Английская Википедия:2012 Missouri gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsMO The 2012 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Missouri. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon won re-election against the Republican nominee, businessman Dave Spence, despite incumbent President Barack Obama losing Missouri on the same day to Republican nominee Mitt Romney. Шаблон:As of, this was the last time a Democrat won the governorship of Missouri. This is the last time that a gubernatorial nominee and a lieutenant gubernatorial nominee of different political parties were elected governor and lieutenant governor in Missouri.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Results
The Democratic primary was held on August 8, 2012.
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
- Bill Randles, businessman and corporate defense lawyer[3]
- Fred Sauer, investment executive and anti-abortion activist[1]
- Dave Spence, businessman[1]
- John Weiler[1]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Randles |
Fred Sauer |
Dave Spence |
John Weiler |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 4–5, 2012 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 15% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 42% | 3% | 29% |
Mason-Dixon | July 23–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 15% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 41% | 3% | 40% |
Public Policy Polling | May 24–27, 2012 | 430 | ± 4.7% | 11% | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 32% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 43% |
Public Policy Polling | January 27–29, 2012 | 574 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 15% | — | 11% | — | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided align=center| 74% |
Results
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Libertarian primary
Candidates
- Jim Higgins, former officer of the Libertarian Party of Missouri[1]
Denied ballot access
- Leonard Steinman[1]
Results
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General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, September 21, 2012
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[4] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report[6] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics[7] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Dave Spence (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | 835 | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 45% | — | 2% |
SurveyUSA | October 28–November 3, 2012 | 589 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 39% | 5% | 8% |
Mason-Dixon | October 23–25, 2012 | 625 | ± 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 42% | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | October 19–21, 2012 | 582 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 40% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | October 1–3, 2012 | 700 | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 54% | 35% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | August 20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 37% | — | 16% |
Survey USA | August 9–12, 2012 | 585 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 37% | 5% | 6% |
Chilenski Strategies | August 8, 2012 | 663 | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53% | 39% | — | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | July 23–25, 2012 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 39% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | May 24–27, 2012 | 602 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 34% | — | 21% |
Public Policy Polling | January 27–29, 2012 | 582 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 27% | — | 26% |
- Republican primary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Kinder |
Bill Randles |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 34% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent align=center| 53% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Kinder |
Someone else |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 22% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent align=center| 43% |
- General election
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Bill Randles (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | July 23–25, 2012 | 625 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 35% | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | May 24–27, 2012 | 602 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 32% | — | 22% |
Public Policy Polling | January 27–29, 2012 | 582 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 29% | — | 24% |
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | 632 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 24% | — | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Matt Blunt (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | 632 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 37% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | April 28-May 1, 2011 | 555 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 38% | — | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
John Danforth (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | 632 | ± 3.9% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Kenny Hulshof (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 28-May 1, 2011 | 555 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51% | 34% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Peter Kinder (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | 632 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | 31% | — | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | April 28-May 1, 2011 | 555 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | 612 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 38% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | Nov. 29-December 1, 2010 | 515 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 39% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Sarah Steelman (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | Nov. 29-December 1, 2010 | 515 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 35% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Jim Talent (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | 632 | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 38% | — | 14% |
Results
Nixon won by a comfortable 12.3% margin, though this was somewhat closer than his 2008 victory. Even with President Barack Obama losing the state by a nine-point margin, Nixon and Senator Claire McCaskill both won reelection easily. Like his Senatorial colleague, Nixon was able to get a huge number of votes from rural areas. Both Nixon and McCaskill were declared the winners of their respective races even before the known Democratic strongholds of St. Louis and Kansas City came in. Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Audrain (Largest city: Mexico)
- Clark (Largest city: Kahoka)
- Knox (Largest city: Edina)
- Lewis (Largest city: Canton)
- Mississippi (Largest city: Charleston)
- Monroe (Largest city: Monroe City)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Andrew (Largest city: Savannah)
- Atchison (Largest city: Tarkio)
- Benton (Largest city: Warsaw)
- Caldwell (Largest city: Hamilton)
- Camden (Largest city: Osage Beach)
- Carter (Largest city: Van Buren)
- Cass (Largest city: Harrisonville)
- Cedar (Largest city: El Dorado Springs)
- Crawford (Largest city: Cuba)
- Dallas (Largest city: Buffalo)
- Daviess (Largest city: Gallatin)
- Dent (Largest city: Salem)
- Douglas (Largest city: Ava)
- Gentry (Largest city: Albany)
- Howell (Largest city: West Plains)
- Laclede (Largest city: Lebanon)
- Lincoln (Largest city: Troy)
- Livingston (Largest city: Chillicothe)
- Maries (Largest city: Belle)
- Morgan (Largest city: Versailles)
- Oregon (Largest city: Thayer)
- Ozark (Largest city: Gainesville)
- Phelps (Largest city: Rolla)
- Polk (Largest city: Bolivar)
- Pulaski (Largest city: Fort Leonard Wood)
- Ripley (Largest city: Doniphan)
- St. Clair (Largest city: Appleton City)
- Texas (Largest city: Licking)
- Vernon (Largest city: Nevada)
- Webster (Largest city: Marshfield)
By congressional district
Nixon won 5 of 8 congressional districts.[8]
See also
- 2012 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2012 United States Senate election in Missouri
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
- 2012 United States presidential election in Missouri
- 2012 Missouri lieutenant gubernatorial election
- 2012 Missouri Attorney General election
- 2012 Missouri State Treasurer election
- 2012 Missouri Secretary of State election
- Political party strength in Missouri
References
External links
- Elections from the Missouri Secretary of State
- Campaign sites (Archived)
Шаблон:Missouri elections Шаблон:2012 United States elections
- Английская Википедия
- 2012 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2012 Missouri elections
- Missouri gubernatorial elections
- 2012 in Missouri
- November 2012 events
- November 2012 events in North America
- November 2012 events in the United States
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