Английская Википедия:2012 Catalan regional election

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Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election The 2012 Catalan regional election was held on Sunday, 25 November 2012, to elect the 10th Parliament of the autonomous community of Catalonia. All 135 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was a snap election, announced on 25 September by President Artur Mas following the pro-independence demonstration in Barcelona on 11 September—the National Day of Catalonia—and the failed talks between President Mas and Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy to give greater fiscal autonomy to Catalonia.[1][2]

Despite Artur Mas campaigning to win an absolute majority of seats, Convergence and Union (CiU) suffered an electoral setback which had gone largely unnoticed by opinion polls. The Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC) also fared poorly, obtaining fewer seats than pro-independence Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and ending up as the third parliamentary force overall. In turn, ERC regained much of the strength it had loss in the 2010 election and became the main parliamentary opposition party for the first time. The People's Party (PP) and Citizens (C's) benefitted from the electoral polarization between the pro-independence and anti-independence blocs, scoring their best results until then, with 19 and 9 seats, respectively. The Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP) also entered the Parliament for the first time.[3]

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Catalonia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Catalonia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Catalan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[4] As a result of no regional electoral law having been approved since the re-establishment of Catalan autonomy, the electoral procedure came regulated under Transitory Provision Fourth of the 1979 Statute, supplemented by the provisions within the national electoral law.Шаблон:Efn Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Catalonia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Catalans abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Шаблон:Lang-es).[5]

The 135 members of the Parliament of Catalonia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Barcelona, Girona, Lleida and Tarragona, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats:[4][6]

Seats Constituencies
85 Barcelona
18 Tarragona
17 Girona
15 Lleida

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[7]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Catalonia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The regional president was required to call an election fifteen days prior to the date of expiry of parliament, with election day taking place within from forty to sixty days after the call. The previous election was held on 28 November 2010, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 28 November 2014. The election was required to be called no later than 13 November 2014, with it taking place up to the sixtieth day from the call, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Monday, 12 January 2015.[4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Catalonia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous one under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[4]

Background

In the 2010 election, Convergence and Union (CiU) was returned to power after 7 years in opposition, as a result of the electoral collapse of all three parties comprising the "Catalan tripartite" government (Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC), Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and Initiative for Catalonia Greens (ICV). Newly-elected Catalan president Artur Mas was able to govern comfortably thanks to his party's large parliamentary representation allowing for punctual support of several parties on different issues, in what was known as a policy of "variable geometry".[8][9] In 2011, CiU signed several agreements with the People's Party (PP) in order to pass the 2011 and 2012 budgets, as well as for the approval of several spending cuts. In spite of this, the relationship between both parties quickly deteriorated after the 2011 general election, as a result of Mas asking new Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy for greater fiscal autonomy for Catalonia.[10][11]

On 11 September 2012, a massive pro-independence demonstration marked the Catalan political agenda and re-opened the debate about the right to hold a referendum on the independence of Catalonia,[12][13][14] as well as the debate about the feasibility of an independent Catalan state and its integration into the European Union. On 25 September 2012, President Artur Mas announced a snap regional election to be held on 25 November and argued, referring to the demonstration, that "this election will not be held to help a party to perpetuate itself in power. It will be held so that the whole of the Catalan population decides democratically and peacefully what will their future be as a nation."[15] President Mas signed the decree to officially call the Catalan election on 1 October.[16] Mas' move was criticized as an attempt to try to funnel the popular support for independence seen in the September demonstration into an absolute majority of seats in the election.[17]

Parliamentary composition

The Parliament of Catalonia was officially dissolved on 2 October 2012, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Journal of the Government of Catalonia.[18] The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[19][20][21]

