Английская Википедия:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsFL The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the twenty-seven congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty-seven congressional districts, a two-seat increase due to the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The primary elections were held August 14, 2012.
Redistricting
In November 2010, Florida voters passed two amendments to the Florida Constitution which would require Congressional and state legislative Districts to be compact and follow geographical boundaries, thereby preventing gerrymandering. Shortly after the amendments were passed U.S. Representatives Corrine Brown and Mario Diaz-Balart filed a lawsuit asking that the amendment concerning Congressional Districts be declared invalid.[1] Brown and Diaz-Balart alleged that the power to change rules for congressional redistricting lies exclusively with the state legislature, and as such cannot be changed through a referendum; however in January 2012 a three-judge panel of the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected their arguments.[2]
Redistricting legislation which would create one new district each in North Florida and Central Florida was passed by a committee of the Florida House of Representatives on January 27,[3] by the full House of Representatives on February 3,[4] and by the Florida Senate on February 9. Shortly after, the Florida Democratic Party announced it would file a lawsuit, alleging that the map violated the Fair Districts provision, which requires that maps do not intentionally favor parties or incumbents. Separately, a coalition of groups including Common Cause, the League of Women Voters and the National Council of La Raza announced it would file its own challenge on the legislation's being signed into law.[5]
Overview
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Florida. All vote totals come from the Florida Secretary of State's website along with the individual counties' election department websites.
United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Republican | 4,157,046 | 51.61% | 17 | -2 | |
Democratic | 3,678,725 | 45.67% | 10 | +4 | |
Other Parties | 219,374 | 2.72% | 0 | - | |
Totals | 8,055,145 | 100% | 27 | +2 |
District 1
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Florida's new 1st district voting age population is 77.6% White (single race), 12.9% Blacks (includes multirace), 4.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5% other races [6] Republican incumbent Jeff Miller, who has represented Florida's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jeff Miller, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James Bryan, army veteran[7]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Calen Fretts, vice chair of the Libertarian Party of Okaloosa County[8]
Independents
William Cleave Drummond, II ran for election as a write-in candidate.[7]
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link without swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 2
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Florida's new 2nd district voting age population is 68.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 23.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 4.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] Republican incumbent Steve Southerland was first elected to represent Florida's 2nd congressional district in 2010 and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.[7]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Southerland, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Former Republican state senator Nancy Argenziano was being barred from running as a Democrat by state law, tried to run on the Independent Party of Florida line, but ultimately withdrew.[9]
Candidates
Nominee
- Al Lawson, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2010[10]
Eliminated in primary
- Leonard Bembry, state representative[11]
- Alvin Peters, attorney and former chairman of the Bay County Democratic Party[12]
- Mark Schlakman
Withdrawn
- Nancy Argenziano, former Republican state senator[13]
- Jay Liles, activist
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Southerland (R) |
Al Lawson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 8% |
Lester (D-DCCC) | September 15–17, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Southerland defeated Lawson for re-election to a second term 53% votes to 47% on November 6, 2012. Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 3
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Florida's new 3rd district voting age population is 75.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] Republican Cliff Stearns, who had represented the 6th District since 1989, had his home in Ocala drawn into the neighboring 11th District. However, he opted to seek reelection in the 3rd, which contained more than two-thirds of his former territory.
Republican primary
Stearns was upset in the primary by Ted Yoho, a large-animal veterinarian from Gainesville.
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Yoho, veterinarian
Eliminated in primary
- James Jett, police officer
- Steve Oelrich, state senator
- Cliff Stearns, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- J.R. Gaillot, policy consultant
General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Yoho (R) |
J. R. Gaillot (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% | 31% | 13% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 4
Шаблон:See also Florida's new 4th district voting age population is 74.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.9% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] Republican incumbent Ander Crenshaw, who has represented the 4th District since 2001, ran for re-election.[21]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ander Crenshaw, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bob Black
- Deborah Pueschel
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Gary Koniz
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link without swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 5
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Florida's new 5th district voting age population is 49% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 36.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 10% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.1% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.7% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] It is the successor to the former 3rd district, which has been represented by Democrat Corrine Brown since 1993.[22]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Corrine Brown, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- LeAnne Kolb[23]
Withdrawn
Libertarian primary
Gerald Nyren announced plans to run as a Libertarian Party candidate.[24]
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link without swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 6
Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:See also In redistricting, most of the old 7th district was renumbered as the new 6th district. John Mica, who has represented the 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the neighboring 7th District, and opted to seek re-election there.
