Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Kansas

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsKS The 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Sam Brownback did not seek a third term, but instead successfully ran for Governor of Kansas. Fellow Republican Jerry Moran won the open seat. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Kansas for this seat since 1968.

Background

Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacing Bob Dole, who resigned to run for President. Brownback stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits. Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on the Committee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006 to 2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million.[5][6]

Endorsements

Moran

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Tiahrt

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Todd Tiahrt Jerry Moran
Research 2000 February 2–4, 2009 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 24% 19%
Survey USA April 17–19, 2009 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |39%
Survey USA June 12–14, 2009 38% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |40%
Survey USA October 2–4, 2009 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43%
Survey USA December 4–6, 2009 34% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 37%
Survey USA January 29–31, 2010 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 40%
Survey USA March 26–28, 2010 32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42%
Survey USA May 21–23, 2010 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52%
Survey USA June 24–27, 2010 33% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53%
Survey USA July 15–18, 2010 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50%
Survey USA July 29 – August 1, 2010 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49%

Results

Файл:2010 United States Senate election in Kansas Republican primary results map by county.svg
Primary results by county. Шаблон:Collapsible list

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Robert Conroy, retired railroad employee
  • David Haley, state senator[7]
  • Lisa Johnston, administrator at Baker University[8]
  • Charles Schollenberger, retired communications executive[9]
  • Patrick Wiesner, attorney and CPA

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Charles Schollenberger Lisa Johnston Robert Conroy David Haley Undecided
Survey USA June 24–27, 2010 16% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 24% 11% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 35%
Survey USA July 15–18, 2010 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 23% 7% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 36%
Survey USA July 29 – August 1, 2010 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% 7% 12% 25%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Kansas is a very red state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932.[10] After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only two counties: Wyandotte County and Douglas County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide.[11]

Debates

The two never met for a debate.[12]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Jerry Moran Lisa Johnston
Rasmussen Reports May 11, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% 25%
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 59% 23%
Rasmussen Reports August 4, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 61% 28%
Survey USA August 12–15, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 69% 23%
Survey USA September 14–16, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 66% 24%
Survey USA October 10–12, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 67% 27%
Survey USA October 22–26, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 66% 26%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Lisa Johnston (D) $10,627 $4,530 $6,096 $1,131
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Jerry Moran (R) $2,749,244 $4,497,168 $795,015 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official candidate sites (Archived)
Debates

Шаблон:United States general elections, 2010