nelson-Carr ALP 6.6
Greenslopes Cameron Dick ALP 6.9
Ashgrove Kate Jones ALP 7.1
Murrumba Dean Wells ALP 7.2
Stafford Stirling Hinchliffe ALP 7.3
Keppel Paul Hoolihan ALP 7.6
Bulimba Di Farmer ALP 7.8
Mulgrave Curtis Pitt ALP 8.1
Thuringowa Craig Wallace ALP 8.5
Yeerongpilly Simon Finn ALP 8.7
Morayfield Mark Ryan ALP 9.1
Algester Karen Struthers ALP 9.2
Ipswich West Wayne Wendt ALP 9.5
Stretton Stephen Robertson ALP 9.5
Capalaba Michael Choi ALP 9.7
Safe
Sunnybank Judy Spence ALP 10.8
Lytton Paul Lucas ALP 12.2
Sandgate Vicky Darling ALP 12.4
Logan John Mickel ALP 13.9
Nudgee Neil Roberts ALP 14.3
South Brisbane Anna Bligh ALP 15.0
Waterford Evan Moorhead ALP 16.5
Mackay Tim Mulherin ALP 16.7
Ipswich Rachel Nolan ALP 16.7
Rockhampton Robert Schwarten ALP 17.9
Very safe
Bundamba Jo-Ann Miller ALP 21.2
Inala Annastacia Palaszczuk ALP 21.5
Woodridge Desley Scott ALP 25.4
Non-government seats
Marginal
Redlands Peter Dowling LNP 0.1
Cleveland Mark Robinson LNP 0.3
Mirani Ted Malone LNP 0.6
Gaven Alex Douglas LNP 0.7
Coomera Michael Crandon LNP 1.9
Burdekin Rosemary Menkens LNP 3.1
Mudgeeraba Ros Bates LNP 3.9
Aspley Tracy Davis LNP 4.5
Dalrymple Shane Knuth LNP v ONP 5.2
Glass House Andrew Powell LNP 5.8
Clayfield Tim Nicholls LNP 5.8
Indooroopilly Scott Emerson LNP 5.9
Fairly safe
Bundaberg Jack Dempsey LNP 6.0
Caloundra Mark McArdle LNP 6.2
Hervey Bay Ted Sorensen LNP 6.5
Currumbin Jann Stuckey LNP 6.9
Kawana Jarrod Bleijie LNP 6.9
Lockyer Ian Rickuss LNP 7.6
Toowoomba South Mike Horan LNP 8.2
Beaudesert Aiden McLindon LNP 8.3
Safe
Mermaid Beach Ray Stevens LNP 10.8
Burnett Rob Messenger LNP 11.1
Moggill Bruce Flegg LNP 11.3
Condamine Ray Hopper LNP v IND 11.6
Maroochydore Fiona Simpson LNP 12.8
Gregory Vaughan Johnson LNP 14.3
Buderim Steve Dickson LNP 14.3
Hinchinbrook Andrew Cripps LNP 14.7
Surfers Paradise John-Paul Langbroek LNP 16.5
Callide Jeff Seeney LNP 19.4
Noosa Glen Elmes LNP 19.8
Very safe
Southern Downs Lawrence Springborg LNP 21.1
Warrego Howard Hobbs LNP 24.3
Gympie David Gibson LNP 27.2
Crossbench seats
Nanango Dorothy Pratt IND v LNP 2.9
Gladstone Liz Cunningham IND v ALP 6.1
Nicklin Peter Wellington IND v LNP 16.3
Maryborough Chris Foley IND v LNP 16.8

Polling

Newspoll polling was conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at around ±3 percent.

Better Premier ratings^
Date Labor
Bligh
Coalition/LNP
Springborg
18 – 19 Mar 2009 53% 33%
27 Feb – 8 Mar 2009 48% 34%
Jan – Feb 2009 48% 31%
Oct – Dec 2008 49% 30%
Jul – Sep 2008 53% 27%
Apr – Jun 2008 60% 24%
Jan – Mar 2008 64% 18%
Oct – Dec 2007 66% 11%2
Jul – Sep 2007 54%1 25%2
Apr – Jun 2007 54%1 19%2
Pre 2006 election 58%1 28%
Pre 2004 election 62%1 22%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
1 Peter Beattie, 2 Jeff Seeney
Legislative Assembly opinion polling
Political parties Two party preferred
Dates ALP Lib Nat LNP Grn FFP Oth ALP LNP
18 – 19 Mar 2009 42% 42% 7% 0.5% 8% 49.9% 50.1%
27 Feb – 8 Mar 2009 41% 43% 8% <0.5% 8% 49% 51%
Jan – Feb 2009 42% 41% 7% <0.5% 10% 53% 47%
Oct – Dec 2008 45% 37% 8% <0.5% 10% 57% 43%
Jul – Sep 2008 38% 41% 9% 1% 11% 51% 49%
Apr – Jun 2008 43% 26% 12% 38% 10% <0.5% 9% 55% 45%
Jan – Mar 2008 50% 22% 10% 32% 8% <0.5% 10% 60% 40%
Oct – Dec 2007 50% 26% 9% 35% 6% 1% 8% 59% 41%
Jul – Sep 2007 50% 21% 12% 33% 5% 2% 10% 59% 41%
Apr – Jun 2007 51% 20% 11% 31% 6% 1% 11% 61% 39%
2006 election 46.9% 20.1% 17.8% 37.9% 8.0% 1.9% 5.3% 55.0% 45.0%
6 – 7 Sep 2006 48% 21% 17% 38% 4% 1% 9% 55% 45%
2004 election 47% 18.5% 17% 35.5% 6.7% 4.9% 5.9% 55.5% 44.5%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Queensland elections