Английская Википедия:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

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The 2010 congressional elections in Arizona were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Arizona in the United States House of Representatives. Arizona had eight seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives were elected for two-year terms; those elected were to serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011 until January 3, 2013.

The state's 2009-2010 delegation consisted of five Democrats and three Republicans. With the exception of Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who had won the open seat in District 1 during the previous election, all members of the delegation were incumbents who had served for at least a full term in Congress. Also, with the exception of retiring Republican John Shadegg of District 3, all incumbent members of the state's delegation ran for re-election.

As of August 17, 2010, Districts 1, 5 and 8, all held by Democrats, were considered to be competitive by both CQ Politics and The Cook Political Report. The primary elections for Congressional races were held on August 24, 2010.

Overview

The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Arizona. In addition, the voter turnout and the number of votes not valid will be listed below.

Statewide

Party		Candidates	Votes		Seats
			Шаблон:Abbr	%	Шаблон:Abbr	+/–	%
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |	Republican	8	900,510	53.03	5	Шаблон:Increase 2	62.50
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |	Democratic	8	711,837	41.92	3	Шаблон:Decrease 2	37.50
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |	Libertarian	8	72,216	4.25	0	Шаблон:Steady	0.0
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |	Green	3	9,066	0.53	0	Шаблон:Steady	0.0
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |	Independent	1	4,506	0.27	0	Шаблон:Steady	0.0
Total		28	1,698,135	100.0	8	Шаблон:Steady	100.0

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	112,816	49.72%	99,233	43.73%	14,869	6.55%	226,918	100.0%	Republican gain
District 2	173,173	64.88%	82,891	31.06%	10,830	4.06%	266,894	100.0%	Republican hold
District 3	108,689	52.24%	85,610	41.14%	13,772	6.62%	208,071	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	25,300	27.53%	61,524	66.94%	5,083	5.53%	91,907	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 5	110,374	52.00%	91,749	43.23%	10,127	4.77%	212,250	100.0%	Republican gain
District 6	165,649	66.42%	72,615	29.12%	11,119	4.46%	249,383	100.0%	Republican hold
District 7	70,385	44.23%	79,935	50.23%	8,824	5.54%	159,144	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 8	134,124	47.30%	138,280	48.76%	11,174	3.94%	283,578	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	900,510	53.03%	711,837	41.92%	85,798	5.05%	1,698,145	100.0%

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. She was elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+6.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ann Kirkpatrick, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

The Republican primary featured 8 candidates seeking to take on Kirkpatrick in the general election. Mining industry lobbyist Sydney Hay, who had been the Republican nominee to run against Kirkpatrick in 2008, finished second in the primary behind dentist Paul Gosar. Other unsuccessful Republican candidates included attorney Bradley Beauchamp and former state legislator Russell Bowers.

Candidates

Nominee

• Paul Gosar, dentist

Eliminated in primary

• Bradley Beauchamp, attorney
• Russell Bowers, former state senator
• Sydney Hay, mining industry lobbyist, nominee for this seat in 2008 and candidate in 2002
• Joe Jaraczewski, former real estate development company owner
• Jon Jensen, former Greeley County School Superintendent
• Steve Mehta, cardiologist
• Thomas J. Zaleski, President at Thoma Capital Management LLC

Withdrawn

• Paul Burton

Results

Gosar, a political neophyte, buoyed by endorsements from highly visible Republican politicians, including Sarah Palin, won the primary with just under 31% of the vote.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Nicole Patti (PVS)

General election

Prior to Kirkpatrick's election in 2008, the 1st district had been held by Republicans since this version of the seat was created following the 2000 census.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ann Kirkpatrick (D)	Paul Gosar (R)	Nicole Patti (L)	Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D)	October 12–14, 2010	500 (LV)	±4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 41%	38%	6%	15%
The Hill/ANGA	September 25–30, 2010	403 (LV)	±4.9%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46%	3%	12%
Moore Information (R)	August 30–31, 2010	412 (LV)	±4.8%	43%	43%	–	14%
American Action Forum	August 25–29, 2010	400 (LV)	±4.9%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 47%	–	12%
Lake Research Partners (D)	August 24–26, 2010	500 (LV)	±4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43%	39%	–	17%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 28, 2010
New York Times	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010

Results

Kirkpatrick lost on November 2, 2010 to Paul Gosar and the seat reverted to the Republicans.

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Trent Franks, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+13.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Trent Franks, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Charles Black, US Army veteran and contractor

Results

Franks won an easy victory with over 80% of the vote in his favour.

