Английская Википедия:2011 National Assembly for Wales election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Politics of Wales The 2011 National Assembly for Wales election was an election for the National Assembly. The poll was held on 5 May 2011 and decided the incumbency for all the Assembly's seats. It was the fourth election for seats in the National Assembly for Wales (previous elections having been held in 1999, 2003 and 2007), and the second election taken under the rules of the Government of Wales Act 2006.[1][2]
The election resulted in gains for the incumbent Welsh Labour, which gained four seats compared to the previous election and now has 30 seats, exactly half of the Assembly. The party also secured a swing in its favour of over 10 percentage points. The Welsh Conservatives emerged as the largest opposition party with 14 seats, a net gain of two, but party leader Nick Bourne lost his seat. The junior party in the government coalition, the nationalist Plaid Cymru, suffered a drop in its vote and lost 4 seats. The Welsh Liberal Democrats lost significantly in the popular vote and returned five AMs, a loss of one.[3]
British, Irish, Commonwealth and European Union citizens living in Wales aged eighteen or over on election day were entitled to vote. The deadline to register to vote in the election was midnight on 14 April 2011, though anyone who qualified as an anonymous elector had until midnight on 26 April 2011 to register.[4]
It was held on the same day as elections for Northern Ireland's 26 local councils, the Scottish Parliament and Northern Irish Assembly elections, a number of local elections in England and the United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum.
Electoral method
In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the 'first past the post' system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.
Results
- Overall turnout: 42.2%
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|- !rowspan=3 colspan=2 | Parties !colspan=10 | Additional member system !rowspan=2 colspan=5 | Total seats |- !colspan=5 |Constituency !colspan=5 |Region[5] |- ! Votes !! % !! +/− !! Seats !! +/− ! Votes !! % !! +/− !! Seats !! +/− ! Total !! +/− !! % |- Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary |- | || Total || 949,252 || || || 40 || || 949,388 || || || 20 || || 60 || || |}
(source:[6])
Votes summary
Opinion polls
Constituency Vote (FPTP)
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Lab | Cons | Plaid | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 May 2011 | Welsh Assembly election results, 2011 | 42.3% | 25.0% | 19.3% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 17.3% |
4 May 2011 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 47% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 6% | 27% |
2 May 2011 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 45% | 21% | 18% | 8% | 7% | 24% |
14 April 2011 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 49% | 20% | 17% | 8% | 6% | 29% |
7 April 2011 | rmg:Clarity/Western Mail | 51% | 20% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 31% |
30 March 2011 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 47% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 6% | 26% |
8 March 2011 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 48% | 20% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 28% |
26 January 2011 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 45% | 21% | 21% | 7% | 6% | 24% |
22 December 2010 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 44% | 23% | 21% | 6% | 6% | 21% |
24 November 2010 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 44% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 6% | 23% |
27 November 2010 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 44% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 8% | 23% |
3 May 2007 | 2007 National Assembly for Wales election | 32.2% | 22.4% | 22.4% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% |
Regional Vote (AMS)
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Lab | Cons | Plaid | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 May 2011 | Welsh Assembly election results, 2011 (regional) | 36.9% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 14.4% |
14 April 2011 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 44% | 20% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 24% |
30 March 2011 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 45% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
8 March 2011 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 45% | 20% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 25% |
26 January 2011 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 41% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 20% |
22 December 2010 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 42% | 22% | 21% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 20% |
24 November 2010 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 41% | 20% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 21% |
27 October 2010 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 40% | 18% | 23% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 17% |
27 October 2010 | YouGov/ITV WalesШаблон:Dead link | 40% | 18% | 23% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 17% |
3 May 2007 | National Assembly for Wales election, 2007 (regional) | 29.6% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
Constituency and regional summary
Constituency nominations
NB: candidates in BOLD text were the incumbent assembly members. Non incumbents are represented in italics. Members elected 2011 are highlighted with party colours.
Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrats | Plaid Cymru | Others | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aberavon | TJ Morgan | David Rees | Helen Ceri Clarke | Paul Nicholls Jones | Labour HOLD | |
Aberconwy | Janet Finch-Saunders | Eifion Wyn Williams | Mike Priestley | Iwan Huws | Conservative GAIN | |
Alyn and Deeside | John Bell | Carl Sargeant | Peter Williams | Shane Brennan | Mike Whitby (British National Party) | Labour HOLD |
Arfon | Aled Davies | Christina Rees | Rhys Jones | Alun Ffred Jones | Plaid Cymru HOLD | |
Blaenau Gwent | Bob Haywood | Alun Davies | Martin Blakebrough | Darren Jones | Jayne Sullivan (Independent) Brian Urch (British National Party) |
Labour GAIN |
Brecon and Radnorshire | Chris Davies | Chris Lloyd | Kirsty Williams | Gary Price | LD HOLD | |
Bridgend | Alex Williams | Carwyn Jones | Briony Davies | Tim Thomas | Labour HOLD | |
Caerphilly | Owen Meredith | Jeff Cuthbert | Kay David | Ron Davies | Anthony King (British National Party) | Labour HOLD |
Cardiff Central | Matt Smith | Jenny Rathbone | Nigel Howells | Chris Williams | Mathab Khan (Independent) | Labour GAIN |
Cardiff North | Jonathan Morgan | Julie Morgan | Matt Smith | Ben Foday | Labour GAIN | |
Cardiff South and Penarth | Ben Gray | Vaughan Gething | Sian Anne Cliff | Liz Musa | Labour HOLD | |
Cardiff West | Craig Williams | Mark Drakeford | David Morgan | Neil McEvoy | Labour HOLD | |
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Henrietta Hensher | Antony Jones | Will Griffiths | Rhodri Glyn Thomas | Plaid Cymru HOLD | |
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire | Angela Burns | Christine Gwyther | Selwyn Runnett | Nerys Evans | Conservative HOLD | |
Ceredigion | Luke Evetts | Richard Boudier | Elizabeth Evans | Elin Jones | Chris Simpson (Welsh Green Party) | Plaid Cymru HOLD |
Clwyd South | Paul Rogers | Ken Skates | Bruce Roberts | Mabon ap Gwynfor | Labour HOLD | |
Clwyd West | Darren Millar | Crispin Jones | Brian Cossey | Eifion Lloyd Jones | Conservative HOLD | |
Cynon Valley | Daniel Saxton[7] | Christine Chapman | Ian Walton | Dafydd Trystan Davies | Labour HOLD | |
Delyn | Matthew Wright | Sandy Mewies | Michele Jones | Carrie Harper | Labour HOLD | |
Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Simon Baynes[8] | Martyn Singleton | Steve Churchman | Lord Elis-Thomas | Louise Hughes (Llais Gwynedd) | Plaid Cymru HOLD |
Gower | Caroline Jones | Edwina Hart | Peter May | Darren Price | Labour HOLD | |
Islwyn | David Chipp | Gwyn Price | Tom Sullivan | Steffan Lewis | Peter Whalley (British National Party) | Labour HOLD |
Llanelli | Andrew Morgan | Keith Davies | Cheryl Philpott | Helen Mary Jones | Sian Caiach (Putting Llanelli First) | Labour GAIN |
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney | Chris O'Brien | Huw Lewis | Amy Kitcher | Noel Turner | Tony Rogers (Independent) | Labour HOLD |
Monmouth | Nick Ramsay | Mark Whitcutt | Janet Ellard | Fiona Cross | Steve Uncles (English Democrats) | Conservative HOLD |
Montgomeryshire | Russell George | Nick Colbourne[9] | Wyn Williams | David Senior | Conservative GAIN | |
Neath | Alex Powell | Gwenda Thomas | Matthew McCarthy | Alun Llewellyn | Mike Green (British National Party) | Labour HOLD |
Newport East | Nick Webb | John Griffiths | Ed Townsend | Chris Paul | Labour HOLD | |
Newport West | David Williams | Rosemary Butler | Elizabeth Newton | Lyndon Binding | Labour HOLD | |
Ogmore | Martyn Hughes | Janice Gregory | Gerald Francis | Danny Clark | Labour HOLD | |
