Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsNC The 2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 2, 2010. The filing deadline for the primaries was February 26; the primaries were held on May 4, with a Democratic primary runoff held on June 22.[1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Richard Burr won re-election to a second term. Burr is the first incumbent to win re-election for this seat since Sam Ervin's last re-election in 1968.[2]

Burr was the first Republican re-elected to this seat. Burr's 54.8% also represented the highest vote share a North Carolina Republican received since the state began directly electing its senators.

Background

This Senate seat was unfavorable to incumbents over the past several decades. No person elected to this seat was re-elected since Sam Ervin in 1968. His successor, Democrat Robert Burren Morgan, was defeated for re-election in 1980, along with many other incumbents from his party. His Republican successor, John Porter East, committed suicide in 1986. East's appointed successor, Jim Broyhill, served for just four months, resigning upon his November 1986 election loss to former Democratic Governor Terry Sanford. In 1992, the seat changed hands yet again, as Sanford was defeated by wealthy GOP businessman Lauch Faircloth, who himself lost in his bid for a second term six years later by John Edwards. In 2004, no incumbent was defeated, as Edwards was running for vice president and was not allowed to be on the ballot in both races. However, that year the seat did change parties for the fifth time in a row, with Richard Burr defeating Bill Clinton's onetime Chief of Staff Erskine Bowles.

Democratic primary

Candidates

From the North Carolina State Board of Elections:[3]

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Elaine
Marshall
Cal
Cunningham
Kenneth
Lewis
Marshall December 1, 2009 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 5% 7%
Public Policy Polling February 15, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 29% 12% 5%
Public Policy Polling March 12–15, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 20% 16% 11%
Public Policy Polling April 8–11, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 23% 17% 9%
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA April 25, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 23% 19% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 27, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% 23% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 28% 21% 9%
Rasmussen Reports May 4, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% 37% ––
Public Policy Polling May 8–10, 2010 36% 36% ––

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end * Note: Since no candidate received 40% of the vote on May 4, state law allowed a runoff (or "second primary") election if requested by the second-place finisher. Cunningham requested such a runoff.[10] Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Richard
Burr
Brad
Jones
Eddie
Burks
Public Policy Polling February 15, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 55% 10% 3%
Public Policy Polling March 12–15, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 58% 5% 4%
Public Policy Polling April 8–11, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 67% 7% 3%
Survey USA April 26, 2010 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 59% 6% 3%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Marshall was endorsed by The Charlotte Observer, The Wilmington Star-News, the Elizabeth City Daily Advance and The Southern Pines Pilot.[15] Burr was endorsed by Greensboro News & Record,[16] and the Asheville Citizen-Times.[17]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[22] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered MoE Richard
Burr (R)
Elaine
Marshall (D)
Michael
Beitler (L)
Public Policy Polling March 12–15, 2009 ± 3.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 35% ––
Public Policy Polling August 4–10, 2009 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 31% ––
Public Policy Polling September 2–8, 2009 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 31% ––
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2009 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 38% ––
Public Policy Polling October 2–4, 2009 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 32% ––
Public Policy Polling November 9–11, 2009 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 34% ––
Public Policy Polling December 11–13, 2009 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% 37% ––
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 2010 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 37% ––
Rasmussen Reports January 27, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 37% ––
Public Policy Polling February 12–15, 2010 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 33% ––
Rasmussen Reports February 23, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 34% ––
Rasmussen Reports March 22, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 35% ––
Rasmussen Reports April 19, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 32% ––
Rasmussen Reports May 5, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 40% ––
Public Policy Polling May 8–10, 2010 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 42% ––
Rasmussen Reports June 3, 2010 ± 3.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 36% ––
Public Policy Polling June 4–6, 2010 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 39% ––
Rasmussen Reports June 23, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 44% 43% ––
SurveyUSA June 23–24, 2010 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% 40% 6%
Public Policy Polling June 26–27, 2010 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 38% 33% 10%
Rasmussen Reports July 6, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 37% ––
Survey USA July 8–11, 2010 ± 4.2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 46% 36% 6%
Lake Research July 15–19, 2010 ± 4.0% 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 37% 5%
Public Policy Polling July 27–31, 2010 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 39% 37% 7%
Rasmussen Reports August 3, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 40% ––
Public Policy Polling August 27–29, 2010 ± 3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 38% 6%
Rasmussen Reports September 8, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% 38% ––
SurveyUSA September 14, 2010 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 58% 32% 6%
Civitas September 15–17, 2010 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 29% 3%
Public Polling Policy September 23–26, 2010 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 36% 4%
High Point University September 25–30, 2010 ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 31% 4%
Rasmussen Reports October 12, 2010 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 38% ––
Public Policy Polling October 15–17, 2010 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 40% 3%
SurveyUSA October 22–25, 2010 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 38% 5%
Public Policy Polling October 29–31, 2010 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 40% 2%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Richard Burr (R) $8,444,115 $8,735,725 $1,600,695 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Elaine Marshall (D) $2,561,900 $2,229,840 $329,886 $71,500
Шаблон:Party shading/Libertarian | Michael Beitler (L) $16,302 $9,951 $6,350 $11,906
Source: Federal Election Commission[26]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Debates
Official campaign sites (Archived)

Шаблон:United States elections, 2010 Шаблон:North Carolina elections

Шаблон:Use mdy dates