Democratic primary

Retired teacher John Thrasher ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Thrasher has twice attempted to unseat Franks, losing to the incumbent by 19% in 2006 and by 22% in 2008.(campaign site, PVS)

Candidates

Nominee

• John Thrasher, retired teacher and nominee for this seat in 2006 and 2008

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Powell Gammill, retired biologist and nominee for this seat in 2004, 2006 and 2008 (campaign site, PVS).

General election

Results

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican John Shadegg, who had represented the district since 1995, retired. He was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+9.

Republican primary

On January 14, 2010 8-term incumbent Shadegg announced his retirement at the end of his current term, making the third district an open seat. In the wake of Shadegg's retirement, several Republicans declared their candidacy.

Candidates

Nominee

• Ben Quayle, attorney and son of former Vice President of the United States Dan Quayle

Eliminated in primary

• Bob Branch, professor
• Sam Crump, state representative
• Pamela Gorman, former state senator
• LeAnn Hull, businesswoman
• Steve Moak, businessman and philanthropist
• Paulina Morris, attorney
• Vernon Parker, Mayor of Paradise Valley
• Jim Waring, former state senator
• Ed Winkler, former Mayor of Paradise Valley

Declined

• Dean Martin, State Treasurer
• Sean Noble, Shadegg's Chief of Staff
• Andrew Walter, former Arizona State University quarterback and NFL free agent
• James Weiers, state representative and former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives

Campaign

Gorman gained national attention during the campaign for an ad showing her firing a Thompson submachine gun, and for her cosponsorship of the highly controversial SB 1070 anti-illegal immigration bill.

Quayle, the initial frontrunner in the race, faced criticism for his prior involvement with the controversial rumour and gossip website "DirtyScottsdale.com". According to the site's founder, Quayle was one of the "original contributors" to the site, which covered Scottsdale nightlife with features including sexy photos of women, and was the predecessor to the gossip website TheDirty.com. Quayle initially denied the rumors, before admitting several weeks later that he did, in fact, write material for the site under the pen name Brock Landers. Newcomer Steve Moak's strong fundraising and television advertising blitz against Quayle saw him to be viewed as the new frontrunner, however he faced allegations that he illegally profited from a charity he had set up, hurt his campaign.

Results

Quayle emerged victorious with 22.1% of the vote, while businessman and political neophyte Steve Moak came in second with 18%.

Democratic primary

Jon Hulburd filed his candidacy for the Democratic nomination on October 16, 2009. The Hulburd campaign got off to a strong start and raised over $300,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009. This attracted national attention with the DCCC naming the race as one of its top 17 races to watch nationwide.

Candidates

Nominee

• Jon Hulburd, attorney and small businessman

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Michael Shoen, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2008(campaign site PVS)

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Leonard Clark, Iraq War veteran (campaign site, PVS)

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ben Quayle (R)	Jon Hulburd (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	October 16–17, 2010	655 (LV)	±3.8%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46%	10%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 28, 2010
New York Times	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010

Results

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Ed Pastor, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.1% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of D+13. Since taking office, he has been re-elected nine times with no less than 62% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ed Pastor, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Janet Contreras, businesswoman (campaign site, PVS)

Eliminated in primary

• Joe Peñalosa, immigration attorney

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Joe Cobb, retired economist and nominee for this seat in 2008 (campaign site, PVS)

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rebecca DeWitt, accountant and nominee for this seat in 2008 (campaign site, PVS)

General election

Results

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

District 5

Файл:AZ-districts-109-05.png

Incumbent Democrat Harry Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+5.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Harry Mitchell, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Schweikert, former Maricopa County Treasurer, former state representative, nominee for this seat in 2008 and candidate in 1994

Eliminated in primary

• Susan Bitter Smith, former Scottsdale city council member, candidate for the 1st District in 1994 and 2000 and for this seat in 2008.
• Lee Gentry, business owner, attorney, certified public accountant and candidate for this seat in 2008
• Chris Salvino, surgeon
• Mark Spinks, realtor
• Jim Ward, venture capitalist

Withdrawn

• Eric Wnuck, businessman

Results

Schweikert's victory sets up a rematch against Mitchell, who defeated him 53-44% in the 2008 general election.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Nick Coons (campaign site, PVS).

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ryan Blackman

Results

Blackman withdrew from the general election.

