Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Maryland
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Maryland sidebar The 2010 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 2, 2010. Primary elections were held on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski won re-election to a fifth term.
According to The Baltimore Sun columnist David Nitkin, Mikulski had indicated she planned to seek re-election to a fifth term. If Mikulski were to win re-election and serve the full term, she would tie Paul Sarbanes as the longest-serving senator in state history, and also becoming the longest-serving female senator in history, turning 80 years old in the process.[1] On February 15, 2010, rumors began to circulate that Mikulski would not seek reelection; however, these were denied by Democratic sources soon after.[2][3]
She previously won senate elections in 1986, 1992, 1998, and 2004 by margins of 21, 42, 41 and 31 percentage points, respectively. Additionally, in the general election, state parties were expected to focus much of their attention on the seats of Governor Martin O'Malley and first-term Congressman Frank Kratovil, the latter of whom won a surprise victory in a conservative district of the state.[1] Nitkin[1] and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] considered her seat as overwhelmingly "safe."
Democratic primary
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Republican primary
Nominee
- Eric Wargotz, Queen Anne's County Commission President
Eliminated in primary
- Joseph Alexander
- Barry Steve Asbury, newspaper publisher
- Neil Cohen, dentist
- Stephens Dempsey
- Samuel R. Graham, Sr.
- John B. Kimble, perennial candidate
- Gregory Kump
- Daniel W. McAndrew
- Jim Rutledge, attorney
- Eddie Vendetti, engineer
Results
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General election
Candidates
Major
- Barbara Mikulski (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Eric Wargotz (R), Queen Anne's County, Maryland Commission President (elected) and physician
Minor
- Don Kaplan (Independent)
- Richard Shawver (Constitution)
- Kenniss Henry (Green)
- Natasha Pettigrew (deceased) was the Green Party candidate. On September 19, while cycling, Pettigrew was hit by an SUV driver. Her mother, Kenniss Henry, was chosen by the Green Party to replace Pettigrew on the ballot.[5]
Campaign
Wargotz released two television ads, in the first he created and introduced the term "insidersaurus": comparing Mikulski to a dinosaur by calling her a political "insidersaurus" [6] [7] [8] [9][10] being in Washington for over thirty years (a long-term political incumbent.) A second ad showed a hammer hitting a brick wall, breaking it down and citing criticisms of Mikulski's record as a U.S. Senator. Mikulski released advertisements emphasizing education and job creation.[11]
Despite Wargotz's limited campaign and resources he received the highest percentage of votes against Mikulski as an incumbent U.S. Senator (over 20 years.)
Debates
Despite repeated requests by the Wargotz Campaign formal debate was declined by the incumbent U.S. Senator Mikulski. The two candidates did appear together on Maryland Public Television (MPT) fielding common questions posed to both by the moderator but no formal debate was held.
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
Rothenberg[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 22, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 21, 2010 |
CQ Politics[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Barbara Mikulski (D) |
Eric Wargotz (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% | 33% | 2% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (report) | July 10–12, 2010 | 569 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% | 27% | –– | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 20, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% | 39% | 3% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 15, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% | 38% | 4% | 4% |
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, Inc. (report) | October 11–16, 2010 | 816 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% | 38% | –– | 7% |
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks (report) | October 15–20, 2010 | 798 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% | 32% | –– | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports (report) | October 24, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% | 38% | 2% | 4% |
Fundraising
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt | Cash minus debt |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Barbara Mikulski (D) | $3,690,724 | $2,792,437 | $1,772,774 | $0 | $1,772,774 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Eric Wargotz (R) | $1,210,327 | $743,392 | $466,931 | $459,600 | $-7331. |
Source: Federal Election Commission[17] |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Results by county
County | colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |Barbara A. Mikulski
Democratic |
colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Eric Wargotz
Republican |
colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Green |Kennis Henry
Green |
colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |Richard Shawver
Constitution |
colspan="2" Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |Other
Other |
Margin | Total
Votes Cast | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |# | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |# | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |% | Шаблон:Party shading/Green |# | Шаблон:Party shading/Green |% | Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |# | Шаблон:Party shading/Constitution |% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |# | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent |% | # | % | ||
