Английская Википедия:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 and elected the four U.S. representatives from the state of Utah, an increase of one seat in reapportionment following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on June 26, 2012.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2012
Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats Before	Seats After	+/–
	Republican	647,873	64.86%	2	3	+1
	Democratic	324,309	32.47%	1	1	-
	Constitution	14,481	1.45%	0	0	-
	Libertarian	6,439	0.64%	0	0	-
	Independent	5,795	0.58%	0	0	-
Totals		998,897	100.00%	3	4	+1

Redistricting

In Utah, the redistricting process was controlled by members of the Republican Party, who formed a majority on the State Legislature's redistricting committee. The plan passed October 2011 divides Salt Lake County among three districts, which Republicans argued would require Utah's U.S. Representatives focus on both urban and rural issues. Jim Dabakis, the chair of the Utah Democratic Party, argued that the map constituted a gerrymander designed to benefit the Republican Party.

District 1

Republican incumbent Rob Bishop, who has represented Utah's 1st congressional district since 2003, ran for re-election, having decided against running for governor.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rob Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Leonard "Joe" Fabiano, business entrepreneur and candidate for senate in 2010
• Jacqueline Smith, homemaker and Tea Party activist

Withdrawn

• Michael Miller, Iraq War veteran

Results

Rob Bishop became the official Republican candidate April 21, 2012 at the State Republican Convention.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Donna McAleer, management consultant and West Point graduate

Eliminated in primary

• Ryan Combe, small business owner

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sherry Phipps

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rob Bishop (R)	Donna McAleer (D)	Sherry Phipps (C)	Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates	October 26–November 1, 2012	194 (RV)	±7.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 70%	15%	2%	10%
Key Research/Brigham Young University	October 9–13, 2012	407 (LV)	±7.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 62%	20%	–	18%

District 2

Democratic incumbent Jim Matheson, who has represented Utah's 2nd congressional district since 2001, sought re-election in the new 4th district.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jay Seegmiller, former state representative

Eliminated in primary

• Dean Collinwood
• Mike Small

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Stewart, author, former U.S. Air Force pilot, and president of an energy consulting firm;

Eliminated in primary

• Jason Buck, former American football player at Brigham Young University and in the National Football League
• Dave Clark, former speaker of the Utah House of Representatives;
• Cherilyn Eagar, business owner and candidate for Senate in 2010;
• Robert Fuehr, former telecommunications executive and Harvard University MBA alumnus
• Milton Hanks
• Edward Mayerhofer
• Jeramey McElhaney, small business owner
• Howard Wallack
• Chuck Williams, former Assistant Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Installations and Environment and retired U.S. Air Force lieutenant colonel;
• John Willoughby, airline pilot,

Withdrawn

• Morgan Philpot, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2010

Declined

• Dan Liljenquist, state senator

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jonathan D. Garrard

Independents

Independent candidate Charles Kimball also filed.

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Seegmiller (D)	Chris Stewart (R)	Other	Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates	October 26–November 1, 2012	229 (RV)	±6.5%	28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 44%	5%	22%
Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune	October 29–31, 2012	625 (LV)	±4.0%	28%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 55%	5%	12%
Key Research/Brigham Young University	October 9–13, 2012	100 (LV)	±10.0%	20%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 46%	–	34%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2012
Roll Call	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2012
NY Times	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012
The Hill	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012

District 3

Jason Chaffetz, was seeking a third term in representing Utah's 3rd congressional district;

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jason Chaffetz, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Brian Jenkins
• Lynn D. Wardle

Withdrawn

• Kurt Bradburn.
• Leonard "Joe" Fabiano, business entrepreneur and candidate for senate in 2010

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Soren Simonsen, Salt Lake City Council Chair

Eliminated in primary

• Richard Clark

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jason Chaffetz (R)	Soren Simonsen (D)	Other	Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates	October 26–November 1, 2012	232	±6.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 68%	18%	3%	10%
Key Research/Brigham Young University	October 9–13, 2012	100 (LV)	±4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 68%	15%	—	17%

District 4

Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Matheson, who has represented Utah's 2nd congressional district since 2001 and had considered running for governor or for the U.S. Senate, sought re-election to the House in Utah's new 4th congressional district after his previous seat was split up by the redistricting.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Matheson, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 2nd district