General election

Campaign

Prior to Mitchell's victory over incumbent conservative Republican J. D. Hayworth in 2006, the district had been held by Republicans since 1995, although it had been tending towards the Democrats. Schweikert posted signs across the district calling Mitchell a “lap dog” for Nancy Pelosi, after Mitchell voted for the 2008 bank bailout, the $787 billion stimulus law in 2009 and the Affordable Care Act in March 2010. This despite Mitchell's breaks with the Party on a number of Tax and climate change legislation.

Debates

• Complete video of debate, October 12, 2010
• Complete video of debate, October 18, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Harry Mitchell (D)	David Schweikert (R)	Nick Coons (L)	Undecided
Penn Schoen Berland (D/The Hill/ANGA)	October 12–14, 2010	408 (LV)	±4.9%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45%	1%	12%
Benenson Strategy Group (D)	October 5–7, 2010	400 (LV)	±4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46%	39%	—	15%
National Research (R)	October 5–6, 2010	400 (LV)	±4.9%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45%	—	12%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D)	September 26–27, 2010	400 (LV)	±4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43%	40%	6%	11%
Harstad Strategic Research (D)	September 13–16, 2010	509 (LV)	±4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45%	44%	6%	5%
National Research (R)	August 31-September 2, 2010	400 (LV)	±4.9%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46%	—	16%
American Action Forum	August 25–29, 2010	400 (LV)	±4.9%	44%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50%	—	6%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 28, 2010
New York Times	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010

Results

David Schweikert defeated Democratic incumbent Harry Mitchell on November 2, 2010, returning the seat to the Republicans.

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Republican Jeff Flake, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.4% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+15.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jeff Flake, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Jeff Smith, investor

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rebecca Schneider, librarian and nominee for this seat in 2008 (campaign site, PVS)

Withdrawn

• Amos Chiarappa

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Darell Tapp (PVS)

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Richard Grayson, writer and perennial candidate (campaign site)

General election

Results

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

District 7

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.3% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of D+6.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Raúl Grijalva, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ruth McClung, physicist (campaign site, PVS)

Eliminated in primary

• Christopher J. Flowers
• Terry Myers
• Joseph Sweeney, educator, nominee for this seat in 2004 & 2008 and candidate in 2000, 2002 & 2006
• Robert Wilson

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• George Keane, banker (campaign site, PVS)

Eliminated in primary

• Andrew Ibarra

Independents

Candidates

Nominee

• Harley Meyer, high school teacher (campaign site, PVS).

General election

Campaign

Despite the Democratic lean of the district Grijalva faced a tougher than expected re-election campaign following his suggestion that businesses should boycott the state in response to the passing of the highly controversial SB 1070 anti-illegal immigration bill. Both Grijalva and challenger, 28-year-old physicist Ruth McClung, benefitted from outside spending in the final weeks of the campaign, in addition to the national environment favouring the Republicans.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Raúl Grijalva (D)	Ruth McClung (R)	George Keane (L)	Harley Meyer (I)	Undecided
Summit Consulting Group	October 4–5, 2010	1,807 (LV)	±3.0%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 39%	—	—	24%
Magellan Strategies (R)	September 29, 2010	686 (LV)	±3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 40%	38%	4%	5%	13%
American Political Consultants (R)	September 25–26, 2010	450 (LV)	±4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 42%	35%	—	—	23%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 28, 2010
New York Times	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010

Results

Two days after the election Grijalva was declared the winner, with his margin of victory being ultimately just 6 points.

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

District 8

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Incumbent Democrat Gabby Giffords, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 54.7% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+4.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Gabby Giffords, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jesse Kelly, Marine veteran and businessman (no relation to Giffords' husband Mark Kelly)

Eliminated in primary

• Jonathan Paton, former state senator
• Jay Quick

Withdrawn

• Andy Goss, army veteran (endorsed Kelly)
• Brian Miller, Air Force Reserve Major (endorsed Paton)

Debates

• Complete video of debate, July 30, 2010

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Steven Stoltz, engineer

General election

Prior to Giffords win in 2006, the seat had been held by Republicans since 1985 under moderate Jim Kolbe.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gabrielle Giffords (D)	Jesse Kelly (R)	Undecided
American Action Forum	August 25–29, 2010	400 (LV)	±4.9%	46%	46%	8%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 28, 2010
New York Times	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 1, 2010

Results

• Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
• Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
• Race profileШаблон:Dead link at The New York Times

External links

• Elections at the Arizona Secretary of State
  • Official candidate list
• U.S. Congress candidates for Arizona at Project Vote Smart
• Arizona U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
• Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Arizona from OpenSecrets
• 2010 Arizona General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
• House - Arizona from the Cook Political Report