Английская Википедия:2011 Scottish Parliament election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use British English Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:PoliticsScotland The 2011 Scottish Parliament election was held on Thursday, 5 May 2011 to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament.

The election delivered the first majority government since the opening of Holyrood, a remarkable feat as the Additional Member System used to elect MSPs was allegedly originally implemented to prevent any party achieving an overall parliamentary majority.[1] The Scottish National Party (SNP) won a landslide of 69 seats, the most the party has ever held at either a Holyrood or Westminster election, allowing leader Alex Salmond to remain as First Minister of Scotland for a second term. The SNP gained 32 constituencies, twenty two from Scottish Labour, nine from the Scottish Liberal Democrats and one from the Scottish Conservatives. Such was the scale of their gains that, of the 73 constituencies in Scotland, only 20 came to be represented by MSPs of other political parties. Scottish Labour lost seven seats and suffered their worst election defeat in Scotland since 1931, with huge losses in their traditional Central Belt constituencies and for the first time having to rely on the regional lists to elect members within these areas. They did, however, remain the largest opposition party. Party leader Iain Gray announced his resignation following his party's disappointing result. The Scottish Liberal Democrats were soundly defeated; their popular vote share was cut in half and their seat total reduced from 16 to 5. Tavish Scott announced his resignation as party leader shortly after the election.[2] For Scottish Conservatives, the election proved disappointing as their popular vote dropped slightly and their number of seats fell by 2, with party leader Annabel Goldie also announcing her resignation.[3]

During the campaign, the four main party leaders engaged in a series of televised debates, as they had in every previous general election. These key debates were held on 29 March (STV), 1 May (BBC), and 3 May (STV). The results of the election were broadcast live on BBC Scotland and STV, on the night of the election.

It was the fourth general election since the devolved parliament was established in 1999 and was held on the same day as elections to the National Assembly for Wales and the Northern Ireland Assembly, as well as English local elections and the UK-wide referendum on the alternative vote.

Date

Under the Scotland Act 1998, an ordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament was held on the first Thursday in May four years after the 2007 election.[4]

Because of the problems of voter confusion and a high number of spoilt ballots in 2007 due to holding Scottish parliamentary and local elections simultaneously and under different voting systems, the next Scottish local elections were held in 2012 instead of 2011. This policy decision was contradicted, however, by the staging of the Alternative Vote referendum on 5 May 2011 as well.[5] Labour MP Ian Davidson expressed opposition to the referendum being staged on the same date as other elections.[5] Scottish Secretary Michael Moore stated that having the referendum on another date would cost an additional £17 million.[5]

British, Irish, Commonwealth and European Union citizens living in Scotland who were aged 18 or over on election day were entitled to vote. The deadline to register to vote in the election was midnight on Friday 15 April 2011, though anyone who qualified as an anonymous elector had until midnight on Tuesday 26 April 2011 to register.[6]

It was held on the same day as elections for Northern Ireland's 26 local councils, the Northern Irish Assembly and Welsh Assembly elections, a number of local elections in England and the United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum.

Boundary Review

Шаблон:Main

Файл:2011 NOTIONAL.svg
The notional results of the 2007 election, based on the new boundaries

The table below shows the notional figures for seats won by each party at the last election. The Conservatives have been the biggest gainers as a result of the boundary changes, winning an extra three seats, while Labour has lost the most seats, losing two overall.

Party Constituency
seats
Regional
seats
Total
seats
Seat
change
SNP 21 25 46 –1
Labour 35 9 44 –2
Conservative 6 14 20 +3
Liberal Democrat 11 6 17 +1
Scottish Green 0 1 1 –1

Election system, seats, and regions

Шаблон:MainThe total number of Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) elected to the Parliament is 129.

The First Periodical Review of the Scottish Parliament constituencies and electoral regions by the Boundary Commission for Scotland was announced on 3 July 2007. The Commission published its provisional proposals for the regional boundaries in 2009.

