Английская Википедия:2010 Oregon gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOR The 2010 Oregon gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, ноябрь 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Oregon to a four-year term beginning on январь 10, 2011. The incumbent governor, Democrat Ted Kulongoski, was ineligible to run due to term limits barring him from being elected to more than two consecutive terms.

The Democratic candidate John Kitzhaber, who had previously served two terms as governor from 1995 to 2003, was elected to a third term, earning a narrow victory over Republican candidate Chris Dudley and two minor party candidates. Kitzhaber's election marked the first time in Oregon's history that a person has been elected to a third term as governor.

Oregon first used its new cross-nomination system, a form of fusion voting, in the 2010 general elections. In this system, a candidate for partisan public office can be nominated by up to three political parties.[1] Kitzhaber was nominated by the Independent Party of Oregon in addition to the Democratic Party.

Almost every opinion poll throughout the election season showed a statistical tie between the two, state Republicans saw this election as the best chance to win the governorship since the last Republican governor, Victor Atiyeh, was re-elected in 1982. Once polls closed on election day, Dudley had led in early vote counts, but Kitzhaber narrowly won due to wide margins in Multnomah and Lane counties.[2] However, this remains the closest Republicans have come to winning the governorship since that election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Date administered John Kitzhaber Bill Bradbury Undecided
Davis, Hibbetts & Midghall May 8–10, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 23% 22%
Survey USA May 7–9, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 59% 25% 12%

Results

Файл:2010 Oregon gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Файл:Chris Dudley for governor lawn sign.JPG
Chris Dudley sign

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Date administered Chris Dudley Allen Alley John Lim Bill Sizemore Undecided
Davis, Hibbetts & Midghall May 8–10, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 33% 23% 8% 6% 24%
Survey USA May 7–9, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 24% 8% 8% 14%

Results

Файл:Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary results by county, 2010.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Independent Party primary

Oregon first used its new cross nomination system, a form of fusion voting, in the 2010 general elections. In this system, a candidate for partisan public office can be nominated by up to three political parties.[1] As a result, the Independent Party of Oregon did not file a candidate and instead chose to hold a month-long online primary in July.[3] In doing so, it became the first political party in the United States to conduct a binding statewide primary election entirely over the Internet,[4] and it was the largest nominating process ever held by an Oregon minor political party.[5] Republican Chris Dudley did not apply for the Independent Party nomination by the required date, so he was not on the ballot, but he could be written in.[3]

Candidates

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Файл:Oregon Voters' Pamphlet 2010.jpg
Voters' pamphlet for the 2010 general election

Candidates

Campaign

Following the primaries, the two leading candidates, Dudley and Kitzhaber, campaigned separately throughout the state for the summer. Despite attempts by both campaigns to arrange a debate, the candidates could only agree on a single debate on September 30.[6] Through the end of September, the Dudley campaign had raised $5.6 million, more than twice as much as the Kitzhaber campaign.[7]

Throughout the last few months of the campaign, opinion polls showed a tight race with the lead apparently changing frequently. Due to the closeness of the race, President Barack Obama, for whom Oregon voted by a 16-percent margin in 2008, stumped for Kitzhaber; then headlined a rally at the Oregon Convention Center in Portland on октябрь 20, 2010.

Newspaper endorsements

Newspaper Endorsement
The Oregonian (Portland) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" width="7px" | John Kitzhaber[8]
Willamette Week (Portland) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" width="7px" | John Kitzhaber[9]
Portland Tribune style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" width="7px" | John Kitzhaber[10]
The Register-Guard (Eugene) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[11]
Statesman Journal (Salem) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Chris Dudley[12]
Mail Tribune (Medford) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[13]
The Bulletin (Bend) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Chris Dudley[14]
East Oregonian (Pendleton) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[15]
The Lake Oswego Review style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[16]
The News-Review (Roseburg) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[17]
The Outlook (Gresham) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[18]
The Daily Astorian style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[19]
Corvallis Gazette-Times style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[20]
News-Register (McMinnville) style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Chris Dudley[21]
The Sandy Post style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[22]
Beaverton Valley Times style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[23]
West Linn Tidings style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | John Kitzhaber[24]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[29] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Margin of error John
Kitzhaber (D) 		Chris
Dudley (R) 		Other candidate(s) Undecided
Davis & Hibbitts October 30–31, 2010 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 43%
Survey USA October 23–28, 2010 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 41% 2% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2010 ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 3% 3%
Hibbitts October 24–25, 2010 ± 4.4% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 2% 12%
Elway Research October 18–19, 2010 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 44% 3% 5%
Public Policy Polling October 16–17, 2010 ± 2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 47% 5%
Survey USA October 12–14, 2010 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 45% 4% 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 10, 2010 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 46% 3% 4%
Survey USA September 12–14, 2010 ± 4.2% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 5% 3%
Riley Research August 31 – September 9, 2010 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40% 39% 5% 16%
Rasmussen Reports September 8, 2010 ± 4.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 22, 2010 ± 4.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 3% 8%
Grove Insight August 18–21, 2010 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 44% 35% 4% 14%
Survey USA July 25–27, 2010 ± 4.2% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% 7% 4%
Rasmussen Reports July 26, 2010 ± 4.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 5% 4%
Magellan Strategies June 28, 2010 ± 3.2% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 10% 9%
Davis, Hibbits and Midghall Шаблон:Webarchive June 21, 2010 unk 41% 41% 6% 12%
Rasmussen Reports June 17, 2010 ± 4.5% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 4% 4%
Survey USA June 7–9, 2010 ± 4.2% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47% 6% 7%
Rasmussen Reports May 20, 2010 ± 4.5% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 4% 6%
Rasmussen Reports April 26, 2010 ± 4.0% 41% 41% 4% 4%
Moore Insight February 20–21, 2010 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 33% 21%
Rasmussen Reports February 17, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42% 36% 7% 15%

