Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Louisiana

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsLA The 2010 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 2, 2010. Republican incumbent U.S. Senator David Vitter won re-election to a second term, becoming the first Republican ever to be re-elected to the United States Senate from Louisiana.

Background

  • Party primaries: Saturday, August 28, 2010
  • Runoffs (if necessary): Saturday, October 2, 2010
  • General Election: Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Vitter faced a potentially serious challenge in the Republican primary as well as the general election. Lieutenant General Russel L. Honoré, who is best known for serving as commander of Joint Task Force Katrina responsible for coordinating military relief efforts for Hurricane Katrina-affected areas across the Gulf Coast, was allegedly mulling over whether or not to challenge Vitter in the Republican Primary.[1] Tony Perkins, a former Louisiana state representative and current president of the socially conservative Family Research Council, acknowledged interest in running against Vitter because of the prostitution scandal.[2][3] Nonetheless, Perkins decided not to run and endorsed Vitter for reelection.[4]

Some speculated that Vitter's reelection might have become complicated, by the prostitution scandal revealed in 2007, but he continued to lead in aggregate polling against potential opponents.[5]

Following a movement to draft him into the race,[6] John Cooksey, a former U.S. Representative, appeared poised to put together a challenge, planning on spending $200,000 of his own money.[7] Cooksey, however, pulled back and did not qualify.

A campaign to draft porn actress Stormy Daniels began in early 2009. She considered whether to run but ultimately declined to qualify.[8][9][10]

On June 14, 2009, Congressman Charlie Melançon announced his intentions to run for Senate in 2010. Melançon, who was representing Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District since 2005, released the announcement to his supporters, saying that "Louisiana needs a different approach, more bi-partisan, more disciplined, more honest and with a whole lot more common sense." Melançon was a leader of the Blue Dog Coalition, a group of fiscally conservative Democrats who aim to lower the deficit and reform the budget.[11][12]

In the weeks before the election a major concern for Vitter's camp was possibly voter apathy about the race. For example, publisher Rolfe H. McCollister Jr., in his Greater Baton Rouge Business Report, endorsed fellow Republican Jay Dardenne over Democrat Caroline Fayard in the simultaneous race for Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana, but then explicitly made "no endorsement" for U.S. Senate:

I have talked with a number of voters who are just not very excited about this race—the candidates or the tone. I'm not either. You're on your own here.[13]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll Source Dates administered Charlie Melançon Neeson Chauvin Undecided
Clarus Research Group August 15–16, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 52%

Results

Файл:2010 United States Senate Democratic primary in Louisiana results map by parish.svg
Results by parish Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll Source Dates administered David Vitter (R) Chet Traylor (R) Undecided
Clarus Research Group August 15–16, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 74% 5% 18%
Public Policy Polling August 21–22, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 81% 5% 9%

Results

Файл:2010 United States Senate Republican primary in Louisiana results map by parish.svg
Results by parish Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

  • Anthony Gentile[14]
  • Randall Todd Hayes[15]

Results

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General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

  • Michael Karlton Brown (I)
  • Skip Galan (I)
  • Milton Gordon (I)
  • Randall Todd Hayes (L)
  • Tommy LaFargue (I)
  • Bob Lang (I)
  • William McShan (Reform)
  • Sam Houston Melton Jr. (I)
  • Mike Spears (I)
  • Ernest Wooton (I)

Campaign

Melançon heavily criticized Vitter for prostitution sex scandal.[16][17] Vitter released television advertising criticizing Melançon for his support for Obama's stimulus package and his support for amnesty for illegal immigrants.[18]

Debates

Melançon claimed "In August, Melançon challenged Vitter to a series of five live, televised town hall-style debates across the state. In his 2004 campaign for Senate, Vitter committed to five live, televised debates. Since Melançon issued the challenge, Vitter and Melançon have been invited to a total of seven live, televised debates. Vitter only accepted invitations to debates hosted by WWL-TV and WDSU-TV, both in New Orleans."[19]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small David
Vitter (R)
Charlie
Melançon (D)
Research 2000 March 2–4, 2009 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 41%
Public Policy Polling July 17–19, 2009 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 32%
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2009 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 36%
Rasmussen Reports January 14, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 35%
YouGovPolimetrix January 6–11, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 32%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% 33%
Rasmussen Reports March 10, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 57% 34%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 36%
Magellan Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive June 10–13, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 31%
Public Policy Polling June 12–13, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 37%
Rasmussen Reports June 24, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 35%
Clarus Research Group August 15–16, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 36%
Public Policy Polling August 21–22, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 41%
Rasmussen Reports August 30, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% 33%
Magellan Strategies September 19, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 34%
Magellan Strategies October 10, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 35%
Anazalone Шаблон:Webarchive October 22, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 43%
Clarus Research Group October 21–24, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 38%
Magellan Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive October 24, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 35%

Fundraising

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | David Vitter (R) $8,384,938 $6,833,900 $3,555,994 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Charles Melançon (D) $3,711,556 $4,043,362 $445,853 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[28]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Louisiana elections Шаблон:United States elections, 2010

Шаблон:Use mdy dates