Florida's new 6th district voting age population is 82.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 5.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ron DeSantis, Iraq War veteran, former prosecutor and future Florida governor[25]
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Clark, member of the Jacksonville City Council
- Fred Costello, state representative
- William Billy Kogut
- Craig Miller, businessman and Vietnam War veteran
- Alec Pueschel
- Beverly Slough, chairman of St. Johns County School District Board
Declined
- John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Heather Beaven, former Navy cryptologist and nominee for the 7th district in 2010[26]
Eliminated in primary
- Vipin Verma, attorney[27]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 7
Шаблон:Infobox electionШаблон:See also The new 7th District is the successor to the old 24th District, represented by Republican Sandy Adams since 2011. John Mica, who had represented the old 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the new 7th. The new district voting age population is 70.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.1% non-Hispanic blacks (includes multirace), 8.1 percent Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.9 percent Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace) and 4.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 6th district
Eliminated in primary
- Sandy Adams, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 24th district
Endorsements
Primary results
Mica defeated Adams in the Republican primary with 61 percent of the vote.
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jason Kendall, social media consultant and sales manager
Eliminated in primary
- Nicholas Ruiz
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 8
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The new 8th District was the successor to the 15th District, represented by Republican Bill Posey since 2009. The voting age population was 80.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Shannon Roberts, former NASA & federal official and Cape Canaveral City Council Member[28]
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 9
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The new 9th district, an open seat located south of Orlando, is expected to favor Democrats.[29] It contains all of Osceola County, part of Orange County (including the Orlando International Airport), and part of Polk County. The district's inhabitants voted overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama, preferring him to John McCain 60-39%. In addition, the district will contain a plurality of whites, at 43%, followed by Hispanics and blacks, who will make up 41% and 12% of the population, respectively.[30][31][32] The new 9th district voting age population is 42.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 39.1% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.1% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.6% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative[33]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Julius Melendez
- John Quinones
- Mark Oxner, businessman
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Grayson (D) |
Todd Long (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing (D-Grayson) | October 11–12, 2012 | 487 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 56% | 41% | 3% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 363 | ± 5.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45% | 42% | 13% |
Kitchens (D-Grayson) | September 18–21, 2012 | 507 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 34% | 19% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 629 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 41% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box new seat win Шаблон:Election box end
District 10
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the 8th district was renumbered as the 10th district. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th district since January 2011, sort re-election.[29] The new 10th district voting age population is 69.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Val Demings, former Chief of the Orlando Police Department and wife of the Orange County Sheriff[34]
Declined
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative[35]
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Daniel Webster (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) | October 11–14, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 41% | 16% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 498 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 40% | 9% |
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) | September 22–25, 2012 | 402 | ± % | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46% | 41% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 11
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also In redistricting, most of the old 5th District became the 11th District. Rich Nugent, who had represented the 5th since 2011, ran for re-election in the 11th.[36] The new 11th district voting age population is 83.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7.3% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rich Nugent, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Werder[28]
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 12
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also In redistricting, most of the old 9th District became the 12th district. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who has represented the 9th District since 2007, ran for re-election in the 12th.[37] The new 12th district voting age population is 82.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 9.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jonathan Snow, photo specialist and former teacher[28]
Independents
