Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in New York
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNY The 2010 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 2, 2010, along with elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a third term. Schumer won every county except for Wyoming, Tioga, and Hamilton counties.[1]
Background
In the 2004 U.S. Senate election, Schumer had defeated Republican Assemblyman Howard Mills by a 71 to 24 percent margin. Schumer was highly popular in New York, and it was believed that any Republican contender would likely not fare well against him in 2010.[2] Schumer was heavily favored to retain his seat.[3]
In addition to this regular election, there was also a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there was the New York gubernatorial election. The existence of two other top-level statewide races, one with a Democratic incumbent perceived as vulnerable and the other an open race, respectively,[4] was believed to lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge the popular Schumer.[2][5]
Republican nomination
Convention
Candidates
- Gary Berntsen, retired CIA officer, received the party's endorsement on the second round of balloting[6]
- Martin Chicon, candidate for New York Senate in 2008[7] and New York Republican State Committee member from upper Manhattan.
- George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller[8]
- James Staudenraus, Long Island resident and 2008 state assembly candidate[9]
- Jay Townsend, Republican strategist (finished second and also qualified for the primary)[6]
Results
Only two candidates, Berntsen and Townsend, obtained at least 25% of the vote at the New York State Republican Convention on June 1, 2010. Berntsen came in first,[10] but still needed to win the primary in order to win the Republican nomination. Berntsen lost the primary to Jay Townsend.[11]
Primary
Candidates
- Gary Berntsen
- Jay Townsend
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Anti-Prohibition Party: Randy Credico
- Conservative Party of New York: Jay Townsend
- Democratic Party: Chuck Schumer
- Green Party: Colia Clark
- Libertarian Party: Randy Credico
- Republican Party: Jay Townsend
- Taxpayers Party: Gary Berntsen
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[12] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[13] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Chuck Schumer (D) | $17,302,006 | $11,824,587 | $16,048,482 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Jay Townsend (R) | $197,365 | $180,693 | $16,671 | $105,854 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[17] | ||||
Polling
| Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Chuck Schumer (D) |
Jay Townsend (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | May 17–20, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 24% | — | 13% |
| Siena College | June 7–9, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% | 26% | — | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% | 33% | 6% | 6% |
| Siena College | July 12, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 26% | — | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% | 36% | 3% | 4% |
| Survey USA | September 20, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% | 33% | 10% | 3% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 7, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 63% | 27% | 6% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 19, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 59% | 31% | 5% | 5% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 28–29, 2010 | 541 | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 61% | 35% | 4% | — |
| Siena College | October 27–30, 2010 | 603 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 64% | 32% | — | 2% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Aftermath
Credico sued the New York State Board of Elections under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment because of this unfair treatment regarding ballot access. Despite being nominated by both the Libertarian Party and the Anti-Prohibition Party, in most jurisdictions, he only appeared on the ballot once. On June 19, 2013, the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of New York ruled in favor of Credico.[18] The New York State Board of Elections did not appeal this decision.[19]
References
External links
- New York State Board of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for New York at Project Vote Smart
- New York U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- New York Polls graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: New York Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 New York Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 New York Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
Шаблон:United States elections, 2010 Шаблон:New York elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web Шаблон:Dead link
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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