Pontypridd | Joel James | Mick Antoniw | Mike Powell | Ioan Bellin | Ken Owen (Independent)) | Labour HOLD |
Preseli Pembrokeshire | Paul Davies | Terry Mills | Bob Kilmister | Rhys Sinnett | Conservative HOLD | |
Rhondda | James Eric Jefferys | Leighton Andrews | George Summers | Sera Evans-Fear | Labour HOLD | |
Swansea East | Dan Boucher | Michael Hedges | Sam Samuel | Dic Jones | Joanne Shannon (British National Party) | Labour HOLD |
Swansea West | Stephen Jenkins | Julie James | Rob Speht | Carl Harris | Labour HOLD | |
Torfaen | Natasha Asghar | Lynne Neagle | Will Griffiths | Jeff Rees | Susan Harwood (British National Party) Elizabeth Haynes (Independent)) |
Labour HOLD |
Vale of Clwyd | Ian Gunning | Ann Jones | Heather Prydderch | Alun Lloyd Jones | Labour HOLD | |
Vale of Glamorgan | Angela Jones-Evans | Jane Hutt | Damian Chick | Ian Johnson | Labour HOLD | |
Wrexham | John Marek | Lesley Griffiths | Bill Brereton | Marc Jones | Labour HOLD | |
Ynys Môn | Paul Williams | Joe Lock[10] | Rhys Taylor | Ieuan Wyn Jones | Plaid Cymru HOLD |
Regional lists
Mid and West Wales
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North Wales
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South Wales Central
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South Wales East
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South Wales West
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Target seats for the main parties
Below are listed all the constituencies which required a swing of less than 7.5% from the 2007 result to change hands.
Labour targets
Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2007 | Swing to gain | Labour's place 2007 | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.17 | 2nd | Conservative hold | |
2 | Clwyd West | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.05 | 2nd | Conservative hold | |
3 | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 5.58 | 2nd | Conservative hold | |
4 | Llanelli | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 7.04 | 2nd | Labour gain | |
5 | Cardiff North | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 7.19 | 2nd | Labour gain |
Plaid Cymru targets
Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2007 | Swing to gain | PC's place 2007 | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 0.44 | 3rd | Conservative hold | |
2 | Clwyd West | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.33 | 3rd | Conservative hold | |
3 | Neath | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.36 | 2nd | Labour hold | |
4 | Caerphilly | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 4.38 | 2nd | Labour hold | |
5 | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 6.92 | 3rd | Conservative hold |
Conservative targets
Liberal Democrat targets
Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2007 | Swing to gain | LD's place 2007 | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Newport East | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 2.20 | 2nd | Labour hold | |
2 | Swansea West | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 3.30 | 2nd | Labour hold | |
3 | Wrexham | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 6.05 | 4th | Labour hold | |
4 | Ceredigion | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 6.57 | 2nd | Plaid Cymru hold | |
5 | Pontypridd | Шаблон:Party name with colour | 7.11 | 2nd | Labour hold |
New members
23 of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly.