John Russell, an acute care nurse practitioner, had announced prior to redistricting that he would run as an independent in the 11th District.[38] However, after he was drawn into the 12th, he opted to seek election there.[28]
General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gus Bilirakis (R) |
Jonathan Snow (D) |
Paul Elliott (I) |
John Russell (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 57% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 12% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 13
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, most of the old 10th District became the 13th District. Bill Young, who has represented the 10th and its predecessors since 1971, ran for re-election. The new 13th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Young, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Darren Ayres
- Madeline Vance
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jessica Ehrlich, attorney and former Legislative Counsel for Representatives Clay Shaw and Stephen Lynch[39]
Withdrawn
- Nina Hayden
Declined
- Charlie Justice, former state senator and nominee for this seat in 2010[40]
- Rick Kriseman, state representative
- Janet Long, former state representative
- Kenneth Welch, Pinellas County Commissioner
Independent
Declined
- Charlie Crist, former Governor and candidate for Senate in 2010[41]
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Young (R) |
Jessica Ehrlich (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 533 | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 40% | 11% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,691 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 50% | 39% | 11% |
DCCC (D) | July 18, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 35% | 16% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 14
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the 11th District was renumbered as the 14th District. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the 11th since 2007, ran for re-election here.[28] Florida's new 14th district voting age population is 46.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 24% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 24% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.8% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Evelio Otero, retired Air Force Colonel
Eliminated in primary
- Eddie Adams, architect
Declined
- Michael S. Bennett, state senator[42][43][44]
- Shawn Harrison, state representative[45]
- Mark Sharpe, Hillsborough County Commissioner and nominee for the 11th district in 1994 and 1996[46]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathy Castor (D) |
EJ Otero (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,459 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 59% | 32% | 9% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 15
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the 12th district was renumbered as the 15th district. Dennis Ross, who has represented the 12th district since 2011, ran for re-election[47] The new 15th district voting age population is 68.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
No other party put up a candidate.
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link without swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 16
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the Florida's 13th congressional district was renumbered as the 16th district. Republican Vern Buchanan, who has represented the 13th since 2007, ran for re-election in the 16th after deciding against running for the U.S. Senate.[48][49] The new 16th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Prior to redistricting, former state representative Keith Fitzgerald had announced he would seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Buchanan.[50]
Candidates
Nominee
- Keith Fitzgerald, former state representative
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
Keith Fitzgerald (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 494 | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55% | 38% | 7% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 897 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 56% | 37% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Fitzgerald) | July 18–19, 2012 | 586 | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 36% | 19% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan) | July 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 54% | 32% | 14% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan) | March 20–21, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 58% | 36% | 6% |
SEA Polling (D-Fitzgerald) | February 12–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 38% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 17
Шаблон:Infobox election The new 17th district, an open seat for a large district comprising parts of 10 South and Central Florida counties as well as parts of the Everglades watershed, is expected to favor Republicans.[29][51] Republican Tom Rooney, who has represented the 16th district since 2009, ran for re-election in the new 17th district.[52] The new 17th district voting age population is 75.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 7.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Rooney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Joe Arnold, member of Okeechobee County school board
Withdrawn
- Karen Diebel, former Winter Park city commissioner and candidate for the 24th district in 2010[53]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- William Bronson, retired Delta Air Lines pilot (formerly an unsuccessful Republican candidate in Massachusetts and Georgia)
Minor Parties
26-year-old Tom Baumann from Miami (who ran unsuccessful campaigns in Minnesota and in the Borough of Manhattan) ran as a write-in candidate for the Socialist Workers Party .