The Scottish Parliament uses an Additional Members System, designed to produce approximate proportional representation for each region. There are 8 regions each sub-divided into smaller constituencies. There are a total of 73 constituencies. Each constituency elects one (MSP) by the plurality (first past the post) system of election. Each region elects seven additional member MSPs using an additional member system. A modified D'Hondt method, using the constituency results, is used to calculate which additional member MSPs the regions elect.[7][8]

The Scottish Parliament constituencies have not been coterminous with Scottish Westminster constituencies since the 2005 general election, when the 72 former Westminster constituencies were replaced with a new set of 59, generally larger, constituencies (see Scottish Parliament (Constituencies) Act 2004).

For details of the Revised proposals for constituencies at the Next Scottish Parliament election - Scottish Parliament constituencies and electoral regions from 2011

The Boundary Commission have also recommended changes to the electoral regions used to elect "list" members of the Scottish Parliament. The recommendations[9] can be summarised below;

Retiring MSPs

At the dissolution of Parliament on 22 March 2011, twenty MSPs were not seeking re-election.[10]

Constituency/Region Departing MSP Party
Mid Scotland and Fife Christopher Harvie style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | SNP
Argyll and Bute Jim Mather style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Lothians Ian McKee style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
South of Scotland Alasdair Morgan style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Angus Andrew Welsh style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Paisley North Wendy Alexander style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour
Midlothian Rhona Brankin style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Glasgow Baillieston Margaret Curran style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Lothians George Foulkes style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
North East Scotland Marlyn Glen style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
West Renfrewshire Trish Godman style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley Cathy Jamieson style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Motherwell and Wishaw Jack McConnell style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Highlands and Islands Peter Peacock style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Ross, Skye and Inverness West John Farquhar Munro style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Liberal Democrats
Aberdeen South Nicol Stephen style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Jamie Stone style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Glasgow Bill Aitken style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Conservative
Mid Scotland and Fife Ted Brocklebank style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" |
Lothians Robin Harper style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Green

Campaign

The parliament was dissolved on 22 March 2011 and the campaign began thereafter. The Conservatives saw 3 of their candidates drop out of the election during the period 25–28 March: Malcolm McAskill from the Glasgow regional ballot, Iain Whyte from the Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn constituency ballot and David Meikle from the Glasgow regional ballot.

The Liberal Democrat regional candidate for the Central Scotland region Hugh O'Donnell also withdrew on 27 March, citing discontent with the Conservative-Lib Dem coalition at Westminster.[11] Another Liberal Democrat, John Farquhar Munro, came out in support of Alex Salmond for First Minister, even though he also claimed not to support the SNP.[12] In the Clydesdale constituency, the Liberal Democrat candidate John Paton-Day failed to lodge his papers in time for the nomination deadline, leaving the constituency as the only one in Scotland with no Liberal Democrat candidate.[13] On 17 April, the Scottish Liberal Democrat leader Tavish Scott described himself as 'uncomfortable' with his Scottish party being 'related' to the Conservatives due to the coalition at Westminster.

A televised debate between the four main party leaders was shown on STV on 29 March, with SNP leader Alex Salmond and Conservative leader Annabel Goldie identified as the strongest performers.[14] The Scottish Sun newspaper came out in support of the SNP's campaign to win a second term, even though the newspaper does not back independence.

Whilst campaigning in Glasgow Central station, the Scottish Labour leader Iain Gray was ambushed by a group of anti-cuts protestors who chased him into a nearby fast-food outlet.[15] The same protesters had already targeted Conservative leader Annabel Goldie a month earlier. On 27 April, Iain Gray and SNP leader Alex Salmond were both present simultaneously in an Ardrossan branch of the Asda supermarket chain; both parties alleged that the other party's leader 'ran away' from the possibility of an encounter with the other.[16]

Policy platforms

The main parties contesting the election all outlined the following main aims:[17]

Scottish National Party

  • Legislate to give Scotland a referendum on independence.
  • Maintain the council tax freeze throughout the next parliament.
  • Attempt to generate 100% of Scotland's electricity from renewable sources by 2020.
  • Continue offering free university tuition to Scottish students.
  • Maintain high police numbers.