- Mick Antoniw, Labour, Pontypridd
- Byron Davies, Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
- Keith Davies, Labour, Llanelli
- Suzy Davies, Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
- Mark Drakeford, Labour, Cardiff West
- Rebecca Evans, Labour, Mid and West Wales electoral region
- Janet Finch-Saunders, Welsh Conservative, Aberconwy
- Russell George, Welsh Conservative, Montgomeryshire
- Vaughan Gething, Labour, Cardiff South and Penarth
- Llyr Huws Gruffydd, Plaid Cymru, North Wales electoral region
- Michael Hedges, Labour, Swansea East
- Julie James, Labour, Swansea West
- Julie Morgan, Labour, Cardiff North
- Eluned Parrott, Liberal Democrat, South Wales Central electoral region
- William Powell, Liberal Democrat, Mid and West Wales electoral region
- Gwyn Price, Labour, Islwyn
- Jenny Rathbone, Labour, Cardiff Central
- David Rees, Labour, Aberavon
- Aled Roberts, Liberal Democrat, North Wales electoral region (see below)
- Antoinette Sandbach, Welsh Conservative, North Wales electoral region
- Ken Skates, Labour, Clwyd South
- Simon Thomas, Plaid Cymru, Mid and West Wales electoral region
- Lindsay Whittle, Plaid Cymru, South Wales East electoral region
On 17 May it was discovered that two of the newly elected AMs, John Dixon and Aled Roberts, held posts which disqualified them from election to the Assembly. Although they had formally taken their seats at the first meeting on 11 May,[11] they were then removed from membership of Assembly.[12] Both resigned the posts which had given rise to the disqualification. After taking legal advice, the Presiding Officer Rosemary Butler was told that she must formally declare their seats vacant on Friday 27 May, which would mean the candidates placed second on the list being elected unless motions were tabled to reinstate the two.[13] Motions to reinstate Dixon and Roberts were subsequently tabled, and the Assembly Commission issued a press statement explaining the legal situation as they saw it.[14]
The Liberal Democrats withdrew the motion to reinstate John Dixon on 5 July 2011, after the assembly standards commissioner Gerard Elias QC made clear that he had failed to take notice of the relevant rules. On 6 July, Eluned Parrott was sworn in as an AM in his place, and the Assembly voted to readmit Aled Roberts, as evidence showed that he had been directed to out-of-date information in Welsh.[15]
Defeated members
8 incumbent AMs were defeated at the polls.
- Eleanor Burnham, Liberal Democrat, North Wales electoral region
- Nick Bourne, Welsh Conservative, Mid and West Wales electoral region
- Nerys Evans, Plaid Cymru, Mid and West Wales electoral region
- Chris Franks, Plaid Cymru, South Wales Central electoral region
- Veronica German, Liberal Democrat, South Wales East electoral region
- Helen Mary Jones, Plaid Cymru, Llanelli
- Dai Lloyd, Plaid Cymru, South Wales West electoral region
- Jonathan Morgan, Welsh Conservative, Cardiff North
Retiring members
The following incumbent AMs did not offer themselves for re-election:
- Lorraine Barrett, Welsh Labour, Cardiff South and Penarth
- Mick Bates, Independent (elected Liberal Democrat), Montgomeryshire
- Alun Cairns, Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
- Jane Davidson, Welsh Labour, Pontypridd
- Andrew Davies, Welsh Labour, Swansea West
- Brian Gibbons, Welsh Labour, Aberavon
- Irene James, Welsh Labour, Islwyn
- Gareth Jones, Plaid Cymru, Aberconwy
- Trish Law, Independent, Blaenau Gwent
- Val Lloyd, Welsh Labour, Swansea East
- Rhodri Morgan, Welsh Labour, Cardiff West
- Jenny Randerson, Liberal Democrat, Cardiff Central
- Janet Ryder, Plaid Cymru, North Wales electoral region
- Karen Sinclair, Welsh Labour, Clwyd South
- Brynle Williams, Welsh Conservative, North Wales electoral region (died 1 April 2011).
See also
Notes
References
Шаблон:Welsh elections Шаблон:2011 United Kingdom local elections Шаблон:Opinion polling for Senedd Cymru elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 section 5
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ The deadline for the receipt and determination of anonymous electoral registration applications was the same as the publication date of the notice of alteration to the Electoral Register (i.e. the fifth working day before election day).
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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