Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Nevada

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNV The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election to a fifth and final term.[1]

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on June 8, 2010. Reid won by a large margin over a field of political unknowns.

Candidates

  • Harry Reid, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Alex Miller
  • Eduardo Hamilton
  • Carlo Poliak[2]

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Harry Reid Barbara Buckley
Mellman Group June 17–29, 2008 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 20%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

The Republican primary also took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.

Candidates

Endorsements

Lowden

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Tarkanian

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Angle

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Includes current candidates who have polled at least 2% in at least one poll.

Dates administered Poll source Tarkanian Lowden Angle
August 21, 2009 Mason Dixon/LVJR Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 33% 14% 5%
October 8, 2009 PollШаблон:Dead link 21% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 23% 9%
December 2009 [1]Шаблон:Dead link 
Mason Dixon/LVJR]
24% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 25% 13%
January 7, 2010 [9] Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 28% 26% 13%
February 24, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 29% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 8%
April 11, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 27% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 5%
April 26–28, 2010 Research 2000 28% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 38% 13%
May 13, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 30% 25%
May 28, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 30% 29%
May 31 – June 2, 2010 Research 2000 24% 25% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 34%
June 2, 2010 Suffolk University Шаблон:Webarchive 26% 24% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 33%
June 1–3, 2010 [10] 24% 23% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 32%

Results

Файл:2010 NV US Senate Republican primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

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General election

Candidates

Campaign

In January 2009, the GOP began running an advertisement attacking Reid for his support of the legislation and President Barack Obama's proposed stimulus plan.[15] Since becoming Minority Leader (in 2004), his approval ratings have dropped below 50%.Шаблон:Citation needed A November 2007 poll showed Reid's approval rating at 39%, with 49% of voters disapproving.[16]

After the primaries, the first poll showed Angle leading by a double-digit margin. CQ Politics changed their analysis of the race from leaning Republican to a toss-up because of Angle's sharply conservative views and tendency to commit verbal gaffes; however, CQ added that if the voters treat the election as a referendum on Reid, then Angle will likely win.[17]

In 2009, Reid had been endorsed by some prominent Nevada Republicans.[18] Immediately after the primary, the Republican mayor of Reno, Bob Cashell, who had backed Lowden in the Republican primary, endorsed Reid for the general election, calling Angle an "ultra-right winger."[19][20] Other Republicans expressed doubt about supporting Angle, citing her reputation for ideological rigidity from her years in the state legislature.[21]

One of the first general election ads attacked Angle for her stance on Social Security and Medicare.[22] In response, Angle explained that "the government must continue to keep its contract with seniors, who entered into the system on good faith and now are depending on that contract." In response to accusations that she was not mainstream enough for Nevada voters, Angle explained on a KXNT radio show that she was "more mainstream than the fellow that said tourists stink, this war is lost, and light-skinned no-Negro dialect", in reference to comments that had been made by Senator Reid.[23]

In September, Tibi Ellis, the chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Hispanic Caucus, who had been a spokesperson for Angle, criticized an Angle ad related to immigration. Ellis said, "I condemned this type of propaganda, no matter who is running them, where they blame Mexicans as the only problem and where they attack them as the only source of illegal immigration."[24]

Angle was endorsed by Nevada's largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Review-Journal.[25] Reid had the endorsement from Nevada's second largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Sun.[26] and the largest newspaper outside of Las Vegas, the Reno Gazette-Journal.[27]

On October 7, 2010, Republican State Senator and Minority Leader William Raggio endorsed Reid.[28][29] Dema Guinn, the widow of the late Republican Nevada Governor Kenny Guinn, endorsed Reid on October 8.[30]

Debate

Angle and Reid only agreed to one debate, in which no other candidate would participate. It was held on October 14.[31] Junior Senator John Ensign played Reid during one day of debate preparation at the Trump Plaza in Las Vegas for Angle.[32]

