Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Maryland

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Maryland sidebar The 2010 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 2, 2010. Primary elections were held on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski won re-election to a fifth term.

According to The Baltimore Sun columnist David Nitkin, Mikulski had indicated she planned to seek re-election to a fifth term. If Mikulski were to win re-election and serve the full term, she would tie Paul Sarbanes as the longest-serving senator in state history, and also becoming the longest-serving female senator in history, turning 80 years old in the process.[1] On February 15, 2010, rumors began to circulate that Mikulski would not seek reelection; however, these were denied by Democratic sources soon after.[2][3]

She previously won senate elections in 1986, 1992, 1998, and 2004 by margins of 21, 42, 41 and 31 percentage points, respectively. Additionally, in the general election, state parties were expected to focus much of their attention on the seats of Governor Martin O'Malley and first-term Congressman Frank Kratovil, the latter of whom won a surprise victory in a conservative district of the state.[1] Nitkin[1] and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] considered her seat as overwhelmingly "safe."

Democratic primary

Файл:Maryland Senate Democratic primary, 2010.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Joseph Alexander
  • Barry Steve Asbury, newspaper publisher
  • Neil Cohen, dentist
  • Stephens Dempsey
  • Samuel R. Graham, Sr.
  • John B. Kimble, perennial candidate
  • Gregory Kump
  • Daniel W. McAndrew
  • Jim Rutledge, attorney
  • Eddie Vendetti, engineer

Results

Файл:Maryland Senate Republican primary, 2010.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

  • Don Kaplan (Independent)
  • Richard Shawver (Constitution)
  • Kenniss Henry (Green)
  • Natasha Pettigrew (deceased) was the Green Party candidate. On September 19, while cycling, Pettigrew was hit by an SUV driver. Her mother, Kenniss Henry, was chosen by the Green Party to replace Pettigrew on the ballot.[5]

Campaign

Wargotz released two television ads, in the first he created and introduced the term "insidersaurus": comparing Mikulski to a dinosaur by calling her a political "insidersaurus" [6] [7] [8] [9][10] being in Washington for over thirty years (a long-term political incumbent.) A second ad showed a hammer hitting a brick wall, breaking it down and citing criticisms of Mikulski's record as a U.S. Senator. Mikulski released advertisements emphasizing education and job creation.[11]

Despite Wargotz's limited campaign and resources he received the highest percentage of votes against Mikulski as an incumbent U.S. Senator (over 20 years.)

Debates

Despite repeated requests by the Wargotz Campaign formal debate was declined by the incumbent U.S. Senator Mikulski. The two candidates did appear together on Maryland Public Television (MPT) fielding common questions posed to both by the moderator but no formal debate was held.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[12] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[13] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[14] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[16] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Barbara
Mikulski (D)
Eric
Wargotz (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% 33% 2% 7%
Public Policy Polling (report) July 10–12, 2010 569 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% 27% –– 14%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 20, 2010 750 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 39% 3% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 15, 2010 750 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 38% 4% 4%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, Inc. (report) October 11–16, 2010 816 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 38% –– 7%
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks (report) October 15–20, 2010 798 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% 32% –– 8%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 24, 2010 750 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 38% 2% 4%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Cash minus debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Barbara Mikulski (D) $3,690,724 $2,792,437 $1,772,774 $0 $1,772,774
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Eric Wargotz (R) $1,210,327 $743,392 $466,931 $459,600 $-7331.
Source: Federal Election Commission[17]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by county

County colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Barbara A. Mikulski

Democratic

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Eric Wargotz

Republican

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Green |Kennis Henry

Green

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |Richard Shawver

Constitution

colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |Other

Other

Margin Total

Votes

Cast

Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |# Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |# Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |% Шаблон:Party shading/Green |# Шаблон:Party shading/Green |% Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |# Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |# Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |% # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Allegany 9639 44.60% 11350 52.52% 288 1.33% 319 1.48% 16 0.07% -1711 -7.92% 21612
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Anne Arundel 102511 51.17% 92994 46.42% 2766 1.38% 1868 0.93% 214 0.11% 9517 4.75% 200353
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (City) 138312 86.59% 18336 11.48% 2094 1.31% 831 0.52% 167 0.10% 119976 75.11% 159740
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (County) 165678 58.27% 112670 39.62% 3426 1.20% 2233 0.79% 343 0.12% 53008 18.64% 284350
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Calvert 15247 48.44% 15569 49.46% 364 1.16% 275 0.87% 21 0.07% -322 -1.02% 31476
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Caroline 4508 45.46% 5142 51.86% 120 1.21% 127 1.28% 19 0.19% -634 -6.39% 9916
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Carroll 21632 34.38% 39312 62.48% 834 1.33% 1040 1.65% 101 0.16% -17680 -28.10% 62919
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Cecil 13132 44.22% 15600 52.53% 443 1.49% 485 1.63% 40 0.13% -2468 -8.31% 29700
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Charles 30106 64.88% 15598 33.62% 348 0.75% 321 0.69% 28 0.06% 14508 31.27% 46401
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Dorchester 6481 55.96% 4910 42.39% 99 0.85% 87 0.75% 5 0.04% 1571 13.56% 11582
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Frederick 34913 46.67% 38013 50.81% 876 1.17% 905 1.21% 107 0.14% -3100 -4.14% 74814
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Garrett 3361 35.76% 5750 61.17% 117 1.24% 164 1.74% 8 0.09% -2389 -25.41% 9400
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Harford 40712 43.50% 50513 53.98% 1082 1.16% 1171 1.25% 106 0.11% -9801 -10.47% 93584
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Howard 63738 59.71% 40853 38.27% 1239 1.16% 794 0.74% 125 0.12% 22885 21.44% 106749
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Kent 4549 56.04% 3405 41.95% 81 1.00% 74 0.91% 8 0.10% 1144 14.09% 8117
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Montgomery 204005 70.67% 79582 27.57% 3353 1.16% 1393 0.48% 351 0.12% 124423 43.10% 288684
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Prince George's 204441 89.11% 22607 9.85% 1472 0.64% 752 0.33% 164 0.07% 181834 79.25% 229436
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Queen Anne's 8575 43.64% 10561 53.75% 195 0.99% 284 1.45% 35 0.18% -1986 -10.11% 19650
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | St. Mary's 14669 46.86% 15911 50.83% 320 1.02% 377 1.20% 26 0.08% -1242 -3.97% 31303
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Somerset 4082 53.98% 3363 44.47% 48 0.63% 67 0.89% 2 0.03% 719 9.51% 7562
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Talbot 7968 49.28% 7946 49.15% 147 0.91% 95 0.59% 12 0.07% 22 0.14% 16168
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Washington 17356 43.71% 20873 52.57% 579 1.46% 653 1.64% 247 0.62% -3517 -8.86% 39708
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Wicomico 14668 49.88% 14189 48.25% 243 0.83% 278 0.95% 30 0.10% 479 1.63% 29408
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Worcester 10248 48.28% 10619 50.03% 183 0.86% 153 0.72% 23 0.11% -371 -1.75% 21226
Total 1140531 62.19% 655666 35.75% 20717 1.13% 14746 0.80% 2198 0.12% 484865 26.44% 1833858

Counties that flipped from Democrat to Republican

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign sites

Шаблон:2010 United States elections Шаблон:United States Senate elections Шаблон:Maryland elections