Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNH The 2010 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other midterm elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as to the United States House of Representatives. Primaries were held on September 14. Incumbent Senator Judd Gregg (R) retired instead of seeking a fourth term, and was succeeded by Kelly Ayotte, who won the open seat by over 23 points.

Шаблон:As of, this was the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire. This was also the first open seat election in the state since 1992. With Democrat Jeanne Shaheen serving in the state's other Senate seat, New Hampshire became the first state in the union to be represented in the Senate simultaneously by two women of opposite parties.

Background

Gregg was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2004, and indicated that he would seek a fourth term in 2010.^[1] New Hampshire trended Democratic in the 2006 and 2008 elections, with Republican incumbents losing both of the state's House seats and its other Senate seat to Democrats, but polling conducted in late December 2008 showed Gregg defeating both of the state's U.S. Representatives in a hypothetical match-up.

In February 2009, President Barack Obama offered, and Gregg accepted, nomination to the position of United States Secretary of Commerce.^[2] New Hampshire's Democratic Governor John Lynch announced he would appoint Bonnie Newman, former Assistant Secretary of Commerce for economic development in the Reagan administration, to serve as Senator for New Hampshire until the election in 2010.^[2] Newman announced that she would not run for election in 2010, nor would she endorse any candidate in the race.^[3]

On February 12, 2009, however, Gregg withdrew his nomination for Commerce Secretary. He cited "irresolvable conflicts" over policy related to the Commerce Department as the main reasons for his withdrawal, but also indicated support for President Obama.^[4] Gregg continued to serve as a senator from New Hampshire, as he did not resign from the Senate during the nomination process. At the time of the withdrawal, Gregg indicated that he would not run for reelection in 2010. However, at a subsequent press conference, Gregg clarified that he would "probably not" run for reelection, leading to speculation that was not eliminating the possibility completely.^[5]^[6]

On April 1, 2009, Gregg reaffirmed that he would not run.^[7]

Meanwhile, Democratic U.S. Representative Paul Hodes began his Senate campaign. He was the only major announced candidate until Attorney General Kelly Ayotte announced her bid for the Republican nomination in early July 2009. On November 9, 2009, Republican Ovide Lamontagne joined the race as well.

Republican primary

Candidates

Kelly Ayotte, former New Hampshire Attorney General^[8]
Tom Alciere, state representative
Gerard Beloin
Jim Bender, businessman
Bill Binnie, businessman^[9]
Dennis Lamare
Ovide Lamontagne, 1992 congressional candidate and 1996 gubernatorial nominee; chairman of 2004 platform committee^[10]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Kelly Ayotte	Jim Bender	Bill Binnie	Ovide Lamontagne	Undecided/other
Tarrance Group	January 13–14, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	3%	5%	11%	37%
Research 2000	February 1–3, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 36%	––	4%	27%	33%
Public Policy Polling	April 21, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	11%	19%	5%	21%
Magellan Strategies Шаблон:Webarchive	May 28, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 38%	4%	29%	9%	15%
Public Policy Polling	July 23–25, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	6%	14%	8%	20%
Magellan Strategies	September 1, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 34%	13%	17%	21%	15%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–12, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 37%	12%	13%	30%	5%
Magellan Strategies	September 12, 2010	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 35%	10%	14%	31%	10%

Results

Файл:New Hampshire U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2010.svg

Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

General election

Candidates

Kelly Ayotte (R), former state Attorney General
Ken Blevens (L), (campaign site Шаблон:Webarchive, PVS)
Chris Booth (I), (campaign site, PVS)
Paul Hodes (D), U.S. Representative since 2007

Campaign

Hodes called himself a fiscal conservative, which was mocked by Ayotte in a TV ad. Hodes was criticized for supporting President Obama's Economic Recovery package, a carbon energy tax, and Affordable Care Act.^[11]^[12]^[13] Hodes criticized Ayotte for numerous controversies. One ad questioned Ayotte's honesty in dealing with the Lakes Region Ponzi scheme which defrauded investors of almost $80 million.^[14]

Ayotte was endorsed by the Concord Monitor and the Nashua Telegraph.^[15]

Debates

October 11 in Henniker at New England College^[16]
October 28 in Manchester Шаблон:Citation needed