Predictions

Reid was initially considered vulnerable, with the non-partisan Cook Political Report rating the election as a tossup[33] and the Rothenberg Political Report rating the state as tossup.[34] A June 9, 2010, Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll showed Angle leading incumbent Senator Harry Reid by a margin of 50% to 39%.[35] However, a July 2010 poll showed Senator Reid leading Angle by 7 points, following nationwide attention to some of Angle's positions,[36] as well as the endorsement of Reid by prominent Republicans. The change of margin, 18% in less than a month, is the largest in Senate elections history.[36] On July 28, 2010, Rasmussen Reports moved the race from tossup to leans Democratic.[37] Later, it moved back to tossup. Polls generally had Angle up, and thus Reid seemed like the underdog. Journalist Jon Ralston correctly predicted Reid would win based on early voting numbers and Reid running a strong campaign.[38]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[39] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[40] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[41] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[43] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Dates administered Poll source Sharron Angle (R) Harry Reid (D)
December 9, 2009 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 43%
January 7, 2010 [9] Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 40%
January 11, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 40%
February 3, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 40%
March 3, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 43%
March 31, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 40%
April 27, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 40%
April 26–28, 2010 Research 2000 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 41%
May 28, 2010 Mason Dixon/LVJR 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42%
May 31 – June 2, 2010 Research 2000 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42%
June 1–3, 2010 [10] Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 41%
June 9, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 39%
June 22, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 41%
July 12, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 43%
July 12–14, 2010 Mason-Dixon 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44%
July 16–18, 2010 Public Policy PollingШаблон:Dead link 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
July 27, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45%
July 28–30, 2010 Mason-Dixon 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43%
August 3, 2010 Reuters/IpososШаблон:Dead linkШаблон:Cbignore 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
August 9–11, 2010 Mason-Dixon 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46%
August 16, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 47% 47%
August 23–25, 2010 Mason-Dixon 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45%
September 1, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 45% 45%
September 7–9, 2010 Mason-Dixon 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46%
September 11, 2010 FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 44%
September 13, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 48% 48%
September 10–14, 2010 CNN/Time Magazine Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 41%
September 18, 2010 FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 45%
September 20–22, 2010 LVRJ/Mason-Dixon 43% 43%
September 21–23, 2010 Public Opinion Strategies 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45%
September 28, 2010 Rasmussen Reports 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48%
October 2, 2010 FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 46%
October 4, 2010 Magellan Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 43%
October 5, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 46%
October 7–9, 2010 Public Policy Polling 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47%
October 9, 2010 Fox News/POR-Rasmussen Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 47%
October 11, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 48%
October 14, 2010 Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 45%
October 17, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 47%
October 25, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 45%
October 20–26, 2010 CNN/Time/Opinion Research Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 45%
October 25–27, 2010 Mason-Dixon Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 45%
October 30, 2010 Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 45%
October 31, 2010 Public Policy Polling Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 46%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Sharron Angle (R) $27,797,915 $27,505,917 $291,999 $635,737
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Harry Reid (D) $19,185,317 $22,325,360 $176,309 $419,093
Source: Federal Election Commission[44]

Results

Despite Angle leading by three points in the polls the days leading up to the election, Reid defeated Angle by 5.74%, even defeating Angle in her own county, Washoe County. Reid also secured huge numbers out of the Democratic stronghold of Clark County, which covers the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area.

Шаблон:Election box begin 

Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link

Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

County breakdown

County Reid % Angle % Others/None of These %
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Carson City 8,714 44.64% 9,362 47.96% 1,443 7.39%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Churchill 2,473 27.80% 5,639 63.40% 783 8.80%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Clark 253,617 54.41% 192,516 41.30% 20,030 4.30%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Douglas 7,530 34.57% 12,858 59.04% 1,392 6.39%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Elko 3,246 25.24% 8,173 63.56% 1,440 11.20%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Esmeralda 80 20.15% 268 67.51% 49 12.34%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Eureka 137 18.05% 524 69.04% 98 12.91%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Humboldt 1,600 32.12% 2,836 56.92% 546 10.96%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lander 487 25.60% 1,201 63.14% 214 11.25%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lincoln 442 22.68% 1,311 67.27% 196 10.06%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lyon 5,659 32.39% 10,473 59.95% 1,339 7.66%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mineral 855 44.93% 822 43.19% 226 11.88%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Nye 5,279 36.66% 7,822 54.32% 1,298 9.01%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Pershing 597 34.39% 915 52.71% 224 12.90%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Storey 843 39.50% 1,124 52.67% 167 7.83%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Washoe 70,523 49.91% 63,316 44.81% 7,448 5.27%
align="center" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|White Pine 703 21.51% 2,201 67.33% 365 11.17%

[45]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Debates
Official campaign sites

Шаблон:United States elections, 2010

Партнерские ресурсы
Криптовалюты
Магазины
Хостинг
Разное

  1. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  2. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ 4,0 4,1 4,2 4,3 Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ 9,0 9,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  12. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  13. ↑ 13,0 13,1 13,2 Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Independent reeves4congress.com
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  16. ↑ KREN.com (story no longer available)
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  21. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  22. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  23. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  24. ↑ Шаблон:Citation
  25. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  26. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  27. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  28. ↑ Top Nevada GOP lawmaker endorses Harry Reid, AP, Boston Herald, October 8, 2010
  29. ↑ Top Nevada Republican Endorses Harry Reid, Slams Sharron Angle, Elyse Siegel, HuffPost, October 7, 2010
  30. ↑ Reid gets top GOP endorsements, Molly Ball, Politico, October 8, 2010
  31. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  32. ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
  33. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  34. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  35. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  36. ↑ 36,0 36,1 Шаблон:Cite news
  37. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  38. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  39. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  40. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  41. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  42. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  43. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  44. ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
  45. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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