Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Washington
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsWA The 2010 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Patty Murray won re-election to a fourth term by a margin of 52.1% – 47.4% over Republican Dino Rossi, who had twice run for governor in 2004 and 2008. Шаблон:As of, this was the last U.S. Senate election in Washington in which the margin of victory was within single digits.
Top-two primary election
Candidates
Democrats
- Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Charles Allen[1][2][3]
- Bob Burr[3]
Republicans
- Dino Rossi, former State Senator and gubernatorial candidate[4]
- Paul Akers, salesman[5]
- William Chovil[3][6]
- Clint Didier, former NFL football player[7]
- Norma Gruber[3]
- Michael Latimer[8]
Others
- Will Baker (Reform Party)[3]
- Schalk Leonard[3]
- Skip Mercer, professor[9]
- Mohammad Said (Centrist Party)[3]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Patty Murray (D) | Dino Rossi (R) | Clint Didier (R) | Paul Akers (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elway Research | April 29 – May 2, 2010 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | –– | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 36% |
| Elway Research | June 13, 2010 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 31% | 5% | 2% | 17% |
| Survey USA | June 30, 2010 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 33% | 5% | 3% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 27 – August 1, 2010 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 33% | 10% | 4% | 6% |
| Survey USA | August 6–9, 2010 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 33% | 11% | 5% | 4% |
Results
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General election
Candidates
The top 2 candidates from the blanket primary advanced to the general election.
- Patty Murray (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Dino Rossi (R), former State Senator and gubernatorial candidate
Campaign
Rossi heavily criticized Murray for her support of the 2009 economic stimulus package; however, Rossi's economic promises are nearly identical to those of President Bush who asked for the stimulus.[10] Rossi supports repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. He also criticized Murray for her support for earmarks. In response, Murray said, "You bet that seniority and leadership has a big thing to do with it, but the other part of it is, I get up every day and I work hard and I believe in this and I am going to continue fighting for the community I represent."[11]
The National Rifle Association spent $414,100 supporting Rossi and opposing Murray in the 2010 senatorial contest.[12]
Debates
Rossi offered six debates, five of which would be in-state and one nationally.[13] Murray agreed to two debates, and only two debates were held.[14]
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Patty Murray (D) | $10,951,403 | $12,438,133 | $1,032,034 | $0 |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Dino Rossi (R) | $7,365,098 | $4,331,414 | $2,960,039 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Patty Murray (D) |
Dino Rossi (R) |
Other/Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 24–31, 2010 | October 31, 2010 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48.3% | 48.0% | 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Murray +0.3% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Patty Murray (D) |
Dino Rossi (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information | January 23–24, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | –– | –– |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 11, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 1% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 9, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 3% | 2% |
| Research 2000 | March 22–24, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 41% | –– | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 6, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 46% | 3% | 4% |
| Survey USA | April 22, 2010 | 517 | ± 4.4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | –– | 7% |
| The Washington Poll | May 3–23, 2010 | 626 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 44% | 40% | –– | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 4, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 25, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 47% | 2% | 4% |
| The Washington Poll | May 24–28, 2010 | 221 | ± 6.6% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 42% | 5% | 13% |
| The Washington Poll | May 28 – June 7, 2010 | 848 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 42% | 40% | –– | 12% |
| Elway Research | June 13, 2010 | 405 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 40% | –– | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 22, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 14, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 3% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 30, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 47% | 2% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 27 – August 1, 2010 | 1,204 | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 46% | –– | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 44% | 4% | 4% |
| Survey USA | August 18, 2010 | 618 | ± 4.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% | –– | –– |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 31, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 3% | 3% |
| Elway Research | September 9–12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 41% | 3% | 7% |
| CNN/Time | September 10–14, 2010 | 906 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 44% | 2% | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 46% | 1% | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | September 22, 2010 | 609 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 48% | –– | 3% |
| Fox News | September 25, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 28, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 6, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% | 3% | 2% |
| Fox News | October 9, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% | 7% | 0% |
| ElwayШаблон:Dead link | October 7–11, 2010 | 450 | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% | 40% | 0% | 5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research | October 8–12, 2010 | 850 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 43% | 2% | 0% |
| The Washington Poll | October 4–14, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 42% | –– | 8% |
| SurveyUSA | October 11–14, 2010 | 606 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 47% | 0% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 14–16, 2010 | 1,873 | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 47% | –– | 4% |
| McClatchy/Marist | October 14–17, 2010 | 589 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 47% | 1% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 17, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% | 3% | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | October 24–27, 2010 | 678 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 47% | –– | 6% |
| The Washington Poll | October 18–28, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 45% | –– | 4% |
| Marist College | October 26–28, 2010 | 838 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 48% | 2% | 1% |
| Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research | October 30, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 47% | 4% | 0% |
| YouGov | October 25–30, 2010 | 850 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 48% | 0% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 29–31, 2010 | 2,055 | ± 2.2% | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 50% | 0% | 2% |
Results
Murray defeated Rossi by about 114,000 votes. King County, the home of Seattle, likely gave Murray a victory.[21]
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box turnout no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Island (largest city: Oak Harbor)
- Pierce (largest city: Tacoma)
- Skagit (largest city: Mount Vernon)
- Clallam (largest city: Port Angeles)
- Mason (largest city: Shelton)
- Skamania (Largest city: Carson)
- Cowlitz (Largest city: Longview)
- Wahkiakum (Largest city: Puget Island)
Notes
References
External links
- Elections and Voting at the Washington Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Washington at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Washington Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Washington Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Washington Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Washington Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Editorial board endorsement interview: Senate 2010 from The Seattle Times
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Шаблон:United States elections, 2010 Шаблон:Washington elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
