Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Hawaii

Материал из Онлайн справочника
Перейти к навигацииПерейти к поиску

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsHI The 2012 United States Senate election in Hawaii took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Daniel Akaka decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth full term. Democrat Mazie Hirono defeated Republican Linda Lingle in a rematch of Hawaii’s 2002 gubernatorial election. This was the first open Senate seat in the state of Hawaii since 1976.

Background

U.S. Representative Daniel Akaka was appointed by Governor John Waihee to the U.S. Senate to serve temporarily after the death of U.S. Senator Spark Matsunaga, and sworn into office on May 16, 1990. On November 6 of the same year, he was elected to complete the remaining four years of Matsunaga's unexpired term. He was re-elected in 1994 for a first full six-year term and again in 2000 and 2006. Despite originally saying he would seek re-election in 2012,[1] on March 2, 2011, Akaka announced that he would not run for re-election.[2]

Democratic primary

The primary election was held on August 11.[3] After being locked in a tight race with Ed Case, her predecessor in Congress, incumbent Congresswoman Mazie Hirono pulled away in the final vote, handily defeating Case.

Candidates

Withdrew

Declined

Campaign

In December 2011, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairwoman and U.S. Senator Patty Murray for Washington endorsed Hirono.[11] U.S. Senator and President Pro Tempore Daniel Inouye for Hawaii also endorsed her. Case criticized "D.C. insiders." He also argued that he is a fiscal moderate, while Hirono was rated the 6th most liberal member of the U.S. House.[12][13] The Daily Kos blog described Ed Case a "Democratic villain."[14]

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ed
Case
Mazie
Hirono
Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011 368 ±5.1% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% 15%
Civil Beat Poll January 18–19, 2012 1,358 ±2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% 39% 20%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser January 26 – February 5, 2012 599 ±4.0% 36% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 8%
Civil Beat Poll June 5–7, 2012 731 ±3.6% 46% 46% 8%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser July 5–9, 2012 599 ±4.0% 40% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% 9%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser July 12–21, 2012 606 ±4.0% 37% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 8%
Civil Beat/Merriman River July 31 – August 2, 2012 1,227 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 46% 9%

Results

Файл:2012 HI US Senate Democratic primary.svg
Results by county: Шаблон:Legend Шаблон:Legend

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Republican primary

The primary election was held on August 11.

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small John
Carroll
Linda
Lingle
Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011 293 ±5.7% 9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 85% 6%

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Candidates

  • Mazie Hirono (Democratic), U.S. Representative
  • Linda Lingle (Republican), former governor
  • Heath Beasley (independent)[22]

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mazie Hirono (D) $5,518,572 $5,657,753 $77,323 $241,951
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Linda Lingle (R) $5,865,323 $5,839,282 $26,042 $194,534
Source: Federal Election Commission[27][28]

Top contributors

Mazie Hirono Contribution Linda Lingle Contribution
EMILY's List $215,640 Goldman Sachs $39,900
University of Hawaii $29,900 Elliott Management Corporation $39,500
Kobayashi, Sugita & Goda $24,618 Humanscale Corporation $34,000
Alexander & Baldwin $23,100 Bank of America $21,240
RM Towill Corp $23,000 Richie's Specialty Pharmacy $20,000
Weitz & Luxenberg $22,400 Marriott International $19,500
Council for a Livable World $20,914 Murray Energy $19,205
Nan, Inc. $20,000 State of Hawaii $18,350
Thornton & Naumes $20,000 Devon Energy $15,500
BNP Paribas $17,250 Crown Associates Realty $15,000
Source: OpenSecrets[29]

Top industries

Mazie Hirono Contribution Linda Lingle Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $524,619 Retired $640,433
Women's Issues $336,772 Financial Institutions $368,837
Retired $194,307 Leadership PACs $291,500
Leadership PACs $186,500 Real Estate $249,216
Real Estate $123,598 Pro-Israel $185,500
Transportation Unions $110,400 Health Professionals $154,550
Lobbyists $109,344 Petroleum Industry $137,950
Public Sector Unions $108,000 Misc Finance $137,500
Democratic/Liberal $85,788 Lawyers/Law Firms $135,086
Shipping Industry $85,385 Republican/Conservative $101,664
Source: OpenSecrets[30]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mazie
Hirono (D)
Linda
Lingle (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 40% 9%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser May 4–10, 2011 614 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 35% 8%
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011 568 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 42% 10%
Civil Beat/Merriman River January 18–19, 2012 1,358 ±2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 39% 16%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser January 26 – February 5, 2012 771 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 37% 5%
Public Policy Polling May 16–17, 2012 600 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 41% 9%
Civil Beat/Merriman River June 5–7, 2012 1,105 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 44% 5%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser July 12–21, 2012 756 ±3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 58% 39% 4%
Civil Beat/Merriman River September 26–28, 2012 1,684 ±2.4% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 39% 6%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser October 15–22, 2012 786 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 57% 35% 8%
Civil Beat/Merriman River October 24–26, 2012 1,218 ±2.8% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% 40% 5%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Democratic primary
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ed
Case
Colleen
Hanabusa
Mufi
Hannemann
Mazie
Hirono
Brian
Schatz
Don't Know/
Refused
Honolulu Star-Advertiser May 4–10, 2011 403 ±4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% 15% 17% 25% 6% 11%
with Duke Aiona
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ed
Case (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 35% 15%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mazie
Hirono (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% 42% 10%
with Colleen Hanabusa
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Colleen
Hanabusa (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% 43% 9%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Colleen
Hanabusa (D)
Charles
Djou (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% 40% 10%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Colleen
Hanabusa (D)
Linda
Lingle (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 40% 9%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser May 4–10, 2011 614 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 39% 7%
with Charles Djou
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ed
Case (D)
Charles
Djou (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% 35% 12%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mazie
Hirono (D)
Charles
Djou (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 40% 9%
With Mufi Hannemann
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mufi
Hannemann (D)
Charles
Djou (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 40% 14%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mufi
Hannemann (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% 42% 42% 16%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mufi
Hannemann (D)
Linda
Lingle (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 40% 14%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser May 4–10, 2011 614 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% 36% 13%
with Brian Schatz
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Brian
Schatz (D)
Linda
Lingle (R)
Undecided/Other
Honolulu Star-Advertiser May 4–10, 2011 614 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% 43% 10%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ed
Case (D)
John
Carroll (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011 568 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% 21% 18%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Ed
Case (D)
Linda
Lingle (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling March 24–27, 2011 898 ±3.3% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 35% 12%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser May 4–10, 2011 614 ±4.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% 36% 10%
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011 568 ±4.1% 43% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% 12%
Civil Beat/Merriman River January 18–19, 2012 1,358 ±2.7% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% 33% 20%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser January 26 – February 5, 2012 771 ±3.5% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 36% 8%
Civil Beat/Merriman River June 5–7, 2012 1,105 ±2.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% 36% 12%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser July 12–21, 2012 756 ±3.6% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 38% 6%
Poll source Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Small Mazie
Hirono (D)
John
Carroll (R)
Undecided/Other
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011 568 ±4.1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% 29% 15%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end

Results by congressional district

Hirono won both congressional districts.[35]

District Hirono Lingle Representative
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 59.94% 40.06% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Colleen Hanabusa
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr 65.24% 34.76% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Tulsi Gabbard

See also

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Campaign sites (Archived)

Шаблон:2012 United States elections