Parliamentary composition in October 2012[22]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
width="1" rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Convergence and Union's Parliamentary Group width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| CDC 45 62
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| UDC 17
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialist Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSC 28 28
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Party of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP 18 18
rowspan="2" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and
Alternative Left's Parliamentary Group
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| ICV 8 10
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| EUiA 2
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Republican Left of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| ERC 10 10
Mixed Group bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| SI 3 6
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Cs 3
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Non-Inscrits DCat 1Шаблон:Efn 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[23]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Шаблон:Abbr Шаблон:Abbr
Votes (%) Seats
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| CiU Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Artur Mas 2012 (cropped).jpg Artur Mas Catalan nationalism
Centrism
38.43% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Tick [24]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PSC–PSOE Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Pere Navarro 2012b (cropped).jpg Pere Navarro Social democracy 18.38% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [25]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| PP Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Alicia Sánchez-Camacho (cropped).jpg Alicia Sánchez-Camacho Conservatism
Christian democracy
12.37% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [26]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| ICV–EUiA Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Joan Herrera 2010 (cropped).jpg Joan Herrera Regionalism
Eco-socialism
Green politics
7.37% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [27]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| ERC–CatSí Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Oriol Junqueras 2012 (cropped).jpg Oriol Junqueras Catalan independence
Left-wing nationalism
Social democracy
7.00% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [28]
[29]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| C's Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Albert Rivera 2012 (cropped).jpg Albert Rivera Social liberalism 3.39% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [30]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| SI Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:Portrait placeholder.svg Alfons López Tena Catalan independence 3.29% Шаблон:Big Шаблон:Xmark [31]
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| CUP Шаблон:Collapsible list Файл:David Fernández 2012 (cropped).jpg David Fernàndez Catalan independence
Anti-capitalism
Socialism
colspan="2" Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:Xmark [32]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Wide image

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.

Шаблон:Smaller

Шаблон:Smaller Шаблон:Smaller

Results

Overall

Summary of the 25 November 2012 Parliament of Catalonia election results
Файл:CataloniaParliamentDiagram2012.svg
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Convergence and Union (CiU) 1,116,259 30.71 –7.72 50 –12
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) 524,707 14.43 –3.95 20 –8
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Republican Left of Catalonia–Catalonia Yes (ERC–CatSí) 498,124 13.70 +6.70 21 +11
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| People's Party (PP) 471,681 12.98 +0.61 19 +1
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and Alternative Left (ICV–EUiA) 359,705 9.90 +2.53 13 +3
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 275,007 7.57 +4.18 9 +6
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Popular Unity Candidacy–Left Alternative (CUP) 126,435 3.48 New 3 +3
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Platform for Catalonia (PxC) 60,107 1.65 –0.75 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Catalan Solidarity for Independence (SI) 46,838 1.29 –2.00 0 –4
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Blank Seats (EB) 28,288 0.78 +0.18 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 20,861 0.57 +0.12 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Pirates of Catalonia (Pirata.cat) 18,219 0.50 +0.29 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 14,614 0.40 +0.23 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Hartos.org (Hartos.org) 11,702 0.32 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Democratic Way (VD) 5,984 0.16 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) 2,582 0.07 +0.04 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Republican Left (IR) 826 0.02 –0.03 0 ±0
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| Socialists and Republicans (SyR) 333 0.01 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 52,898 1.46 –1.47
Total 3,635,170 135 ±0
Valid votes 3,635,170 99.10 –0.19
Invalid votes 33,140 0.90 +0.19
Votes cast / turnout 3,668,310 67.76 +8.98
Abstentions 1,745,558 32.24 –8.98
Registered voters 5,413,868
Sources[19][33][34]

Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box

Distribution by constituency

Constituency CiU PSC ERC PP ICV–EUiA C's CUP
colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"|
% S % S % S % S % S % S % S
Barcelona style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 28.1 26 15.4 14 12.7 12 13.3 12 11.1 10 8.4 8 3.4 3
Girona style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 43.0 9 10.1 2 17.8 3 9.6 2 5.9 1 3.6 4.2
Lleida style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 43.1 8 10.4 1 17.4 3 11.3 2 5.4 1 3.3 3.0
Tarragona style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 31.7 7 13.6 3 15.1 3 15.0 3 6.9 1 7.3 1 3.6
Total style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 30.7 50 14.4 20 13.7 21 13.0 19 9.9 13 7.6 9 3.5 3
Sources[19][34]

Aftermath

Investiture
Artur Mas (CiU)
Ballot → 21 December 2012
Required majority → 68 out of 135 Шаблон:Tick
Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Composition bar
Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Composition bar
Abstentions Шаблон:Composition bar
Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Composition bar
Sources[19]

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Opinion poll sources

Шаблон:Reflist

Other

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:Catalan elections Шаблон:Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s


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