Английская Википедия:2012 Missouri gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMO The 2012 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Missouri. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon won re-election against the Republican nominee, businessman Dave Spence, despite incumbent President Barack Obama losing Missouri on the same day to Republican nominee Mitt Romney. Шаблон:As of, this was the last time a Democrat won the governorship of Missouri. This is the last time that a gubernatorial nominee and a lieutenant gubernatorial nominee of different political parties were elected governor and lieutenant governor in Missouri.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

The Democratic primary was held on August 8, 2012.

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Randles
Fred
Sauer
Dave
Spence
John
Weiler
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 4–5, 2012 590 ± 4.0% 15% 12% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% 3% 29%
Mason-Dixon July 23–25, 2012 400 ± 5.0% 15% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% 3% 40%
Public Policy Polling May 24–27, 2012 430 ± 4.7% 11% 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43%
Public Policy Polling January 27–29, 2012 574 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% 11% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 74%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Denied ballot access

  • Leonard Steinman[1]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[6] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[7] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
Dave
Spence (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 835 ± 3.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 45% 2%
SurveyUSA October 28–November 3, 2012 589 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 39% 5% 8%
Mason-Dixon October 23–25, 2012 625 ± 4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 42% 9%
Public Policy Polling October 19–21, 2012 582 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 40% 8%
Public Policy Polling October 1–3, 2012 700 ± 3.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% 35% 12%
Public Policy Polling August 20, 2012 500 ± 4.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 37% 16%
Survey USA August 9–12, 2012 585 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 37% 5% 6%
Chilenski Strategies August 8, 2012 663 ± 3.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% 39% 9%
Mason-Dixon July 23–25, 2012 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 39% 13%
Public Policy Polling May 24–27, 2012 602 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 34% 21%
Public Policy Polling January 27–29, 2012 582 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 27% 26%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Republican primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Peter
Kinder
Bill
Randles
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 9–12, 2011 400 ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% 14% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent align=center| 53%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Peter
Kinder
Someone
else
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 9–12, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 22% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% Шаблон:Party shading/Independent align=center| 43%
General election
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
Bill
Randles (R)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 23–25, 2012 625 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 35% 15%
Public Policy Polling May 24–27, 2012 602 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 32% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 27–29, 2012 582 ± 4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 29% 24%
Public Policy Polling September 9–12, 2011 632 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 24% 30%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
Matt
Blunt (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 9–12, 2011 632 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 37% 13%
Public Policy Polling April 28-May 1, 2011 555 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 38% 13%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
John
Danforth (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 9–12, 2011 632 ± 3.9% 39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% 17%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
Kenny
Hulshof (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 28-May 1, 2011 555 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% 34% 15%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
Peter
Kinder (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 9–12, 2011 632 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% 31% 18%
Public Policy Polling April 28-May 1, 2011 555 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% 34% 18%
Public Policy Polling March 3–6, 2011 612 ± 4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% 38% 17%
Public Policy Polling Nov. 29-December 1, 2010 515 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 39% 14%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
Sarah
Steelman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling Nov. 29-December 1, 2010 515 ± 4.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% 35% 19%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Nixon (D)
Jim
Talent (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 9–12, 2011 632 ± 3.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% 38% 14%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Nixon won by a comfortable 12.3% margin, though this was somewhat closer than his 2008 victory. Even with President Barack Obama losing the state by a nine-point margin, Nixon and Senator Claire McCaskill both won reelection easily. Like his Senatorial colleague, Nixon was able to get a huge number of votes from rural areas. Both Nixon and McCaskill were declared the winners of their respective races even before the known Democratic strongholds of St. Louis and Kansas City came in. Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Nixon won 5 of 8 congressional districts.[8]

District Nixon Spence Representative
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|1st 81.38% 13.21% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Lacy Clay
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|2nd 50.67% 47.37% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Todd Akin (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Ann Wagner (113th Congress)
rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|3rd 48.20% 49.08% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Russ Carnahan (112th Congress)
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Blaine Luetkemeyer (113th Congress)
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|4th 49.16% 47.46% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Vicky Hartzler
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|5th 66.00% 31.20% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Emanuel Cleaver
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|6th 50.09% 46.96% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sam Graves
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|7th 43.75% 53.39% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Billy Long
rowspan=1 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|8th 48.27% 49.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Jo Ann Emerson

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

  • Elections from the Missouri Secretary of State
Campaign sites (Archived)

Шаблон:Missouri elections Шаблон:2012 United States elections