Results

Statewide results

Файл:John Kitzhaber acceptance speech-5.jpg
Kitzhaber gives his victory speech after winning the Oregon governorship

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box majority Шаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box hold with party link Шаблон:Election box end

County results

Dudley won 29 of Oregon's 36 counties. Kitzhaber won seven, including Multnomah County by a 43% margin of victory.[30]

County Kitzhaber Votes Dudley Votes Kord Votes Wagner Votes Various Votes Total
Baker 26.8% 1,949 68.1% 4,816 2.6% 187 2.3% 166 0.3% 21 7,276
Benton 59.4% 21,498 38.0% 13,767 1.1% 399 1.2% 448 0.2% 77 36,189
Clackamas 44.3% 69,250 53.4% 83,516 1.1% 1,686 1.0% 1,547 0.2% 288 156,287
Clatsop 51.3% 7,654 45.5% 6,792 1.3% 196 1.6% 166 0.2% 37 14,913
Columbia 44.4% 8,973 51.0% 10,302 2.4% 493 1.8% 368 0.3% 54 20,190
Coos 41.3% 10,456 53.9% 13,652 2.4% 618 2.3% 583 0.1% 34 25,343
Crook 26.1% 2,314 70.3% 6,231 1.7% 152 1.6% 144 0.2% 21 8,862
Curry 38.8% 3,986 56.0% 5,761 2.7% 275 2.4% 245 0.1% 14 10,281
Deschutes 38.1% 24,289 59.1% 37,706 1.3% 861 1.3% 815 0.2% 112 63,783
Douglas 32.5% 14,072 63.3% 27,438 2.2% 952 1.9% 807 0.2% 66 43,335
Gilliam 32.0% 308 64.4% 620 2.6% 25 0.7% 7 0.2% 2 962
Grant 21.6% 749 74.3% 2,576 2.5% 86 1.4% 50 0.2% 8 3,469
Harney 23.8% 800 72.3% 2,436 2.3% 76 1.4% 48 0.2% 8 3,368
Hood River 56.7% 4,778 40.7% 3,434 1.1% 95 1.2% 103 0.2% 17 8,427
Jackson 41.7% 32,360 55.0% 42,715 1.8% 1,389 1.4% 1,117 0.1% 109 77,690
Jefferson 32.3% 2,132 64.2% 4,240 1.7% 110 1.7% 110 0.2% 10 6,602
Josephine 34.7% 11,558 60.2% 20,025 3.1% 1,018 1.9% 646 0.1% 43 33,290
Klamath 25.1% 5,820 70.4% 16,295 2.4% 560 1.8% 428 0.2% 55 23,158
Lake 21.0% 658 74.2% 2,323 2.6% 80 2.0% 64 0.3% 6 3,131
Lane 57.0% 81,731 40.0% 57,394 1.3% 1,855 1.4% 2,045 0.3% 488 143,513
Lincoln 53.0% 10,484 43.2% 8,540 1.8% 347 2.0% 389 0.2% 31 19,791
Linn 34.8% 14,466 61.1% 25,370 2.2% 898 1.7% 708 0.3% 110 41,552
Malheur 24.4% 1,884 70.4% 5,440 3.2% 246 2.0% 157 0.1% 5 7,732
Marion 44.4% 44,795 52.7% 53,177 1.5% 1,530 1.2% 1,192 0.2% 242 100,936
Morrow 26.8% 850 68.8% 2,184 2.7% 87 1.5% 48 0.2% 6 3,175
Multnomah 70.6% 198,157 27.4% 76,915 0.8% 2,149 1.0% 2,879 0.3% 750 280,850
Polk 43.4% 12,899 53.7% 15,966 1.5% 456 1.1% 336 0.2% 67 29,724
Sherman 26.3% 238 70.1% 634 1.7% 15 1.9% 17 0.1% 1 905
Tillamook 46.0% 5,072 50.8% 5,604 1.5% 163 1.6% 173 0.2% 19 11,031
Umatilla 32.1% 6,321 63.8% 12,574 2.2% 441 1.6% 320 0.2% 47 19,703
Union 31.6% 3,366 64.5% 6,869 2.1% 221 1.5% 165 0.3% 31 10,652
Wallowa 28.6% 1,088 67.9% 2,581 2.1% 79 1.1% 43 0.2% 9 3,800
Wasco 43.2% 4,024 53.1% 4,938 1.7% 161 1.7% 156 0.3% 27 9,306
Washington 49.6% 92,811 48.1% 89,926 1.1% 1,977 1.1% 1,983 0.2% 336 187,033
Wheeler 28.6% 216 66.3% 500 2.9% 22 2.0% 15 0.1% 1 754
Yamhill 39.7% 14,519 57.2% 20,893 1.6% 570 1.3% 492 0.2% 61 36,535

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:Oregon elections Шаблон:United States general elections, 2010

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  1. ↑ 1,0 1,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite newsШаблон:Dead link
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  28. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  29. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  30. ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок Official не указан текст
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