Английская Википедия:2010 Maine gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsME The 2010 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010 to elect the governor of Maine. Incumbent Democratic governor John Baldacci was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010. The candidates who appeared on the November ballot were (in alphabetical order by last name): Eliot Cutler (Independent), Paul LePage (Republican), Libby Mitchell (Democratic), Shawn Moody (Independent), and Kevin Scott (Independent).[1]

With 94% of precincts reporting on the day after the election, the Bangor Daily News declared LePage the winner, carrying 38.1% of the votes.[2] Cutler was in second place with 36.7% of the votes (less than 7,500 votes behind LePage), while Mitchell was a distant third with 19%.[2] Moody and Scott had 5% and 1%, respectively.[2] Two days after the election, with 99% of precincts reporting, LePage's lead over Cutler had widened to more than 10,000 votes.[3] This election was the first since 1990 that Maine elected a Republican governor.

Democratic primary

Candidates

On ballot

Write-in

Withdrawn

  • Dawn Hill, State Representative.[14][15] Hill withdrew from the race on January 1, 2010, citing the crowded field of candidates.[16]
  • John G. Richardson, former Commissioner of Economic and Community Development and former Speaker of the House.[4][17] Richardson withdrew from the race on April 26 amid allegations that some of his campaign workers had not followed proper procedures for collecting donations to qualify him for Maine Clean Election funding.[18] The primary ballots had already been printed before Richardson withdrew from the race, so Richardson's name appeared on the ballot even though he was no longer a candidate.[19]
  • Peter Truman (also known as Peter Throumoulos), former state representative and convicted forger.[20] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Mitchell Rowe Scarcelli McGowan Undecided
Pan Atlantic SMS Group May 21–29, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 13.3% 11.7% 7.0% 6.3% 61.7%

Results

Файл:Maine Governor Democratic Primary Election Results by County, 2010.svg
Results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end At 11:32 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Libby Mitchell the winner of the Democratic primary.[23]

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Otten LePage Mills Abbott Beardsley Poliquin Jacobson Undecided
MECPO [44] May 22-June 2, 2010 17.0% 10.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center | 22.1% 13.9% 5.9% 4.9% 1.4% 24.0%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group May 21–29, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 17.0% 10.3% 8.4% 8.3% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 47.0%

Results

Файл:2010MEgovGOP.svg
Results by county Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end At 11:19 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Paul LePage the winner of the GOP primary.[45]

Independents

Candidates on the ballot

Write-in candidates

  • John Jenkins, former state senator, former mayor of both Auburn and Lewiston, and a 2002 gubernatorial candidate.[53] Jenkins, who won his most recent mayoral campaign by write-in, declared he would run for Governor of Maine if 5,000 people followed his Facebook fan page[54] within 45 days.
  • Beverly Cooper-Pete.[55] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures,[48] but continued her campaign as a write-in candidate.[56]

Disqualified candidates

  • Alex Hammer, business owner and self-published author.[4][57] Did not appear on the ballot due to not meeting the deadline for turning in petition signatures. Hammer attempted to turn in some of the signatures electronically, but the Secretary of State ruled that such methods were not allowed. Hammer filed suit to appear on the ballot in Penobscot County Superior Court on June 28, 2010.[58][59] On September 28, 2010, the judge upheld the Secretary of State's decision.[60]

Withdrawn

  • Samme Bailey.[4][61] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[48]
  • Augustus Edgerton.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[48]
  • Michael Heath, former leader of the Christian Civic League of Maine (now known as the Maine Family Policy Council).[62] Withdrew from the race due to lack of petition signatures.[63]
  • John Whitcomb.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[48]

Maine Green Independent Party

The Maine Green Independent Party did not have a gubernatorial candidate on the ballot, as no candidate collected required number of signatures.[64]

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[68] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[69] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[70] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[71] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[72] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Paul LePage (R) Libby Mitchell (D) Eliot Cutler (I) Shawn Moody (I) Kevin Scott (I) Undecided
MPRC / Down East Magazine October 28–30, 2010 546 ± 4.19% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 24% 29% 4% 1% 2%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media October 27–28, 2010 621 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 21% 21% 4% 1% 11%
Pan Atlantic SMS October 25–28, 2010 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38.6% 21.8% 30.6% 2.8% 1.1% 7.3%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2010 1,812 ± 2.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 24% 28% 4% 1% 2%
Rasmussen Reports October 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 40% 26% 26% - - 5%
Critical Insights October 13–17, 2010 600 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% 20% 19% 5% 1% 21%
Pan Atlantic SMS October 11–15, 2010 501 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32.9% 28.0% 14.0% 4.6% 0.4% 20.2%
Rasmussen Reports October 12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% 32% 21% * * 6%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media October 10–11, 2010 605 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% 26% 11% 5 1 26%
Pine Tree Politics / Maine Center for Public Opinion October 4–7, 2010 679 ± 3.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 29.6% 28.7% 11.1% 4.9% 1.6% 24.1%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media September 27, 2010 405 ± 4.9% 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 30% 9% 5% 0% 26%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 27% 14% * * 10%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media September 13, 2010 603 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 25% 11% 4% 1% 21%
Public Policy Polling September 2–6, 2010 1,468 ± 2.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 29% 11% 5% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 38% 30% 16% * * 11%
Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39% 31% 15% * * 12%
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% 36% 7% * * 14%

* Shawn Moody and Kevin Scott, two Independent candidates who appeared on the ballot, were not offered as choices in the Rasmussen polls.[73]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box majority Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box gain with party link Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)
Debates
Candidate interviews

Шаблон:Maine gubernatorial elections Шаблон:United States elections, 2010 Шаблон:US Third Party Election

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