Английская Википедия:2010 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsWI The 2010 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Russ Feingold ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was defeated by Republican challenger Ron Johnson, a businessman and first-time candidate.[1] Johnson was the first Republican to win a Senate election in Wisconsin since 1986. Feingold also became the fifth senator in a row from Wisconsin's Class 3 Senate seat to be defeated for re-election in the general election, and the seventh in a row overall to lose by a defeat in either the primary or general elections.

Republican primary

Candidates

On the ballot
Declined

Campaign

Former Republican Governor of Wisconsin Tommy Thompson had expressed an interest in challenging Feingold,[6] but ruled himself out of the race in April 2010.[7]

Johnson, a millionaire manufacturer and Tea Party movement favorite running for political office for the first time, was the frontrunner. In response to controversy over his ownership of stock in BP, Johnson said he would sell it when market conditions were favorable and possibly use the proceeds to help finance his Senate campaign.[8] Johnson was endorsed by: the Club for Growth, a fiscally conservative advocacy organization; former Wisconsin Republican Lt. Governor Margaret Farrow; Republican U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina;[9][10] and Wisconsin Republican U.S. Representatives Jim Sensenbrenner, Tom Petri and Paul Ryan.[11] Businessman David Westlake was endorsed by the Republican Liberty Caucus.[12] According to OpenSecrets, as of August 25, 2010, Johnson had invested $4.3 million of his own money into his campaign; this amount represented 71 percent of his campaign funds, while 27 percent of his campaign funds ($1.6 million) came from individual contributions.[13]

Polling

Poll Source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ron
Johnson
Dave
Westlake
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (reportШаблон:Dead link) June 26–27, 2010 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% 11% –– 40%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Feingold's first television ad was a positive ad released in March. In July 2010, Feingold's second 2010 television election ad attacked Johnson for alleged support for offshore drilling in the Great Lakes. Johnson quickly countered Feingold with a television ad of his own.[16] Feingold's logo was Moving Forward. In one ad, he emphasized independence and called himself a "penny pincher."[17] Johnson argued that manufacturers and accountants were underrepresented in the U.S. Senate, and there were too many lawyers (57 out of 100 members, including Feingold).[18] Feingold received the endorsements of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and the Green Bay Press-Gazette.[19] The Beloit Daily News endorsed Johnson.[20]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[23] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[24] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[25] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[27] Шаблон:USRaceRating October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Russ
Feingold (D)
Ron
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports May 25, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 44% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 21, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 45% 3% 6%
Public Policy Polling June 26–27, 2010 638 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 43% –– 12%
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 2% 6%
University of Wisconsin, Madison July 15, 2010 500 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 33% 28% –– Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided | 44%
Magellan Strategies July 20, 2010 1,145 ± 2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 43% 3.7% 8%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 500 ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 24, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2010 –– ± 3.8% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% –– 7%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research September 17–21, 2010 963 ± 3.0% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 2% 2%
McClatchy/Marist September 26–28, 2010 806 ± 3.5% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 1% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 42% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 54% 2% 2%
We the People September 29 – October 4, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 41% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% –– ––
We the People/Ispos October 8, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% –– 2%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 8–12, 2010 1,506 ± 2.5% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 1% ––
St. Norbert College/WPR October 12–15, 2010 402 ± 5.0% 47% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 49% –– 4%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% 0% 1%
We the People October 24–27, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% –– 6%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2010 1,372 ± 2.6% 44% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 53% –– 3%
Marist College October 26–28, 2010 811 ± 4.5% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 52% 1% 2%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Russ
Feingold (D)
David
Westlake (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report) June 26–27, 2010 638 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 38% -- 17%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 21, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 41% 4% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) May 25, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 38% 7% 8%
Public Policy Polling (report) March 23, 2010 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 31% 21%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 35% 5% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 17, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 37% 6% 10%
Public Policy Polling (reportШаблон:Dead linkШаблон:Cbignore) November 20–22, 2009 767 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 32% 21%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small
Error
Russ
Feingold (D)
Tommy
Thompson (R)
Other Undecided
WPRI (report) September 27–29, 2009 700 ± 3.8% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 43% 18%
Public Policy Polling (reportШаблон:Dead linkШаблон:Cbignore) November 20–22, 2009 767 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 41% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) January 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 6% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 17, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 48% 3% 5%
WPRI (report) March 9, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 51% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 47% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling (report) March 23, 2010 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 44% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small
Error
Russ
Feingold (D)
Terrence
Wall (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (reportШаблон:Dead linkШаблон:Cbignore) November 20–22, 2009 767 ± 3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 34% 19%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 17, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 39% 6% 7%
WPRI (report) March 9, 2010 600 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 32% 6% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 40% 3% 9%
Public Policy Polling (report) March 23, 2010 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 34% 18%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Fundraising

Through December 31, 2010:

Candidate (Party) Net Receipts Disbursements Beginning Cash Latest Cash On Hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Russ Feingold (D) $13,947,563 $15,544,093 $2,516,119 $919,585 $0
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Ron Johnson (R) $15,509,297 $15,316,651 $0 $192,646 $8,708,465
Source: Federal Election Commission[28]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Шаблон:United States elections, 2010