Labour

  • Introduce Scottish Living Wage of £7.15 an hour, starting in the public sector.
  • Abolish youth unemployment and aim to create 250,000 jobs by 2020.
  • Compulsory six-month jail sentences for people convicted of knife-carrying.
  • Initiate two-year council tax freeze.
  • Re-instate the proposed rail link between Glasgow Central station and Glasgow International Airport, which was cancelled in 2009.
  • Continue free University tuition fees for all Scottish students.

Conservatives

  • A council tax freeze during the period 2012–2013.
  • Re-introduce prescription charges at 2009 standards (£5 for a single item).
  • Consider building new nuclear power stations, but not on new sites.
  • Bring in Variable University Graduate Fee, with no more than £4,000 being paid annually per student.
  • Replace community service with short prison sentences.
  • Centralising the Scottish police forces into a single police force.

Liberal Democrats

  • Maintain free university tuition for Scottish students.
  • Aim to create 100,000 new jobs through selling off Scottish Water which would free £1.5 billion for investment purposes.
  • Oppose moves to create a centralised Scottish police force.
  • Maintain the Scottish bus pass, but progressively bring the qualifying age up to 65.
  • Reform the council tax.

Greens

  • Bring in large-scale ecosystem restoration projects.
  • Replace council tax with land value tax.
  • Maintain free university tuition for Scottish students.
  • Focus on bringing restorative justice within Scotland's justice system.
  • Abolish the Forth Replacement Crossing.

Parties contesting the election

Contesting constituency and regional ballot

Only the Scottish National Party, the Scottish Labour Party and the Scottish Conservative Party contested all constituencies.[18][19]

Contesting regional ballot only

Contesting constituency ballot only

Opinion polls

Шаблон:Further In March 2011, two months before the election, Labour held a double-digit lead over the SNP in the opinion polls,[24] 44% to 29%.[25] The SNP's support subsequently rallied, with the two parties level in April polling. In the final poll on the eve of the election, the SNP were eleven points clear of Labour.[24][26]

The chart shows the relative state of the parties since polling began from 2009, until the date of the election. The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.

Файл:Opinion polling for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election.png
Average 30-day trend line of poll results for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 30 January 2009 to 4 May 2011

Result

The election produced a majority SNP government, making this the first time in the Scottish Parliament where a party had commanded a parliamentary majority. The SNP took 16 seats from Labour, many of whose key figures failed to be returned to parliament, although Labour leader Iain Gray retained East Lothian by 151 votes. The SNP took a further eight seats from the Liberal Democrats and one seat from the Conservatives. The SNP overall majority meant that there was sufficient support in the Scottish Parliament to hold a referendum on Scottish independence.[27]

Labour's defeat was attributed to several factors: the party focused too heavily on criticising the Conservative-led coalition at Westminster, and assumed that former Lib Dem voters would automatically switch their vote to Labour, when in fact they appeared to have haemorrhaged support to the SNP.[28] Jackie Baillie compared the result to Labour's performance in the 1983 UK general election.[27] Iain Gray conceded defeat to Alex Salmond and announced his intention to resign as leader of the Labour group of MSPs that autumn.[27]

The election saw a rout of the Liberal Democrats, with no victories in mainland constituencies[29] and 25 lost deposits (candidates gaining less than five per cent of the vote).[29] Leader Tavish Scott said their performance was due to the Liberal Democrats' involvement in the Westminster Government, which had been unpopular with many former LibDem supporters.[30] Scott resigned as leader two days after the election.[30]

For the Conservatives, the main disappointment was the loss of Edinburgh Pentlands, the seat of former party leader David McLetchie, to the SNP. McLetchie was elected on the Lothian regional list and the Conservatives only made a net loss of five seats, with leader Annabel Goldie claiming that their support had held firm.[27] Prime Minister David Cameron congratulated the SNP on the result, but vowed to campaign for the Union in any independence referendum.[27]

