Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Iowa

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIA

The 2010 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections in Iowa. The party primary elections were held on June 8, 2010.[1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley won reelection to a sixth term. This was the first time since 1986 where the Democratic United States Senate nominee carried a county in Iowa for this seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

Three Democrats sought the Democratic nomination. Former State Representative and Iowa Department of Transportation official Bob Krause drew attention for implying that Grassley had been in office too long, remarking to supporters in Des Moines: "As a good farmer, Sen. Grassley must recognize that 51 years, or 58 years at the end of his term, is a long time to go without rotating crops."[2] Both Krause and former State Senator Tom Fiegen cited Grassley's support of deregulating the financial services industry as reasons for running. Krause said, "Please remember that Farmer Grassley was one that opened the barn door and let the cow out at AIG,"[2] while Fiegen, a bankruptcy lawyer, made reducing unemployment and tightening regulation of the financial services industry the cornerstones of his campaign.[3]

Former Iowa Democratic Party Chairman Michael Kiernan said that he had recruited trial lawyer Roxanne Conlin to challenge Grassley.[4] Kiernan's virtual endorsement of Conlin prior to her announcement[5] drew the ire of party members, as it is counter to party rules when there is more than one candidate from the party competing in a primary race. Conlin had been criticized for being unwilling to debate her primary opponents,[6] and for being unfamiliar with and unsupportive of her own party's platform.[7]

On health care, Fiegen and Krause supported a public option,[8][9] while Conlin didn't state a position, which she had been criticized for. Krause and Feigen claimed she supported supply-side economics.[10] She also displayed an unfamiliarity with the Iowa Democratic Party's platform, repeatedly claiming there was no platform for her to support until after the June 12, 2010 convention.[7][11][12][13]

Results

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General election

Candidates

Campaign

Incumbent Chuck Grassley started the campaign moderately popular, but his approval ratings dropped somewhat during the campaign.[14] However, the seat continued to be considered to be "Safe Republican" by many sources, with CQ Politics noting that Grassley is "one of Iowa's most durable politicians."[15]

Conlin described herself as a "prairie progressive." She supported the recent landmark case of Varnum v. Brien, which legalized gay marriage in the state. She also supported repeal of "don't ask, don't tell."[16]

Before the election, former political advisor John Maxwell claimed that Grassley would have his toughest race since his first U.S. Senate election in 1980, where he defeated incumbent John Culver with 53% of the vote. Grassley won all of his four re-election bids with nearly 70% of the vote against unknown opponents.[17] Grassley won the election with 64.35% of the vote, which, in fact was his closest election since 1980.

Debates

Grassley and Conlin only agreed to one debate. It was on October 26 on Des Moines radio station WHO and Iowa Public Television.Шаблон:Citation needed

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Chuck
Grassley (R)
Roxanne
Conlin (D)
DailyKos/Research 2000 October 12–14, 2009 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 39%
Rasmussen Reports January 26, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 59% 31%
KCCI-TV February 15–17, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 56% 35%
Rasmussen Reports February 22, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 36%
Rasmussen Reports March 17, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 36%
Rasmussen Reports April 29, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 40%
KCCI May 3–5, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 40%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% 31%
Rasmussen Reports June 14, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% 37%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 35%
Des Moines Register September 19–22, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% 30%
Rasmussen Reports September 22–23, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 37%
Des Moines Register October 26–29, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% 30%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Charles Grassley (R) $5,566,686 $4,962,347 $3,457,651 $6,913,216
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Roxanne Conlin (D) $3,070,816 $2,653,914 $416,901 $100,000
Source: Federal Election Commission[23]

Results

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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official candidate websites (Archived)

Шаблон:United States elections, 2010