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Allegany | 9639 | 44.60% | 11350 | 52.52% | 288 | 1.33% | 319 | 1.48% | 16 | 0.07% | -1711 | -7.92% | 21612 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Anne Arundel | 102511 | 51.17% | 92994 | 46.42% | 2766 | 1.38% | 1868 | 0.93% | 214 | 0.11% | 9517 | 4.75% | 200353 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (City) | 138312 | 86.59% | 18336 | 11.48% | 2094 | 1.31% | 831 | 0.52% | 167 | 0.10% | 119976 | 75.11% | 159740 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Baltimore (County) | 165678 | 58.27% | 112670 | 39.62% | 3426 | 1.20% | 2233 | 0.79% | 343 | 0.12% | 53008 | 18.64% | 284350 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Calvert | 15247 | 48.44% | 15569 | 49.46% | 364 | 1.16% | 275 | 0.87% | 21 | 0.07% | -322 | -1.02% | 31476 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Caroline | 4508 | 45.46% | 5142 | 51.86% | 120 | 1.21% | 127 | 1.28% | 19 | 0.19% | -634 | -6.39% | 9916 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Carroll | 21632 | 34.38% | 39312 | 62.48% | 834 | 1.33% | 1040 | 1.65% | 101 | 0.16% | -17680 | -28.10% | 62919 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Cecil | 13132 | 44.22% | 15600 | 52.53% | 443 | 1.49% | 485 | 1.63% | 40 | 0.13% | -2468 | -8.31% | 29700 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Charles | 30106 | 64.88% | 15598 | 33.62% | 348 | 0.75% | 321 | 0.69% | 28 | 0.06% | 14508 | 31.27% | 46401 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Dorchester | 6481 | 55.96% | 4910 | 42.39% | 99 | 0.85% | 87 | 0.75% | 5 | 0.04% | 1571 | 13.56% | 11582 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Frederick | 34913 | 46.67% | 38013 | 50.81% | 876 | 1.17% | 905 | 1.21% | 107 | 0.14% | -3100 | -4.14% | 74814 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Garrett | 3361 | 35.76% | 5750 | 61.17% | 117 | 1.24% | 164 | 1.74% | 8 | 0.09% | -2389 | -25.41% | 9400 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Harford | 40712 | 43.50% | 50513 | 53.98% | 1082 | 1.16% | 1171 | 1.25% | 106 | 0.11% | -9801 | -10.47% | 93584 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Howard | 63738 | 59.71% | 40853 | 38.27% | 1239 | 1.16% | 794 | 0.74% | 125 | 0.12% | 22885 | 21.44% | 106749 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Kent | 4549 | 56.04% | 3405 | 41.95% | 81 | 1.00% | 74 | 0.91% | 8 | 0.10% | 1144 | 14.09% | 8117 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Montgomery | 204005 | 70.67% | 79582 | 27.57% | 3353 | 1.16% | 1393 | 0.48% | 351 | 0.12% | 124423 | 43.10% | 288684 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Prince George's | 204441 | 89.11% | 22607 | 9.85% | 1472 | 0.64% | 752 | 0.33% | 164 | 0.07% | 181834 | 79.25% | 229436 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Queen Anne's | 8575 | 43.64% | 10561 | 53.75% | 195 | 0.99% | 284 | 1.45% | 35 | 0.18% | -1986 | -10.11% | 19650 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | St. Mary's | 14669 | 46.86% | 15911 | 50.83% | 320 | 1.02% | 377 | 1.20% | 26 | 0.08% | -1242 | -3.97% | 31303 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Somerset | 4082 | 53.98% | 3363 | 44.47% | 48 | 0.63% | 67 | 0.89% | 2 | 0.03% | 719 | 9.51% | 7562 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Talbot | 7968 | 49.28% | 7946 | 49.15% | 147 | 0.91% | 95 | 0.59% | 12 | 0.07% | 22 | 0.14% | 16168 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Washington | 17356 | 43.71% | 20873 | 52.57% | 579 | 1.46% | 653 | 1.64% | 247 | 0.62% | -3517 | -8.86% | 39708 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Wicomico | 14668 | 49.88% | 14189 | 48.25% | 243 | 0.83% | 278 | 0.95% | 30 | 0.10% | 479 | 1.63% | 29408 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Worcester | 10248 | 48.28% | 10619 | 50.03% | 183 | 0.86% | 153 | 0.72% | 23 | 0.11% | -371 | -1.75% | 21226 |
Total | 1140531 | 62.19% | 655666 | 35.75% | 20717 | 1.13% | 14746 | 0.80% | 2198 | 0.12% | 484865 | 26.44% | 1833858 |
Counties that flipped from Democrat to Republican
- Allegany (largest municipality: Cumberland)
- Calvert (largest municipality: Chesapeake Beach)
- Caroline (largest municipality: Denton)
- Frederick (largest municipality: Frederick)
- St. Mary's (largest municipality: California)
- Worcester (largest municipality: Ocean Pines)
See also
References
External links
- Maryland State Board of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for Maryland at Project Vote Smart
- Maryland U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Maryland Polls graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Maryland Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- Maryland Senate from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Maryland Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Candidate blogs at The Baltimore Sun
- Official campaign sites
- Barbara Mikulski for U.S. Senate incumbent
- Daniel W. McAndrew for U.S. Senate
- Jim Rutledge for U.S. Senate
- Vaughn for U.S. Senate
- Wargotz for U.S. Senate
- Neil Cohen for U.S. Senate
Шаблон:2010 United States elections Шаблон:United States Senate elections Шаблон:Maryland elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 1,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Natasha Pettigrew – Mother to replace Green Party nominee for Senate – Baltimore Sun
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
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