The Scottish Greens won two seats, including their co-convenor Patrick Harvie.[27] Margo MacDonald again won election as an independent on the Lothian regional list.[27] George Galloway, under a Unionist anti-cuts banner, failed to receive enough votes to be elected to the Glasgow regional list.[27]

The SNP's overall majority assured Salmond of another term as First Minister, and he was reelected unopposed on 18 May.[31]

style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:black; width:53.49%;" | 69 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:28.68%;" | 37 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:11.63%;" | 15 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:3.88%;" | 5 style="background:Шаблон:Party color; width:1.55%;" | 2
Шаблон:Colour Шаблон:Colour Шаблон:Colour Шаблон:Colour

Шаблон:Election table |-

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Файл:Scottish Parliament elected members, 2011.svg

|- ! rowspan=2 colspan=2 | Party ! colspan=5 | Constituencies ! colspan=5 | Regional additional members ! colspan=5 | Total seats |- ! Votes !! % !! ± !! Seats !! ± !! Votes !! % !! ± !! Seats !! ± !! Total !! ± !! % |- Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party Шаблон:AMS Election Summary Party |- |style="text-align:left"; colspan="2" | Valid votes || 1,989,276 || 99.7 || Шаблон:Increase3.8 || colspan="2"|   || 1,990,836 || 99.7 || Шаблон:Increase2.0 || colspan="5"|   |- |style="text-align:left"; colspan="2" | Spoilt votes || 6,363 || 0.3 || Шаблон:Decrease3.8 || colspan="2"|   || 5,987 || 0.3 || Шаблон:Decrease2.0 || colspan="5"|   |- !style="text-align:left"; colspan="2" | Total || 1,995,639 || 100 ||   || 73 || – || 1,996,823 || 100 ||   || 56 || – || 129 || – || 100 |- |style="text-align:left"; colspan="2" | Electorate/Turnout || 3,950,626 || 50.5 || Шаблон:Decrease3.4 || colspan="2"|   || 3,950,626 || 50.5 || Шаблон:Decrease3.5 || colspan="5"|   |}

Votes summary

Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box

Шаблон:Bar box

Constituency and regional summary

Central Scotland

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link

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Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
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Glasgow

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box end

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

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Highlands and Islands

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box end

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

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Lothian

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box end

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

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Mid Scotland and Fife

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box end

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

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North East Scotland

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box end

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box end

South Scotland

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

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West Scotland

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency gain electoral region with party link
Шаблон:Election box constituency hold electoral region with party link
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Шаблон:Election box end

Шаблон:Election table |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link Шаблон:Election box scottish candidate electoral region with party link

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Top target seats of the main parties

Below are listed all the constituencies which required a swing of less than 5% from the 2007 result to change hands. Because the election was fought under new boundaries, the figures are based on notional results from 2007.[32]

SNP targets

Шаблон:Col-start Шаблон:Col-2

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain SNP's place 2007 Result
1 Glasgow Southside Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.07 2nd SNP gain
2 Linlithgow Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.45 2nd SNP gain
3 Stirling Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.61 2nd SNP gain
4 Edinburgh Eastern Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.80 2nd SNP gain
5 Airdrie and Shotts Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.32 2nd SNP gain
6 Clydesdale Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.85 2nd SNP gain
7 Glasgow Kelvin Шаблон:Party name with colour 2.23 2nd SNP gain
8 Midlothian North & Musselburgh Шаблон:Party name with colour 2.59 2nd SNP gain
9 Dumbarton Шаблон:Party name with colour 2.64 2nd Labour hold
10 Falkirk East Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.05 2nd SNP gain
11 East Lothian Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.76 2nd Labour hold
12 East Kilbride Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.78 2nd SNP gain
13 Glasgow Cathcart Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.50 2nd SNP gain
14 Edinburgh Northern & Leith Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.63 2nd Labour hold
15 Aberdeen South & North Kincardine Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.66 2nd SNP gain
16 Galloway & West Dumfries Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.84 2nd Con hold
17 Cumbernauld & Kilsyth Шаблон:Party name with colour 3.94 2nd SNP gain
18 Edinburgh Central Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.05 3rd SNP gain
19 Caithness, Sutherland & Ross Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.28 2nd SNP gain
20 Edinburgh Pentlands Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.49 3rd SNP gain
21 Dunfermline Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.55 3rd SNP gain
22 Cunninghame South Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.61 2nd SNP gain