General election
Campaign
As of the September FEC financial reporting deadline Rooney had collected $930,248 in campaign contributions and had $564,716 on hand; the FEC had no reports on Bronson or Baumann.[51][54][55]
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box new seat win Шаблон:Election box end
District 18
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, ran for re-election in the new 18th district.[56] The new 18th district voting age population is 74.7% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 11.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Allen West, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Crowder, Martin County Sheriff[57]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Patrick Murphy, an environmental services executive, had planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 22nd district,[58] but announced in February 2012 that he would continue to challenge West in the 18th district.[59]
Candidates
Nominee
- Patrick Murphy, environmental services executive
Eliminated in primary
- Jerry Buechler
- Jim Horn
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Independents
Marilyn Davis Holloman qualified to run as a write-in.[60] Everett Wilkinson, the chair of the South Florida Tea Party and registered to vote with no party affiliation, decided not to run.[61]
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2012
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allen West (R) |
Patrick Murphy (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 25–26, 2012 | 631 | ± ?% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48% | 5% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy) | October 16–17, 2012 | 333 | ± 5.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Sunshine State News/VSS | October 16–17, 2012 | 752 | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 48% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51% | 42% | 8% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 53% | 41% | 7% |
Kimball Political Consulting (R) | September 28, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.8% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC) Шаблон:Webarchive | September 26–27, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 52% | 5% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-West) | September 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52% | 41% | 7% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 535 | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49% | 43% | 9% |
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) | August 21–24, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 7% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy) | May 6–8, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 19
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the 14th district was renumbered as the 19th district.[29] Connie Mack IV, who has represented the 14th district since 2005, will run for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election.[62] The new 19th district voting age population is 77.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Trey Radel, conservative radio talk show host[63]
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Aubuchon, state representative[64]
- Joe Davidow, attorney[65]
- Byron Donalds, banker
- Chauncey Goss, son of former Director of Central Intelligence Porter Goss[66]
- Paige Kreegel, state representative[67]
Withdrawn
- Timothy John Rossano[68]
Declined
- Tom Grady, commissioner of the Florida Office of Financial Regulation
- Dudley Goodlette, state representative[69]
- Tammy Hall, Lee County Commissioner[70][71]
- Jeff Kottkamp, former Lieutenant Governor of Florida[71]
- Ray Judah, Lee County Commissioner[70][71]
- Ray Price, member of the Naples City Council
- Garrett Richter, state senator[70]
- Burt Saunders, former state senator[70][71]
- John Sawyer, state representative[72]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James Roach, retired GM research engineer, decorated Vietnam combat veteran and nominee for the 14th district in 2010[73]
Independents
Brandon Smith is on the general election ballot as an independent candidate.
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 20
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the 23rd District was renumbered as the 20th District. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who has represented the 23rd since 1993, ran for reelection—in effect, trading district numbers with fellow Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz. The new 20th district voting age population is 49.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 35.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Bernard Sansaricq, former president of the Senate of Haiti and nominee for this seat in 2010[74]
Independents
- Randall Terry, anti-abortion activist
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 21
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, most of the old 19th District became the 21st District. Ted Deutch, who has represented the 19th district since April 2010, ran for re-election[75] The new 21st district voting age population is 66.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Independents
Cesar Augusto Henao Cañas was an independent candidate.[76]
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 22
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also Republican Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, sought re-election in the new 18th district.[56] The new 22nd district voting age population is 69.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Adam Hasner, former majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives[77]
Declined
- Chip LaMarca, Broward County Commissioner[78]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, former mayor of West Palm Beach, Florida[77]
Eliminated in primary
- Kristin Jacobs, Broward County Commissioner[79]
Declined
- John Rodstrom, Broward County Commissioner[80]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Hasner (R) |
Lois Frankel (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anzalone-Liszt (D-Frankel) | October 18–21, 2012 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 9% |
Sunshine State News/VSS | October 14–16, 2012 | 750 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
DCCC (D) | October 10, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | 13% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 407 | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 45% | 44% | 11% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,054 | ± 5.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 47% | 12% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 23
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the 20th District was renumbered as the 23rd District. DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz who has represented the 20th since 2005, ran for re-election. The new 23rd district voting age population is 48.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Gineen Bresso
- Ozzie deFaria, businessman[82]
- Juan Eliel Garcia
- Joseph Kaufman, Americans Against Hate founder[83]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 24
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, most of the old 17th District was renumbered as the 24th District. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the 17th since 2011, sought reelection. The new 24th district voting age population was 51.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 3.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Rudy Moise, doctor and candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Wilson was unopposed in the general election.