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2010
Rothenberg^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[20]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 21, 2010
CQ Politics^[21]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small	Kelly Ayotte (R)	Paul Hodes (D)	Other	Undecided
Granite State Poll	June 24 – July 1, 2009	558	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 39%	35%	2%	24%
Research 2000	July 13 – 15, 2009	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 39%	38%	2%	21%
Rasmussen Reports	September 14, 2009	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	38%	5%	12%
American Research Group	September 30, 2009	566	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 41%	34%	––	25%
Granite State Poll	October 2, 2009	503	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 40%	33%	2%	25%
American Research Group	December 29, 2009	566	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	36%	––	21%
Rasmussen Reports	January 12, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	40%	3%	8%
Granite State Poll	January 27 – February 3, 2010	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 41%	33%	1%	25%
Research 2000	February 1–3, 2010	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	39%	––	11%
Rasmussen Reports	February 10, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	39%	3%	13%
Rasmussen Reports	March 8, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	37%	4%	12%
Rasmussen Reports	April 7, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	35%	4%	11%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–18, 2010	1,474	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	40%	––	13%
Granite State Poll	April 12–21, 2010	512	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	32%	––	21%
Rasmussen Reports	May 11, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	38%	3%	9%
Rasmussen Reports	July 12, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	37%	7%	7%
Public Policy Polling	July 23–25, 2010	900	± 3.26%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	42%	––	13%
WMUR Granite State Poll	July 19–27, 2010	453	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	37%	1%	17%
Rasmussen Reports	August 5, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 51%	38%	4%	6%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–12, 2010	1,959	± 2.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	43%	––	9%
Rasmussen Reports	September 15, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 51%	44%	1%	4%
American Research Group	September 22–26, 2010	800	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	32%	2%	20%
American Research Group	October 3–5, 2010	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 47%	42%	4%	7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 10, 2010	750	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 51%	44%	3%	2%
WMUR/UNH	October 7–12, 2010	709	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 50%	35%	1%	12%
Rasmussen Reports	October 27, 2010	750	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 56%	41%	2%	1%
Public Policy Polling	October 27–29, 2010	1,308	± 2.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 56%	41%	––	3%
WMUR/UNH Шаблон:Webarchive	October 27–30, 2010	885	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 54%	36%	2%	8%
WMUR/UNH Шаблон:Webarchive	October 31, 2010	885	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 55%	32%	2%	2%
The Concord Шаблон:Webarchive	October 31, 2010	885	± 3.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 56%	32%	2%	4%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll Source	Dates Administered	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small Error	Paul Hodes (D)	Jim Bender (R)	Other	Undecided
WMUR Granite State Poll	July 19–27, 2010	453	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 39%	36%	--	25%
Public Policy Polling	July 23–25, 2010	900	± 3.26%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	42%	--	16%
Rasmussen Reports	July 12, 2010	500	± 4.5%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	10%	8%
Rasmussen Reports	May 11, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 41%	39%	8%	13%
Granite State Poll	April 12–21, 2010	512	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 37%	34%	--	29%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–18, 2010	1474	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	39%	--	18%
Granite State Poll	January 27 – February 3, 2010	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 36%	27%	2%	35%

Poll Source	Dates Administered	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small Error	Paul Hodes (D)	Bill Binnie (R)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	August 5, 2010	500	± 4.5%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	8%	7%
WMUR Granite State Poll	July 19–27, 2010	453	± 4.4%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 41%	--	21%
Public Policy Polling	July 23–25, 2010	900	± 3.26%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	--	13%
Rasmussen Reports	July 12, 2010	500	± 4.5%	38%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	7%	8%
Rasmussen Reports	May 11, 2010	500	± 4.5%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	6%	8%
Granite State Poll	April 12–21, 2010	512	± 4.4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 38%	--	26%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–18, 2010	1474	± 2.6%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 45%	--	13%
Rasmussen Reports	April 7, 2010	500	± 4.5%	37%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 49%	4%	10%
Rasmussen Reports	March 8, 2010	500	± 4.5%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 46%	4%	14%
Rasmussen Reports	February 10, 2010	500	± 4.5%	41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 42%	3%	13%
Research 2000	February 1–3, 2010	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	35%	--	15%
Granite State Poll	January 27 – February 3, 2010	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 34%	30%	2%	33%
Rasmussen Reports	January 12, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	37%	5%	15%

Poll Source	Dates Administered	Шаблон:Small	Шаблон:Small Error	Paul Hodes (D)	Ovide Lamontagne (R)	Other	Undecided
WMUR Granite State Poll	July 19–27, 2010	453	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	36%	1%	21%
Public Policy Polling	July 23–25, 2010	900	± 3.26%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	38%	--	18%
Rasmussen Reports	July 12, 2010	500	± 4.5%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 43%	9%	9%
Rasmussen Reports	May 11, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 43%	38%	8%	11%
Granite State Poll	April 12–21, 2010	512	± 4.4%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 37%	--	26%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–18, 2010	1474	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	37%	--	19%
Rasmussen Reports	April 7, 2010	500	± 4.5%	39%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 44%	7%	11%
Rasmussen Reports	March 8, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 42%	38%	5%	15%
Rasmussen Reports	February 10, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 44%	38%	4%	13%
Research 2000	February 1–3, 2010	600	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 46%	36%	--	13%
Granite State Poll	January 27 – February 3, 2010	500	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 38%	29%	2%	30%
Rasmussen Reports	January 12, 2010	500	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| 45%	38%	6%	11%
American Research Group	December 29, 2009	566	± 4.1%	31%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| 37%	--	32%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican \| Kelly Ayotte (R)	$4,403,599	$3,397,934	$1,005,664	$26,944
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic \| Paul Hodes (D)	$4,596,642	$4,346,539	$248,003	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[22]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin

Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link
Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link

Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

New Hampshire State Board of Elections
U.S. Congress candidates for New Hampshire at Project Vote Smart
New Hampshire U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
2010 New Hampshire Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: New Hampshire Senate from Rasmussen Reports
2010 New Hampshire Senate Race - Ayotte vs. Hodes from Real Clear Politics
2010 New Hampshire Senate Race from CQ Politics
Race profile from The New York Times

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:United States elections, 2010 Шаблон:New Hampshire elections

[1] Шаблон:Cite web

[ObamanamesGregg-2] 2,0 ^2,1 Шаблон:Cite news

[named-3] Шаблон:Cite news

[withdrawal-4] Шаблон:Cite news

[notrun-5] Шаблон:Cite news

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Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

Содержание

Background

Republican primary

Candidates

Endorsements

Polling

Results

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Debates

Predictions

Polling

Fundraising

Results

References

External links

Навигация

Действия на странице

Действия на странице

Персональные инструменты

Навигация

Поиск

Инструменты