Conservative targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain Con place 2007 Result
1 Perthshire South & Kinross-shire Шаблон:Party name with colour 2.23 2nd SNP hold

Шаблон:Col-2

Labour targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain Labour's place 2007 Result
1 Almond Valley Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.007 2nd SNP hold
2 Cunninghame North Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.07 2nd SNP hold
3 Dunfermline Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.14 2nd SNP gain
4 Aberdeen Central Шаблон:Party name with colour 0.69 2nd SNP hold
5 Dumfriesshire Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.05 2nd Labour gain
6 Edinburgh Central Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.28 2nd SNP gain
7 Falkirk West Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.28 2nd SNP hold
8 Clackmannanshire & Dunblane Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.39 2nd SNP hold
9 Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley Шаблон:Party name with colour 2.01 2nd SNP hold
10 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Шаблон:Party name with colour 2.52 2nd SNP hold
11 Dundee City West Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.22 2nd SNP hold
12 Edinburgh Pentlands Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.31 2nd SNP gain
13 Mid Fife & Glenrothes Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.53 2nd SNP hold

Liberal Democrat targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2007 Swing to gain LD's place 2007 Result
1 Argyll & Bute Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.41 2nd SNP hold
2 Aberdeen Central Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.70 3rd SNP hold
3 Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale Шаблон:Party name with colour 1.66 2nd SNP hold
4 Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire Шаблон:Party name with colour 2.61 2nd Con hold
5 Edinburgh Northern and Leith Шаблон:Party name with colour 4.16 3rd Labour hold

Шаблон:Col-end

Incumbents defeated

Constituency/Region MSP Party MSP Since Office previously held
Airdrie and Shotts Karen Whitefield style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
Cumbernauld and Kilsyth Cathie Craigie style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
East Kilbride Andy Kerr style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999 Minister for Finance and Public Services
Falkirk East Cathy Peattie style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
Glasgow Anniesland Bill Butler style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 2000
Glasgow Cathcart Charlie Gordon style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 2005
Glasgow Kelvin Pauline McNeill style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
Glasgow Shettleston Frank McAveety style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999 Minister for Tourism, Culture and Sport
Kirkcaldy Marilyn Livingstone style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse Tom McCabe style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
Clydesdale Karen Gillon style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
Clydebank and Milngavie Des McNulty style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999 Deputy Minister for Communities
Cunninghame South Irene Oldfather style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 1999
Strathkelvin and Bearsden David Whitton style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Labour 2007
Edinburgh South Mike Pringle style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 2003
North East Fife Iain Smith style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 1999
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Mike Rumbles style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 1999
Glasgow Robert Brown style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 1999
West of Scotland Ross Finnie style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 1999 Minister for the Environment and Rural Development
Tweeddale, Ettrick and Lauderdale Jeremy Purvis style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 1999
Edinburgh West Margaret Smith style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 1999
Dunfermline West Jim Tolson style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 2007
Central Scotland Hugh O'Donnell style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Liberal Democrats 2007
South of Scotland Derek Brownlee style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish Conservatives 2005
Glasgow Anne McLaughlin style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish National Party 2009
Lothian Shirley-Anne Somerville style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish National Party 2007
Lothian (was previously member in West of Scotland) Bill Wilson style="background-color: Шаблон:Party color" | Scottish National Party 2007

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Party manifestos

Party election broadcasts

Шаблон:2011 Scottish Parliament election Шаблон:Scottish elections