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link without swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 25
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the 21st district was renumbered as the 25th district. Republican Mario Diaz-Balart, who has represented the 21st district since 2011, ran for re-election.[29] The new 25th district voting age population is 68.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 21.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mario Diaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 26
Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the old 25th District was renumbered as the 26th district. Republican David Rivera, who has represented the 25th since 2011, ran for reelection.[29] The new 26th district voting age population is 67.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 20.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.4% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Rivera, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Carlos Curbelo, political consultant[84]
- Anitere Flores, state senator
- Juan-Carlos Planas, former state representative
- Miguel Diaz de la Portilla, state senator
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Garcia, attorney, activist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Gustavo Marin, nonprofit consultant, university professor, and political analyst
- Gloria Romero Roses, managing partner at Nexus Homes
- Lamar Sternad, hotel Auditor
Declined
- Luis Garcia, state representative[85]
- Annette Taddeo, businesswoman and nominee for the 18th district in 2008,[86]
Primary results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Campaign
Due to redistricting and constitutional amendments passed in 2010 restricting gerrymandering, the race was considered a toss-up. While the old 25th leaned Republican, the new district was split narrowly in half between Republicans and Democrats.
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Rivera (R) |
Joe Garcia (D) |
Angel Fernandez (I) |
José Peixoto (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson (D-DCCC) | October 9–11, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | 2% | 1% | 15% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 473 | ± 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 12% |
NORS (R-Rivera) | September 13–19, 2012 | 422 | ± ?% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44% | 38% | — | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America) | September 12–13, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 46% | — | — | 16% |
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) | September 8–13, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 50% | — | — | 9% |
Benenson (D-Garcia) | August 20–22, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 49% | — | — | 11% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[15] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[16] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[18] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[19] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[20] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box gain with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
District 27
Шаблон:See also In redistricting, the old 18th District was renumbered as the 27th District. Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who has represented the 18th since 1989, will run for re-election. The new 27th district voting age population is 72.8% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 17.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 5.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Manny Yevancey[28]
Withdrawn
- Patrick Post
General election
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
References
External links
- Florida Division of Elections
- Шаблон:Dead link Candidate listШаблон:Dead link
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- Florida U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Florida from OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
- Election 2012: Video candidate interviews, Orlando Sentinel
Шаблон:2012 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 6,00 6,01 6,02 6,03 6,04 6,05 6,06 6,07 6,08 6,09 6,10 6,11 6,12 6,13 6,14 6,15 6,16 6,17 6,18 6,19 6,20 6,21 6,22 6,23 6,24 6,25 6,26 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 7,2 Florida Division of ElectionsШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 15,2 15,3 15,4 15,5 15,6 15,7 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 16,0 16,1 16,2 16,3 16,4 16,5 16,6 16,7 Шаблон:Cite web, Шаблон:As of
- ↑ 17,0 17,1 17,2 17,3 17,4 17,5 17,6 17,7 Шаблон:Cite web, Шаблон:As of
- ↑ 18,0 18,1 18,2 18,3 18,4 18,5 18,6 18,7 House Race Ratings, The New York Times, Шаблон:As of
- ↑ 19,0 19,1 19,2 19,3 19,4 19,5 19,6 19,7 [1], Шаблон:As of
- ↑ 20,0 20,1 20,2 20,3 20,4 20,5 20,6 20,7 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2012 primary election results Шаблон:Webarchive from Florida Election Watch
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 24,0 24,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 28,0 28,1 28,2 28,3 28,4 28,5 Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ 29,0 29,1 29,2 29,3 29,4 29,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 51,0 51,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 56,0 56,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Candidates and Races – Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of StateШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Paige Kreegel announces run for Mack's congressional seat Шаблон:Webarchive, Naples News, January 16, 2012
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 70,0 70,1 70,2 70,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 71,0 71,1 71,2 71,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 77,0 77,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web