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mia Love, Mayor of Saratoga Springs

Eliminated in primary

• Jay Cobb, attorney
• Kenneth Gray
• Stephen Sandstrom, state representative
• Carl Wimmer, state representative

Declined

• Jason Buck, former American football player at Brigham Young University and National Football League

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Cobb	Mia Love	Stephen Sandstrom	Carl Wimmer	Other	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	April 9—11, 2011	625 (LV)	± 4.0%	—	23%	14%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 35%	28%	—
Dan Jones & Associates	December 19—21, 2011	341 (RV)	± 5.3%	3%	8%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 15%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Republican| 15%	19%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided| 41%

Results

In the Republican convention, held on April 21, 2012, Love received 70.4% of the vote (she needed more than 60% to avoid a primary).

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Vein

Withdrawn

• Ken Larsen, medical researcher

Justice primary

Candidates

Withdrawn

• Torin Nelson

Campaign

Despite beginning her campaign at a significant name recognition disadvantage to Matheson, Love was able to mount a strong challenge. This was in part fueled by a prime time speaking slot at the Republican National Convention where she impressed many with her backstory of a being the daughter of Haitian immigrants whose parents "Immigrated to the U.S. with $10 in their pocket" and her themes of self-reliance, small government and fiscal responsibility. However she was later hit by claims that she was technically an Anchor Baby, despite having seemingly backing the deportation of the US-born children of illegal immigrants.

Facing a district largely new to him, Matheson ran ads showcasing his independent credentials and airing clips of Love voicing support for cutting the Department of Education and privatizing Social Security. Despite the NRCC running ads trying to tie him to Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama, Matheson's favorability rating remained at around 60% throughout the campaign.

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Matheson (D)	Mia Love (R)	Jim Vein (L)	Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates	October 26–November 1, 2012	414 (RV)	±4.8%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 48%	3%	6%
Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune	October 29–31, 2012	625 (LV)	±4.0%	40%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 52%	2%	6%
Key Research/Brigham Young University	October 9–13, 2012	407 (LV)	±7.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 43%	—	14%
Global Strategy (D)	October 9–10, 2012	407 (LV)	±4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 48%	41%	—	11%
Dan Jones & Associates	September 26–29, 2012	414 (RV)	±5.0%	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 49%	—	8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Love/NRCC)	September 10–11, 2012	400 (LV)	±4.9%	36%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican align=center| 51%	—	13%
Global Strategy (D)	July 26–29, 2012	400 (LV)	±4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 51%	33%	—	16%
Dan Jones & Associates	June 15–21, 2012	379 (RV)	±5.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 53%	38%	1%	8%
Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune	April 9–11, 2012	625 (LV)	±4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic align=center| 45%	42%	—	13%
Dan Jones & Associates	December 19–21, 2011	341 (RV)	±5.3%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 53%	36%	4%	12%

An early poll published by the Deseret News on Dec 25, 2011 showed Jim Matheson leading all potential opponents. Шаблон:Hidden begin

With Cobb

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Matheson (D)	Jay Cobb (R)	Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates	December 19–21, 2011	341 (RV)	±5.3%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 54%	35%	11%

With Sandstrom

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Matheson (D)	Stephen Sandstrom (R)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	April 9–11, 2012	625 (LV)	±4.0%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 45%	42%	13%
Dan Jones & Associates	December 19–21, 2011	341 (RV)	±5.3%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 50%	41%	10%

With Wimmer

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Matheson (D)	Carl Wimmer (R)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	April 9–11, 2012	625 (LV)	±4.0%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 46%	45%	9%
Dan Jones & Associates	December 19–21, 2011	341 (RV)	±5.3%	align=center Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic| 52%	41%	7%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2012
Rothenberg	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 2, 2012
Roll Call	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 5, 2012
NY Times	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012
The Hill	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 4, 2012

Results

Matheson narrowly defeated the Love in the general election by only 768 votes. If Love had won the seat, she would have become the first African-American Republican woman to sit in the House.

External links

• Elections Division at the Utah Secretary of State
• United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2012 at Ballotpedia
• Utah U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
• Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
• Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation