Английская Википедия:2012 United States Senate election in Hawaii
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsHI The 2012 United States Senate election in Hawaii took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Daniel Akaka decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth full term. Democrat Mazie Hirono defeated Republican Linda Lingle in a rematch of Hawaii’s 2002 gubernatorial election. This was the first open Senate seat in the state of Hawaii since 1976.
Background
U.S. Representative Daniel Akaka was appointed by Governor John Waihee to the U.S. Senate to serve temporarily after the death of U.S. Senator Spark Matsunaga, and sworn into office on May 16, 1990. On November 6 of the same year, he was elected to complete the remaining four years of Matsunaga's unexpired term. He was re-elected in 1994 for a first full six-year term and again in 2000 and 2006. Despite originally saying he would seek re-election in 2012,[1] on March 2, 2011, Akaka announced that he would not run for re-election.[2]
Democratic primary
The primary election was held on August 11.[3] After being locked in a tight race with Ed Case, her predecessor in Congress, incumbent Congresswoman Mazie Hirono pulled away in the final vote, handily defeating Case.
Candidates
- Ed Case, former U.S. Representative[4]
- Michael Gillespie
- Antonio Gimbernat
- Mazie Hirono, U.S. Representative[5]
- Arturo Reyes
Withdrew
- Daniel Akaka, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Declined
- Tammy Duckworth, Assistant Secretary of Public/Intergovernmental Affairs (ran for Congress in Illinois)[6]
- Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. Representative[7][8][9]
- Mufi Hannemann, former Mayor of Honolulu (ran for Congress)[10]
Campaign
In December 2011, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairwoman and U.S. Senator Patty Murray for Washington endorsed Hirono.[11] U.S. Senator and President Pro Tempore Daniel Inouye for Hawaii also endorsed her. Case criticized "D.C. insiders." He also argued that he is a fiscal moderate, while Hirono was rated the 6th most liberal member of the U.S. House.[12][13] The Daily Kos blog described Ed Case a "Democratic villain."[14]
Polling
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Ed Case |
Mazie Hirono |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 368 | ±5.1% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 45% | 15% |
Civil Beat Poll | January 18–19, 2012 | 1,358 | ±2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 41% | 39% | 20% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | January 26 – February 5, 2012 | 599 | ±4.0% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% | 8% |
Civil Beat Poll | June 5–7, 2012 | 731 | ±3.6% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 5–9, 2012 | 599 | ±4.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 43% | 9% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 12–21, 2012 | 606 | ±4.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 55% | 8% |
Civil Beat/Merriman River | July 31 – August 2, 2012 | 1,227 | ±2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 46% | 9% |
Results
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Republican primary
The primary election was held on August 11.
Candidates
- John Carroll, former state senator, former state representative and perennial candidate[15]
- Charles Collins[16]
- Linda Lingle, former governor[17]
- Eddie Pirkowski, businessman and perennial candidate[18]
- John Roco
Declined
- Duke Aiona, former lieutenant governor[19]
- Charles Djou, former U.S. representative (running for U.S. House)[20][21]
Polling
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | John Carroll |
Linda Lingle |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 293 | ±5.7% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 85% | 6% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Candidates
- Mazie Hirono (Democratic), U.S. Representative
- Linda Lingle (Republican), former governor
- Heath Beasley (independent)[22]
Debates
- September 6, 2012 – Honolulu Japanese Chamber of Commerce and various other hosts[23][24]
- October 8, 2012 – AARP Hawaii
- October 16, 2012 – Honolulu Civil Beat, Complete video of debate at C-SPAN
- October 18, 2012 – PBS Hawaii
- October 22, 2012 – Hawaii Star Advertiser[25][26]
Fundraising
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mazie Hirono (D) | $5,518,572 | $5,657,753 | $77,323 | $241,951 |
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Linda Lingle (R) | $5,865,323 | $5,839,282 | $26,042 | $194,534 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[27][28] |
Top contributors
Mazie Hirono | Contribution | Linda Lingle | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
EMILY's List | $215,640 | Goldman Sachs | $39,900 | |
University of Hawaii | $29,900 | Elliott Management Corporation | $39,500 | |
Kobayashi, Sugita & Goda | $24,618 | Humanscale Corporation | $34,000 | |
Alexander & Baldwin | $23,100 | Bank of America | $21,240 | |
RM Towill Corp | $23,000 | Richie's Specialty Pharmacy | $20,000 | |
Weitz & Luxenberg | $22,400 | Marriott International | $19,500 | |
Council for a Livable World | $20,914 | Murray Energy | $19,205 | |
Nan, Inc. | $20,000 | State of Hawaii | $18,350 | |
Thornton & Naumes | $20,000 | Devon Energy | $15,500 | |
BNP Paribas | $17,250 | Crown Associates Realty | $15,000 | |
Source: OpenSecrets[29] |
Top industries
Mazie Hirono | Contribution | Linda Lingle | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lawyers/Law Firms | $524,619 | Retired | $640,433 | |
Women's Issues | $336,772 | Financial Institutions | $368,837 | |
Retired | $194,307 | Leadership PACs | $291,500 | |
Leadership PACs | $186,500 | Real Estate | $249,216 | |
Real Estate | $123,598 | Pro-Israel | $185,500 | |
Transportation Unions | $110,400 | Health Professionals | $154,550 | |
Lobbyists | $109,344 | Petroleum Industry | $137,950 | |
Public Sector Unions | $108,000 | Misc Finance | $137,500 | |
Democratic/Liberal | $85,788 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $135,086 | |
Shipping Industry | $85,385 | Republican/Conservative | $101,664 | |
Source: OpenSecrets[30] |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
- Democratic primary
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Ed Case |
Colleen Hanabusa |
Mufi Hannemann |
Mazie Hirono |
Brian Schatz |
Don't Know/ Refused |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 403 | ±4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 26% | 15% | 17% | 25% | 6% | 11% |
- with Duke Aiona
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Ed Case (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mazie Hirono (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 49% | 42% | 10% |
- with Colleen Hanabusa
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% | 39% | 7% |
- with Charles Djou
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Ed Case (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mazie Hirono (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 40% | 9% |
- With Mufi Hannemann
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mufi Hannemann (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mufi Hannemann (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mufi Hannemann (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 40% | 14% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 51% | 36% | 13% |
- with Brian Schatz
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Brian Schatz (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Ed Case (D) |
John Carroll (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ±4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 60% | 21% | 18% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Ed Case (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 35% | 12% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ±4.1% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | 45% | 12% |
Civil Beat/Merriman River | January 18–19, 2012 | 1,358 | ±2.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 46% | 33% | 20% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | January 26 – February 5, 2012 | 771 | ±3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% | 36% | 8% |
Civil Beat/Merriman River | June 5–7, 2012 | 1,105 | ±2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 12–21, 2012 | 756 | ±3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% | 38% | 6% |
Poll source | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | Mazie Hirono (D) |
John Carroll (R) |
Undecided/Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ±4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 56% | 29% | 15% |
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Results by congressional district
Hirono won both congressional districts.[35]
District | Hirono | Lingle | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 59.94% | 40.06% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Colleen Hanabusa |
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Шаблон:Ushr | 65.24% | 34.76% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Tulsi Gabbard |
See also
References
External links
- Hawaii Office of the Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Campaign sites (Archived)
- John Carroll for U.S. Senate
- Ed Case for U.S. Senate
- Mazie Hirono for U.S. Senate
- Linda Lingle for U.S. Senate
- Eddie Pirkowski for U.S. Senate
Шаблон:2012 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Poll: Hirono in solid shape in Senate primary - The Hill's Ballot Box
- ↑ Former Congressman Ed Case: If Hirono Wins U.S. Senate Democratic Primary, Former GOP Gov. Lingle Will Beat Her | Hawaii Reporter
- ↑ Unrelenting Ed Case Says Mazie Hirono Is D.C. Insider : Roll Call Politics
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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